Futures
Nifty Chart set up, view and Strategy for 17 Dec expiry Nifty
CMP 13533
Prima facie the chart set up reflects resistance at red line and Blue line likely to provide support
F&O data reflects unwinding of position seen yesterday in Index Futures by FIIs after a long time.
Given the set up, and Data analysis one may consider
Selling Nifty 13700 Call Option between 45-55 (CMP 46)
The strategy provides protection against loss for a rise up to 13745-13755
Today we are seeing a lot of activity in Put side too so even downside may be limited. We still feel this could be a range bound scenario
For Risk Management Exit if today's closing is above 13600.
We would reaffirm or reconsider our position on Monday after analyzing today's EOD F&O data
Hit the Like button and follow for more such ideas. For details on Data Analysis report you can message in private.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Things to consider in Futures & Options tradingDear Trader,
“We all want progress, but if you're on the wrong road, progress means doing an about-turn and walking back to the right road; in that case, the man who turns back soonest is the most progressive.” – C.S. Lewis
Many a times I see retail participants buying Call and Put options based on hope. Even on 10th December 2020, Data analysis suggested retail participants were buying 13400 Puts and 13500 Calls in hope of big movement which never materialized.
Our F&O data analysis shared on 08th Dec 2020, when Nifty was at 13413 odd levels gave us an indication of a rangebound movement for Nifty index and accordingly a short strangle strategy was suggested to sell 13500 Call option and sell 13200 Put option for 10 Dec 2020 expiry.
Nifty closed at 13478 which means the strategy gave us the desired results.
One of the fundamental factors that can make a difference in your trading success depends on
Are you willing to put in efforts to do your study / home work ?
Let me put it in simple way for you to understand..
- In exams, who do you think has a higher probability to score better marks – one who has prepared well for exams or one who is giving exams based on luck
- Who has a better chance of cracking an interview for a job – one who has prepared well for it or one who goes unprepared
- at interview the interviewer asks questions and is willing to let go 10 candidates in search of that 1 Mr Right Fit candidate. Why if you are an interviewer you are willing to reject... Because the person getting selected will get salary but for Company that is an investment and we want to be sure that would be a good Return on Investment, Isn't it?
- and Why as an interviewee we prepare for the interview... Because we want to start earning, right?
If we can do this for the Company where we work or want to work, then why in trading (where we are dealing with our own hard earned money, we want ROI and want to start earning) we neglect the importance of these 2 factors...
- ignore the importance of preparation. &
- Can you let go 10 trading opportunities for that 1 opportunity that has a higher probability of success with better risk::reward ratio.
Can you not be more selective in your trading decisions...?
My Mission is to
- empower retail traders with the right information before they enter a trade in Nifty Futures / Options,
- rationalize your expectations
- help you avoid make mistakes and
- realize your true potential to be profitable by being selective and trading with knowledge…
For details you can get in touch...!!!
Follow and hit the Like button if you agree on the points above and want to improve...
Let me know your views / thoughts in the comment section below.
Take care & safe trading...!!!
F&O Trade Analysis for trade date 07-Dec-2020Nifty
FIIs Net sold 11765 Contracts worth Rs 1129.79 Cr
Futures Data
- Retail participants added 8.39K Long Contracts & exited 1.38K Short contracts
- FIIs booked profits in 12.61K Long Contracts and exited 850 Short Contracts
- Pro traders added 1.78K Long contracts and exited 508 Short contracts
Call Option
- Retail participants added 1.11 Lakh Call Long Contracts & added 94.5 K Call Short contracts
- FIIs added 13.05 K Call Long Contracts and added 15.35 K Short Contracts
- Pro traders added 23.18 K Call Long contracts and added 38.29 K Call Short contracts
Put Option
- Retail participants added 2.10 Lakh Put Long Contracts & added 1.78 Lakh Short contracts
- FIIs added 7.11 K Put Long Contracts and added 14.75 K Put Short Contracts
- Pro traders added 55.48 K Put Long contracts and added 79.87 K Put Short contracts
FIIs booked profits in Index Futures and Retail traders have gone long in Index Futures and in Options have positioned themselves in expectation of a fall. Market rarely favors the bigger position in Options.
Nifty was in green but Nifty volumes were 18.5% lower than yesterday and reduction in Open Interest was also seen where as
Bank Nifty volumes were 28.9% lower.
We could potentially be in for a range bound movement.
Given the data, one may consider selling Nifty 10 Dec expiry
13500 Call Option around 35
&
13200 Put option around 30
Lot size 75
Max profit potential 75*65= Rs 4875/-
Loss if Nifty closes above 13565 or below 13135 on 10 Dec 2020
Take care & safe trading...!!!
If you want daily access to our F&O Data Analysis, you can get in touch.
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
- We do our best to ensure that the data we release is complete, accurate and useful. However, because we do not create the data, and because the processing required to make the data useful is complex, we cannot be liable for omissions or inaccuracies
- The user expressly acknowledges that the Data may contain some nonconformities, defects, or errors.
- Neither Indiamarketoutlook nor the author shall be liable for any claim for any loss, or other damage arising from access to or use of data or information
INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER BREAKOUT IN HDFC LIFEHDFC LIFE A GOOD BUY?
HDFC LIFE Insurance had broken out of the the Inverse Head & Shoulders neckline on 17th Nov 2020 . Refer to the image above to see the breakout and re-test of the neckline.
The prices had broken out and have already re-tested the neckline, now is the best chance to enter into the trade and BUY, take advantage of the price action . As we know the Target for the Head & Shoulders is the difference between the Neckline and the Peak. However, to be on the safe side I have taken the distance between the smaller peak and the neckline. Refer to the image below to see the targets & smaller peak.
Remember to enter only above the last day's high which is at 650 . So you can BUY above 650 You can also have a trailing stop loss to have multiple entry & exit points. The 1st Major target is around 765 price level & the 2nd Major target is around 800 price level .
Happy Trading & Investing, let me know if you liked the analysis and please give your feedback to help me publish ideas better.
Nifty: Chart set up and trading view
Nifty
CMP 12540
Nifty opens gap up yet another day and is up 75 odd points. So is it time to celebrate or time to be cautious???
Lets look at chart set up
In the chart we observe
- Nifty Breakaway Gap up
- Nifty Continuation Gap up
- today's yet another Gap up opening could potentially turn out to be an Exhaustion Gap
So it would be wise not to get too excited for any fresh entry in Nifty for Long position
Given the set up, One may consider selling
Nifty 12600 Call option
Expiry: 12 Nov
around 55-62 ( CMP 58.5)
The strategy gives protection for a rise in price up to 12658
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
bitcoin : parabolic! hasn't even taken a breatherbitcoin is on a parabolic run, this is the kinda trend where you don't wanna guess the top, btc has a habit of exceeding expectations, on the 4hr it hasn't touched the green band in 35 days! & is up 40% since last time it did. Same enthusiasm can be seen on the 1min chart. Anything is possible.
UShort
SGXNifty vs Nifty50The difference is mentioned on the chart. As you can see the white line which represents Nifty50 is flushed together against the price movement of the SGXNifty. Traders use this instrument to gather a sense of the direction of the market for the day. This is not a sure shot method of determining the open or the direction, but it offers a good indication.
Today, the SGXNifty is trading about 20 points lower (7:45am), indicating a flat open for the day. When you come into the market with a bias, this can either confirm or reject that bias and help you create a more accurate trade plan for the day.
Nifty showing resistance from its important trendline...As we have seen that nifty is taking resistance from its importance trendling on daily time framealso we have decreasing momentum on RSi showing that the buyers are dimnishing. 11400-11450 comes out be important resistance zone one must stay cautious here. Longs should be avoided here.. if any correction comes nifty can test its previous support levels of 11000-10800 zones...
Nifty Chart setup and strategy Nifty
CMP 11414
- Nifty is trading near crucial resistance zone of 11433-11536
Given the set up consider selling Nifty 11500 Call Option
Discliamer:
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Take care & safe trading..!!!






















