What is the use of Macd in trading ?What does MACD 12, 26, 9 mean? The 12 from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence represents a moving average of the previous 12 bars. The 26 represents a moving average of the previous 26 bars. The 9 represents a moving average of the difference between the two moving averages 12 and 26 above.
MACD above zero signals bullish momentum, while MACD below zero is signals bearish momentum. When MACD moves into the positive territory from below the zero-line on a chart, it indicates divergence between the two moving averages. This means the bullish momentum is picking pace
Forexsignals
how to choose good stocks to buy ?How to pick stocks for long-term investing
P/E ratio. A ratio between 15 and 25 is often considered healthy. ...
P/B ratio. A good range is typically between 1 and 3, showing a fair valuation. ...
EPS. Look for companies with consistent or growing EPS over time. ...
ROE. A good ROE falls in the 10-20% range.
The 7% rule is a straightforward guideline for cutting losses in stock trading. It suggests that investors should exit a position if the stock price falls 7% below the purchase price.
The rule stipulates investing 90% of one's investment capital toward low-cost stock-based index funds and the remainder 10% to short-term government bonds.
HINDALCO#HINDALCO - Building Up Strength!
Entry: 605
Stop-Loss: 595
Target: 625
Support solid as concrete-next stop, sky!
The prognosis for HINDALCO stock looks promising. Five years down the line, the stock should be somewhere around the Rs. 900 figure or more. If you position yourself for a five-year investment, you could see your stock increase with growth touted to be close to 135%.
How to become a succesfull trader ?Become a successful trader
Risk management
Develop a trading plan
Choose your trading style
Protect your trading capital
Review your trades
Risk only what you can afford
Understand trading psychology
Always use a stop loss
Choose a trading strategy
Comparing brokerage firms
Keep a trading journal
Stay disciplined
Develop trading techniques
Developing a risk reward ratio
Emotional control
Find the right pairs to trade
Find your market
Adapt to the market
Be flexible
Cut losses with limit orders
Gain trading experience
Patience
Set goals
Study the markets
How to do risk management in trading ?Five Steps of the Risk Management Process 2025
Risk Management Process. ...
Here Are The Five Essential Steps of A Risk Management Process. ...
Step 1: Identify the Risk. ...
Step 2: Analyze the Risk. ...
Step 3: Evaluate the Risk or Risk Assessment. ...
Step 4: Treat the Risk. ...
Step 5: Monitor and Review the Risk.
One popular method is the 2% Rule, which means you never put more than 2% of your account equity at risk (Table 1). For example, if you are trading a $50,000 account, and you choose a risk management stop loss of 2%, you could risk up to $1,000 on any given trade.
EURUSD - 15M [SHORT TRADE IDEA]FX:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
XAU#16: Higher-than-expected CPI Will Gold Continue?🔥🔥
💎 💎 💎 Gold has corrected to the 286x area after last night's CPI data. Today we continue to plan for gold. 💎 💎 💎
————————————————————————
1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:**
🔴Higher-than-expected US Inflation, Short-term Gold Volatility
————
1️⃣ January CPI increased by 3%, Core CPI increased by 3.3%, higher than forecast, reducing expectations of Fed rate cuts this year.
2️⃣ USD and bond yields increased (10-year: 4.62%), putting pressure on gold.
3️⃣ Markets cut interest rate cut expectations from 3 to 1, may not cut if PPI remains high.
4️⃣ Gold fluctuates but still has long-term prospects
⚫Gold prices fell after CPI data, but quickly recovered thanks to safe-haven demand.
⚫Bond yields and a stronger USD put pressure on gold, but if the economy weakens, gold could find long-term support.
⚫Factors such as persistent inflation, economic recession and geopolitical instability could still push gold higher in the future.
————————————————————————
Conclusion
Higher-than-expected CPI data reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts, sending US stocks tumbling and the USD soaring. Powell stressed the need to assess further factors before changing monetary policy. Investors need to keep an eye on the upcoming PPI and PCE data for a clearer view of inflation.
—————————————————————————
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: As you can see yesterday closed with a long-legged pinbar. The uptrend of gold is still holding
🔹 **H4 frame**: The uptrend structure on H4 frame is also holding. You can see the price touching the H4 trendline and reacting strongly
🔹 **H1 frame**: You can see H1 is at the old resistance zone. We can wait for the price reaction here to consider setting up a position.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ Gold is currently still in a multi-frame uptrend and still has the basis to set a new peak. However, the price has gone all day and there has been no significant correction. The SELL option will not be considered unless there is a clearer price reaction at the current resistance area.
✅ The current priority is still looking for opportunities to BUY in line with the main trend. You can refer to the plan in the H1 frame plan.
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
How to use technical analysis in trading ?How to perform technical analysis
Identifying the trend. This is the first step in technical analysis for traders because trading strategies can either follow the trend or go against the trend. ...
Drawing support and resistance levels. ...
Establishing entry and exit points. ...
Position sizing and risk management.
Technical analysis seeks to predict price movements by examining historical data, mainly price and volume. It helps traders and investors navigate the gap between intrinsic value and market price by leveraging techniques like statistical analysis and behavioral economics
BTC#15: BTC Bottomed Out or Still Falling? Detailed Plan💎 💎 💎 So BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to return to the 96K support zone. However, the price reaction this time is different. We continue to plan for BINANCE:BTCUSDT 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ Macro Perspective
🔹Oklahoma Bitcoin Reserve Bill: If passed, this could be a big step towards legitimizing Bitcoin as a reserve asset, especially in the context of the US's still hesitant attitude towards crypto.
🔹Former Treasury Secretary Summers warns of inflation: This means the Fed could keep interest rates high longer or even increase them again. High interest rate environments are generally not favorable for risky assets like crypto.
🔹Hong Kong confirms BTC & ETH as investment-proof assets: This is a bullish signal as it promotes legitimate investment flows into crypto.
2️⃣ BTC Technical Analysis
🔹 **D Frame** (Daily)
The bears control the SW (supply zone) area, which confirms the short-term downtrend.
Yesterday's candle closed strongly bearish, showing that selling pressure is still strong.
🔹 **H4 Frame**:
The price is retesting the support zone but the buying force is weakening, confirming that the market sentiment is no longer in favor of continuing to pump up.
It is likely that if BTC has a recovery, it will only be a recovery wave to create momentum to break the support zone below.
🔹 **H1 Frame**:
- The price returns to the downtrend channel → the SELL strategy has an advantage in the short term.
- The 94~96K zone may be broken soon, so it is necessary to monitor the price reaction when the price approaches this zone.
3️⃣ Trading strategy
✅ Priority plan: Look for SELL opportunities
Potential entry zone: 94K - 96K (there may be a slight rebound to clear stop loss before breaking down).
Target: 89K - 90K (next strong support).
Stop-loss: Above 97K (if the price breaks up strongly, the bearish scenario will be negated).
⛔ Do not prioritize BUY at this time
The market structure does not support the bulls.
If you want to BUY, you need to wait for a clearer reversal confirmation signal at the 89K support zone
💪 **Wishing you successful trading!**💪
XAU#15:Gold Price Hits Record High–How to Profit From This Trend💎 💎 💎 So gold has hit 2900 and beyond. Prices continue to rise. Let's plan the next trade OANDA:XAUUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
——————————————————————————————————————————
⚫US President Donald Trump's new tariff plan has raised concerns about a trade war, causing investors to flock to safe-haven assets. Gold prices rose to a record $2,900/ounce, while silver prices also surpassed $32/ounce.
⚫Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported steel and aluminum, and announced reciprocal tariffs on all countries.
⚫This has increased trade tensions and pushed gold prices higher. Analysts say gold still has room to rise amid economic uncertainty and Trump's unpredictable trade policies.
⚫Global gold demand, especially from China, has also supported gold prices. China increased its gold reserves for the third consecutive month and allowed insurance companies to invest in gold, which could free up billions of dollars in funds.
⚫ However, a sharp rise in FOREXCOM:XAUUSD prices could make it more expensive for investors
⚫While gold is a safe haven, high interest rates could reduce its appeal. The Federal Reserve remains cautious on monetary policy due to high inflation and the uncertain impact of Trump's tax policies on the economy.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday closed with a large candle. This appeared at the historical peak, so it is easy to understand why today's opening session we witnessed such strong fluctuations in gold
🔹 **H4 Frame**: The price structure has not changed. The uptrend is still continuing. Although the price is considered too high, the price line still reflects the absolute dominance of the bulls
🔹 **H1 Frame**: The price line has reached the top of the expanded price channel and has reacted. There is a high possibility that there will be a correction to a lower price zone
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ The conflict in basic information data over the weekend is clearly reflected in the price line. At the moment, we should wait for price reactions at important support areas to establish positions.
✅ Looking at the price line, the old peak area has been rejected and there is a high possibility that we will have a slight correction to gain momentum to move to a higher price zone. The end of the W candle shows that the uptrend of Gold has not shown any signs of ending. Prioritize trading in line with the main trend.
💪🚀 **Wishing you successful trading!**
BTC#14: Bitcoin Is Resurgent? Bulls Are Back or Just a Scam?💎 💎 💎 As analyzed in the previous article, BTC tested the trendline and then turned down. However, the price did not fall too much and we saw a recovery. Let's plan BINANCE:BTCUSDT the next trade 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The US dollar index DXY is up more than 0.50% on the day and is currently at 108.40; US regulators are piloting tokenization, using stablecoins as collateral.
🔹The Texas Bitcoin Reserve Act has been submitted to the Senate Finance Committee for consideration;
🔹US Senator from Florida proposes Bitcoin investment bill.
🔹 New bill in Montana, USA allows investment of up to $50 million in Bitcoin;
🚀 Standard Chartered Bank: Bitcoin expected to break record high as US Treasury market environment is favorable for digital assets.
📌 Overall policy implications for Bitcoin have restored optimism to the market.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: A green pinbar appeared at the end of the week, bringing positive signals to the market. The current price line is also supportive as the price breaks above the candle wick top.
🔹 **H4 frame**: Although the downtrend has not been broken, the 96K area is still acting as an important support zone. 2 pinbars are a clear sign that we will see a recovery for BINANCE:BTCUSD
🔹 **H1 frame**: The temporary downtrend price structure has been broken. However, the resistance zone of 98k - 100k is also very close.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ The current SW zone has been maintained for quite a long time. We will need to wait for clarity on the price line because the downtrend price structure in the H4 frame has not been broken yet
✅ Currently, looking at the positive price reaction for this area, the market is leaning more towards the bulls. However, establishing a BUY position at this time is riskier. We can wait for the price structure as on the H1 chart to choose a position.
💪 **Good luck trading!**
XAU#14:Payrolls Fall,Inflation Rises– Should You Invest in Gold?💎 💎 💎 The market is volatile! The Fed has not cut interest rates, but inflation expectations are soaring. Is this a golden time to invest in FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , or are there still potential risks? 💎 💎 💎
⏳ Opportunity or trap? Let's plan for OANDA:XAUUSD , let's do it!!! 🚀
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Employment: Non-farm payrolls increased by 143,000, lower than the forecast of 170,000 and the lowest level since October 2023. However, the unemployment rate fell to 4.0%, the lowest since May 2023.
📌😂Fed policy: The Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates. A cut in June is possible if inflation continues to cool and the labor market remains stable.
🚀 US one-year inflation expectations rose to their highest level since November 2023. This is only the fifth time in 14 years that we have seen such a large increase (one percentage point or more) in inflation expectations for the coming year in a single month.
✅️ In short, the market is still waiting for a clearer signal from inflation and subsequent data. In the short term, gold prices may fluctuate with a large amplitude, waiting for more CPI data and statements from the Fed to have a clearer trend.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: Friday evening's candle closed as a Shooting star candlestick pattern, giving us a little warning of a correction. However, looking at the W candle, it could also be just a profit-taking move of BUY positions when the market closes at the end of the week.
🔹 **H4 frame**: In this time frame, we can see a pinbar appearing when it has just passed the old peak, showing that the market needs a better momentum to conquer the new price level
🔹 **H1 frame**: The bullish price structure reappears when the price passes 2870, but we still have to wait for confirmation at the trendline support area.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ The conflict in basic information data over the weekend is clearly reflected in the price line. At the moment, we should wait for price reaction at important support areas to establish positions.
✅ Looking at the price line, the old peak area has been rejected and there is a high possibility that we will have a slight correction to gain momentum to move to a higher price zone. The end of the W candle shows that the uptrend of Gold has not shown any signs of ending. Prioritize trading in line with the main trend.
💪🚀 **Wishing you successful trading!**
BTC#13: Market Shaking! Where is BTCUSDT Price? 💎 💎 💎 As predicted in the previous article, the price touched the H1 trendline zone and then had a correction back to the 96K support zone. Now we will continue to plan for BTC 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊Maryland, the United States plans to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve fund
🔹US non-farm payrolls increased by 143,000 in January, lower than expected;
🔹Trump plans to announce retaliatory tariffs as early as Friday
🚀 Interest rate futures traders expect the Fed to make another rate cut in May
📌 Overall, the current fundamentals are still supporting BTC's upside potential. However, market liquidity is still being affected by Trump's tariff policies and potential future trade wars from these policies
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: A long-tailed pinbar appeared when the price reached the 99K resistance zone. However, the 96K support zone is still doing its job well. For a clearer view, we will evaluate the smaller time frames
🔹 **H4 frame**: The bearish price structure is still intact with no signs of change.
🔹 **H1 frame**: Although the bearish price structure was broken, it immediately turned down. The price reaction at the current support area is weak.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ Looking at the multi-frame price structure, it can be seen that this is not a suitable time to establish a BUY position. Basic information from the market is also showing concern about the upcoming tariff policy. If there is a change in the price structure from H1, then this possibility should be considered.
✅ Trading with the trend is still the top priority, 2 pinbars in time frame D also show that the market sentiment is leaning towards the bears.
💪 **Good luck trading!**
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis – Smart Money Perspective
Current Market Bias: Bearish
The price action indicates that the overall structure remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows being formed. Despite recent bullish retracements, the price has failed to break key resistance levels, signaling that sellers remain in control.
Key Areas on the Chart:
1. Order Block (OB) & Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone:
• The highlighted gray zone represents an order block (OB), which is a supply area where institutions likely placed large sell orders.
• The presence of a fair value gap (FVG) within this zone indicates an inefficiency in price, making it a strong area for potential reversals.
• Price recently tapped into this area and reacted downward, confirming bearish momentum.
2. Liquidity Grab Possibility:
• The lower dashed line represents a previous swing low, where liquidity (stop-loss orders) is likely resting.
• Smart Money often seeks liquidity before reversing or continuing trends.
• There is a high probability that price will sweep this low before any potential bullish move occurs.
3. Market Structure Shift for a Bullish Setup:
• Although the bias remains bearish, a market structure shift (MSS) is required before considering any long (buy) setups.
• A key level to watch is 1.05351, where a break above could signal a reversal.
• Until then, selling pressure is likely to dominate.
Conclusion & Trade Plan:
• Bearish bias remains active.
• Price might sweep the previous low to grab liquidity before a potential reversal.
• A confirmed market structure shift above 1.05351 is required for bullish confirmation.
• Until that happens, traders should focus on shorting opportunities near supply zones or order blocks.
Final Thought:
By following Smart Money Concepts (SMC), traders can align their trades with institutional movements. Patience is key—wait for confirmations before entering positions. Keep an eye on liquidity sweeps and market structure shifts for the best trade setups.
XAU#13: First NF under Trump, Gold Heading for $2900?💎 💎 💎 Yesterday OANDA:XAUUSD had a slight correction. The current optimization has an important information which is the first Non-farm data under Trump. We will analyze and find trades for today: 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Basis of analysis:**
📊 Yields may remain at a higher neutral level
⚫Dallas Fed President Logan said that interest rates may be close to neutral and do not need to be cut further, unless the labor market weakens.
⚫Even if the 2% money leaf is completed, the Fed can still maintain current interest rates.
👉 Impact of Trump administration policies
⚫Provided to track the impact of tax policies, tax cuts and import controls to deal with growth and employment.
⚫Uncertainty about how the economy will react to these changes.
🚀 ✅️First Non-Farm Data Under Trump | Forecast Big Change, Gold Heading Towards $2900?
2️⃣ **Technical Analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: We have not seen anything significant in yesterday's trading. The D structure price has not changed yet.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: There is a price correction found but has not been able to reach the trend line below. By dark today there will be a Nonfarm news. The price line is still SW and there is no clear sign
🔹 **H1 Frame**: As everyone has seen, the price has broken through the trend line back to the uptrend. But this is the ancient creature area. We need to investigate further to find a better service location
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ The current area is not suitable for trading. The price line has adjusted and reacted strongly by breaking the trend of the moderate adjustment rhythm, Prioritize BUY positions, but pay attention before the NF news is announced, the market may sweep both ends.
✅ The first non-agricultural data under Trump is an important news and attracts a lot of market opinions. If the data is weak, gold may rise to 2900; if strong, gold may adjust around 281x~282x.
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
XAU#12: Blocking gold is burning? Experience when trading XAU🔥Yesterday we had a correction to 280x (slightly higher than the 279x analysis of analysis #11) which gave us a very nice buying position. Currently, the price is still continuing to conquer the next milestones. 🔥
💎 💎 💎 And here is the plan for FOREXCOM:XAUUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The World Gold Center is Expanding, the shift of the gold market center from New York, London, Zurich to Dubai, Shanghai, Mumbai and Saudi Arabia.
🔴 Dubai now accounts for 25% of global gold trading, becoming the second largest market in the world. Demand for physical gold from emerging markets such as India, Turkey and China is increasing strongly because gold is considered a "stable currency".
📌 Morgan Stanley: No longer expecting the Fed to cut interest rates in March, expecting a rate cut in June
🚀 Although high interest rates and a strong USD often put pressure on gold, gold prices have remained stable, showing the sustainability of the uptrend. However, money flows from Western investors have not yet participated strongly in this price increase, although every slight adjustment is bought.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Yesterday's candle closed showing optimism about the prospect of OANDA:XAUUSD 's price increase.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: The bullish structure has not changed.
🔹 **H1 Frame**: We have new support zones but there is no sign of a correction. Gold's uptrend is sustainable
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ As you can see, the importance of trading with the trend. There are quite a few accounts that have been burned by stubbornly holding on to losses waiting for gold to fall. However, this action will erode our trading psychology and accounts. In my personal experience, blocking gold to catch a falling knife or holding on to losses at this time always brings bad results. The advice for those who have lost or are still holding on to losses is that we should end our mistakes and rest to stabilize our psychology before planning the next transaction.
✅ If we have a good position, we can completely wait for a larger profit according to the current situation. In my personal experience, with the current long-term increase, we can only wait until Gold reaches round numbers like 2900 or 3000. Pay special attention to the 3000 mark because its value is equivalent to an important psychological barrier
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact us directly. I am ready to answer you for free
BTC#9: BTC is likely to have a correction and here's why
💎 💎 💎 Did you make a profit in the previous post #8? Like and follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan. 💎 💎 💎
🔥 Let's plan for the next BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊US consumer price inflation accelerated late last year, supporting the Fed's decision to pause interest rate cuts
🔴 Trump announces 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, "Trade war" begins again
🔴Trump threatens that tariffs will take effect on February 1! Influenced by Trump's tariff policy, the market's risk-off sentiment has increased significantly.
🚀 15 US states are pushing for strategic Bitcoin reserves, with Arizona and Utah temporarily leading
📌 In the past hours, the entire network has liquidated $204 million, mostly buy orders
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: Although the price structure is still increasing, the reaction of the resistance area shows that we will have a correction.
🔹 **H4 Frame**: So the resistance area has been confirmed. The price continues to SW this area without a breakthrough, we will have an official correction. The price will find the support area below
🔹 **H1 Frame**: As you can see, the current price structure is bearish. Currently, I do not see any signs of price reversal.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔In the previous article, you can see that this scenario was predicted. The current price reaction is very weak for the BUY side. We will have to wait at the support zone below.
✅If anyone has a good position at the resistance zone of 104k~105K, there is a basis to wait for a better profit. If anyone does not have a position, they can wait for the price structure if there is a slight recovery to the resistance zone above. Both the fundamental information and the price line support the option that there will be a deeper correction for BTC
💪 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer you for free
Database Part 2Options are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
Option trading is largely a skill requiring knowledge of market trends, strategies, and risk management techniques. While there is an element of uncertainty in the markets, successful traders rely on analysis, planning, and discipline rather than luck.
XAU#10: Gold hits record high. What should traders do? 💎 💎 💎 Plan #9 first helps you make a profit. Please like and follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan 💎 💎 💎
🔥So OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has broken the peak as predicted in analysis #9. Now let's plan the next step:🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊US consumer price inflation accelerated late last year, supporting the Fed's decision to pause interest rate cuts
🔴 Trump announced that he would impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, "Trade war" begins again
🔴Trump threatened that tariffs will take effect on February 1! Affected by Trump's tariff policy, the market's risk-off sentiment has increased significantly, which may continue to support gold prices.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: The historical peak has officially been broken. The end of the weekend trading day is a Shooting Star candle. Is this a warning from the price line? Let's analyze more carefully in the trading plan.
🔹 **Frame H4**: The price is still trading above the support area. The bullish price structure is still intact
🔹 **H1 frame**: Looking at H1, we can see that although the price adjusted from 2816 to 2798 at the end of the trading session, the bullish price structure is still intact, the 2798 area is not a strong support area but there is still a reaction showing that the market sentiment is supporting the bulls
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ Although the closing candle D is a candle that signals a reversal, what we need to pay attention to is that all frames are showing an upward structure. The closing price on the last day of the week at the end of the month, profit taking leading to a price decrease is normal. If there is really a sign of that, we will see a warning from the price model.
✅ Based on the basic information and price line, we can completely wait for the price to return to the support zone below to continue trading in accordance with the main trend. In my personal opinion and trading habits, I extremely limit trading against the trend, so I do not plan for a SELL position at this time
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 If you have any questions, please contact me directly. I am ready to answer them for free
XAU#9: FED keeps interest rates unchanged. Information supportin💎 💎 💎 The previous plan helps you make a profit. Please like and follow the channel to follow the earliest trading plan 💎 💎 💎
🔥So Gold has returned to the support zone of 2745 and reacted strongly as the previous plan. Here's our next trading plan 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 🔴Market speculation that US may impose import tariffs on gold
London gold market participants are racing to borrow central bank gold stored in London as gold deliveries to the US surge on speculation that the US may impose import tariffs
🚀 🔴Fed keeps rates unchanged, drops mention of inflation "progress" in policy statement
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame:** yesterday closed as a Hanging Man candle. However, the price action after this candle still needs market confirmation in today's trading session
🔹 **H4 frame:** The support zone of 2745 is playing an important role. The price is still in an upward structure.
🔹 **H1 frame:** The trendline zone that matches the support of 2745 is showing a strong reaction after the interest rate announcement. If the price can break through the resistance zone above, Gold will have enough momentum to break through the old peak
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ In the current area, it will be risky if we take a SELL position here. Although it is also a resistance zone, H4 has a hugging candlestick pattern with an increasing structure. If H4 closes at 2752, we will consider this option later
✅If anyone has an order in the 2745 area, Congratulations!!! You can wait for a higher profit. If not, you can choose to react to test the trendline again on the H1 frame for confirmation. We will wait for a price structure on a small time frame like m15 to establish a position.
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer for you for free
#trading #trade #xauusd #newtrader #newbie #xau #forex #tradingview #plants #trader #tradingforex
Part 1: How to Analyze Events in the Forex Market?
The forex market is one of the most dynamic and volatile financial markets in the world. It is deeply influenced by global events, economic data, and geopolitical developments. Traders who understand how to analyze these events can make informed decisions and capitalize on market movements.
Influence Of the Global Events:
The forex market is directly linked to global economic health. Since currencies represent the economies of their respective countries, any significant event like an interest rate decision, inflation data, or geopolitical conflict. It can cause major fluctuations in currency prices. Here’s global events play important role:
- Central Bank Policies: When the Federal Reserve (Fed) or European Central Bank (ECB) changes interest rates, it impacts global liquidity and investment flows.
- Economic Data Releases: GDP growth, inflation, and employment reports provide insights into economic stability, affecting investor confidence.
- Geopolitical Events: Wars, elections, trade agreements, and diplomatic conflicts impact currency demand and risk sentiment.
What Happens When News Is Published?
When a major economic event or news release occurs, the forex market reacts instantly. Here’s the typical stages of events:
Stage 1: Market Expectations: Before the news release, traders anticipate the outcome based on forecasts. The market often prices in expectations.
Stage 2: Immediate Volatility: If the actual data differs from the forecast, there’s a sharp price movement in the affected currency pairs.
Stage 3: Liquidity Fluctuations: Spreads widen, and liquidity dries up momentarily as traders rush to execute orders.
Stage 4: Short-Term Correction: After the initial reaction, the market stabilizes, and price action follows the broader trend.
Major Events:
Central Bank Meetings – Institutions like the Fed, ECB, BoJ, and BoE set monetary policies. Interest rate hikes strengthen a currency, while rate cuts weaken it. Forward guidance also plays a role in shaping long-term trends.
Inflation Reports (CPI & PPI): These measure inflation levels, influencing central bank decisions. Higher inflation often leads to interest rate hikes, strengthening the currency, while lower inflation may result in monetary easing, weakening it.
Employment Data (NFP & Job Reports) – The US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a key indicator. Strong job growth supports a stronger USD, while weak employment data signals economic trouble.
GDP Growth Reports –:A higher-than-expected GDP growth rate boosts investor confidence and strengthens the currency, while economic contraction leads to depreciation.
Political & Geopolitical Events: Elections, government policies, trade wars, and conflicts create uncertainty, often pushing investors toward safe-haven currencies like the USD, JPY, or CHF.
One's Loss, Another's Win:
When the U.S. releases strong economic data, such as higher-than-expected GDP growth, strong job reports (NFP), or an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, The demand for the U.S. dollar increases. This leads to USD appreciation against other currencies, including the euro.
For example,
---> EUR/USD falls : USD is gaining strength, it takes fewer dollars to buy 1 euro, causing the EUR/USD exchange rate to drop.
---> USD/EUR rises : USD is now wortth more, the inverse exchange rate (USD/EUR) increases, meaning 1 USD can now buy more euro.
Key strategies for trading events:
•Stay Ahead with an Event Calendar: Keep track of important economic events and central bank meetings to anticipate potential market-moving news.
• Gauge Market Expectations: Understand forecasts and market sentiment before the event to predict how the market might react.
• Implement Stop-Loss Orders: Protect your trades from excessive risk by setting stop-loss orders to cap potential losses during volatile moves.
• Wait for Market Stability: Allow the market to settle after the event to avoid getting caught in the initial volatility and better assess the trend.
• Evaluate the Market’s Response: Assess the immediate market reaction to the event to identify if the initial price move is sustainable or a short-term spike.
Drawbacks of Trading News:
High Volatility & Whipsaws: Prices can spike in both directions before settling on a trend, leading to stop-loss hunting.
Widened Spreads: During news releases, brokers often widen spreads, increasing trading costs.
Slippage: Rapid price movements can lead to orders being executed at unexpected prices.
Emotional Trading: Sudden market swings can trigger impulsive decisions, leading to losses.
Market Manipulation: Big players and institutions often move the market unpredictably before major news releases.
In the next part, we will focus on the specific events and strategies.
XAU#7: The bullish wave engulfs the trader's account
💎 💎 💎 Plan #6 above helps you make a profit. Leave a comment and tag your friends to share. 💎 💎 💎
So the bullish wave has reached the old peak as analyzed by #6. Let's see the next comments and trading strategies.
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Putin: Ready to discuss the Russia-Ukraine conflict and energy issues with Trump. If there is really a negotiation. Gold prices may be under pressure
🚀Trump hinted at easing tariff policies and called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. This is the driving force that has pushed gold to hover near the record high reached in October last year
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **W frame:** Last week ended with a strong bullish candle in the resistance area. This confirms that the market sentiment is extremely optimistic about establishing a new price peak.
🔹 **H4 frame:** The uptrend is still very strong with no signs of correction
🔹 **H1 frame:** The price structure is increasing in a stepwise manner. It will be difficult to see a correction.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:**
⛔ In previous articles, my top priority for you is to never go against the market trend at this time. Especially, you are not allowed to hold losses or place SELL orders against the trend. Many accounts have burned because of blocking the gold head when the trend is so strong
✅The uptrend will continue next week. The top priority is still to find a BUY entry point when the price reaches the support zone.
💪🚀 **Wish you successful trading!**
📌 For any questions, please contact directly. I am ready to answer for you for free
#trading #trade #xauusd #newtrader #newbie #xau #forex #tradingview #plants #trader #tradingforex
Gold Trading Strategy for 23rd January 2025Gold Trading Strategy
Buy Strategy:
Condition: Wait for the 15-minute candle to close above 2764.
Trigger: Buy when the price moves above the high of the 15-minute candle that closed above 2764.
Targets: 2773, 2779, 2785
Stop-Loss:
Set a stop-loss order below the low of the 15-minute candle that closed above 2764 to limit potential losses.
Trailing Stop-Loss:
Use a trailing stop-loss to lock in profits as the price moves towards the targets. For example, set a trailing stop of 10 points below the current price.
Sell Strategy:
Condition: Wait for the 15-minute candle to close below 2742.
Trigger: Sell when the price moves below the low of the 15-minute candle that closed below 2742.
Targets: 2738, 2732, 2726
Stop-Loss:
Set a stop-loss order above the high of the 15-minute candle that closed below 2742 to limit potential losses.
Trailing Stop-Loss:
Use a trailing stop-loss to lock in profits as the price moves towards the targets. For example, set a trailing stop of 10 points above the current price.
Discipline:
Stick to the trading plan and do not deviate from the strategy. Avoid making impulsive decisions based on emotions.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on historical data and market trends. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investment involve risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.