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Niftyoutlook

07 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Stance changed to bullish 🐂🐂🐂On Friday 4th Aug Nifty made a gap up opening and created an island day. We had changed the stance from bearish to neutral. And today nifty managed to build-up momentum on top of what happened on Friday, to me - that’s bullish. After opening gap, nifty managed to stay above the 19530 level quite strongly. At 09.30 nifty made the low of 19524 and then went back to 19585 level. Imagine the bears could not even push Nifty to the prior day's close values. This was even after not getting real support from banknifty. From 10.50 to 12.25 Nifty stayed range bound and was not indicating a real directional move as the options data was suggesting low volatility in spite of India VIX shooting 5%. But Nifty managed to get a rally going and by 13.40 we hit the high of the day ~ 19620. Once it broke past the 19600 level - I had to change the stance from neutral to bullish. The major strength for Nifty was the NiftyIT & NiftyPharma sectors. On the 1hr TF Nifty has managed to reach the bearish trend line, and many may think that my stance change is too early. What I personally feel is, its better to play the long side right now and reverse the stance if we have a rejection from the descending trend line.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
Nifty trade Setup for 07-08-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 07-07-2023 #Support: 19485 Short if candle closes below 19485 #resistance: 19550 Long if candle closes above 19550 #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19440 Target 2= 19380 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19660 Target 2= 19730 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 7th of August 2023Dear All, The previous week was in a way quite terrific for us, as Nifty had somehow touched all of its important levels in a week itself, i.e. from 19800-19550-19300 approx. Now, as per the current situation, Nifty has somehow taken a beautiful support at our earlier stated support level of 19300. Which is why, we are still quite optimistic for the psychological figure of 20000 once again, in the upcoming days, with a major resistance of 19800 as of now. Furthermore, before 19800, we have to wait for the level of 19550 on closing basis, for at least 2 consecutive days, in order to get a clear cut indication regarding a further upside. Meanwhile, we have to stay a little cautious with the stop loss of 19300 in the upcoming days. Overall, it is better to be stock specific and to keep rebalancing your portfolio for now, since the Result Season is going on. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
04 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Honeymoon over for the bears?For 2 consecutive days the bears had a good time and now it is over! Today’s price action and the inability of the sellers to push down the prices indicate the bulls are gaining traction. Most analysts would prefer to watch for 1 to 2 more days before changing the bearish bias - I would prefer to change my bias from bearish to neutral right away. In the recent past too, the dips have been very shallow and short lived. Today we had a gap up opening followed by a ZERO attempt to close the gap. The island formation (encircled in blue) shows how high the grapes have been held high for the BEARS (The taste is sour if you were a short seller). All hope is not lost, not until the trend line is taken out. That is why it is not advised to go long nor go short. I would prefer to trade with a neutral stance till we get more clarity. Everytime Nifty hits a new ATH, I think the reversal is overdue and will come shortly. But the fall never came, everytime there is a minor correction - the dip buyers come in and rally the markets above the ATHs. Just like me there would be many bears who are eating dust waiting for a crash!
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
03 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis | BearishNifty Weekly Analysis We lost 373pts ~ 1.89% between the last expiry day and today. Usually Nifty ends up compensating the loss by dip-buying. For the first time in many weeks - the dip buying is not that intense and that may open up more cuts in the coming weeks. Our stock market in specific has been in an unchecked rally from April 2023. The fact that US markets went up due to the FOMO in Artificial Intelligence stocks should in no way influence Indian stock markets, but it did. At present in the listed space - there are no real big AI names here, yet almost all the sectors participated in a long-only rally with no healthy pullbacks. Nifty Daily Analysis I am so much relieved today not just because yesterday’s short call worked, but for the first time in many sessions we had Nifty following price action towards downside. Every other instance the dip buyer would come in at 2.30pm and close Nifty higher - negating any selling pressure. The manner in which we broke the 19400 level was impressive, the selling momentum ensured we went down till 19296 before bouncing back. The high to low fall was 239pts ~ 1.23% and the pullback was 101pts ~ 0.53%. From a technical analysis standpoint, nifty respecting the downward trend price action will give so much of an encouragement to the bears. These bears were beaten to pulp in the last 4 months - so it is the right time for payback! As long as the trend line is getting respected and the EMAs are not crossing over - we remain bearish. The momentum should pick up once the 19200 level is getting broken as there is unfinished business.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
2
Morning Mantra - 4th August 2023Dear All, Yesterday we had seen the effect of the crucial support level of 19550. Where below this level, Nifty took a sharp dip towards our previous support level of 19300, and from 19300 we had also observe a sharp recovery of around 100 points in Nifty, yesterday itself. Finally yesterday we did somehow witness a major impact of the shooting star formation, which was observed on a weekly chart of Nifty. So, with Nifty’s pull back around our support level, the range of 19550-19300 now becomes activated. Therefore, be cautious today and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy , for now. Moreover, if you had already been Rebalancing your Portfolio, then this is an ideal time to infuse back the capital, little by little. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
02 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty + Start of a new TREND 🐻Maybe it was the news that Fitch cut the US rating from AAA to AA+ that sparked the reversals in Asian markets. Our market too started to fall but had a decent recovery in the last 1 hr (just as usual). The global markets were staying at elevated levels for quite some time now. Our market is at the APEX with the outperformance unchecked. Even with such a strong news flow - the downward impact was not that much, but we did take out some important levels which shows the down-ward rally may be just starting. Nifty opened gap down and then fell till 11.35 with no signs of slowing down or pull back. We lost 218pts ~ 1.1% in the process which I think is the greatest loss in a 2hr window in recent times. From 11.35 to 12.45 we traded sideways before the 2nd leg of fall started, we fell 132pts ~ 0.68% in leg2 And just as usual we had a dip-buying or maybe a profit taking from the shorts in the last 1hr, where we recovered 90pts ~ 0.47%. The total fall was just 1.05% ~ 207pts which is in no measure a major impact. In yesterday's report we mentioned a bias shift to neutral from bullish. When the main support level got taken out, it made sense to go short. And then in round2 the next pivot level was taken out which prompted another round of selling. The failure to take out the 19400 level and a 90pts pullback did take out some confidence of mine. India VIX although went up 10% today, staying at 11% does not show any fear. For mass participation we need a strong rising VIX above 16 within the next week. Nifty has made a triple top on a descending channel - till the channel holds the bias is now changed to bearish!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
FASP levels for Nifty 04/08/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 04-08-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
3
Nifty Expiry TradeSetup for 03-08-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 03-07-2023 #Support: 19430. Short if candle closes below 19480 for scalping with strict trailing SL. Major support is placed at 19430. #resistance: 19540 Long if candle closes above 19540. #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19360 Target 2= 19300 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19640 Target 2= 19730 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 3rd August 2023Dear All, So Finally we had witnessed a breakdown of 19550 in Nifty. But, since it is a very minute closing of below 19550, therefore we have to wait for 1 more day for Nifty to decide its move. Furthermore, on observing a hammer formation on the Day chart of Nifty, we are now expecting to witness a little selling pressure in the first half and then a little positive momentum in the later half, Today . Apart from all this, it is better to keep patience for another day and let Nifty decide its next move. In the meanwhile, we hope that you had already booked profits , as we have been repeatedly suggesting about Rebalancing your Portfolio. Also, it is a good time to keep following the Cherry Picking strategy, however, avoid going for over exposure. Keep Investing! Keep Trading! Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
Nifty daily analysis for 03/08/23.Nifty has been trading in a parallel channel and is respecting the channel on the daily charts as it has closed above the support line. On the hourly charts, after testing the 200 ema, nifty reversed and closed above 19500 levels and between both the moving averages. Market today was in a bearish trend from the moving and even after the gap down opening it continued to fall, giving a 1% bearish move on the daily charts. On 15 minutes time frame, nifty closed below both the moving average. There is a cup formation during the second half of the session. Support :- 19420, 19350 Resistance :- 19565, 19650 If nifty starts trading below 19350 levels, tomorrow being expiry gap filling trade can be seen along with retest to 19180 levels. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Nifty trade Setup for 02-08-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 02-07-2023 #Support: 19710 Short if candle closes below 19710 #resistance: 19765 Long if candle closes above 19765 #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19630 Target 2= 19560 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19820 Target 2= 19865 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 2nd August 2023Dear All, It was indeed quite a choppy day yesterday. Where somehow the unfortunate thing is that it has been for back to back 2 days that Nifty is failing to cross over the level of 19800. Although, on the other hand, Nifty is currently above 19550 and just as we had stated earlier, it seems that Nifty is creating a platform for another new high. So, once again with the stop loss of 19550, keep rebalancing your portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy for now for the magical and psychological figure of 20000. Happy Trading! Keep Investing! Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
01 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - better to stay neutral ✌️I had a long bias on Nifty from yesterday, the gap up was expected but the fall from 10.10 to 10.45 looked quite surprising to me. NiftyIT was supporting, the earlier fall came mostly from the FinNifty components - its understandable as its expiry. The much awaited levels to watch out for were 19700 to 19680 where nifty had spent some time yesterday as well as on 27th Jul. The below chart will show the relevance of 19700 levels a break would have ensured in a bias shift from long to neutral. The 60pts ~ 0.31% rally that followed till 13.30 gave hopes to the bulls. But for any bullish activity we need some strong action tomorrow, the volume + price action in RELIANCE in the closing minutes did not favorable, so before fresh longs we will monitor the price action during the opening 1hr tomorrow. Till then its better that we stay neutral. ... Comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with the levels I am watching for tomorrow !
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Nifty trade setup for 31-07-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 31-07-2023 #Support: 19560 Short if candle closes below 19560. #resistance: 19770 Long if candle closes above 19770. #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19470 Target 2= 19380 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19760 Target 2= 19850 Target 3= 19970 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 1st August 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday that after observing the formation of a Doji pattern on the Day chart, we are expecting a bounce back in Nifty. Likewise, we did experience the same yesterday itself. Another positive factor here is that we can now observe the formation of a Hammer pattern on the chart of Nifty. So it is somehow indicating a further uprise in the Market, which altogether is being expected to be witnessed today itself. So, once again we are with our words that above 19800 , we will be ready for our psychological figure of 20000. Furthermore, in the meanwhile with the stop loss of 19550, continue Rebalancing your Portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
FASP levels for Nifty 01/08/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 01-08-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
28 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Beautiful recovery final 45mts🐂The open was as expected and the first 2 candles made sense when we retouched yesterday’s swing low.But what followed after that was more of a discouragement for the bears. No matter how hard the bears try - they are unable to push down the prices. We had a gradual fall to the intraday low of 19563 which was hit by 13.45 - and this was the time by which the bulls took over. The bulls were able to rally Nifty back to yesterday's closing level. By 15.07 Nifty turned green and then dipped a bit to close at 19646 just 0.07% in red. The last 45mts helped Nifty climb 99pts ~ 0.51% on what looked like a fairy tale like ending. The real reason was the lack of participation of commodity, consumption, energy, fmcg, pharma and metal indices. Finally it seemed like only the financial and IT indices wanted RED. What today’s move means is Nifty50 is an untradeable range as of now, we need to either break 19521 on the downside or break 19729 on the upside for a directional game. ... Comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine :)
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Morning Mantra - 31st July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated in the last week , about witnessing a supply pressure in Nifty as a result of observing a Shooting Star formation on the weekly chart. Likewise, the same was observed in the previous week itself. Now for this week, as per the Day chart setup, we can observe a Doji formation on the chart. Which altogether indicates that in a very short term, we can get to witness a little bounce back in Nifty. However, on the other hand, as per the Weekly chart, there’s still an indication of a little supply pressure . Although we had already stated about the necessity of witnessing either a breakout of 19800 or breakout of 19550 in Nifty. So, according to that Nifty took a beautiful support just around our stated level of 19550, as it made a low of 19563 on the last Friday. Therefore, on this positive note we are still with our words that the overall market sentiments still seem to be positive. So, with the stop loss of 19550, continue rebalancing your portfolio and keep following the Cherry picking strategy, for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
FASP levels for Nifty 31/07/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 31-07-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran