#76 TCS ITS BEAST MODE.#76 (GENIE IDEAS): I will daily post intraday/swing/positional trading opportunities so u can analyse and get the most from it. if you like my analysis do like and follow me as a token of appreciation.and if you have any queries let me know.I HAVE LINKED MY PREVIOUS POSTS ON TCS BELOW .
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Nifty50
ALEMBICLTD Trend BendsALEMBICLTD is buy above 138.3 for the target of 150.
But there is PRZ . It will reverse from that PRZ zone mentioned in the chart.
Note:- I am not SEBI registered . All Views and trade setups are my personal view and my personal trade setup.
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Bullish Three Drives Pattern in NIFTYAccording to bullish three drives pattern nifty indicating reversal of previous downtrend. Today we got the breakout of its resistance trend line if nifty sustain above this level one more trading session then we will get confirmation about the uptrend in market.
According to pattern there was a good entry near 14150 level. It was also 100 Day's EMA level support. Also, Can take breakout entry of downtrend parallel channel of this pattern for target of each swing high. This breakout can give movement upto first swing high 15425+.
Nifty 50 Analysis 09/04/2021Two Critical Points. By Analyzing Nifty 50 Chart on 09-04-2021
1) Wide Demand Zone , But Weak Support Area . 14263 - 14517
If Price breaks any of the nearest Trend Line / Supply Zones In Days Closing
Then, It is expected The price will fall to this support Area .
(Price broke 14829 on 09/04/2021, Price may trend down after retest)
2) Strong Supply Zone , And Strong Resistance.14829 - 14881
(The Retest Done on 09/04/2021, Downtrend Pennant is formed)
****A Target of 14735 Can be achieved on 12/04/2021*******
Disclaimer : All Views are Personal And Educational Purpose Only.
You are exclusively responsible for your Profits and Losses.
Use the Ideas with your own Risk.
MANIPULATION IN NIFTY INDEX (Search And Destroy)This idea is inspired by a strategy often used by market manipulators called Search And Destroy from the book named " How To Triple Your Money Every Year with Stock Index Futures " (1984) .
In this book, According to Author George Angell's Search and Destroy day is "...When both previous time high and Low would be taken out..." (p.217)
In our analysis we will understand this strategy used by market manipulators with very good example of NIFTY 50 Index .
In the above chart market on 19th March market opened Gap Down by around 100 points and created a low at 14350 and from that point and it went bullish and made a good support at that level. One can consider 14350 level as a good support because market was bearish at the time of opening and it went bullish from that particular point.
Now from 14350 , market went upside and came back to that same level after taking strong resistance at physiological level of 14900
from the upside.
So if we think from the point of view of retail traders who deals in intraday trades they certainly consider that point as an support level and put their stop loss at that level for taking long trades.
But here Market Manipulators enters in the market and aggressively take price down by around 100 points and what happens next is stop loss of all the retail players were triggered at that point and now Manipulators have that enough liquidity for execution of their big trades.
At last because of big lots were bought in the market by those manipulators Automatic Rally happens and as we can see in the chart there were two Gap Ups in two days in continuation. DO you think retail traders can do this ? Definitely Not.
The term Automatic Rally means when heavy selling occurs in the market at same point to catch that liquidity high amount of buying also happens in the market and as a result of that prices goes upside.
There is a also term called Wake- off Trading . You can also relate some steps above with the phases of that concept also.
Happy Trading. :-)
Note :
Trading foreign exchange and stocks on margin carry a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange or stocks you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss in excess of your initial investment. You should be aware of all risks associated with stock and foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial divisor if you have any doubts. I am not a licensed financial advisor and this content is not financial advice.
MARUTI SUZUKI| Wyckoff Events and Phases explained 🎯Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC , reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC .
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC .
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume .
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume .
Double Top (M) Chart Pattern What is Double Top Pattern?
A double top chart pattern is a bearish reversal chart pattern that is formed after an uptrend. This pattern is formed with two peaks above a support level which is also known as the neckline.
The first peak is formed after a strong uptrend and then retrace back to the neckline. After reaching back to its neckline, the price becomes bullish and rises again to form the second peak. The formation of this pattern is completed when the prices move back to the neckline after forming the second peak.
When the prices break through and closed (daily) the neckline or the support level then the bearish trend reversal is confirmed.
# Trading with Double Top:-
*Firstly one should see the market phase whether it is up or down. As the double top is formed at the end of an uptrend, the prior trend should be an uptrend.
* Traders should only enter the short position when the price break and closed in daily time frame below the support level or the neckline.
# Stop Loss:
In the case of a Double Top chart pattern, the stop loss should be placed at the second top of the pattern or as per your risk reward.
# Price Target:
The price target should be equal to the distance between the neckline and the tops.
Kindly Let us know if you have any question .
Thank you .
Inverted Hammer in Monthly Chart** The shooting star candlesticks pattern, also known as the Pinbar (or bearish pinbar/inverted Hammer) by some, is one of the most popular candlestick patterns among price action traders. It was the first candlestick signal that I relied on, and one that I still use today, although I trade it much differently than most other price action traders.
# What is a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern?
*The shooting star consists of a long upper wick (shadow) that is, at least, twice the size of the
real body. It should have a relatively small lower wick or none at all. Its real body can be bearish or bullish (see in the chart) and is usually relatively small in comparison to previous candlesticks.
*The shooting star candlestick pattern, like all the other candlestick entry signals, must be traded
within the context of the market. In other words, a true shooting star candlestick signal can only
come after an uptrend in price (see the chart).
Note: Never trade a candlestick formation that looks like a shooting star from consolidating price
action or a tight ranging market.
A shooting star candlestick pattern is a strong reversal signal, and unlike most other price action
signals, this one does not need another candle for confirmation, according to the standard trading
technique.
However, the proprietary filters that I personally use to qualify a good shooting star are quite
different, so let’s go over those now.
#What Makes a Good Shooting Star (Pinbar/Inverted Hammer) Pattern?
** Some of the filters that I use to qualify a good shooting star make taking the entry completely
different than the standard method. In my experience, these filters have drastically improved my
strike rate with the shooting star candlestick pattern.
# Confirmation Close
The first filter that I want to talk about is the confirmation close. This is probably the most important filter that I use on the shooting star, and it’s also the filter that changes the way you must take your entry with this pattern. Basically, as a sign that the uptrend is actually ending, after the shooting star signal, you want to see a bearish candlestick that closes below the real body of the previous candlestick and You can add in your strategy for more accuracy.
** Historically in Nifty 50 when in monthly chart Pinbar/shooting star/inverted hammer appears at top that sign of bearish trend .(see in the chart)
Kindly Let me know if you have any questions.
Thank You
Three Black Crows Candlestick Pattern ??Nifty Made a three black crows pattern/ pattern activated after today low break.
1) What is Three Black Crows Pattern ??
Three Black Crows got its name from its resemblance to three crows looking down from their perch in a tree. This signal, occurring after a strong uptrend, indicates the crows looking down or lower prices are to come. Each of these candles should close very near the low for the day. This pattern, as will be seen, is the opposite of the Three White Soldiers.
2)Criteria-
1. Three long black bodies occur, all of nearly equal length.
2. The prior trend should have been up.
3. Each day opens within the body of the previous day.
4. Each day closes near its low.
3) Pattern Psychology-
*After an uptrend a long black candle forms. The uptrend has now reached levels where the sellers have started to step in. The first long black candle body is followed by two more long black bodies. Each having opened in the previous day’s body indicates that buying was occurring early each day but the bears kept forcing prices down by the end of the day. This more consistent process of selling provides a stronger downtrend potential versus a rapid overselling period. (See Nifty chart ).
Kindly Let me Know if You have any question.
#nifty: understanding the importance of 5 min candlestickThis is pure educational post, and this post is not for analysing further movement.
Many viewers think why I am analysing Nifty on 15 min candlestick, well actually I analyze in multiple TF. If you're a nifty trader, then you need to realize the importance of even 5 min candlestick. One strong 5 min candlestick can be of 50/60 points of nifty. Imagine this one candle goes against you! It's pretty scary, right? This is the major reason to analyze on smaller TF and being as close to SL as possible. People who follow me know how close I am to the bottom/top of the trade.
The Gap up from yesterday's low surely made a bad day for PE buyers. Hence, I do not suggest going against the trade or trade only for intraday.
When and why nifty will touch 14000 all the updates you will find on twitter/YouTube. Fortunately, I stay away from such predictions and I have no idea whether or not it will touch 14000 . What would I or you do even if you know Nifty will touch this or that level? You can't just enter and wait for the target, especially against the trend.
Then how do you trade?
Well, will give simple tips,
1. If you're confused, stay away,
2.Your focus should be on entry and exit.
3. Top most priority to stop loss and risk management.
For nifty-
4. stay with the major trend and major trend is bullish we all know.
5. Do no hold PE for the next day most of the time it will backfire
6. Hold CE for the next day only when you have bagged in good 70/80 points. So in case if opens gap down\flat you will still get out in breakeven at least.
7. Hold CE for the next day only when you're confident and have a clarity that correction has ended.
8. If you bagged in 70/100 pints nifty, then do not let this to run in a loss. If the market goes against you suddenly, get out. You will get another chance.
9. Try to trade after 10 Am after market becomes little stable.
10. Chill out if you miss the opportunity.
11. The most important, do not take a fresh long position at ATH.
Regards
Nifty 50 Bullish Reversal Harmonic Pattern Nifty 50 in its all-time high and has started a sideways movement which has supported by Shark harmonic pattern in the hourly chart.
The expected move could be until D point i.e. 12878 to 13010 level downwards. We can find quality support on that price point.
Please create your strategy accoudingly.
Potential Nifty Top With Fibonacci and Elliot Wave TheoryDISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis. Details in description.
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Plotted Elliot Waves on Nifty Monthly Chart so lets find out potential top
1. Nifty Top Based on Elliot Wave Theory where Wave 1 = Wave 5
a. Consider Wave 1 start from 279 which is lifetime low of Nifty then wave 5 should 13589.2
Where wave 1 height is 6078.1 + 7511.1(low of Wave 4) = 13589.2
b. Consider Wave 1 start from 0 then Nifty wave 5 top should be 13868.2
Where Wave 1 height is 6357.1 + 7511.1(low of Wave 4) = 13868.2
2. Nifty Top Based on Elliot Waves and Fibonacci extension where Wave 5 is equal to 0.618 of Wave 3 which is 13800.95.
The next Fibonacci extension would be 0.786 which is 15510.8 which is less likely to happen.
Learning about Exponential Moving AverageEMA full form is *Exponential moving average*. you can google this for detailed explaination and formula.
I use 30 week EMA for my stoploss that means, the length chosen is last 30 week on weekly timeframe.
if you are using daily timeframe you can use 150 Day EMA (as 5 working days for week * 3o weeks).
NOTE- The length choosen is not an fix and not compulsory for use. i use this length from trader whom i follow. Try and backtest different lengths (EX. on weekly-12,30,40 and on daily-21,50,150,200) use which suits your style and pace
TO SET EMA ON YOUR CHART- choose Timeframe as W (week)
1. Go to indicator and strategies on top of chart
2. search Exponential moving average select first inbuilt option
3. Set length as 30 click OK.
Now you are ready to use.