Forexsignals
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Count: Preparing for Final ImpulseXAU/USD appears to be in a textbook 5-wave impulsive structure on the 4H chart, with the market now completing Wave 4 as a classic ABC corrective flat/pennant.
The impulsive move from the Wave 2 low has formed clear internal substructures, with Wave 3 exhibiting extended price action, consistent with Elliott Wave guidelines.
Currently, price is consolidating in a contracting pattern labeled Wave 4 (A-B-C), which looks to be near completion. Based on wave symmetry and Fibonacci projections, a strong upside move is anticipated once Wave 4 concludes, leading into the final Wave 5 rally.
Entry Zone: 3286.875
Target: 3367.440– 3410.210
Stop Loss: Below 3260.190.
GBP/USD at a Turning Point – Correction Pattern in PlayIt appears that the corrective Wave A in the GBP/USD pair is nearing completion, and the formation of Wave B may be underway. The Wave 1 to 5 structure seems to have been completed, indicating the beginning of an A-B-C corrective phase.
If the correction unfolds as expected, potential upside targets are 1.32918 and 1.33555. However, if the market faces rejection below the trendline, the stop-loss level would be 1.32021.
Watch This Wedge! AUDNZD Primed for Upside PushThe AUDNZD pair forms a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation that typically occurs after a downtrend. The price action is being squeezed between a descending resistance line and a descending support line, creating a narrowing range. The market is now attempting to break out of the wedge, with the current price testing the resistance line. A breakout and close above this trendline would signal bullish strength and could lead to a reversal of the recent downtrend.
Targets:
TP1: 1.07605
TP2: 1.07922
Stop Loss: Below the recent low at 1.06542
XAG/USD Eyes Upside Targets as Wave C MaturesXAG/USD is currently trading in a corrective phase where wave B appears to have completed, and wave C is currently forming. Based on the current price action, it doesn’t seem likely that this entire move will result in a full bullish recovery. The structure suggests that this could be sub-wave C of wave 4, potentially completing around the 26.79944 level. Going forward, if the 5th wave begins to unfold, potential targets could be in the range of 29.74182 to 30.57528.
EUR/NZD Wave Structure Shift: 4th Wave Correction in ProgressThe 3rd wave in EUR/NZD appears to have been completed, and the market seems to be entering the 4th wave. There is a possibility that the 4th wave could take support near the Fibonacci 0.5 level (1.19164). After that, the 5th wave of the impulse phase may move upward.
If the market falls below 1.98303, it would confirm the beginning of the 4th wave. In that scenario, the first target could be around 1.95907 .
Trade Idea: SELL BTCUSD at 78,200 – 78,500🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart):
Key Resistance Zone: 78,200 – 78,500 USD
Price has consistently failed to break above this area.
Multiple rejections from this zone suggest a strong supply zone.
This area aligns with historical resistance + EMA confluence.
Trend Structure:
Price formed a lower high and shows signs of a short-term bearish reversal.
Breakdown from minor support at 77,800 confirms weak momentum.
Current price action shows hesitation with reduced buying volume.
Volume Analysis:
Large red volume bars signal strong seller presence near resistance.
Weak green candles near resistance imply exhausted buying interest.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: SELL from 78,200 – 78,500 USD
Stop Loss: Above 79,600 USD (just beyond strong resistance zone)
Take Profit:
TP1: 70,000 USD – major support & volume node
TP2: 68,000 USD – high probability support zone from recent base
📊 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): Approximately 1:3 to 1:4 – ideal for swing or short-term positional trades.
🚀 Follow me for more high-probability trading opportunities! 🚀
database trading Database trading involves the exchange of data assets, which can include raw data, processed data, or access rights to specific datasets.
Database trading refers to the buying and selling of databases or data-related products, often for financial or commercial purposes, encompassing large datasets, data assets, or rights to access specific data.
Gold hits important support. Is the downtrend over?
📊 Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" policy is affecting the entire financial market in general and gold prices in particular. The trade war is approaching and the market continued to fall sharply on Monday. Not staying out of the game, OANDA:XAUUSD is also inevitable to sell off when market volatility increases. Let's analyze the next developments of gold from the perspective of **Technical Analysis:** and the opportunity to find profits at this time:
🔹 **Frame D**: After 3 consecutive days of decline, FOREXCOM:XAUUSD prices have temporarily maintained the upward price trend. And currently the price is at an important support area, the old peak area 1 month ago. Whether the correction ends here or not, we will need to consider further in the next time frames
🔹 **H4 frame**: The important key zone has been broken, the bearish price structure has not changed, it is not yet possible to confirm that this downtrend has ended.
🔹 **H1 frame**: The bearish price structure is very clear, however, the selling force is not as strong as before. The support area still brings a cautious mentality to the bears, plus the profit-taking action for SELL positions after the past 3 days.
✅**Trading plan:*
Looking at the price structure, although the price is at an important support area, we are still not sure that this downtrend has ended, so the BUY option will not be considered. However, the current area is no longer suitable for setting up a SELL position. The priority at the moment is to wait for the price to return to the marked resistance area to TRADE WITH THE MEDIUM TERM TREND. The market volatility is very high at the moment so pay attention to reduce the corresponding Volume and Stoploss with the loss you can accept.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
AUD/USD: Bullish Momentum Builds from Strong DemandIn the 4-hour AUD/USD chart, strong supply and demand zones are visible. A significant demand zone is observed around the 0.62269 level. Within the chart, a Change of Character (ChoCh) is identified from the 0.6323 level, and a Break of Structure (BoS) is noted at the 0.63211 level. A strong selling reaction has been observed from the supply zone, and the market has retested that level again.
On the demand side, the market has touched the strong demand zone twice and showed a bullish formation each time. Currently, the price is forming a strong bullish candle again.
Based on the Fibonacci levels, potential upside targets could be seen at 0.62717, 0.63128, and 0.63312, provided the market holds above the demand zone. However, if the demand zone is broken, there is a possibility of the market dropping down to 0.61901 .
XAU/USD: 5th Wave Rally After CorrectionOn the 1-hour timeframe, XAU/USD has formed an Elliott Wave corrective structure. This is an expanded flat correction, typically seen in the 4th wave. The correction seems to have been completed at 3,054, suggesting that the 5th wave may be in progress.
For bullish traders, a potential long position can be considered around the 0.236 retracement level as a pullback entry point.
The 5th wave has the potential to reach the following upside targets: 3,110, 3,145, 3,165
However, this bullish outlook remains valid only if the low of Wave IV holds. A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish scenario.
GBP/USD Technical Outlook: Elliott Wave Mapping the Next MoveThis GBP/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis.
Wave (1) and (2): The market had an impulsive bullish movement in Wave 1, followed by a corrective Wave 2.
Wave (3): A strong bullish move with momentum.
Wave (4): A corrective phase, forming a triangle pattern (a-b-c-d-e), which suggests the market is preparing for another impulsive leg.
Entry Confirmation: A breakout above the triangle pattern.
First Target: 1.31457 (Fibonacci 0.382)
Second Target: 1.32105 (Fibonacci 0.5)
Option and Database tradingTo study an option chain, focus on the current market price, displayed in the centre. Analyse the built-up data to understand market direction based on recent changes in open interest and price. ITM call options are typically highlighted in yellow, making it easier to distinguish them from other options.
The put-call ratio measures trading volume using put options versus call options. Instead of the absolute value of the put-call ratio, the changes in its value indicate a change in overall market sentiment.
Silver Price Alert: Is XAG/USD Headed for $34.108? Learn Why!"Join us for an educational session on XAG/USD as we analyze key market trends and technical signals pointing to a potential drop toward $34.108. Understand the factors driving gold prices and gain insights to improve your trading strategy!
#chartanalysis
#xagusd
#trendanalysis
Gold Awaits – A Major Move Is Just Around the CornerGold has shown consistent structure since the start of this week.
Today, there are no major economic events, so price is likely to continue moving sideways within the current range, as previously analyzed in AD’s plan.
📌 Important Events Coming Up:
🔸 Thursday: US Quarterly GDP data
🔸 Friday: PCE Inflation Report (Key inflation indicator)
👉 These are the two most impactful news releases this week, and essentially wrap up Q1/month-end flows.
→ Global traders will be closely watching Thursday & Friday, so stay extra cautious during these two sessions.
🔄 Today’s Market Behavior:
Gold continues to range within the same channel shared earlier this week.
There is no clear breakout or strong directional move yet.
The market is essentially waiting for Thursday & Friday's data — which could act as the catalyst for a stronger bearish correction, in line with AD’s mid-term outlook.
🔍 Current Trading Strategy:
As shared from the beginning of the week, AD continues to trade reactions at key support and resistance zones.
Without a confirmed breakout, the approach remains:
→ Trade the range. React to both ends of the zone.
🧭 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 TRADE ZONES:
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Reminder:
There is no breakout confirmation yet → market is still in accumulation mode.
Be patient, avoid FOMO, and watch price reaction closely at each zone.
➡️ Trade clean levels. Enter only when setups are clear — stay out if not.
Protecting your capital always comes first.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold Outlook – Breakout or Pullback in the Final Week of March?🧠 Final Week of March: Will Gold Break Out or Pull Back? Complete Market Outlook + Trade Plan for XAUUSD
🌐 1. Fundamental Overview – Macro Factors Driving Gold
Gold experienced a sharp $50+ correction last week after printing new all-time highs. The recent price action was shaped by several key macroeconomic factors:
🔸 The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and delivered a more cautious tone — suggesting no immediate rate cuts, which strengthened the USD and put pressure on gold.
🔸 US Dollar Index (DXY) recovered above the 104 mark, adding bearish momentum for XAUUSD.
🔸 Upcoming US inflation data (PCE this Friday) is the main event of the week — market participants are positioning cautiously ahead of this.
🔸 End-of-quarter fund flows may trigger erratic moves and profit-taking, especially as institutions rebalance portfolios.
Despite this pullback, late-week buying activity suggests that buyers are still defending key zones, and the medium- to long-term bullish structure remains intact.
📈 2. Technical Analysis – Chart Structure & Price Action
✅ Market Context:
Price broke out of the short-term ascending channel but is still respecting the major uptrend structure
Currently testing support zones with potential for either continuation or deeper correction
Key zone around 3,013.67 is holding for now, but volatility is expected
🆕 Monday Opening (March 25, 2025) Update:
Gold opened with weakness after a brief end-of-week bounce
Price is currently stalling at a key Fibonacci retracement area (0.5–0.618) on H1/H2
Buyers have lost momentum, suggesting a consolidation or second leg down may be forming
🔁 Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Price holds above 3,000 / 2,987 zone
Rebound to test 3,031.80 → breakout → targets 3,046.38 and 3,057.58
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold 3,000 → break below 2,987 → opens downside continuation
Price could revisit deeper demand zones below (e.g., 2,970–2,950)
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,031- 3,046 - 3,057
Support: 3,013 - 3,000.33 - 2,987
🎯 TRADE PLAN – XAUUSD
BUY ZONE: 3000 – 2998
SL: 2994
TP: 3004 – 3008 – 3012 – 3016 – 3020
SELL ZONE: 3030 – 3032
SL: 3036
TP: 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – 3000
Trade within reaction zones. Prioritize partial profits and always protect your capital with tight SLs.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is still technically bullish but in a corrective phase
Market awaits confirmation from either bulls or bears before a clean breakout
News flow + macro data (PCE) will be key catalysts this week
Stay patient, trade the levels, and let price action lead
— AD | Money Market Flow
WEEKLY GOLD OUTLOOK – BIG PICTURE VIEW FOR THE HOMIES!🔍 Let’s take a quick look at Gold on the higher timeframes (W1 & D1) —
The weekly and daily candles are showing long upper wicks, indicating strong rejections from the highs due to last Friday’s correction.
📉 Gold dropped more than 50 points toward the end of the week, but later bounced back with a late-session recovery.
Looking at the W1 and D1 candles, there are early signs of a possible reversal, but momentum still seems not strong enough, as prices retraced over 20 points into the close, making the candle bodies close above 50% of the full D1/W1 range.
🧭 From AD’s perspective, price has now reacted at the all-time high zone, and we need to wait for Monday to confirm whether the bulls can push higher again — only then can we establish a full directional bias for the upcoming week.
We're now stepping back to get a broader view of price action and macro sentiment, reviewing all the latest news & market developments before entering the final week of the month...
📈 Current View from AD:
Gold is still moving inside its main bullish channel on the higher timeframes. However, in order for a true reversal to form, strong selling pressure must come in, triggering larger volumes and pushing price down into low-liquidity zones.
That said, buyers stepped back in near the weekly close, so we’ll need to closely watch:
Possible weekend gaps
Price action around the Sunday night open
This will help us determine the most accurate direction heading into Monday.
⚠️ There’s a chance we’ll see another drop, as this current bullish retracement is reaching the 0.5 – 0.618 zones on H1 and H2.
But like AD said, the real story unfolds on Monday once the leftover weekend volume gets absorbed and clean market structure reveals itself.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
📊 Based on the MA indicators AD uses, short-term moving averages are starting to cross over mid- and long-term MAs, indicating a potential major trend shift on higher timeframes.
💡 If this structure holds into early next week, we might get early SELL opportunities, so stay alert and stick close to candle structure.
📍AD has already marked the key levels on the chart —
These are high-probability zones for entry or breakout traps, so don’t miss out on golden opportunities. Save them. Watch them.
💬 Wishing everyone a warm and joyful weekend with your family and loved ones.
AD will drop a post tomorrow on market psychology — if you’re interested, drop a boost and leave a comment!
GOOD WEEKEND HOMIES! 💛
Gold Analysis -MMF- Profit-Taking Signals Opportunity🚀 Critical Levels Today! 📊
✅ Yesterday’s Recap: Our previous analysis hit around 90% accuracy 🎯, with gold responding perfectly at historical highs, prompting traders to book profits early in the European session. The bearish momentum is continuing into today's Asian session. 📉
📌 Market Sentiment:
Profit-taking is the primary driver at these historic highs. Investors are carefully eyeing lower liquidity zones for re-entry, positioning themselves strategically for future gains as global economies lean towards rate-cut cycles and an era of cheaper money. Historically, such cycles strongly favor gold prices. 🌟💰
📌 Technical View:
Technical signals align closely with fundamentals: reversal signals at recent highs are mild, suggesting cautious profit-taking rather than aggressive short-selling. Gold traders are merely scouting temporary peaks cautiously, not heavily bearish yet. ⚠️🔍
📉 Critical Levels:
🛑 Resistance: 3038 | 3046 | 3056 | 3070
🟢 Support: 3030 | 3025 | 3014 | 3005
Currently, gold has broken the bullish H1 channel, testing immediate support at 3025. A strong breakdown below this level could trigger deeper bearish moves, especially today—Friday volatility could drive intense movements targeting lower liquidity zones. 🔻🔥
🎯 Strategic Trading Zones:
🚨 BUY ZONE: 📈
Entry: 3006 - 3004
Stop Loss (SL): 3000 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3010 | 3015 | 3020 | 3025 | 3030 🎯
🚨 SELL ZONE: 📉
Entry: 3056 - 3058
Stop Loss (SL): 3062 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3052 | 3048 | 3044 | 3040 | 3035 | 3030 🎯
⚡ Today’s Action Plan:
Focus closely on Asian & European sessions. Updates will be provided ahead of the US session, anticipating high volatility and profit-booking activities. Stay disciplined, strictly adhere to your TP & SL to protect your account! 🙌💼
GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Will Gold Break $3100? 🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on March 20, 2025
Overview 📊
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend on the H1 timeframe, with price action moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. The recent breakout above the $3000 psychological level signals robust bullish momentum 💪. However, key resistance levels are approaching, and upcoming economic events might influence the next move. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors to craft today’s trading plan! 🧠
Technical Analysis 🔍
Ascending Channel:
Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, indicating a healthy uptrend. Currently, the price is near the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧.
Key Resistance Levels (VPOC High):
The nearest resistance is at $3070.612, a high-volume node (VPOC) where sellers might step in 🛑.
If this level is broken, the next targets are $3081.053 and $3097.774, with a potential push toward the psychological $3100 mark 🎯.
Key Support Levels:
The closest support is at $3031.774, aligning with the lower channel boundary and a previous VPOC level 🛡.
A deeper pullback could test $3024.254 or even $3017.197, where buyers previously stepped in (marked by yellow circles on the chart) 📍.
Additional Key Levels:
Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧
Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
US Dollar Strength:
Gold has an inverse relationship with the USD 💱. On March 20, 2025, the market is awaiting the US Jobless Claims data and Fed speeches, which could impact the USD 📅. If the data indicates a weaker US economy, the USD might weaken, supporting Gold’s rally toward $3100 🚀.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing global uncertainties (e.g., Middle East tensions, US-China trade talks) continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like Gold 🛡. This fundamental factor supports the bullish bias in the short term.
Interest Rates:
The Fed’s recent dovish stance on interest rates (as of early 2025) has reduced the opportunity cost of holding Gold, further fueling its uptrend 📉.
Trading Plan 📝
Buy Setup (BUY ZONE: $3032 - $3030) 🟢
Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔️.
Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060
Sell Setup (SELL ZONE: $3069 - $3071) 🔴
⛔️Stop Loss (SL): $3075
Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050
Market Note ⚠️
The market has been hitting all-time highs (ATH) after the FOMC storm early this morning 🌪. Traders, please stay cautious and strictly follow your TP/SL to keep your accounts safe! 🛡💡
Conclusion 🏁
Gold is at a critical juncture near $3070. A breakout above this level could pave the way to $3100, driven by strong technicals and supportive fundamentals 🚀. Alternatively, a rejection might lead to a pullback to the $3032 - $3030 buy zone. Stay disciplined and trade smart! 💪
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 For more daily trading ideas, follow me on TradingView
GOLD AWAITS FED DECISION – WILL $3,050 BE THE NEXT TARGET?📌 Market Outlook
Gold is holding steady above the $3,000 level as investors remain cautious ahead of the March 19 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, with increasing speculation about a potential rate cut in June.
Despite last week’s price surge, gold’s short-term direction hinges on how the Fed’s economic outlook unfolds. If policymakers signal a dovish stance, we could see new highs beyond $3,050. However, any signs of persistent inflation may trigger a short-term pullback.
📊 Key Technical Analysis
🔹 Support Levels (Buy Zones)
$3,000 – The psychological level where buyers are active.
$2,985 - $2,975 – Strong liquidity zone, likely to provide support.
$2,945 - $2,950 – If tested, this could be a major reaccumulation area.
🔺 Resistance Levels (Breakout Targets)
$3,034 - $3,050 – Key resistance, breaking above could open the door for further upside.
Above $3,050, momentum could accelerate toward $3,080 - $3,100.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2986 - 2984
📍 SL: 2980
🎯 TP: 2990 - 2994 - 3000 - 3005 - 3010
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3039
🎯 TP: 3028 - 3024 - 3020 - 3015 - 3010
⚠ Market Sentiment & Risk Management
Gold is currently trading in an ascending channel with high volatility expected before the Fed’s decision.
Traders should prepare for false breakouts and possible profit-taking moves around key levels.
Stick to strict TP/SL strategies to mitigate risks!
📢 What’s your outlook for gold? Will we break above $3,050 or see a dip first? Let’s discuss! 🚀🔥
GOLD HOLDS ABOVE $3,000 – BIG MOVE AHEAD?📌 Market Overview
Gold remains stable above the $3,000 mark as traders await the March 19 FOMC meeting. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but speculation about a rate cut in June 2025 continues. Amid global economic uncertainty, gold maintains its position as a safe-haven asset, benefiting from a low-interest-rate environment.
🔹 Key Fundamental Factors
1️⃣ Fed’s Economic Projections
The upcoming forecasts will provide insights into how policymakers assess Trump’s fiscal policies.
A dovish Fed stance could push gold to new highs.
2️⃣ Safe-Haven Demand for Gold
Low interest rates increase gold’s attractiveness as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold’s long-term bullish outlook.
3️⃣ Interest Rate & Inflation Impact
Traders anticipate a rate cut by June, fueling gold’s rally.
However, if inflation remains strong, the Fed may delay cuts, causing short-term pullbacks in gold.
📊 Technical Analysis – Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance (Upside Targets)
$3,034 - $3,050: If gold holds above $3,000, a test of this zone is likely.
Breakout Alert: A move past $3,050 could trigger stronger bullish momentum.
🔻 Support (Pullback Zones)
$3,000: A critical psychological level.
$2,985 - $2,975: A potential dip zone where buyers might step in.
$2,945 - $2,950: Strong long-term support—breaking below could indicate a shift in trend.
🎯 Trading Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 2986 - 2984
📍 SL: 2980
🎯 TP: 2990 - 2994 - 3000 - 3005 - 3010
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3033 - 3035
📍 SL: 3039
🎯 TP: 3028 - 3024 - 3020 - 3015 - 3010
⚠ Market Caution!
Gold is consolidating above $3,000, but volatility is expected ahead of the Fed meeting.
Watch for potential breakouts or pullbacks—stick to risk management strategies!
📢 Will gold maintain momentum above $3,000, or is a correction coming? Share your thoughts below! 🚀🔥