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HCLTECH 1D Time frameOpening Price: ₹1,387.40 Closing Price: ₹1,387.40 Day Range: ₹1,383.10 – ₹1,395.00 Previous Close: ₹1,387.40 📉 Trend Analysis Short-Term Trend: Bearish — The stock is trading below key moving averages, confirming the bearish trend. Medium-Term Trend: Neutral — The stock is in a consolidation phase, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Long-Term Trend: Neutral — No significant trend identified; the stock is trading within a range.
NSE:HCLTECHLong
by Knowledgehub
SUNPHARMA 1D Time frameOpening Price: ₹1,611.90 Closing Price: ₹1,628.20 Day Range: ₹1,611.90 – ₹1,651.50 Previous Close: ₹1,594.30 📉 Trend Analysis Short-Term Trend: Bearish — The stock is trading below key moving averages, confirming the bearish trend. Medium-Term Trend: Neutral — The stock is in a consolidation phase, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Long-Term Trend: Neutral — No significant trend identified; the stock is trading within a range.
NSE:SUNPHARMALong
by Knowledgehub
GOLD ATH: US Shutdown Drama! Buy The Dip, Yaar? Gold just smashed a new record at $3,833.37/oz (Sept 29) on high safe-haven demand due to the impending US Govt shutdown (Oct 1) and solid FED rate cut hopes. USD pullback (0.2%) also playing its part. The sudden dip to $3,794 looks like pure end-of-month profit-booking, not a proper reversal. If US tensions worsen, the Buy opportunity is still very much active! 📈 Technical View & Intraday Trade Setup Gold has done a major flush, stopping out the weak hands. Selling pressure is there, but the drop without big news suggests caution. Look for a technical bounce to fill the FVG before a potential continuation lower. Key Levels: Resistance: $3827 / $3846 / $3870 Support: $3787 / $3778 / $3763 Detailed Trading Strategy (US Session): 1. BUY Zone (Aggressive Dip Buy): Entry: $3784 - $3782 SL: $3774 TP: $3792 / $3812 / $3832 2. SELL Scalp (Quick Short): Entry: $3827 - $3829 SL: $3833 TP: $3824 / $3814 / $3804 3. SELL Zone (Main Short Entry): Entry: $3866 - $3868 SL: $3876 TP: $3858 / $3838 / $3818 ⚠️ Alert! The US Government Shutdown news is the main event. If budget talks are positive, Gold might see a sharp fall. Manage risk (SL) like a boss! Kya lagta hai? Will Gold fly to $4K or take support near $378x? 👇 #XAUUSD #Gold #MCX #TradingStrategy #USShutdown #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #MarketUpdate #Commodities
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – US Government Shutdown Pressure on Gold Hello Traders, For the first time since 2018, the US Government is facing the risk of a shutdown. This can only be avoided if Congress passes new funding legislation, but the timing remains uncertain. This political backdrop is exerting strong pressure on the financial markets, and gold – the traditional safe haven asset – has become the focal point for investors. Technical Outlook Gold continues to set new ATHs right in the Asian session today, indicating the uptrend remains intact. The upward price channel on H4 maintains a beautiful structure, with the main trend continuing to favour buying. Yesterday's dip was merely a "liquidity sweep," after which the price quickly returned to its upward momentum. Short positions can be considered when the price hits strong resistance, combining Fibonacci + Trendline, to optimise winning probabilities. Trading Scenario Sell (short-term at resistance): Entry: 3884 – 3886 SL: 3890 TP: 3872 – 3860 – 3845 – 3830 Buy (aligning with the main trend): Entry: 3820 – 3823 SL: 3816 TP: 3835 – 3850 – 3862 – 3880 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the political instability in the US. The medium-term strategy continues to prioritise Buying at support zones, while Selling should only be considered when there is a clear reaction at resistance zones. Traders need to closely monitor political news, as any developments related to the US government could alter the short-term structure of gold. Follow me for the quickest updates on new scenarios as the price path changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Part 11 Trading Master Class With ExpertsI. Option Trading Strategies Buying Calls and Puts Buying a Call: Profitable if asset price rises above strike + premium. Buying a Put: Profitable if asset price falls below strike - premium. Covered Call Strategy Involves holding the underlying stock and selling a call option. Generates premium income but limits upside profit. Protective Put Buying a put while holding the underlying asset as insurance against a price drop. Spreads Combine buying and selling options to reduce risk and cost: Bull Call Spread: Buy lower strike call, sell higher strike call. Bear Put Spread: Buy higher strike put, sell lower strike put Straddles and Strangles Straddle: Buy ATM call and put; profitable if price moves significantly either way. Strangle: Buy OTM call and put; cheaper than straddle, requires larger movement. Iron Condor Advanced strategy combining bull and bear spreads. Generates income with limited risk in low-volatility markets. Calendar and Diagonal Spreads Utilize different expiration dates and strikes to profit from time decay and volatility. II. Risk Management in Options Leverage and Risk Options offer high leverage: small price moves in underlying asset can lead to large gains or losses. Proper position sizing is crucial. Maximum Loss and Gain Buyer: Max loss = premium paid; Max gain = theoretically unlimited for calls, limited for puts. Seller: Max gain = premium received; Max loss = potentially unlimited for naked calls. Diversification Across Strategies Mixing spreads, covered calls, and protective puts helps reduce single-position risk. Stop-Loss and Exit Strategies Plan exit points: cut losses, take partial profits, or roll positions to new strikes or expirations. III. Market Mechanics and Trading Exchanges and Option Contracts Options trade on regulated exchanges (e.g., NSE, BSE, CBOE). Each contract represents a fixed quantity of the underlying (e.g., 100 shares per contract). Liquidity and Open Interest Liquidity: Ease of buying/selling options at fair prices. Open Interest: Number of outstanding contracts; higher OI often means better liquidity. Implied Volatility and Market Sentiment IV: Market’s forecast of future volatility. Rising IV generally increases option premiums, signaling uncertainty. Hedging vs. Speculation Options can hedge existing positions or speculate on market movements. Hedging reduces risk, speculation increases risk but offers leverage.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
5
XAUUSD – Will ATH Diminish Gold's Value?Hello Traders, Gold once accounted for up to 21% of total global assets, but now this figure is only about 5%. Two perspectives are clearly visible: Gold is gradually losing its relative importance in the financial system. The total value of global assets has increased significantly (the denominator has expanded), causing gold's proportion to decrease, while the absolute value of gold still plays an important role. Technical Analysis In today's Asian session, gold continues to set higher price levels, indicating a very strong upward momentum. The upward price channel on H1 has touched the upper boundary, showing slight hesitation, but the main trend remains bullish. The H1 and H4 frames maintain strong buying pressure, with market sentiment heavily leaning towards buyers, ready to push prices to higher levels. According to Elliott Wave, the price is currently in wave 5 (market sentiment wave). The current task is to observe the reaction when this wave completes, to prepare for the ABC correction cycle. Regarding Fibonacci, the next important resistance area is at 3880, where a bearish reaction is likely to occur. Trading Scenario Sell (at Fibo resistance 3880): Entry: 3880 SL: 3886 TP: 3866 – 3850 – 3835 Buy (trend-following preferred): Entry: 3813 – 3816 SL: 3809 TP: 3828 – 3843 – 3860 – 3878 👉 Note: Smaller frames H1 – M15 will provide additional confirmation signals to optimize entry points. Conclusion The bullish trend of gold is still prioritized, wave 5 is not yet complete, and the scenario aiming for 4000 – 4050 is entirely feasible. Short-term selling at strong resistance areas can be considered, but risk management must be tight. Traders need to closely follow support – resistance areas in smaller frames to maximize profits. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes and to discuss more scenarios in the community.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Round Bottom Breakout in USHAMART BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:USHAMART
by Kapil-Mittal
2
ICICI Bank: Resistance Turned Support Powers Next Rally🔍 Technical Analysis ICICI Bank showcases another remarkable wealth creation story spanning over two decades. The stock has delivered an extraordinary super bullish rally, transforming from ₹40 to the current trading level of ₹1,351 - representing an impressive 33.8x growth over 20+ years. The ₹1,345-₹1,365 zone has historically acted as a strong resistance, tested multiple times. However, with the confirmation of strong FY25 results, the stock decisively broke out from this resistance zone and created a new all-time high at ₹1,500. Following the breakout peak, the stock witnessed a sudden fall and is now trading back in the same zone at current market price of ₹1,351. This presents a critical juncture - if the earlier resistance zone transforms into support with bullish candlestick pattern confirmations, it could signal the next leg of the rally. Entry Strategy: Enter only on confirmation of ₹1,345-₹1,365 zone acting as support with bullish patterns. 🎯 Targets: Target 1: ₹1,400 Target 2: ₹1,450 Target 3: ₹1,500 🚫 Stop Losses: Critical Support: ₹1,200 (crucial demand zone) If ₹1,200 level doesn't sustain, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23) Total Income: ₹1,86,331 Cr (↑ +17% YoY from ₹1,59,516 Cr; ↑ +95% from FY23 ₹95,407 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹1,30,078 Cr (↑ +31% YoY from ₹99,560 Cr; ↑ +48% from FY23 ₹87,864 Cr) Financing Profit: ₹-32,775 Cr (Improved from ₹-14,152 Cr in FY24) Profit Before Tax: ₹72,854 Cr (↑ +21% YoY from ₹60,434 Cr; ↑ +58% from FY23 ₹46,256 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹54,569 Cr (↑ +18% YoY from ₹46,081 Cr; ↑ +54% from FY23 ₹35,461 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹71.65 (↑ +14% YoY from ₹63.02; ↑ +47% from FY23 ₹48.74) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights ICICI Bank delivered robust FY25 performance with 18% PAT growth to ₹54,569 crore, supported by strong 17% revenue growth. The bank announced Q4 FY25 net profit of ₹12,630 crore, marking 18% increase, and declared ₹11 per share dividend reflecting strong financial health. Market cap stands at ₹9,71,186 crore (up 4.06% in 1 year) with total revenue reaching ₹1,90,830 crore and profit of ₹56,563 crore. Stock is trading at 3.08 times its book value, indicating reasonable valuation for quality franchise. Asset quality continues to improve with gross NPA dropping to 1.97% in Q2FY25 from 2.48% in Q2FY24, while net NPA ratio remained healthy at 0.43% in Q1 FY25. This demonstrates effective risk management and strong credit discipline. The bank shows strength near key support zone of 1370-1390 on daily charts, with technical indicators suggesting potential diamond pattern formation around 1380-1400 range. Analysts expect stable net interest margins and continued momentum. Strong digital banking initiatives, expanding retail franchise, and consistent delivery of 14-18% profit growth across quarters validates the bank's operational excellence and market leadership position in private banking sector. ✅ Conclusion ICICI Bank's remarkable 20+ year journey from ₹40 to ₹1,500 all-time high, backed by strong FY25 fundamentals showing 18% PAT growth and ₹11 dividend, validates the sustained growth thesis. The critical ₹1,345-₹1,365 resistance-to-support transformation offers attractive entry opportunity for targeting ₹1,500 retest. Improving asset quality with 1.97% gross NPA, strong ROE profile, and digital transformation drive provide multiple growth catalysts. Key support at ₹1,200 provides risk management framework for this quality banking franchise.
NSE:ICICIBANKLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
3
HDFC Bank: Three Decades of Excellence Continues🔍 Technical Analysis HDFC Bank represents one of the most remarkable wealth creation stories in Indian equity markets. The stock has delivered an extraordinary super bullish rally over three decades, transforming from ₹1 to the current trading level of ₹955 - representing an astounding 955x growth over 30 years. Currently, the stock is taking strong support in the ₹935-₹945 zone, which has acted as a crucial demand area. This support zone has been tested multiple times and held firm, indicating institutional accumulation at these levels. If the three-decade bullish rally continues from current support levels, the technical setup favors resumption of the uptrend. The stock is well-positioned for the next leg of growth from the established support zone. Entry Strategy: Accumulate in the ₹935-₹955 range with strong support confirmation. 🎯 Targets: Target 1: ₹980 Target 2: ₹1,000 Target 3: ₹1,020 🚫 Stop Losses: Minor Support: ₹850 (intermediate demand zone) Major Support: ₹650 (strong long-term support) If ₹650 level breaks down, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23) Total Income: ₹3,36,367 Cr (↑ +19% YoY from ₹2,83,649 Cr; ↑ +97% from FY23 ₹1,70,754 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹1,86,974 Cr (↑ +7% YoY from ₹1,74,196 Cr; ↑ +197% from FY23 ₹63,042 Cr) Financing Profit: ₹-34,501 Cr (Improved from ₹-44,685 Cr in FY24) Profit Before Tax: ₹96,242 Cr (↑ +26% YoY from ₹76,569 Cr; ↑ +57% from FY23 ₹61,498 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹73,440 Cr (↑ +12% YoY from ₹65,446 Cr; ↑ +59% from FY23 ₹46,149 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹46.26 (↑ +10% YoY from ₹42.16; ↑ +12% from FY23 ₹41.22) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights HDFC Bank delivered strong FY25 performance with consolidated PAT growing 12% YoY to ₹73,440 crore, supported by robust 19% revenue growth to ₹3,36,367 crore. The bank declared ₹22 dividend reflecting confidence in sustained profitability. Market cap stands at ₹14,51,630 crore (up 7.84% in 1 year) with stock trading at 2.77 times book value. Total revenue for FY25 reached ₹3,42,193 crore with profit of ₹73,343 crore, demonstrating consistent financial strength. Q4 FY25 standalone net profit grew 6.7% YoY to ₹17,616 crore, with net interest income (NII) increasing 10.3% YoY to ₹32,070 crore. Net interest margin (NIM) stood at 3.54% on total assets, reflecting stable spreads despite competitive environment. Asset quality remains robust with gross NPAs at 1.36% and net NPAs at 0.33% of net advances. Average deposits for Q4 FY25 grew 15.8% YoY to ₹25,280 billion, while CASA deposits grew 5.7% YoY to ₹8,289 billion, maintaining stable share in deposit mix. The bank is strategically managing its credit-deposit (CD) ratio and planning measured loan growth in FY26 to maintain balance sheet quality. Strong subsidiary performance and digital banking initiatives continue to drive franchise value. ✅ Conclusion HDFC Bank's remarkable 30-year journey from ₹1 to ₹955, backed by strong FY25 fundamentals showing 12% PAT growth and ₹22 dividend declaration, validates the long-term investment thesis. The ₹935-₹945 support zone offers attractive accumulation opportunity for targeting ₹1,020+ levels. Robust asset quality with 1.36% gross NPA, 15.8% deposit growth, and stable 3.54% NIM demonstrate operational excellence. The stock remains a core banking sector holding with multiple support levels providing risk management framework.
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
Daily Gold Trading Plan – London & New York Sessions🏆 Market Overview Gold continues to hold within the upward channel, with active buying emerging whenever prices adjust to the trendline. The daily fluctuation range is identified around 3,795 – 3,820, suitable for short-term trading strategies based on price action. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3,819 – 3,826 → upper edge of the upward channel, potential short-term sell zone. Near Support: 3,790 – 3,793 → upward trendline, favourable buy zone in line with the trend. Deep Support: 3,760 – 3,752 (EMA200) → critical defence if near support is breached. ⚖️ Intraday Trading Scenarios Scenario A – Buy on Correction (Main Priority) Entry Point: 3,790 – 3,793 Stop Loss: below liquidity candle (around 3,785) Take Profit: 3,820 → 3,835 → extend to 3,840+ 👉 Reason: Uptrend dominance, strong buying at trendline, suitable for trend-following. Scenario B – Sell at Upper Edge (Short-term Scalp) Entry Point: 3,820 – 3,826 (when price reacts at resistance) Stop Loss: approximately 6 points (around 3,832) Take Profit: 3,795 – 3,793 (back to support zone) 👉 Reason: RSI has entered overbought territory, favourable for quick sell orders at the upper band. 📊 Daily Fluctuation Range Main Range: 3,795 – 3,820 If resistance breaks: 3,826+ → 3,840 – 3,845 If support is lost: 3,790 → 3,760 💡 Session Notes London: High likelihood of price testing the 3,790 support zone before recovery. New York: Strong volatility may occur when US data is released, with 3,820 being a critical test point. 🧭 Risk Management Prioritise buying on corrections, selling should only be short-term scalping. Maintain stop-loss discipline below 3,785 for buy scenarios. If price breaks below 3,750, cease buying and wait for a new structure to form. 📌 Conclusion: Throughout the day, gold is likely to continue fluctuating within the upward channel. The main strategy is to buy at support – take profit at resistance, while sell orders should only be executed when price touches the upper edge and should be exited quickly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATHXAUUSD – Prioritise waiting to buy after gold hits ATH, target 3840 Hello Trader, Right at the start of the week, gold has set a new ATH, affirming the upward trend remains dominant. The price structure on H1 shows buying pressure remains quite strong, while adjustments are mainly to balance liquidity. In the current context, the preferred trading strategy is still to wait to buy at key support zones, with a target towards 3840. Basic Context This week, the usual focus would be on the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. However, the risk of a US Government shutdown might delay this crucial report. The US fiscal year runs from 1/10 to 30/9. If Congress does not pass all 12 spending bills, agencies without funding will have to cease operations. In the absence of important economic information, gold continues to benefit from safe-haven sentiment and fiscal policy uncertainty. Technical View The price has broken out and created an ATH, with the 3837 – 3840 zone currently being strong resistance (Fibonacci + market psychology). The 3770 – 3773 zone is near support, coinciding with the trendline and previous liquidity, suitable for buying. MACD on H1 shows buying momentum is maintained, but a correction is needed for price balance before breaking higher. Trading Strategy Short-term Sell (at resistance): Entry: 3837 – 3840 SL: 3844 TP: 3830 – 3800 – 3770 Note: This is only a reactive order at resistance, going against the main trend, so manage risk tightly. Preferred Buy (trend-following): Entry: 3770 – 3773 SL: 3766 TP: 3784 – 3799 – 3810 – 3838 Conclusion This week, gold still prioritises the Buy strategy at support zones. The main target is towards 3840, an important resistance zone and a benchmark for trend strength. The Sell order is only short-term at resistance, while the main scenario remains waiting for a correction to buy up. Follow me for short-term scenario updates during the week, especially as news and US fiscal policy changes can significantly impact gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
HDFCBANK 1D Time frameCurrent Market Snapshot Current Price: ₹954.05 Opening Price: ₹945.10 Day's Range: ₹939.10 – ₹953.00 Previous Close: ₹945.05 🔑 Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): 35.08 – indicating a neutral to bearish condition. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): -6.02 – suggesting bearish momentum. Moving Averages: Trading below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. 📈 Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Support: ₹939 Immediate Resistance: ₹953 Pivot Point: ₹946 📉 Market Sentiment Trend: The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend. Volume: Trading volume is higher than average, suggesting increased investor activity. 📈 Strategy (1D Timeframe) 1. Bullish Scenario Entry: Above ₹953 Stop-Loss: ₹939 Target: ₹960 → ₹965 2. Bearish Scenario Entry: Below ₹939 Stop-Loss: ₹953 Target: ₹930 → ₹925 ⚠️ Risk Management Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade. Always use stop-loss to protect against unexpected market movements. Monitor broader market trends and sector-specific news that may impact stock performance.
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by Knowledgehub
6
RELIANCE 1D Time frameCurrent Market Snapshot Current Price: ₹1,383.30 Opening Price: ₹1,381.60 Day’s Range: ₹1,379.00 – ₹1,386.90 Previous Close: ₹1,377.60 🔑 Technical Indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI): 49.76 – indicating a neutral condition. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): -3.20 – suggesting bearish momentum. Moving Averages: Mixed signals; trading slightly below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a neutral to bearish trend. 📈 Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Support: ₹1,379 Immediate Resistance: ₹1,387 Pivot Point: ₹1,383 📉 Market Sentiment Recent Performance: Reliance Industries experienced a decline of 0.82% on September 25, 2025, underperforming the broader market. Volume: Trading volume is higher than average, suggesting increased investor activity. 📈 Strategy (1D Timeframe) 1. Bullish Scenario Entry: Above ₹1,387 Stop-Loss: ₹1,379 Target: ₹1,395 → ₹1,400 2. Bearish Scenario Entry: Below ₹1,379 Stop-Loss: ₹1,387 Target: ₹1,370 → ₹1,365 ⚠️ Risk Management Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade. Always use stop-loss to protect against unexpected market movements. Monitor broader market trends and sector-specific news that may impact stock performance.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by Knowledgehub
5
NIFTY 1D Time frameOpening Level: ₹24,691.10 Current Level: ₹24,765 Day's Range: ₹24,500 – ₹24,900 (approximate) 🔑 Key Support & Resistance Levels Immediate Support: ₹24,500 Immediate Resistance: ₹24,900 Pivot Point: ₹24,765 📊 Market Sentiment Trend: The NIFTY 50 has experienced a six-day losing streak, indicating bearish momentum. NDTV Profit Volume: Trading volume is higher than average, suggesting increased investor activity. 📈 Strategy (1D Timeframe) 1. Bullish Scenario Entry: Above ₹24,900 Stop-Loss: ₹24,500 Target: ₹25,100 → ₹25,300 2. Bearish Scenario Entry: Below ₹24,500 Stop-Loss: ₹24,900 Target: ₹24,300 → ₹24,100 ⚠️ Risk Management Limit risk to 1% of capital per trade. Always use stop-loss to protect against unexpected market movements. Monitor broader market trends and sector-specific news that may impact index performance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Knowledgehub
1
ITCITC Daily Snapshot Current Price: ~₹405 Day’s Range: ~₹401 – ₹406 🔍 Key Levels Support: Around ₹399 – ₹401 (near-term buying zone) Resistance: Around ₹409 – ₹412 (supply zone) 📈 Technical Picture Trend: Slightly bearish to sideways, but stabilizing above ₹405 gives some strength RSI (Daily): Neutral zone, neither overbought nor oversold Moving Averages: Price is close to short-term averages, so a decisive breakout above ₹409 is needed for bullish confirmation VWAP: Trading near VWAP, showing balance between buyers and sellers ✅ Summary At ₹405, ITC is near the middle of its range. If it holds above ₹405 and breaks ₹409–₹412, bullish momentum can pick up. If it falls below ₹401, it may retest support near ₹398.
NSE:ITCLong
by Knowledgehub
1
XAUUSD – Need confirmation before placing orders Hello everyone, Last week, gold experienced a strong surge, but after hitting the resistance at 378x, a noticeable selling pressure emerged, causing the price to drop and the weekly candle to close in a corrective direction. This indicates a market sentiment of hesitation, especially for those trading on margin, who are more susceptible to fear-driven decisions. Technical Analysis Currently, the price is returning to test the trendline around 3752. This is a crucial area where a reactive Buy can be considered, with a safe stop loss placed below 3743. However, this is merely a trade based on crowd psychology, so careful observation of price action is necessary. In the event the price breaks the upward channel, we will wait for a pullback around 3760 to enter a Sell order. Should this scenario unfold, the downtrend will become clearer, with the target potentially reaching the 366x–367x region. Additionally, pay special attention to the support area of 3717–3723. This is a significant price zone, and if breached, gold is likely to enter a medium-term downtrend. In this context, a reactive Buy at 3715 could also be a reasonable scalping option for those who prefer short-term trading. Trading Scenarios Buy around 3752, SL 3743. Sell upon breaking the trendline and pulling back to 3760, expecting a decline to 366x–367x. Buy scalping at 3715, SL 3709, short TP towards 3723–3735. 📌 As the new week begins, be patient and observe the price reactions at key areas to obtain clear confirmation signals before placing orders. Hopefully, this scenario will be helpful for everyone's trading process. I will continue to share more so that everyone can keep a better track of the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – Medium-term Gold Outlook H4Let's prepare the scenario for the new week, folks! In my opinion, gold in the coming week may start to show a medium-term correction phase. However, it is important to note that nothing is absolutely certain on a larger timeframe. If you are trading intraday, stay closely aligned with price action to ensure higher accuracy. Gold closed the weekly candle at 3759.85 – a price level that clearly indicates hesitation. The end-of-week session showed a rejection of price increase, mainly due to profit-taking pressure, so it cannot be immediately confirmed that a downtrend will begin. The upward price channel is still strong, so it is essential to maintain a buying trend mindset to ensure the confidence in holding profits remains firm. The upward structure is still stable, but the RSI has reflected a weakening in buying sentiment. To confirm a medium-term correction, gold needs to break 3720. At that point, a reasonable strategy would be to wait to sell around 3737–3740 (retracing to the trendline), targeting the support area coinciding with the highest volume profile cluster at 3645. Conversely, the buying scenario will occur when: - Price touches the 3735 boundary and a candle rejection reaction appears. - Or gold breaks above the minor resistance at 3780, in which case you can buy immediately, with expectations towards the 3850 area. Next week, be patient and wait for market confirmation to increase the probability of success. I will continue to share detailed scenarios in each trading session for everyone to stay updated.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Introduction and Types of Trading RiskIntroduction to Trading Risk Trading in financial markets—whether equities, commodities, forex, or derivatives—offers the potential for significant profits, but it also exposes participants to various risks. Understanding trading risk is fundamental for any trader or investor, as it determines the potential for loss, the strategies to manage it, and the overall approach to financial decision-making. At its core, trading risk is the possibility of losing some or all of the invested capital due to unpredictable market movements, operational failures, or external events. Unlike long-term investing, trading typically involves shorter time horizons, which often magnifies the exposure to volatility and uncertainty. Why Understanding Trading Risk Is Important Capital Preservation: Without understanding risk, traders may face catastrophic losses that can wipe out their trading accounts. Strategic Planning: Identifying the type of risk helps traders plan positions, leverage usage, and stop-loss levels. Psychological Preparedness: Awareness of risk helps manage emotional reactions, such as fear and greed, which often drive irrational trading decisions. Compliance and Governance: For professional traders, understanding and documenting risk is crucial for regulatory compliance and reporting. Trading risk is multidimensional. While some risks are inherent to the market itself, others are related to human behavior, operational inefficiencies, and broader economic factors. To navigate trading successfully, one must not only acknowledge these risks but also actively mitigate them through strategies, tools, and disciplined risk management practices. Types of Trading Risk Trading risk can be broadly classified into several categories. Each type has unique characteristics, causes, and mitigation strategies. Understanding these categories allows traders to make informed decisions and develop robust risk management plans. 1. Market Risk (Systematic Risk) Definition: Market risk, also known as systematic risk, is the risk of losses due to overall market movements. It affects all securities in the market to some degree and cannot be entirely eliminated through diversification. Key Characteristics: Affects entire markets or market segments. Driven by macroeconomic factors, geopolitical events, or global crises. Unpredictable and largely unavoidable. Examples: Stock market crash due to an economic recession. Interest rate changes impacting bond prices. Currency devaluation affecting forex positions. Subtypes of Market Risk: Equity Risk: Risk of decline in stock prices. Interest Rate Risk: Risk of losses from fluctuating interest rates. Currency Risk: Risk arising from foreign exchange rate movements. Commodity Risk: Risk of price changes in commodities like gold, oil, or wheat. Mitigation Strategies: Use of hedging instruments such as options and futures. Diversification across asset classes. Limiting exposure to highly volatile sectors. 2. Credit Risk (Counterparty Risk) Definition: Credit risk is the possibility that a counterparty in a trade may default on their obligations. This is common in over-the-counter (OTC) markets, derivatives trading, and margin trading. Key Characteristics: Directly linked to the financial health of the counterparty. Often overlooked by retail traders but critical for institutional trading. Examples: A forex broker failing to honor withdrawal requests. A company defaulting on bond payments. Counterparties in a derivatives contract not meeting their obligations. Mitigation Strategies: Conduct thorough due diligence before trading. Use regulated and reputable brokers or exchanges. Limit counterparty exposure and utilize collateral agreements. 3. Liquidity Risk Definition: Liquidity risk is the risk of not being able to buy or sell a security quickly at the desired price due to insufficient market activity. Key Characteristics: More pronounced in thinly traded markets or exotic assets. Can lead to significant losses if positions cannot be exited efficiently. Examples: Selling a large block of stocks in a small-cap company may drastically lower the price. Difficulty liquidating positions during market closures or crises. Forex pairs with low trading volume causing slippage. Mitigation Strategies: Trade only in liquid markets and assets. Limit the size of positions relative to average market volume. Use limit orders to control entry and exit prices. 4. Operational Risk Definition: Operational risk arises from failures in internal processes, systems, or human error rather than market movements. Key Characteristics: Often underestimated by individual traders. Includes errors in order execution, technical glitches, or fraudulent activity. Examples: System downtime preventing timely execution of trades. Misplacing stop-loss orders due to human error. Broker technical failure during high-volatility sessions. Mitigation Strategies: Implement reliable trading platforms and backup systems. Automate risk management tools like stop-loss and take-profit. Train staff or oneself in proper operational procedures. 5. Legal and Regulatory Risk Definition: Legal risk is the possibility of losses due to changes in laws, regulations, or non-compliance issues. Key Characteristics: Particularly relevant for institutional traders or those trading internationally. Can impact market access, trading costs, or tax liabilities. Examples: Regulatory changes restricting derivatives trading. Introduction of new taxes on financial transactions. Penalties for non-compliance with market regulations. Mitigation Strategies: Stay informed about regulatory developments. Consult legal and compliance experts for guidance. Ensure all trading activities comply with local and international laws. 6. Psychological Risk (Behavioral Risk) Definition: Psychological risk refers to losses resulting from human emotions, biases, or irrational decision-making. Key Characteristics: Rooted in behavioral finance. Affects both novice and experienced traders. Examples: Overtrading due to fear of missing out (FOMO). Panic selling during a market correction. Holding losing positions too long due to emotional attachment. Mitigation Strategies: Develop and adhere to a trading plan. Use journaling to track decisions and emotions. Employ discipline and self-awareness techniques. 7. Event Risk (Unsystematic Risk) Definition: Event risk, also known as unsystematic risk, is linked to specific events or occurrences that affect a particular company, sector, or asset. Key Characteristics: Can be mitigated through diversification. Often sudden and unpredictable. Examples: Corporate fraud or bankruptcy affecting stock prices. Natural disasters impacting commodity production. Product recalls causing sudden revenue loss for a company. Mitigation Strategies: Diversify across companies, sectors, and geographies. Use derivative instruments to hedge exposure. Monitor news and corporate announcements regularly. 8. Systemic Risk Definition: Systemic risk refers to the potential collapse of an entire financial system or market, rather than just individual investments. Key Characteristics: Triggered by interconnectedness of institutions and markets. Can have widespread economic implications. Examples: The 2008 global financial crisis. Contagion effect during a banking collapse. Extreme volatility in global markets due to geopolitical conflicts. Mitigation Strategies: Reduce leverage in positions. Monitor macroeconomic indicators and systemic trends. Employ stress testing to evaluate portfolio resilience. 9. Geopolitical and Macro-Economic Risk Definition: This is the risk of losses caused by political instability, wars, international trade disruptions, or macroeconomic shifts. Key Characteristics: Highly unpredictable and difficult to hedge completely. Often impacts multiple asset classes simultaneously. Examples: Trade sanctions affecting stock and commodity markets. Political unrest leading to currency depreciation. Central bank policy changes affecting interest rates and liquidity. Mitigation Strategies: Diversify internationally. Use hedging instruments to protect against currency or commodity risks. Stay updated with global political and economic developments. 10. Leverage Risk Definition: Leverage risk arises when traders borrow capital to amplify potential gains, which also increases potential losses. Key Characteristics: Common in forex, derivatives, and margin trading. Can quickly wipe out capital if not managed properly. Examples: Using high margin to take large positions in volatile stocks. Futures contracts causing losses exceeding the initial investment. Leveraged ETFs amplifying market swings. Mitigation Strategies: Limit leverage exposure. Employ strict stop-loss and position-sizing rules. Understand the underlying asset and market volatility before using leverage. Conclusion Trading risk is multifaceted, encompassing market, operational, psychological, and systemic elements. A successful trader does not aim to eliminate risk entirely—this is impossible—but rather to understand, measure, and manage it effectively. Proper risk management involves identifying the type of risk, analyzing potential impacts, and implementing strategies to mitigate losses while preserving opportunities for gains. By comprehensively understanding trading risk, traders can make more informed decisions, protect their capital, and improve long-term profitability. The key takeaway is that risk is an inherent part of trading, but with discipline, education, and proactive strategies, it can be navigated successfully.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
XAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 FrameXAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 Frame: Prioritise buying, the 3790 – 3720 zone decides the trend Hello Trader, Trading is a journey, and the most important destination is conquering oneself. On the D1 frame, gold has experienced a series of consecutive strong increases, indicating that buyers still maintain the advantage. The buying force shows no clear signs of weakening, even though gold has recently reacted with a slight decrease around 3790. Currently, the price is accumulating around 3760 – the closing candle zone for this week. Basic Outlook Political pressure from President Trump on the Fed is increasing, as the market expects an easing move soon. However, Chairman Powell remains cautious, prioritising price stability over inflation issues. This factor may continue to keep gold in the position of an important safe-haven asset, especially in the context of policy uncertainty. Technical Outlook The price zone of 3790 – 3720 will play a decisive role in the medium-term trend for next week. If 3790 is broken, gold will have the opportunity to advance to the Fibonacci Extension zone of 3822. Further, strong resistance lies around 3840 – 3860. If 3720 is breached, selling pressure will retest the strategic support zone at 3650. This is also the confluence area with the upward trendline on D1. MACD Indicator: continues to support buyers, the histogram remains positive, not showing a clear decrease signal. Volume: no significant selling pressure has appeared, indicating that gold is entering an accumulation phase, waiting for a breakout. Trading Scenario for Next Week Buying Scenario (priority): Buy around 3650 – 3660 (if there is an adjustment). SL: below 3640. TP: 3720 – 3790 – 3822. Selling Scenario at Resistance: Sell around 3822 – 3830 (Fibo + strong resistance). SL: above 3840. TP: 3790 – 3760 – 3720. Conclusion In the medium term, the upward trend still prevails. Next week, gold will revolve around the 3790 – 3720 mark, and reactions here will pave the way for the next trend. The priority strategy is to buy at the support zone of 3650, while observing reactions at 3822 to consider short-term selling orders. Short-term scenarios will be updated during the day, helping you be more proactive with market fluctuations. Follow me and the community to update the earliest scenarios
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Patience is Profit: The Unseen Poetry of Forex Risk Management⚠️ Shocking Truth in Forex Trading ⚠️ Most traders lose not because their strategy is wrong… but because they ignore risk management. 🛡️ Mastering Risk Management in Forex Trading Risk management is the foundation of long-term success in Forex. Many traders spend their time perfecting entries and strategies, but the real edge comes from how well you manage risk, emotions, and capital. Without these, even the best strategy will fail. 📌 Position Sizing 📉 Never risk more than 1–2% of your account on a single trade. 📏 Adjust lot size according to your stop-loss distance. ⏳ Small, controlled risks keep you in the game long enough to let your strategy work. 🎯 Risk-to-Reward Ratio ⚖️ Always aim for 1:2 or higher risk-to-reward. 📊 Even with just a 40% win rate, a positive RRR keeps you profitable. 🔑 Focus on consistency rather than chasing quick wins. 🧠 Psychology of Risk 😨 Fear makes traders exit winning trades too soon. 💰 Greed convinces them to hold onto losing trades too long. 📝 Build a personal rule: “I follow my plan, not my emotions.” ✔️ Accept losses as part of the business—risk is simply the cost of trading. 📉 Drawdown Control 🚫 Avoid over-leveraging—it magnifies both profits and losses. 🛑 Cap your risk per trade to protect account equity. 🔄 Remember: a 50% loss requires 100% gain to recover. Capital protection comes first. 🔄 Consistency Over Perfection 🎲 No strategy wins every time. 🏦 Risk management allows you to survive losing streaks. 🎰 Think like a casino: edge + probability + discipline = profit. 🧘 Trading Psychology Habits 📖 Keep a trading journal to track results and emotions. 🧩 Detach from outcomes and focus on executing your plan. ☕ Trade only when your mindset is calm and focused. ⚖️ Golden Rule 💎 Protect your capital first—profits will naturally follow. Discipline, patience, and controlled risk are the keys to turning short-term survival into long-term success. ✅ Final Thought: In Forex, your greatest weapon is not predicting every move but mastering risk management and emotional control. The market always rewards patience, discipline, and consistency—not reckless gambling. 📢 Follow me for more Forex insights, strategies, and trading psychology content.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Cup and Handle Breakout in RICOAUTO BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:RICOAUTO
by Kapil-Mittal
2