Fundamental Analysis
Stock in Buying Zone: HPL Electric & Power LtdHPL Electric & Power Limited is a leading electrical equipment manufacturer in India operating across five key product verticals of electric equipment – metering solutions, modular switches, switchgears, LED lighting and wires and cables. It caters to a wide spectrum of customer segments, such as power utilities, government agencies, and retail and institutional customers, with a strong brand recall as a trusted electrical brand.
Stock Fundamentals:
Market Cap: ₹ 3,553 Cr.; Stock P/E: 66.2 (INd. P/E: 51.48)
Book Value: ₹ 129; Dividend Yield: 0.18 %; ROCE: 11.1 %; ROE: 5.45 %; OPM %: 14%;
Compounded Sales Growth TTM: 19%; Compounded Profit Growth TTM: 74%
Technical Analysis:
HPL Electric & Power Limited is trading near the important support level of 552.
It is trading at 20% down from 52 week high.
Support Levels: 541, 511, 475
Resistance Levels: 570, 599, 632, 665
Stock in Support Zone: GEE KAY WiresGEE KAY Wires is trading near the strong support zone of 107 levels.
Resistance levels: 122, 137, 146
Support levels: 97, 87, 75
Stock Fundamentals:
Industry: Geekay Wires manufactures niche-quality Galvanized Steel Wires and Nails that have applications in Power Transmission, Cable and conductor, General Engineering, Construction, etc.
Market Cap: ₹ 564 Cr.; P/E: 14.0; Book Value: ₹ 23.3;
Dividend Yield: 0.56 %; ROCE: 34.5 %; ROE: 42.1 %.
Compounded Sales Growth 10 Years: 26%
Compounded Profit Growth 10 Years: 72%
Crude oil breakout! Crude oil has recently broken out of its trendline, forming a double bottom pattern, which strengthens the confirmation of the breakout. This technical setup suggests that crude prices could experience further upward movement.
From a fundamental perspective, geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel are fueling uncertainty in the region, which historically puts upward pressure on oil prices. The threat of supply disruptions, sanctions, or escalated military actions can tighten global oil supply, pushing prices higher as markets anticipate potential risks.
Crude Oil Breakout!Crude oil has recently broken out of its trendline, forming a double bottom pattern, which strengthens the confirmation of the breakout. This technical setup suggests that crude prices could experience further upward movement.
From a fundamental perspective, geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel are fueling uncertainty in the region, which historically puts upward pressure on oil prices. The threat of supply disruptions, sanctions, or escalated military actions can tighten global oil supply, pushing prices higher as markets anticipate potential risks.
MCX CRUDEOIL - POSITIONAL LONG TRADESymbol - CRUDEOIL (MCX)
CRUDEOIL is currently trading at 5690
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying CRUDEOIL Futures at CMP 5690
I will be adding more if 5550 comes & will hold with SL 5420
Targets I'm expecting are 6320 - 6585
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
A Clear Picture of Todays DayHere there are 4 Chat shown . Nifty Spot & Futures, Bank nifty Spot & Futures.
In all the 4 charts zones are plotted automatically.
The price respected the zone so very well . We need to patiently wait for the price to reach a specific zone .. observe the price reaction at the zone , if break out / down the zone wait for retest and take entry in the direction of the market keeping SL above / below the zone . If price forms reversal candle or consolidate at zone . watch for reversal candle high or low break. then take trade in the direction of the market keeping SL as the swing high / low and the target will be next Zone . Trading made Simple.
AI & Machine learning powered : The future of smarter trading .
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5% By Kapil-MittalDON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in BSE
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
So beautifully Nifty respected the levels plot by AI Quant-X The Price behaved so well at the levels Firstly Breaking of the zone , retesting the zone and reaching the next Target zone . At target zone Price faced rejection and continued back to lower zone levels . break down of lower zone levels, retest of level and Price is moving to the target zone . Such a Simple and Clear Trading chart . Trading Made Easy .
ASHOK LEYLAND - SHORT TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - ASHOKLE
ASHOKLE is currently trading at 260
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting ASHOKLE Futures at CMP 260
I will be adding more position if 270 comes & will hold with SL 273
Targets I'm expecting are 242 - 225
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
BERGER PAINT - SWING TRADE ON SHORT SIDESymbol - BERGEPAINT
BERGEPAINT is currently trading at 627
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting BERGEPAINT Futures at CMP 627
I will be adding more position if 635 comes & will hold with SL 643
Targets I'm expecting are 602 - 586 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
SAKHTISUGSAKHTISUG - market fall but stock stand positive
Hello traders,
As always, simple and neat charts so everyone can understand and not make it too complicated.
rest details mentioned in the chart.
will be posting more such ideas like this. Until that, like share and follow :)
check my other ideas to get to know about all the successful trades based on price action.
Thanks,
Ajay.
keep learning and keep earning.
Gold: “Bullish Pennant” lures XAUUSD buyers on US NFP DayGold prices are starting to rise, reducing weekly losses on the first positive day in three. This reflects a market shift toward the traditional safe-haven asset as investors remain cautious ahead of the US employment report for September, particularly the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data.
Buyers remain in control
Even though gold has lacked momentum over the past two weeks, it is holding above the late September breakout from a four-month trend line resistance, which now acts as support. The XAUUSD also forms a “Bullish Pennant” pattern, attracting buyers. The rising RSI (14) indicates strength, but the sluggish MACD and pre-NFP jitters are holding back immediate movement in the precious metal.
Key technical levels to watch
Gold's immediate focus is on the bullish pennant's resistance line, currently near $2,665, which poses a challenge for intraday buyers. Above that, the recent all-time high of $2,685 and the $2,700 mark will attract bulls. If gold trades successfully above $2,700, it could target around $2,735, which is the theoretical goal of the pennant.
On the downside, support levels are set at $2,638 and $2,635, thanks to the pennant's bottom line and a long-term resistance-turned-support. Further down, an upward-sloping support line from early August and the 200-SMA will provide additional support for XAUUSD near $2,580 and $2,560, respectively.
Gold bulls can overlook pullbacks
Although US employment data may pose challenges for gold buyers, several strong support levels make it tough for sellers to regain control. This suggests that bulls can stay confident, even if prices experience a pullback—unless there’s a significant drop below the 200-SMA.
WPIL - is it ready for Phase Reversal ?WPIL
market cap- 4140 CR
Promoter -holding -70.79 %
FII - 5.81 %
DII- 2.62 %
Public - 20.78%
operating profit found reduced from March 24 to June 24 , but the same pattern repeated for last two financial years - may be it is nature of their business
ROE -46.2% , ROCE -20.4%.
Business : Industrial water supply projects , pumps and pumping systems
Order Book:
Domestic order book for projects stood at approximately ₹3,914 crores, while the product business order book was around ₹400 crores.
International order book increased to ₹484 crores with positive outlook across all segments.
Operational Highlights:
Domestic projects business experienced robust growth, increasing by 40% year-on-year to ₹184 crores.
Anticipated strong momentum in project execution post-monsoon season, with several projects scheduled for commissioning in the next four months.
Significant revenues achieved from Madhya Pradesh Jal Nigam projects, with three projects planned for commissioning soon.
For more details - please refer Concall Notes - Aug 2024
Technical analysis
Fib level support from 50% - expecting this level as a strong support.
Lets analyze the stock in coming days
Cautionary note: Support / resistance levels may vary based on market conditions .so this is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a signal to watch the stock for future trading opportunities.
It's essential to monitor the stock in the coming days to see if the price action fits your entry criteria and aligns with your strategy.
disclaimer :This is not a buy sell recommendation - only for study purpose .
INTERGLOBE AVIATION (INDIGO)Technical:
• After reaching a fresh high of near 5,000, the stock has reversed from that level, indicating a potential change in character, a term often used in technical analysis to denote a shift in trend or momentum.
• The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has dropped below 50, signaling a potential weakness in momentum and a bearish outlook in the near term.
• Support Levels:
• Minor support is at 4,500, a level that may provide temporary relief.
• Major support lies at 4,200, a critical level to watch if the weakness continues.
Fundamental:
• The escalating conflict between Israel-Iran has driven up crude oil prices due to concerns about supply disruptions.
• As a major airline, IndiGo is sensitive to rising fuel costs, which directly impacts its operational expenses. The increase in crude oil prices might weigh heavily on the stock in the near term, adding to the existing technical weakness.
• Given the geopolitical situation and its impact on crude prices, IndiGo could face additional selling pressure if oil prices remain elevated, further amplifying its decline.
In summary, IndiGo is showing signs of technical weakness with bearish momentum indicators, coupled with fundamental risks tied to rising crude oil prices, which could lead to more downside pressure in the coming days. Keep an eye on the 4,200 level for strong support. View neglected if price breaks above 5,000 zone.
#Indigo #stocks #investing #crudeoil #usoil #war #aviation
CRUDEOIL TREND REVERSAL ( DOUBLE BOTTOM ) The W pattern, also known as a double bottom, is a bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis. It indicates a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. Here’s a breakdown of the W pattern:
Formation: The pattern resembles the letter “W” and consists of two consecutive lows (bottoms) separated by a peak (middle peak).
First Bottom: This forms after a prolonged price decline, marking the lowest point of the current downtrend.
Middle Peak: The price then rises, forming a peak before declining again.
Second Bottom: The price falls again to a level similar to the first bottom, indicating a support level.
Breakout: The pattern is confirmed when the price rises above the middle peak, signaling the start of a new uptrend12.
Trading the W pattern involves waiting for the breakout above the middle peak before entering a long position. This helps in minimizing risks and maximizing potential gains12.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5% By Kapil-MittalDON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in ITDCEM
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Great opportunity to buy Reliance IndustriesHello,
Every time you talk about the companies to invest in the India market, a top company that comes to most people's mind is reliance. I had a close look at reliance and below is my view.
Business Model Overview:
Reliance Industries Ltd. (RIL) operates in various sectors, primarily energy, petrochemicals, retail, telecommunications, and digital services. Its diverse revenue streams come from refining and marketing, petrochemicals, exploration and production, retail (through Reliance Retail), and telecom (through Jio). This diversity provides a moat for the company, making it resilient to sector-specific downturns.
Revenue and Financials:
As of 2024, Reliance has performed well, increasing its stock price by over 13% from January to October 2024. The stock reached IRN 3200 in July. Reliance's market cap remains strong at ₹19.82 trillion, and its price trends suggest growth despite short-term corrections as shown below.
Technical Analysis:
On the technical front, Reliance Industries has experienced a sideways corrective phase since reaching its peak in July 2024. After a decline in the recent months, the stock is trading at around ₹2,813, following a slight dip in September.
The stock is currently at the bottom of the correction and therefore at a great point for entries with target at INR 3200.
Opportunities for Reliance
Retail Expansion: Reliance Retail is targeting 20% annual growth, outperforming the market's expected 10% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). This aggressive expansion strategy is set to capitalize on both urban and rural markets, leveraging its extensive infrastructure and growing digital footprint.
Renewable Energy Leadership: Reliance is positioning itself as a leader in green energy by planning to establish 20GW of solar PV capacity by 2026. This includes significant investments in battery production and continued strategic advancements in oil-to-chemical (O2C) and oil and gas (O&G) sectors. The company’s emphasis on sustainability reflects its ambition to dominate the renewable energy market while maintaining profitability in traditional sectors.
Operating Expense Control: There is an expectation that the growth in operating expenses will moderate in FY25, leading to improved margins as expansion efforts stabilize.
Risks to Consider for Reliance
Supply Chain and Costs: Rising freight costs and limited international market presence pose challenges. The company must also navigate the delicate balance between sustainability initiatives and profitability amid increasing global supply overcapacity in various sectors.
Oil and Gas Market Volatility: Reliance faces the risks of tight crude oil supply, which could affect margins in its refining and petrochemical segments. Additionally, regulatory changes impacting fuel and rising competition from Chinese exports and imports under trade agreements could create market pressures, challenging Reliance’s competitiveness in global markets.
Final Recommendation
Given Reliance's diversified business, strong retail growth, and strategic investments in renewable energy, it remains a buy for long-term investors. The stock is trading near its correction lows, presenting a potential buying opportunity at current levels (around ₹2,813). The target price should be set at ₹3,200, with a focus on monitoring key risks like crude oil supply constraints and competition.
Good luck!!