Bata - Long SetupIt is clear from the chart that the price is at the long-time support level of around 1550. if bounces back from this level, may go into a bullish phase. That may carry the price to 1720/1770 and even more.
Long time target seems around 2100.
This setup fails if the price trades below 1515 for a couple of days. Unless it comes above 1550 again. This point in time is good for this buy setup in terms of risk-reward ratio.
This illustration is only for learning and sharing purposes, not a piece of trading advice in any form.
All the best.
Investment
MARKET CRASHNSE:NIFTY TVC:DJI
US market 1929 vs 2024
Is it just coincidence or is history going to repeat itself ??
Great Depression, was a worldwide economic downturn that began in 1929 and lasted until about 1939. It was the longest and most severe depression ever experienced by the industrialized Western world, sparking fundamental changes in economic institutions, macroeconomic policy, and economic theory.
Similarities and differences between the microeconomic conditions during the start of the 1929 market crash and those in 2024.
Similarities
Credit Expansion and Financial Innovation:
1929: The 1920s saw significant credit expansion, with many Americans buying stocks on margin (borrowing money to buy stocks), leading to inflated stock prices.
2024: Similarly, the 2020s have seen rapid credit expansion globally, with innovations in financial products and increased borrowing, contributing to elevated asset prices1.
High Leverage:
1929: High leverage was prevalent, particularly in the stock market, where investors borrowed heavily to invest.
2024: High leverage is also a concern today, not just in stock markets but across various sectors, including real estate and corporate debt1.
Financial Sector Vulnerabilities:
1929: The financial sector was vulnerable due to speculative investments and lack of regulation, leading to bank failures.
2024: Today’s financial sector, while more regulated, still faces vulnerabilities from high leverage and interconnected global markets1.
Economic Contraction:
1929: The U.S. experienced a severe economic contraction, leading to the Great Depression.
2024: There are concerns about economic contraction due to various factors, including high inflation, geopolitical tensions, and slowing growth in major economies.
Differences
Policy Responses:
1929: The policy response was slow and inadequate. The Federal Reserve’s actions were limited, and there was a lack of coordinated fiscal policy.
2024: Today’s policy responses are much more proactive. Central banks and governments have implemented significant monetary and fiscal measures to stabilize economies.
Globalization:
1929: The global economy was less interconnected, with the U.S. being the primary driver of the economic downturn.
2024: The global economy is highly interconnected, meaning economic issues in one region can quickly spread to others. This interconnectedness also allows for coordinated policy responses.
Technological Advancements:
1929: Technological advancements were limited, affecting communication and the speed of economic activities.
2024: Technological advancements have transformed economies, enabling faster communication, better data analysis, and more efficient markets1.
Regulatory Environment:
1929: There was minimal regulation of financial markets, contributing to speculative bubbles and bank failures.
2024: The regulatory environment is much stricter, with measures in place to prevent excessive risk-taking and ensure financial stability.
Conclusion
While there are some striking similarities between the microeconomic conditions of 1929 and 2024, particularly in terms of credit expansion, high leverage, and financial sector vulnerabilities, the differences in policy responses, globalization, technological advancements, and regulatory environments are significant. These differences suggest that while there are risks, the tools available to manage economic downturns are more robust today.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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Disclaimer
NOT SEBI REGISTERED
This is our personal view and this analysis
is only for educational purposes
Please consult your advisor before
investing or trading
You are solely responsible for any decisions
you take on the basis of our research.
PAYTM LONG TERM INVESTING IDEAPAYTM on weekly chart has now stopped falling further and now consolidating on the lower levels.
Current price level is good to enter and we can add further at around 450 level.
Stop loss can be put around 400 or trail using 20/50 EMA.
This is a LONG term and a bit risky bet but if you have faith in paytm's fundamentals these are really good levels ;)
GLOBUS SPIRITS!!!!Globus Spirits is currently in an downward trend, but this stock has the potential to rebound fast.
This stock should be bought @750 as it shows an level for support.
If it still falls then stock should be AVG @660 as there is an strong support for the stock.
TARGET 1: 850
TARGET 2: 895
TRAGET 3: 960
.
please comment your views
.
NOTE: ELECTION PERIOD MATTERS!!!
Ascending Triangle pattern breakout in HINDPETROHINDUSTAN PETROLIUM LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Ascending Triangle Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 480+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 370-.
Understanding Risk-ManagementThe stock is trading at lower prices if you see last month's movements. In the last few days, it formed a double bottom
and again came down to lower levels. If reverses from these levels, a bull run may come.
The risk-reward ratio is good at this point.
1. If we enter at 940 while considering the stop-loss at 860 - the loss will be 60 points.
2. If prices go in our desired direction, the final target comes at 1500 - the profit will be 560 points.
So we have to keep our position size in a way that if we have to exit at a loss, that should be manageable for us.
This means we should be ready for that loss. Else while going in profits, we may exit at the first target of 1140.
Let's calculate the quantity of 25.
If we have to exit at a stop-loss of 860 - the loss will be 2000.
If the price reaches the first target of 1140 - the profit will be 5000
if the price reaches the final target of 1500 - the profit will be 14000
We should always keep our position size in accordance with our risk capacity.
Risk management is a general concept in every aspect of our life and normally we follow this other than the stock market.
Only for learning and sharing purposes, not a bit of trading advice in any form. Please do your own analysis before taking any trade or consult your financial advisor.
All the best.
Infosys - A Long ViewCMP - 1627 on 04.07.24
The weekly chart shows the support and resistance to the price movement.
If crosses 1680 and sustains above, it may go into a bullish phase.
Possible targets are 1730/1850/1900++
MACD is also showing a possible crossover.
At the the time of crossing 1730, we will complete the head & shoulder pattern formation which is in progress right now.
Keep in mind that the support seems around 1510, which can be seen at any time of correction.
Better to make the strategy according to the cash segment, which allows us to accumulate many times.
If the price trades below the triangular pattern, this setup will go weak.
Always plan your trade, in any case, the risk-reward ratio must be good. Don't hesitate to exit when hitting your risk management.
This illustration is only for learning and sharing purposes, not trading or investment advice in any form.
All the best.
RBL Bank - Low Risk OpportunityCMP 235 on 28.07.24
The stock price has been traveling in a rising wedge pattern in the last months. This time, again at the lower levels of the wedge. A pink support line is to be noticed too. It has taken support on this line and bounced back 3-4 times. So it seems at multiple support this time.
In the last 2 sessions, the stock has shown some reversal signs with bigger volumes. MACD should also be considered.
If the pattern continues, we may see targets of 260/280/300 in the coming weeks.
Buy levels are between 235 and 225 in split quantity.
Please remember that if the price is sustained below the pink support line, it will bring weakness to the trade setup. One has to start thinking of an exit if trading below the pink line.
Always keep your risk management in your control. Plan some position sizing in these kinds of setups.
This illustration is only for learning and sharing purposes, not trading or investment advice in any form.
All the best.
KRBL 1 MKrbl Monthly Timeframe Uptrend ( PE RATIO :- 11.8 )
Buying gown 300 entry price
KRBL is worlds leading basmati rice producer and has fully integrated operations in every aspect of basmati value chain, right from seed development, contract farming, procurement of paddy, storage, processing, packaging, branding and marketing
Share Huye Ya Insaan Jana To Upar Hi Hai.....
NIACL - Long OpportunityCMP 238.30 on 04.06.24
A long setup is spotted on the charts. If crosses and sustains above 248, the next target can be 300+.
Skill in position sizing and accumulation is needed in this trade setup. Let this understand -
We have to buy from 238 to as low as 222. We have to buy in a way that at the time when the price drops to 222, our risk-reward ratio should be comfortable according to our risk management. That means our loss should not be more than what we have decided now.
Let's have an example -
Buy 100 at 238
Buy 50 at 232
Buy 50 at 222
-------
Average price is 232.5
Loss at the time of exit - 4500
Profit on the target of 300 - 13500
It comes around 1:3, which seems good.
One can reduce or increase the quantity according to one's risk capacity and management.
The above illustration and examples are only for learning and sharing purposes, not a trading recommendation in any form.
All the best.
Mahalakshmi rubtech stock good for swing ???yes absolutly, as per my analaysis , mahalakshmi rubtech is in breakout and also goood in strute. as per my analysis 258 is sl and 306 is entry price and also 504 is target for me.
all my analysis based on educational purpose so do your . i am no sebi advisor
Descending Triangle pattern breakout in BALKRISINDBALKRISHNA INDUSTRIES LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Hour Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Descending Triangle Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 3305+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 3134-.
TCS-An ATH breakout of investment stock with IHNS pattern!TCS is India's largest IT stock which has been consolidating since 2021 in an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Stock has managed to give weekly closing above neckline with decent volumes.
Positional traders can also keep an eye on this breakout. If it sustains, we can see good quick move in the stock.
However, markets are also trading at ATH and a correction MIGHT be seen post budget.
It is better to watch the market reaction and stock movement for a week before entering.
Not a recommendation, just my personal opinion
Ascending Triangle pattern breakout in NAVINFLUORNAVIN FLUORIN INTERNATIONAL LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Hour Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Ascending Triangle Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 3885+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 3673-.