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Ict

Nifty laying traps... another one for sellers...Hello Traders! The market is constantly trapping sellers without moving to the downside. Right now, nothing in draw on liquidity is obvious. It, frankly, can go either ways . And what does it mean when we can frame both sides of market using ICT concepts? It means that we have LOW PROBABILITY conditions . I'm sitting on the sidelines until the market gains clarity, favouring buyside delivery. As long as the invalidation low of 22725 holds, my bias would remain bullish . Once that low is taken, I'm not interested in price and would wait for the market to provide more info. When it looks that it can go either ways, the market structure gets filthy and PRECISION leaves the chat. WAIT FOR MORE CLARITY . Or gamble . It's absolutely your choice . Have a safe trading day. GLGT.
NSE:NIFTY
by SatyajeetSahai
Fibre/EURUSD ready to move higher...Hello traders! There is so much on the Daily chart of Fibre that points to obvious bullishness of the market that I could not place all of it on the chart. But I have marked what seemed crucial to be seen. Market has taken smooth lows of 15th, 16th, 17th, & 20th January, 2025 and strongly rejected from 1.02113 . Also, observe how 20th January's daily candle shifted the market structure . We're inside a Bullish breaker on the daily, supported by a daily ifvg (check how the market has respected the consequent encroachment of that gap perfectly). Things don't end here. DXY has broken the range to the downside with lower draws. Market symmetry is currently missing but Fibre should follow DXY soon. The draw and the targets for the weekly range have been marked on the chart. Equal highs is the low hanging fruit. Narrative is paramount when it comes to applying ICT concepts. That takes a lot of practice and time. Having said that, let's discuss when this idea will be marked as failed. 3 PDAs. If 3 PDAs fail on the daily timeframe, I'll not engage the market and wait for more feedback from the market. Have a wonderful and learning-oriented week. GLGT.
Long
by SatyajeetSahai
Nifty about to TRAP longs... Bullish? Think AGAIN!Hello traders! I'm looking at equal lows/sellside as the draw. My narrative is that we would take out any longs remaining with BUYSIDE at 23144.70 . If we gap up above buyside, which is what I expect, it would be an easy day for shorts. If we gap down, we may see a rush up to buyside and then take the move forward to SELLSIDE at 22786.90 . But whatever the gap scenario is, my draw remains towards 22786.90... GLGT! Not financial advice.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by SatyajeetSahai
1
WILL THIS BEARISH ORDER BLOCK HOLD THE PRICE OR NOT.To evaluate whether a bearish order block will hold the price, it typically need to consider several factors, including: 1. **Market Context**: Understand the current market sentiment (bullish or bearish) and trend. Is the overall market in a downtrend, or is there potential for a reversal? 2. **Time Frame**: The significance of an order block can vary depending on the time frame you’re analyzing. Higher time frames (like daily or weekly) usually carry more weight than lower time frames (like hourly or 15 minutes). 3. **Price Action**: Look at the price action leading up to the order block. Is there momentum in either direction? Are there significant support or resistance levels nearby? 4. **Volume**: Analyze trading volume around the order block. High volume may indicate stronger conviction in the price action, while low volume could suggest a lack of interest. 5. **Market News and Events**: Economic releases, earnings reports, or geopolitical events can impact price behavior and may affect whether an order block holds. 6. **Liquidity**: Ensure that the market has enough liquidity to sustain price levels around the order block. Always conduct thorough analysis and consider risk management practices in trading.
FX:UKOILSPOTShort
by yjp1155
a bearish order block failed to hold the price in it. Here’s an analysis of the situation: Bearish Order Block Defined: The bearish order block is the last bullish candle before a significant downward movement, often acting as a supply zone where sellers are expected to be strong. Reasons for the Wick Break: Liquidity Grab (Stop Hunt): The wick could represent a liquidity grab, where price briefly breaks above the bearish order block to trigger stop-loss orders placed by sellers or to entice breakout buyers before reversing. Market Imbalance: There could have been a need to fill orders at higher levels due to prior inefficiencies or imbalance in the market. Strong Bullish Momentum: If buyers were dominant, the bearish order block might have failed to hold the price, albeit temporarily. News or Economic Events: Unexpected news or data releases could cause a spike in volatility, leading to such wick formations. Outcome of the Wick: Following the wick, it seems the price returned below the bearish order block, indicating that it was likely a false breakout or liquidity grab, and the bearish order block remained relevant. I also love to here more solutions from you. Feel free to comment...
Short
by yjp1155
2
All we need is just one concept... AUDUSD bearish...Greetings fellow traders! I was originally bullish on AUDUSD, until I hit consistent stops on my longs which pushed me to check higher timeframes for clarity and bias . I really love the Purge and Revert concept as it's easy to spot and trade. The 2022 model combined with P&R... Trading is simple, but not easy . The more we complicate it, the tougher it gets. Have an insightful trading week ahead! Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
Short
by SatyajeetSahai
Yen to go bulls till 162... Greetings fellow traders! I have always been majorly bullish on the Yen. I expect to see it tap 200.000 some time in the future. But that's just a weak expectation and not a proper forecast. Let's get into what 'my' forecast is. Yen swept the sellside liquidity below 140.000 , which was Dec'23 swing low, in Sep'24. The structure shifted on the weekly timeframe (marked as wmss) with a strong bullish marubozu type bar, showing the excitement and strength of the market. The seasonality of Yen tells us that the pair tends to peak around November-December . Now, if we club this with the current scenario and data, we can expect market to hit 162.000 before New Year 2025 . Is that a necessity? Of course, no. But that is what we expect after reading the market. What does @I_Am_ICT always say? The market does not have to get to where we want it to go, to be profitable. The major concept that I've applied in the whole analysis is Purge and Revert on the monthly timeframe & clubbed it with various other scenarios and timeframes to conclude to this analysis. There are certain levels and imbalances which can be of value and have been marked on the charts attached. One may refer to them for more info. Trading conversations are welcome. PS- It can be expected, looking at the daily and LTFs, that some retracement into discount prices is possible before a rally. Have an insightful trading week ahead! Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
Long
by SatyajeetSahai
1
PVRINOX long based on ICT concepts. Swing trade PVR has swept a monthly low and closed above a bearish weekly FVG so for the time being, I will be expecting higher prices. On the daily chart, we have a sweep at the lows again before creating a new bullish FVG upward. I do not think price will retrace deep into the recent bullish leg because of all the PD arrays stacked one against another. Therefore, I will enter at the midpoint of the most recent bullish FVG and target the weekly imbalance with stops at the low.
NSE:PVRINOXLong
by nangkhrawnongbak463