Deep Discounted Stock with Great Result: PG Electroplast LtdIntroduction:
PG Electroplast Ltd specializes in original design manufacturing (ODM), original equipment manufacturing (OEM), and plastic injection moulding. The product portfolio includes Room Air Conditioners (RAC), Washing Machines, Air Coolers, Plastic Moulding, Electronics, Tool manufacturing, etc. The company offers indoor, outdoor, and window units for air conditioners. It is the 2nd largest player in RAC finished goods sales to the OEMs/brands.
Clientele
LG Electronics, Carrier, Jaguar, Kohler, Whirlpool, Godrej, AO Smith, Acer, Voltas, Orient Electric, Blue Star, Croma, Crompton, etc.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: ₹ 22,458 Cr.;
Stock P/E: 78.0 (Ind. P/E: 58.67) 👍;
ROCE: 19.4% 👍; ROE: 14.9% 👍;
PEG Ratio: 0.85 👍 (Stock price valuation is relatively undervalued related to its growth prospects)
EV/EBITDA: 42.1
Promoter holding: 49.4 %
3 Years Sales Growth: 64% 👍
3 Years Compounded Profit Growth: 100% 👍
3 Years Stock Price CAGR: 121% 👍
PGEL received ₹30 crore in PLI benefits for FY25 and expects ₹37.5 crore in FY26
Technicals:
The stock is trading above 20 EMA(Black Line), 50 EMA (Orange Line), 100 EMAs (Blue Line) and 200 EMA (Pink line).
Resistance levels: 867, 918, 1051
Support levels: 783, 714, 601
Fundamental Analysis
Bitcoin Reloading: Next Stop 111K – Dip is the FuelBitcoin remains in a clear uptrend, and the recent rally has confirmed bullish dominance. After pushing above prior levels, price is now reacting at the 105,000 resistance, which is acting as a temporary pause point. This isn’t a reversal — it’s a controlled breather before the next leg higher.
The price will retrace into the buy zone below — the 98,000 to 100,000 range — which is a key structural level from where the next impulsive rally will ignite. This zone isn’t just a random support; it’s a strong accumulation base where institutional orders are expected to get filled. Once that happens, Bitcoin will resume its push toward the 111,953 target, a level marked by previous price inefficiencies and liquidity build-up.
There is no ambiguity in the structure — this is a textbook bullish continuation setup. Buyers are in control, and the temporary dip is part of the plan, not a breakdown. Ignore the noise above 105K for now — the real move begins once price taps the demand zone and rockets toward 111K.
Verdict:
• 105K is a pause, not a peak.
• 98K–100K is the launchpad.
• 111K+ is the next station.
• Bulls own this chart — stay positioned accordingly.
Gold 4H Chart: Triangle Squeeze Before the Storm Gold is currently trapped within a triangle formation on the 4H chart, consolidating between 3170 and 3244 — a clear chop zone where indecisiveness prevails. A breakout above 3244 would confirm bullish continuation, potentially opening the gates toward 3340 as the next major upside target. However, if price fails to reclaim that level and instead breaks down below the 3170 support zone, it would confirm a downside flush, with 3074 as the next significant target. Until either breakout occurs, expect whipsaws and low conviction moves inside this range. This setup demands patience — the real move will come from a clean directional break.
Technical Levels Respected – BTC Reaches $108K Target📍 BTC Target Hit with Precision!
✅ As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin has successfully tapped the $108K resistance zone — clean and technical execution!
📊 My chart spoke in advance... and the market listened.
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SELL XAUUSDIt is possible that there is a sell opportunity .We should wait for confirmation before entering. If the confirmation is negative, then we should exit the trade. If the confirmation is positive, then we can enter the trade.This is my personal opinion and is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision.
Viwers dont forget me i am still alive 1 week institutional and retailer both are sell side u know what happen right now my analysis retailer sl by instutional this week now after smoothly go dow instutional (means market manipulating by (.......)
my sl are trail (breakeven)
happy trading
date 20-05-2025
GOOD MORNING INSTITUTIONAL TRADER date 21-05-2025
gbp central bank controlling market institutional also losing their position because of central bank buy currently after cpi indian time 11:30
1)if gbp cpi good for currency still i didnt close my position
2)if gbp cpi bad for currency waiting for instutional controlling their market after changing chracter i am exiting discount price and open sell position
my idea is good ya bad need your thumup
any question ask comment below
FED HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?GOLD PLAN 21/05 – FOMC HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?
The recent surge in gold has paused just as traders digest the latest Federal Reserve signals. Despite rising geopolitical risks and weakening U.S. economic data, Fed officials continue to project a “higher-for-longer” rate stance, keeping the dollar afloat and adding pressure on gold’s rally.
📉 However, the technical structure tells another side of the story.
⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Bearish Trap or Hidden Bullish Opportunity?
On the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation after tapping into a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3328–3356 area. We now observe two key FVG zones above and below current price, highlighting high volatility and potential liquidity grabs.
🔍 A short-term bullish scenario is forming if gold retraces towards 3250–3252 support, where trendline confluence and dynamic support suggest strong demand.
Conversely, any strong rejection from 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could activate a bearish play back towards the lower structure levels.
💹 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3252–3250
Stop Loss: 3246
Take Profit Targets:
3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ???
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3277–3275
Stop Loss: 3272
Take Profit Targets:
3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔻 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3354–3356
Stop Loss: 3360
Take Profit Targets:
3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3328–3330
Stop Loss: 3334
Take Profit Targets:
3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
🌍 MACRO INSIGHT:
Fed’s hawkish tone is weighing on precious metals, but gold remains attractive under geopolitical uncertainty and de-dollarization trends.
China and other central banks continue their accumulation, suggesting long-term bullish pressure is intact.
Watch for U.S. data this week – especially PMI and jobless claims – which could provide short-term catalysts.
📌 Stay cautious and disciplined. Stick to your zones and manage risk tightly – volatility is increasing.
👉 If you found this useful, don’t forget to like, comment and follow for daily gold insights!
Nifty strategy for todayNifty may open quiet as per SGX Nifty. Nifty is coming downside after hitting 25200 where nifty formed double top pattern. So we can expect some more downward in nifty until upto breached 25200 levels. Investors can initiative Short positions on nifty with strict stop loss i. e. 25200.
Support levels : 24550,24370
Resistance levels : 24760,24950
GAIL (INDIA) LTDAs of May 21, 2025, GAIL (India) Ltd. (NSE: GAIL) is trading at ₹191.10, reflecting a 0.86% increase from the previous close.
📊 1-Day Support & Resistance Levels
Based on the Classic Pivot Point method, the following support and resistance levels have been identified:
Pivot Point: ₹191.33
Support Levels:
S1: ₹188.67
S2: ₹186.23
S3: ₹183.57
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹193.77
R2: ₹196.43
R3: ₹198.87
📈 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 60.63 – Indicates bullish momentum.
MACD (12,26): 1.34 – Suggests a bullish crossover.
Average Directional Index (ADX): 35.59 – Reflects a strong trend.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): 48.46 – Neutral.
Rate of Change (ROC): 2.75 – Positive momentum.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Not specified.
📉 Moving Averages
50-day EMA: ₹226.29
200-day EMA: Not specified.
The current price is below the 50-day EMA, indicating a potential bearish trend in the short term.
🔍 Market Outlook
GAIL (India) Ltd. is exhibiting mixed signals. While technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest bullish momentum, the stock trading below its 50-day EMA indicates caution. Traders should monitor the support and resistance levels closely; a breach above R1 (₹193.77) could indicate further upside, while a drop below S1 (₹188.67) might suggest a potential decline.
ASIAN PAINTS LTDAs of May 21, 2025, Asian Paints Ltd. (NSE: ASIANPAINT) closed at ₹2,295.60, reflecting a 1.54% decline from the previous day. The stock is currently trading approximately 32% below its 52-week high of ₹3,394.00, reached on September 16, 2024.
📊 1-Day Support & Resistance Levels
Based on the Classic Pivot Point method, the following support and resistance levels have been identified:
Pivot Point: ₹2,311.57
Support Levels:
S1: ₹2,275.43
S2: ₹2,255.27
S3: ₹2,219.13
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹2,331.73
R2: ₹2,367.87
R3: ₹2,388.03
📈 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 41.88 – Indicates neutral momentum.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): -15.56 – Suggests bearish momentum.
Average Directional Index (ADX): 17.09 – Reflects a weak trend strength.
Rate of Change (ROC): -5.80 – Points to a declining price momentum.
Money Flow Index (MFI): 29.47 – Indicates potential oversold conditions.
Supertrend: ₹2,468.26 – The current price is below this level, signaling a bearish trend.
📉 Moving Averages
50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): ₹2,342.83
100-day SMA: ₹2,304.44
200-day SMA: ₹2,614.84
The current price is below all these moving averages, indicating a bearish outlook.
🔍 Market Outlook
Asian Paints Ltd. is exhibiting bearish signals across multiple technical indicators. The stock's position below key moving averages and a declining RSI suggest continued downward pressure. Traders should monitor the support levels closely; a breach below S1 (₹2,275.43) could indicate further downside, while a move above R1 (₹2,331.73) might suggest a potential reversal.
TAMILNAD MERICA BANK LTDAs of May 21, 2025, Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd. (NSE: TMB) is trading at ₹451.80, reflecting a 0.97% increase over the previous day.
📊 1-Day Support & Resistance Levels (Classic Pivot Method)
Based on the previous trading day's price range, the following support and resistance levels have been identified:
Support Levels:
S1: ₹449.03
S2: ₹446.27
S3: ₹443.43
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹454.63
R2: ₹457.47
R3: ₹460.23
Pivot Point: ₹451.87
📈 Technical Indicators
Moving Averages:
20-day EMA: ₹444.47
50-day EMA: ₹437.38
100-day EMA: ₹438.24
200-day EMA: ₹446.85
Oscillators:
Relative Strength Index (RSI 14): 58.01 (indicates uptrend)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI 14): 62.68 (indicates uptrend)
Money Flow Index (MFI): 74.25 (indicates strong uptrend)
🔍 Trading Insights
The current price is slightly below the pivot point, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish stance. If the price moves above the pivot point, it may test the resistance levels. Conversely, a drop below the pivot could lead to testing the support levels.
USHA MARTIN LTD.USHA MARTIN LTD.
USHA MARTIN BREAKS OUT! 7.5% SURGE SIGNALS MASSIVE RALLY AHEAD
USHAMART
Made Beautiful Chart Structure of Kinda Triple Bottom Reversal Pattern today after Q4 Results with Good Price and Volume action and Breaking the Trendline.
Price Action:
-The stock has been in a downtrend since November 2024, forming a clear descending resistance line (white diagonal Trendline)
-Currently showing strong breakout momentum at ₹334.85, up *23.75 (+7.46%) in today's session
-Successfully broken above both the downtrend line and horizontal resistance at *320-325
-Multiple tests of support at the *290 level have created a solid base for the current rally
-Higher lows forming since March indicate increasing buying pressure
Volume Analysis:
- Today's volume at 4.98M shares vs. average of 688.65K (over 7x normal volume) -Previous support bounces (green arrows) also occurred with increased volume - Extremely high volume on today's breakout confirms strong institutional interest - Volume profile shows healthy accumulation during support tests
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- Strong support established at *290 level (green horizontal line)
- Intermediate resistance/support at *320-325 (lower red horizontal line)
-Major resistance at *350 level (upper red horizontal line)
- The previous rejection point at ₹350 (red arrow) now becomes the next target
- Long-term resistance from October to December 2024 around *420
Technical Patterns:
1. Downtrend Line Breakout*- Price has decisively broken above the multi-month downtrend line
2. Kinda Triple Bottom- Formed at ₹290 level (February-May), creating a solid foundation
3. Ascending Triangle- Recent price action shows higher lows against horizontal resistance
4. Volume Confirmation- Massive volume spike validates the technical breakout
5. Bullish Engulfing Candle-Today's price action engulfs previous bearish candles
Trade Setup:
- Pattern: Downtrend line breakout + horizontal resistance break
- Confirmation: Strong price action with 7x normal volume
- Context: Potential trend reversal after extended downtrend and base formation
Entry Points:
1. Aggressive Entry: Current price (*334.85) with partial position
2. Pullback Entry: On retest of breakout level *320-325
3. Confirmation Entry: Add positions on close above ₹350 (previous resistance)
Exit Strategy:
- Target 1: *350 (immediate resistance)
- Target 2: *380 (intermediate resistance based on prior support level)
- Target 3: *420 (major resistance from December 2024)
- Trailing Stop: Implement a 5% trailing stop after Target 1 is achieved
Stop Loss Placement:
- Aggressive Stop: 315 (below breakout level)
- Conservative Stop: 305 (midpoint between support and breakout)
- Pattern-Based Stop: 290 (below the triple bottom support)
Risk Management:
- Position sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of trading capital
-Risk-reward ratio: Maintain at least 1:1.5 (with aggressive stop)
- Consider scaling in: 50% at current level, 25% on pullback, 25% on further confirmation
- Scale out: 30% at Target 1, 40% at Target 2, hold remainder with trailing stop
Today's powerful breakout on record volume after forming a kinda triple bottom pattern suggests a potential trend reversal. The breakout above both the descending trendline and horizontal resistance provides a compelling technical case for upside continuation. If the stock can maintain momentum above the *325 level, it could target the next resistance at ₹350 quickly, with potential for a move toward *380-420 in the coming weeks.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Canara Bank – Impulse Wave in Play After ABC Correction?From the mid-June 2024 high, Canara Bank completed a textbook ABC correction, with Wave C terminating precisely at the 100% retracement of Wave A from B. This setup marked the end of the downtrend and the potential beginning of a new impulsive uptrend.
The current structure shows a higher-degree impulsive move (marked in green), within which Wave 3 appears to be subdividing into its own smaller impulse (yellow count). Notably, Wave 3 (yellow) has completed exactly 100% of Wave 1 from Wave 2 at 109.50, which aligns well with common Fibonacci projections.
A healthy retracement (Wave 4 of yellow) is now underway, typically expected to fall within the 0.236–0.382 retracement zone. This region is a critical make-or-break zone — sustaining above 102.63 keeps the bullish structure intact and sets the stage for Wave 5 (yellow), which could complete the larger Wave 3 (green).
Once Wave 3 (green) tops out, a correction in Wave 4 (green) could unfold, again within the 0.236–0.382 retracement zone. Monitoring RSI divergence will be essential to identify exhaustion at the top of Wave 3.
If the pattern continues to hold, Wave 5 (green) could push price to 130+ levels , assuming a minimum 1x projection of Wave 1 from the Wave 4 base.
The structure remains valid only as long as 105.12 and 102.63 are respected . A deeper breakdown would suggest the count is invalid and we may instead be dealing with a complex W-X-Y-X-Z correction , with Z potentially unfolding below 78.60.
Given that earnings and revenue reports in both Jan and May have been strong, the bullish case is fundamentally supported too. Still, alternate bearish counts must be kept in mind.
This is a technical analysis for educational purposes only and not a buy/sell recommendation.
Timeframe: 2hr
Tools Used: Elliott Wave, Fibonacci Retracements, RSI
GOLD - RETEST OF TREND RESISTANCE BEFORE POTENTIAL DECLINESymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3246
Gold is staging a modest recovery amid ongoing market uncertainty. However, a significant resistance zone lies ahead, which could limit further upside and potentially initiate a reversal.
Since the session's open, prices have rebounded slightly following a week-long decline. The current upward momentum is constrained by mixed market signals: on one hand, pressure on the US dollar and Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating are providing support for gold. On the other hand, elevated bond yields and prospects of new US trade agreements are capping gains.
Market participants are closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve commentary and tracking developments in US trade negotiations with key global partners. In an environment marked by concerns over fiscal stability and weaker economic indicators, gold may maintain a positive bias. However, the emergence of favorable trade news could shift sentiment and lead to renewed downward pressure.
Key Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Key Support levels: 3204, 3153
A failed breakout above the identified resistance range would signal a lack of upward momentum. Should the price consolidate below the 3257 level following a false breakout of the 3257-3265 zone, it may trigger a reversal and drive the market toward key support levels.
'Reverse head & shoulder' pattern forming in Union BankPerfect 'Reverse head & shoulder' pattern forming in Union Bank. Target as per the patter in Rs. 155, which is 10% upside potential from current price of Rs. 138
Q3'25 financials are excellent with bestever revenue & profits for the Quarter and for Financial Year. Financials also support upside movement
Bitcoin 1D Technical Commentary Paths- Bitcoin is currently trading at 105,148$
- Bitcoin is trading at a crucial BUY SIDE Liquidity area where breakout traps are highly possible, ATH was 109,490$ one tap above that will make retailers open aggressive longs and make them super bullish too
- Bitcoin printed an impulsive move from 88,000 which led to large imbalanced candles getting printed and it eventually printed 2 Inefficient gaps which is likely to get filled
- We have 2 paths, we either print a new high and fill 96,000 before we move up again or else we move towards the inefficient gaps and then print a new all time high
Reliance Industries LtdDate : 20.05.2025
Reliance
Timeframe : Day Chart
Remarks :
1 OIL-TO-CHEMICALS SEGMENT (~57% of revenues) - It has a crude refining capacity of 1.4 million barrels per day. It also has the largest single site refinery complex globally
2 RETAIL SEGMENT (~26% of revenues) - operates ~15,200 retail stores and has a customer base of ~19 crore customers.
Operates various digital commerce platforms including JioMart, milkbasket, Reliance Digital, Ajio, zivame, urban ladder, netmeds and others.
Some of its acquisitions under the segment include Justdial, 7-Eleven, milkbasket, Manish Malhotra, Clovia, Dunzo,
3 DIGITAL SERVICES BUSINESS (Jio) (~14% of revenues) - A total subscriber base of ~41 crore subscribers approximately. Approx a market share of 36% in India.
4 OIL & GAS E&P BUSINESS(~2% of revenues) - RIL as an integrated E&P Operator is India’s leading Deepwater Operator.
Conventional oil and gas blocks in Krishna Godavari and Mahanadi basins and two Coal Bed Methane (CBM) blocks, Sohagpur (East) and Sohagpur (West) in Madhya Pradesh.
5 Media & Entertainment Business
CNBC TV
Colors
MTV
Nick
History TV.
It also owns digital platforms such as moneycontrol, News 18, CNBC, firstpost, voot and bookmyshow.
Areas Of Concern :
The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 10.1% over past 5 years.
Company has a low return on equity of 8.89% over last 3 years.
Holding Pattern :
Promoter = 50.10%
DII = 19.36%
FII = 19.07%
Public = 11.29%
Government = 0.17%
Valuations :
Stock PE = 28
ROCE = 9.43%
ROE = 8.51%
Book Value = 2.45 X
OPM = 17%
Sales Growth = 7.30% (YOY)
Profit Growth = -0.21% (YOY)
Regards,
Ankur
KIRI INDUSTRIES 7 years breakout Technical Analysis Report: KIRI Industries Ltd. (NSE: KIRIINDUS)
Date: May 20, 2025 Timeframe: Monthly Chart
Price Action Overview
KIRI Industries Ltd. is showing signs of a 7-year breakout, with the price currently around ₹705.55, surpassing a key resistance zone. This breakout could indicate the beginning of a sustained bullish trend if supported by strong momentum.
Key Observations
Breakout Confirmation: The stock has moved above the previous consolidation range, signaling potential accumulation by institutional investors.
Volume Analysis: Higher trading volumes have accompanied the breakout, reinforcing the strength of the move.
Support Levels: The immediate support now lies around ₹600-₹650, where past price action suggests demand zones.
Resistance Levels: The next significant resistance is observed near ₹1,000, marking a psychological barrier.
Trend Strength Indicators:
RSI: Various RSI readings indicate strong momentum, with monthly RSI at 66.39, suggesting bullish sentiment but not yet overbought.
MACD: Bullish crossover on the monthly timeframe, confirming trend continuation potential.
Order Blocks: Key demand zones marked near ₹145-₹235, which previously acted as accumulation areas.
Conclusion & Trading Plan
The breakout above ₹705.55 suggests renewed investor interest. Possible trading approaches:
Retest Entry: Buying near ₹650-₹700 upon a pullback, ensuring risk management.
Momentum Entry: Entering at current levels with a stop-loss near ₹600, targeting ₹1,000+ in the medium term.
Risk Considerations: While indicators show strength, traders should watch for potential pullbacks before trend continuation.
Disclaimer:
The analysis provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions may change rapidly, and investors should conduct independent research or consult a financial expert before making trading decisions.
GOLD MARKET UPDATE - BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!🔥 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE SHAKES INVESTORS | BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!
Gold experienced a sharp drop following the latest hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, as they reaffirmed that current monetary conditions remain stable and tight. This has caused confusion and panic among many investors, leading to a wave of sell-offs during the U.S. and early Asia sessions.
📉 On the higher timeframes, Gold appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern – a classic consolidation structure before a potential continuation move. Despite the strong bullish momentum seen during the Asian and European sessions yesterday, the key resistance near 325x held firm, preventing any major breakout.
For now, Gold seems to be trapped in a new sideways range, and unless price decisively breaks above 325x, we may continue to see choppy price action within this zone.
⚠️ However, if the current selling momentum persists and the price breaks down below the lower trendline support, the bearish flag setup could play out, with up to 80% probability, signaling a potential strong continuation of the downtrend.
Traders should stay extremely alert – a major price movement could happen at any moment!
🔑 Key Support Levels:
3205
3294
3280
3262
🔑 Key Resistance Levels:
3244
3262
3278
3286
💹 Scalping Setup – BUY:
Entry: 3294–3292
Stop Loss: 3288
Take Profit Targets:
3298 – 3302 – 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3272–3270
Stop Loss: 3266
Take Profit Targets:
3276 – 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3330
🔻 Scalping Setup – SELL:
Entry: 3242–3244
Stop Loss: 3248
Take Profit Targets:
3238 – 3234 – 3230 – 3226 – 3220 – 3210
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3276–3278
Stop Loss: 3282
Take Profit Targets:
3272 – 3268 – 3264 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240
📌 Remember to always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital!