LICI | Swing Trade📊 Details
Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) is the largest insurance provider company in India. It has a market share of above 66.2% in new business premium. The company offers participating insurance products and non-participating products like unit-linked insurance products, saving insurance products, term insurance products, health insurance, and annuity & pension products.
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Investment
GRASIM | Investment Pick📊 Details
Grasim Industries Limited is the flagship company of the Aditya Birla group, it ranks amongst India's largest private sector companies. On standalone basis, GIL’s core businesses comprise of viscose Staple fibre (VSF), caustic soda, speciality chemicals, rayon-grade wood pulp (RGWP) with plants at multiple locations. It also has certain other businesses such as fertiliser, textile, etc.
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BPCL | Swing Trade📊 Details
Bharat Petroleum Corporation is a public sector company which is engaged in the business of refining of crude oil and marketing of petroleum products.
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely for educational purposes and does not make me a SEBI registered analyst.
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EICHERMOT | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Automobile - LCVS/ HVCS
Mkt Cap: 94,717 cr
Eicher Motors Limited, incorporated in 1982, is the listed company of the Eicher Group in India and a leading player in the Indian automobile industry and the global leader in middleweight motorcycles.
Eicher has a joint venture with Sweden’s AB Volvo to create Volvo Eicher Commercial Vehicles Limited (VECV). VECV is engaged in truck and bus operations, auto components business, and technical consulting services business
TTM PE : 29.39 (Low PE)
Sector PE : 52.85
Beta : 0.83
📚 INSIGHTS
Strong Performer
Stock with consistent financial performance, quality management, and strong technical momentum indicating good investor enthusiasm. Currently valued at Good to expensive valuation
10.84% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Eicher Motors up by 2.67% v/s NIFTY 50 down by -1.36% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 5/9 indicates Average Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis Is For educational purposes only, And I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
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GAIL | Investment Pick📊 Details
Incorporated in 1984, GAIL, a Government of India undertaking, is an integrated natural gas company in India. It owns over 11,500 km of natural gas pipelines, over 2300 km of LPG pipelines, six LPG gas-processing units and a petrochemicals facility. It also has a joint-venture interest in Petronet LNG Ltd, Ratnagiri Gas and Power Pvt Ltd, and in the CGD business in several cities. GAIL has wholly owned subsidiaries in Singapore and the US for expanding its presence outside India in the segments of LNG, petrochemical trading and shale gas assets.
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IPCALAB | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Pharmaceuticals & Drugs
Mkt Cap: 24,145 cr
Ipca Laboratories is engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of pharmaceuticals.(Source : 201903 Annual Report Page No: 68)
TTM PE : 49.16 (High PE)
Sector PE : 43.66
Beta : 0.31
📚 INSIGHTS
Mid range performer
Stock with medium financial performance with average price momentum and valuation. These stocks may be affordable and are showing some investors interest.
0.67% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Ipca Laboratories up by 5.41% v/s NIFTY 50 down by -0.66% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 4/9 indicates Weak Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis Is For educational purposes only, And I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
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BIRLACORPN | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Diversified
Mkt Cap: 9,895 cr
Birla corporation It is a company of M.P Birla Group. The Co is engaged in the manufacturing of cement of various kinds and also has a presence in the jute goods industry.
TTM PE : 258.55 (High PE)
Sector PE : 48.06
Beta : 0.97
📚 INSIGHTS
Strong Performer
Stock with consistent financial performance, quality management, and strong technical momentum indicating good investor enthusiasm. Currently valued at Good to expensive valuation
4.64% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Birla Corporation down by -0.59% v/s NIFTY 50 down by -1.96% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 6/9 indicates Average Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
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INDIACEM | Swing Trade📊 Details
India Cements Ltd is a leading cement manufacturing company headquartered in Chennai. It was incorporated in the year 1946 by Shri S N N Sankaralinga Iyer and Sri T S Narayanaswami. While retaining cement over the years as its mainstay, India Cements has ventured into related fields like shipping, captive power and coal mining that have purposeful synergy to the core business. The co is also a sponsor of the IPL franchise “Chennai Super Kings”.
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APTECH LTD : A good Buy for Long Term CMP: 254.70The stock has retraced to 0.618 of the Fib series from its all time high of 418.35 which it reached on 30th May 2023 and has been falling continuously to touch a low of 243.90 on 9th Nov 2023. Thats a drop of over 41% from its all time high.
The stock is finding support at the current levels which happens to be the Monthly and Weekly Instutional Buy Zone and also the 0.618 Fib Retracement level.. this level is a good area for institutional investors to come in.
The average 30 day Volume is around 311 K whereas the last few days the volumes has been in the range of over 750K. This means good buying is coming in these levels.
The monthly Institutional buy zone is between 207/- and 250/-
The stock is still trading below the falling trend line and the ideal buy would be after a confirmed close above the trend line with better than average daily volumes, however since this is a good stock and it is in the important support levels, one can start buying partly ( as per your risk appetite) at these levels and accumulate if it comes lower and within the buy zone mentioned above.
Target: We are looking at a long term target (1.50 to 2 years) of Rs.525/-
CONFIPET | Mini Swing Trade📊 Details
Confidence Petroleum India Ltd is engaged in manufacturing of LPG cylinders and is also a supplier of auto LPG in India with its network of bottling plants and Auto LPG dispensing stations across India. It also supplies packed LPG cylinders and is also engaged in LPG bottling catering to industrial and commercial customers.
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Investment_ Yes BankNamaste!
Yes Bank has been a favourite stock for retail public. Due to it's penny price, it attracts a lot of retail attention.
I think it is a good time to invest in Yes Bank because of following reasons.
1. According to me, any retail person will think of Yes Bank and Idea, if he has given a choice to buy some large-cap stocks. Generally, businesses like telecom, aviation, manufacturing, automobile, etc hasn't been a good wealth creators , just look at the history.
Whereas, pharma, banks and financial institutions, services (IT) and technology, etc has been very good wealth creators. So Idea being a telecom company, it is to be avoided for now. So we have only one choice left, that is Yes Bank.
2. Yes Bank suffered a huge huge downfall in the stock prices, when a fraud of around Rs 5000 crores has been reported. The promoters provided loans to the businesses, which had weak fundamentals and without determining repayment risks.
3. RBI doesn't want people to doubt on banking system , so it ordered (SBIN and LICI on behalf of the government) and others (HDFC, ICICI) etc to save the Yes Bank. Now SBIN is the largest shareholder with 30% holding in Yes Bank.
4. Banks has been a good wealth creators, thanks to booming economy and financial system of India. So, I thoroughly think that Yes Bank stock prices will rebound.
5. The worst case scenario would be, Yes Bank to be acquired by some other private bank. I don't think it will be acquired by SBIN or any other govt owned companies, because the government is already selling its stakes in public sector undertakings.
Just look at the worst case scenario at Satyam Computers. It had been acquired by Mahindra, at a penny price after reporting "window-dressing" of financial statements. Now, it's shareholders would have got Tech Mahindra shares and it is among the good wealth creators.
Conclusion: Investment at current prices is fine. Yes Bank might be a good pick for a portfolio, along with other strong companies to maximize overall returns. Some ventures capitals generally invest in around 10 risky start-ups, 8 of them fail but 2 of them multiply the capital 20 fold, they still make good money in the end. Yes Bank has a very high reward potential due to it's current price. Making money via investing requires patience, strong self discipline, risk appetite, etc, so invest wisely.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Investment_ LICI (Life Insurance Corp)Namaste!
LICI has been hit hard for the mainly two reasons,
1. Previous performance of other IPO stocks such as Paytm, Zomato, Etc.
2. Current bearish sell-off (in over all global markets).
Investment Objective: If Nifty/Sensex give 10-12% annual average return, my goal is to beat the index. Means we will try to generate >12% annual return. We can include stocks with high risk and high reward (such as Paytm, Zomato and LICI) to make a portfolio, along with other blue-chip stocks so that, we increase our returns with a little increase in our risk. I would not advice investing more than 10% of your investment capital in each. Remaining 70% should be invested in other blue-chip stocks.
The logic: Look, there is always a resistance at the high of red candles. As you can see in the chart, this will be the 3rd attempt for a breakout. Each time the resistance get a hit, it becomes weaker and weaker. The probability of a breakout increases with the number of hits. So, Rs 669.40 is a most logical price for an entry. Always remember, our goal is to beat the index. As long as our basket of stocks performs well, we should be happy.
Disclaimer: Investment carries an element of financial risk. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your due-diligence before investing.
Investment_ Muthoot FinanceNamaste!
Muthoot Finance is one of my favourite stocks in the finance sector. The formulae I use to calculate intrinsic value suggests this stock, whereas it somewhat fails in the valuation of Bajaj Finance, SBI Cards, etc.
It is trading at a PE (Price to earnings ratio) of 11.62, whereas Bajaj Finance is 51.29 and SBI Cards is 45.53.
In most cases, the lower PE is better. The intrinsic value stands around Rs 3000, assuming growth to be 17.2% YoY and 6.1% Indian treasury yields.
The reasons to buy this stock:-
1. Low PE and intrinsic value.
2. 1.75% Dividend Yields.
3. >20% correction in stock price.
Q: What price should I buy?
A: The current price of Rs 1144 is a good price.
Please do not invest more than 10% of your capital. I suggest many stocks, but it is your responsibility to choose your favourite ones.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Investment_ AmazonNamaste!
Amazon has corrected enough to look attractive to value investors. VI basically mean they will look for:
1. Low P/E ratio,
2. An long term up-trending stock (Amazon is that),
3. Fear in the markets, Etc.
Investors like Warren Buffet doesn't buy when the market is at all time high and people think it will keep going up in a straight line.
He and other value investors wait for an opportunity, when there is fear and it results in considerable fall in the stock prices. It's when they come in.
For Amazon, I can say with 100% confidence, value investors must be jumping in. This opportunity (because of correction) is rare and happens in 4-5 years approx. They are smart people and following them is a smarter decision. Amazon is definitely a buy, at current prices or at break of 118.
The most important rule in Investing is, never ever sell at a loss. There are only two possibilities in my opinion, either the company goes bankrupt, or you make money.
Disclaimer: Investment carries an element of financial risk. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your due-diligence before investing. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Investment_ HCL TechTrading and investing are completely different in nature.
In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not.
We buy high and sell even higher.
But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically.
"Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company."
So here I am with a stock named HCL Tech. According to my method of calculating intrinsic value, it's not worth more than ₹700 a share.
It has broken its daily trendline on charts. And I am expecting it to come at least near my intrinsic value. Well, this will not happen overnight, it may take several months, to several years.
But, what if the stock didn't come down to my intrinsic value?
I won't buy it for investing. Never.
Short term trades can be taken, which can even last for several months, but for investing? Nope.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.
Investment_ ITCTrading and investing are completely different in nature.
In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not.
We buy high and sell even higher.
But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically.
"Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company."
So here I am with a stock named ITC. According to my method of calculating intrinsic value, it is worth around ₹300 a share.
I will start accumulating shares, near Rs 180 levels (strong weekly support). Well, this will not happen overnight. It may take several months.
Some questions answered:-
Q: If it is a fundamentally good company, why the price is not moving up? Does the market doesn’t know anything?
A: Nope. Market knows everything. But, the market generally moves in a direction of “what is expected and what is unexpected”.
Q: So, what’s expected in ITC?
A: Well, it’s a good company, good cashflow, no debt, professionally managed company, etc. When the company performs “as expected”, why should its price move in either direction? Price only moves when unexpected things happen.
Q: Should the people sell the shares who has already bought and invested in it, so that they can buy at a lesser price?
A: Nope. Absolutely not. Investment is not a buy-sell game. It must have long-term view (5 years, 10 years, etc.).
Q: Then what's the solution?
A: Add more shares. Yes. As long as the company is fundamentally strong, buying at dip or discount is best for investing perspective. And this company is giving dividend of Rs 5 approx every year. That translates into at least 2.5 % every year if the current price taken into consideration.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.
Investment_ Coal IndiaTrading and investing are completely different in nature.
In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not.
We buy high and sell even higher.
But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved sustainable historically.
"Intrinsic value is upgraded or declined based on fundamental changes. I amend my intrinsic value every year based on the growth of the company."
So here I am with a stock named Coal India. According to Sir Benjamin Graham's method of calculating Intrinsic Value, it is worth around ₹249 a share.
A shareholder mainly makes profit from different two ways, 1. Appreciation in the share price and 2. Dividend paid by the company. This stock is offering "9.13%" dividend yield. It means that you're getting approximately 9.13% return every year as a dividend payment (which is obviously better return than current FD rates). And I think the share price will also appreciate in the upcoming months. Why?
Let's analyze what we see in charts.
It had formed "Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern" (a bullish reversal chart pattern) on weekly charts during the month of Feb. It looked like it breakout of neckline on 22 Feb weekly candle. But it proved fake breakout and reversed backed to consolidation. Now I think the neck-line is already weak. I am expecting a huge breakout in upcoming months which can take stock to Rs 200 levels or even higher. Well, this will not happen overnight, it will take months to years as well. But I think staying invested in this stock is not a bad deal as long as it has very good dividend yield.
Some questions answered:
Q: At what price should I buy?
A: Well, this stock looks hugely undervalued and I suggest to start accumulating shares NOW.
Q: Well, if it is good undervalued fundamentally strong company, why the prices doesn't move up?
A: Like most of the public sector companies, it pay most of the profit in form of dividend. Therefore, on ex-dividend date, the prices get already discounted to dividend paid by the company. And investors are happy with the dividends paid by the company which restricts them to bet for higher prices (like what we are seeing in the Metal sector now).
Q: Should I buy shares tomorrow, at on go?
A: Nope. Divide your capital in at least 3 lots. You buy first lot tomorrow, second lot after 2-3 week (as you like) and third lot AFTER BREAKOUT.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for informational and educational purposes only.