Nifty 50 - Elliott Wave Weekly AnalysisNifty 50 Now in correction face of Grand super cycle . Already Wave A and B Completed. C wave starts now (forming Expanded / Irregular Flat) end up to Fib extension of 1.618% wave A, B or Retrace 38.2% of Motive wave 2,3 so expected for correction in nifty 50 through Elliott wave theory so investors proper hedge your position or go short in FNO and big buying opportunity is coming soon...
Niftyprediction
Nifty Chart Says - Trust the Bulls NSE:NIFTY Preparing for an Upswing — Buy-on-Dip Setup Active
Pivot Percentile is loose in Nifty today, which means we can expect a range-bound day.
Since the trend has turned Green, the approach now shifts to Buy on Dip and slowly accumulate for an upswing in the coming week.
Support sits at 26095 and resistance at 26200.
If Nifty manages to sustain above 26200, we can aim for 26400 on the index.
From a sectoral point of view, IT and NBFCs are leading the momentum, and Auto is preparing for a fresh upswing.
I’m currently studying NSE:MARUTI , NSE:SHRIRAMFIN , and NSE:M&M , NSE:CHOLAFIN for next week.
Setups are forming nicely, and the charts are beginning to show signs of bulls entering again.
It looks like the bottom is very close.
This is the right time to create a list of strong stocks and track them regularly.
That’s all for now.
Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
📊Levels at a Glance:
Pivot: 26130
Support: 26095
Resistance: 26200 (above = target 26400)
Bias: Buy on Dip
Sectors to Watch: IT, NBFC, Auto
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 08-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 08 DEC 2025
NIFTY closed around 26,176, sitting just between the Opening Resistance (26,222) and the Opening Support zone (26,102).
Tomorrow’s opening reaction at these levels will decide whether Nifty continues upward into the major resistance zone or retraces back into support.
Levels from the chart:
• Opening Resistance: 26,222
• Opening Support: 26,102
• Last Intraday Support: 26,046
• Major Buyer’s Support: 25,958
• Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 26,366 – 26,419
A clear directional move will come only after Nifty exits the Opening Support–Opening Resistance region.
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-up above 26,260+ puts Nifty near or above the Opening Resistance and may trigger trend continuation.
1. If price opens above 26,222 and retests it
• Avoid jumping in at the open.
• Wait for price to retest 26,222 and show bullish structure (wick rejections, CHoCH).
• Once confirmed → Long entry toward 26,300 → 26,366 → 26,419 (resistance zone).
• Book partial profits inside the resistance zone.
2. If price opens directly inside 26,366–26,419 (Last Intraday Resistance Zone)
• Avoid fresh longs here — high probability of intraday rejection.
• Look for bearish wick rejections → Short opportunity back toward 26,300 → 26,222.
3. If price gives a strong breakout above 26,419
• This indicates momentum expansion.
• Upside targets open toward 26,480–26,520.
• Trail your stop-loss below the breakout candle.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-ups must be traded with confirmation and retests, not emotions. Institutions test breakout zones before continuing trend.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (around 26,160–26,190)
A flat open near the middle of the chart’s structure gives excellent clarity for level-by-level trading.
1. Sustained move above 26,222
• Break + retest above this level activates longs.
• Targets: 26,300 → 26,366 → 26,419.
2. If price rejects 26,222
• Look for bearish rejection or CHoCH.
• Short trade valid toward 26,102.
• Break below 26,102 extends move to 26,046.
3. If price trades inside 26,102–26,222 zone
• Expect consolidation / whipsaws.
• Trade only extremes:
– Long only near 26,102 with confirmation.
– Short only near 26,222 with confirmation.
📌 Educational Note:
Flat opens allow structure to form naturally. Higher-lows = bullish. Lower-highs = bearish. Avoid guessing—react to levels.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-down toward 26,000 → 25,960 puts NIFTY directly into major supports.
1. If price opens near 26,046 (Last Intraday Support)
• This is a strong reaction zone.
• Do NOT short blindly here.
• Look for reversal candles → If confirmed → Long toward 26,102 → 26,176.
2. If price opens inside 25,958 (Major Buyer’s Support)
• Expect buyers to defend this level aggressively.
• Ideal place for a reversal trade.
• Once reversal confirmed → Target 26,046 → 26,102.
3. If price breaks below 25,958 decisively
• Avoid catching falling knives.
• Wait for a retest of 25,958 zone.
• If retest rejects → Short continuation target becomes 25,900–25,870.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-downs often create liquidity sweeps. Smart money accumulates positions at support before pushing price higher. Always trade reaction, not prediction.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid trading first 5 minutes during gap openings.
High volatility = premium traps.
2. Do NOT buy far OTM calls/puts after big gaps.
IV crush + theta → Fast losses.
3. Always use price-action-based stop losses, not premium-based ones.
4. Never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
5. High IV → Prefer option selling (credit spreads).
Low IV → Option buying becomes favourable.
6. Take partial profits at important levels such as:
26,102 / 26,222 / 26,366 / 26,419.
7. Avoid revenge trading — protect capital at all costs.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias above 26,222, with targets: 26,300 → 26,366 → 26,419.
• Range-bound structure likely between 26,102–26,222 until breakout.
• Strong reversal zones:
– 26,046
– 25,958
• Gap openings must be handled with retest-based entries only.
• Trade level-to-level with strict risk management.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This trading plan is strictly for educational purposes and not investment advice.
Market behaviour can change quickly—always use your own judgment and risk controls.
NIFTY – Multi-TF Breakdown | Structure, Levels & What Comes Next📌 Higher-Timeframe Bias (1D)
Nifty continues to respect bullish market structure on the daily timeframe, holding above the recent Break of Structure (BOS) and defending the previous demand zone.
Key notes from the chart:
Price rejected from the premium zone near 26,350–26,400 (EQH area + weak high).
Strong reaction from the discount OB + FVG around 25,350–25,450 zone.
As long as Nifty holds above 25,800, higher-timeframe bullish bias remains intact.
Daily Structure:
HH → HL sequence intact
The last BOS confirmed continuation
Daily OB remains unmitigated below
🔍 4H Structure (Important for Traders)
On the 4H chart, Nifty filled previous imbalances and retested FVGs cleanly.
Key observations:
PDH & PDL zones respected perfectly.
A bullish MSS → BOS has shifted short-term sentiment upward.
FVG at 26,000–26,060 acted as intraday support.
Price reclaimed the VI / PDH cluster, showing absorption of sellers.
This suggests buyers are defending short-term inefficiencies.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Upside Resistance:
26,300 – 26,350: Major supply zone
26,400: Weak High + Liquidity Pool
26,475: Next upside target if breakout sustains
Downside Support:
26,050 – 26,000: Intraday FVG + 4H demand
25,900: PDL cluster
25,750: HTF structure break level
25,350 – 25,450: Daily OB/FVG (Major swing support)
📈 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice)
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above 26,000 and sustains above PDH/VI cluster →
▶ Target 26,300 → 26,400
▶ Break & close above 26,400 = continuation higher
Bearish Scenario:
If 26,000 breaks decisively →
▶ First target 25,900
▶ Below that → revisit 25,450 (Daily OB)
🧩 Market Structure Summary
HTF bullish, LTF recently flipped bullish
Price currently inside a premium zone, so chasing longs is risky
Dips into discount levels (26,000 / 25,900) are ideal for long setups
Break above 26,350–26,400 can trigger liquidity sweep continuation
🏁 Conclusion
Nifty is compressing between liquidity levels.
The next expansion is likely once 26,400 or 26,000 breaks.
🔥 Bias: Moderately Bullish as long as 26,000 holds.
NIFTY 50 – Near All-Time High | Breakout or Pullback? Chart Analysis 📈 (Weekly + Daily Analysis)
Nifty50 is trading close to its All-Time High zone around 26,350–26,400, showing strong bullish structure visible clearly on the Weekly timeframe with consistent Higher Highs & Higher Lows. Trend remains intact with no signs of major reversal yet.
Weekly Key Levels
Major Resistance: 26,350 – 26,500
Immediate Support: 25,950 – 26,000
Key Swing Support: 25,600
Major Trend Support: 24,900 – 25,100
Daily Observation
Price is consolidating near the resistance zone.
Volume is slightly decreasing → indicating a possible momentum slowdown
If price breaks above 26,400 with volume, a fresh breakout can lead to a strong continuation rally.
Breakout & Downside Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Breakout Above 26,400
Target Levels: 27,200 / 27,500
🔻 Pullback Scenario
First support: 26,000
Deeper support: 25,600
Market View
Long-term trend remains bullish
Short-term consolidation or mild pullback possible
Watch price reaction around 26,350–26,400 zone for next move confirmation
Summary
Nifty is at a decision point. A breakout above 26,400 can trigger a strong upside continuation, while a rejection can bring a healthy correction towards 26,000–25,600. Trend remains positive as long as the index holds the weekly support of 25,600.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 05.12.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 05.12.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Trend Channels and Bullish Breakouts: SIEMENS LIMITED📈 Understanding Flat Trend Channels and Bullish Breakouts: The Case of Siemens Limited
1. What is a Flat Trend Channel?
A Flat Trend Channel is a price pattern where a stock moves sideways between two parallel lines — the resistance line (upper boundary) and the support line (lower boundary).
Traders often call this a range-bound market. Prices oscillate within the channel, reflecting indecision between buyers and sellers.
Key features:
a. Resistance line: The ceiling where price repeatedly fails to move higher.
b. Support line: The floor where price repeatedly finds buying interest.
c. Flat nature: Both lines are horizontal, showing no clear uptrend or downtrend.
👉 In Siemens Limited, since June 2025, the stock was consolidating in such a flat channel, capped by resistance around ₹3350.
2. Bullish Breakout from a Flat Channel
A Bullish Breakout occurs when price decisively moves above the resistance line with strong volume and momentum.
This signals that buyers have overwhelmed sellers, often leading to a new upward trend.
Textbook confirmation includes:
Close above resistance on daily chart.
Volume expansion supporting the breakout.
Follow-through candles sustaining above the breakout zone.
👉 Siemens Limited has now closed above ₹3355, confirming a breakout from its flat channel. This shifts the bias from neutral to bullish.
3. Stop Loss and Target: How to Place ? Trading channels requires disciplined risk management. Here’s how traders typically set levels:
a) Enter on breakout candle close above resistance
b) Stop Loss Just below the support or breakout level (below channel support)
c) Target 1 Height of the channel added to breakout point
d) Target 2 Next major resistance zone/ historical supply area
Stop Loss ensures protection if breakout fails (false breakout).
Target is calculated using channel height projection — a classic method in technical analysis.
Siemens Limited’s breakout is a real-world example of how flat channels evolve into trending moves.
4. Traders can use this setup to:
a) Enter long positions above breakout.
b) Place stop loss below support to manage risk.
c) Aim for targets based on channel height and next resistance zones.
This is a textbook bullish breakout opportunity, demonstrating how theory translates into practice.
5. Key Takeaways
a) Flat channels represent consolidation and indecision.
b) Breakouts signal fresh momentum and trend initiation.
c) Stop loss and target placement are essential for disciplined trading.
d) Siemens Limited’s breakout above ₹3355 offers a practical case study of these principles.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 05-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 05 DEC 2025
Price closed near 26,010, sitting between Opening Resistance (26,069) and Opening Support (25,994).
The structure is recovering from a corrective fall, but Nifty must break above 26,069 to show strength, while downside liquidity still sits at Last Intraday Support (25,922–25,934) and the deeper Important Buyer’s Support (25,833–25,864).
Market will likely react strongly to these zones.
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-up near or above 26,110–26,150 will place Nifty closer to the major resistance zone.
1. If price opens above 26,069 and holds (positive sign)
• Avoid chasing the first candle.
• Wait for a retest of 26,069 — this confirms buyers are genuinely strong.
• If retest holds → Long entry toward 26,165 → 26,186 (Resistance Zone).
• Partial booking advisable inside the resistance box.
2. If gap-up opens directly inside 26,165–26,186 (Last Intraday Resistance)
• High probability of rejection and profit booking.
• Avoid fresh longs in the resistance box.
• Look for reversal wicks → Possible short trade back toward 26,069.
3. If breakout sustains above 26,186
• Momentum expansion likely.
• Upside target becomes 26,222.
• Partial profit booking recommended due to stretched move.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-ups often trigger emotional buying. Retest entries reduce risk and align you with institutional flow.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (Near 26,000 ± 40 pts)
A flat open provides the cleanest structure and the most reliable intraday setups.
1. If price sustains above 26,069
• Strong sign of buyer intent.
• Long setups activate above 26,069 with targets: 26,165 → 26,186 → 26,222.
• Protect the trade with tight SL under the breakout zone.
2. If price rejects 26,069
• Look for bearish wick patterns or CHoCH.
• Potential drop toward 25,994.
• Break below 25,994 → Trend weakens → Next stop 25,922.
3. If price trades between 25,994–26,069
• Expect range movement.
• Buy low (25,994) and sell high (26,069) only with confirmation.
• Avoid aggressive trades inside the range.
📌 Educational Note:
Flat opens allow price action to show its true direction—higher-lows indicate bullishness, lower-highs signal weakness.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-down near 25,900–25,940 puts the market into key demand territory.
1. If gap-down opens inside Last Intraday Support (25,922–25,934)
• Never short this zone blindly — expect buyer reactions.
• Look for reversal signs: hammer, bullish engulfing, CHoCH.
• If reversal confirmed → Long toward 25,994 → 26,069.
2. If gap-down opens directly into Important Buyer’s Support (25,833–25,864)
• This is a strong liquidity pocket.
• Ideal for bullish reversal trading.
• Watch price action carefully — if reversal prints → Long toward 25,922 → 25,994.
3. If support breaks decisively below 25,833
• Avoid chasing breakdown.
• Wait for retest of 25,833–25,864.
• If retest rejects → Short toward 25,770 → 25,720 (measured move targets).
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-downs often act as liquidity traps. Smart money accumulates aggressively before price reverses upward. Always wait for confirmation.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid the first 5 minutes on a gap-up or gap-down day.
The market needs to stabilise.
2. Do NOT buy far OTM options after a big gap.
Premium crush eats your capital.
3. Always keep a price-level-based stop-loss, not a premium-based SL.
4. Follow 1–2% maximum risk per trade.
5. When IV is high → Prefer selling strategies (credit spreads).
When IV is low → Option buying becomes favourable.
6. Book partial profits at key zones such as 25,994, 26,069, 26,165.
7. Never revenge trade. Reset your mind after a stop-loss hit.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias above 26,069, with upside targets 26,165 → 26,186 → 26,222.
• Range-bound behaviour expected between 25,994–26,069.
• Strong bullish reversal zones below:
– 25,922–25,934
– 25,833–25,864
• Gap openings must always be traded with retests and confirmations.
• Stick to structure, avoid emotional entries, and respect your stop-loss.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly—trade using your own judgment and strict risk management.
Bounce Expected but Weakness Still There in Market NSE:NIFTY moved exactly the way we expected — a bounce with weakness. You can clearly see this behavior on the chart.
Now let’s look at what today’s data says about tomorrow:
- Candle is green and bounced from the dynamic support zone
- Trend health turned Red today
- Macro Index fell
Buyers’ volume was +32 million in the - morning but dropped to only +4 million by close
- Structure is still bullish
- Momentum is weak
- Pivot has moved up to 26023
So as you can see, only two points indicate bullishness, while the rest lean towards weakness.
Based on this, we can expect a bounce on the index, but the upside may stay limited.
Resistance sits at 26126/26222 if the bounce continues.
However, if Nifty breaks any of above mentioned resistances and sustains below it, we can short again.
Pivot Percentile is extremely tight, meaning whichever move comes — bounce or fall — will be sharp.
My plan for tomorrow:
1. Plan A: Sell-on-Rise near the resistance
2. Plan B: Short below 26000
Selective setups from Auto, IT, and Banks look strong for intraday plays.
That’s all for now.
Take care.
Have a profitable tomorrow.
KPIT Technologies Downtrend Reversal with RSI ConfirmationKPIT Technologies Ltd is currently trading near ₹1271 on the daily chart. The stock has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows, but is now attempting a trend reversal by breaking out of its downtrend line. Alongside this, the RSI indicator has moved above 50, signaling renewed buying strength. Let’s break down these concepts and understand the current opportunity.
🔹 Understanding the Downtrend Pattern
1. Downtrend Definition: A downtrend is characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, showing persistent selling pressure.
2. Trendline Role: Traders often draw a descending trendline connecting the highs. As long as price stays below this line, the downtrend remains intact.
3. Reversal Signal: When price breaks above the downtrend line, it suggests that sellers are losing control and buyers may be taking over.
4. KPIT Example: The breakout above its downtrend line indicates a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
🔹 RSI Indicator as Momentum Confirmation
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator ranging from 0–100.
Key Levels:
Below 50 → bearish momentum
Above 50 → bullish momentum
Why It Matters: RSI crossing above 50 often confirms that buying activity is strengthening.
KPIT Example: RSI moving above 50 supports the breakout, adding conviction that the trend reversal is genuine.
🔹 Combining Downtrend Breakout with RSI
Dual Confirmation:
1. Breakout of the downtrend line → structural change in price action.
2. RSI above 50 → momentum shift toward buyers.
Why This Combination Works: It reduces false signals. A breakout alone may fail, but when supported by momentum indicators, the probability of success increases.
🔹 Current Trading Opportunity
Setup:
1. Entry: Near current levels (~₹1271), as price has broken the downtrend line.
2. Stop Loss: Below the most recent swing low, ensuring risk is defined if reversal fails.
3. Target: Traders often aim for the next resistance zone or use trailing stops to capture extended moves.
Risk Management:
1. Always define risk before entering.
2. Use the pullback low or recent swing low as a stop loss.
3. Adjust position size to maintain favorable reward-to-risk ratio.
📌 Key Takeaways
1. A downtrend reversal occurs when price breaks above its descending trendline.
2. RSI above 50 confirms momentum is shifting toward buyers.
3. Combining structural breakout with momentum confirmation creates a stronger trading signal.
4. Using the recent swing low as stop loss ensures disciplined risk management.
KPIT Technologies’ current setup is a textbook example of how traders can use trendline breakouts and RSI momentum together to identify potential reversals. It highlights the importance of combining price action with indicators to build a structured trading plan.
Understanding India Glycol’s Technical SetupIndia Glycol Limited is currently trading near ₹1097 on the daily chart. The stock has rebounded from a resistance turned support zone after a pullback, while the RSI indicator is moving above 50, signaling renewed bullish momentum. Let’s break down the technical concepts behind this setup and how traders can interpret the opportunity.
🔹 Resistance Turned Support
Definition: Resistance is a price level where selling pressure historically outweighs buying, preventing the stock from moving higher. Once broken, this level often flips into support, as buyers defend it.
Why It Matters: This flip reflects a change in market psychology—what was once a ceiling becomes a floor.
India Glycol Example: The stock has bounced from its former resistance zone, now acting as support near ₹1097, showing that buyers are stepping in at this level.
🔹 Pullback Reversal
Definition: A pullback is a temporary decline after a rally. A reversal occurs when the pullback ends and the stock resumes its upward trend.
Why It Matters: Pullbacks allow traders to enter at better prices instead of chasing highs.
India Glycol Example: The recent pullback tested the new support zone and reversed upward, suggesting renewed buying interest.
🔹 RSI Above 50: Momentum Confirmation
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator ranging from 0–100.
Key Levels:
Below 50 → bearish momentum
Above 50 → bullish momentum
India Glycol Example: RSI moving above 50 confirms strength in the rebound, signaling that buyers are regaining control.
🔹 Current Trading Opportunity
Setup:
1. Entry: Near current levels (~₹1097), as price respects support.
2. Stop Loss: At the pullback low, ensuring risk is defined if support fails.
3. Target: Traders often aim for the next resistance zone or use trailing stops to ride momentum.
Why This Works:
1. Defined risk management (stop loss at pullback low).
2. Favorable reward-to-risk ratio if momentum continues.
3. RSI confirmation adds conviction to the trade.
📌 Key Takeaways
1. Resistance turned support highlights a psychological shift in market sentiment.
2. Pullback reversals provide safer entries than chasing breakouts.
3. RSI above 50 signals bullish momentum.
Using the pullback low as stop loss ensures disciplined risk management.
This setup in India Glycol illustrates how technical analysis concepts combine to create a structured trading plan. It’s not about predicting the future—it’s about managing probabilities with clear rules and discipline.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 04.12.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 04.12.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Nifty Hits Targeted Support — Bounce Expected, But Weakness StilNifty Hits Targeted Support — Bounce Expected, But Weakness Still Not Over
NSE:NIFTY hit our targeted support today, so we exited the shorts we were carrying.
I already shared the update with all of you here.
I entered the 26300 PE (30 Dec) at 222 yesterday and exited today at the mentioned target, capturing nearly 80% of the move.
Having a solid week already! 🎉
Now Nifty has almost touched our projected support zone and bounced from there — exactly as expected.
However, the overall weakness is still present.
So the Sell-On-Rise plan remains active.
- Nifty’s Pivot is now 25981 with a Pivot Percentile of just 0.02%.
- The Macro Index also moved higher today.
Both of above points indicate a bounce probability for tomorrow.
The key resistance I’m watching is 26088.
If Nifty sustains above this level, the Sell-On-Rise plan becomes invalid.
The idea is simple:
Use this bounce to short when
• sellers’ volume appears near the day high, or
• support breaks again.
These are the two short setups I’ll be watching.
On the equity side, setups are still limited, but the Auto sector looks strong and I’ve shortlisted a few names from there.
That’s all for now.
Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 04-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 04 DEC 2025
Current market context:
Price is hovering near 25,981, sitting just below key intraday levels. The index showed a late recovery on 3rd Dec, but still remains inside a broader corrective structure. Tomorrow’s opening reaction near the Opening Support (25,953) and Opening Resistance (26,020) will set the tone for the session.
Below is the complete trading plan based only on the marked levels in your chart.
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
A strong gap-up above 26,020 indicates early bullish strength and short-covering. However, note that price will immediately approach the Last Intraday Resistance Zone: 26,094–26,119, which has been a major rejection zone earlier.
1. Opening above 26,020 → Look for Retest Entry
• Avoid chasing a gap-up candle.
• Wait for price to retest 26,020, show wicks / bullish engulfing / CHoCH reversal.
• If retest holds → Upside targets toward 26,160 → 26,224.
• This is safest because it confirms buyer presence.
2. If gap-up directly opens inside 26,094–26,119 (resistance box)
• Avoid long entries.
• Expect sellers to react.
• Look for rejection wicks & bearish structure shift.
• Short trades are only valid if price breaks below 26,020 after rejection.
3. Bullish Continuation Above 26,119
• If the resistance box breaks with strong momentum → Trend continuation.
• Next immediate upside: 26,160 → 26,224 (chart-projected path).
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-up openings often trap late buyers. A retest is safe because it confirms that the gap is being accepted by the market.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (±50 points around 25,980)
Flat opens near Opening Support (25,953) or Opening Resistance (26,020) offer the best price-action trades.
1. If price holds 25,953 and forms higher-lows
• Buyers defending strongly.
• Look for bullish structure → Target 26,020 → 26,094.
• Sustained breakout above 26,020 gives a clean intraday long.
2. If price rejects 26,020
• Watch for bearish engulfing / rejection wicks.
• First downside target: 25,953
• Break below this → Trend may shift bearish for the day.
3. Range Day Setup
If price stays between 25,953–26,020, trade only extremes:
• Buy near 25,953 (only on confirmation).
• Sell near 26,020 (only on confirmation).
📌 Educational Note:
Flat opens are the most reliable for retail traders because structure is clearer and volatility is normal.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-down into the Last Intraday Buyer Support (25,732–25,798) signals fear, stop-run liquidity, and possible reversal zones.
1. If price opens inside 25,732–25,798
• DO NOT short the open.
• This zone is where buyers previously defended.
• Look for reversal: hammer candle, divergence, or CHoCH.
• If reversal signs appear → Long trade targeting 25,953 → 26,020.
2. If price breaks below 25,732
• This is bearish continuation.
• Only short on retest of the broken zone.
• Downside targets: 25,680 → 25,640 (chart-projected bearish path).
3. If price recovers quickly from the gap-down
• V-shape reversals are common in strong markets.
• Once above 25,798, bullish continuation toward 25,953 → 26,020.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-downs often sweep liquidity and reverse sharply. Confirmation is crucial before entering any trade.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid buying options in the first 5–10 minutes after a gap opening. Volatility crush can hurt premiums.
2. Always define your stop-loss based on price levels, not premium. Price levels are more stable.
3. Avoid trading against major zones (resistance/support).
4. Use position sizing:
Never risk more than 1–2% of your trading capital on a single trade.
5. If IV is high → Prefer selling strategies.
If IV is low → Buying options becomes more efficient.
6. Don’t revenge trade. If levels break unexpectedly, step aside and re-plan.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias only above 26,020 → 26,094
• Range-bound between 25,953–26,020
• Strong reversal zone at 25,732–25,798 on gap-down
• Gap openings must always be traded with retests, not predictions
• Focus on market structure and reactions at these marked levels
Trade with discipline, follow levels, and avoid over-positioning during high volatility.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This trading plan is for educational purposes only and not investment advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly—always use your own judgment and risk management.
SHARDA CROPCHEM : The Flag & Pole patternThe Flag & Pole pattern is a powerful bullish continuation setup. In Sharda Cropchem Ltd, currently trading at ₹901, this pattern suggests potential upside if the breakout sustains, with defined target and stop-loss levels.
📈 What is a Flag & Pole Pattern?
1. Pole: A sharp, vertical price rise driven by strong buying momentum.
2. Flag: A short consolidation phase where price moves sideways or slightly downward, resembling a flag on the pole.
3. Breakout: Once price breaks above the flag, the prior uptrend often resumes with strength
🔑 Importance of the Pattern
1. Continuation Signal: Indicates that the prevailing bullish trend is likely to continue.
2. Clear Risk-Reward Setup: Provides well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target levels.
3. Widely Used: Traders across equities, forex, and commodities rely on it for short- to medium-term trades.
🛠️ How to Trade the Pattern
Entry Point:
Enter when price breaks above the flag resistance with strong volume confirmation.
Target Strategy:
Measure the length of the pole (initial sharp rally).
Project the same distance upward from the breakout point.
Example: If the pole is ₹150 long, add ₹150 to breakout price for target.
Stop-Loss Strategy:
Place stop-loss just below the flag’s lower boundary.
This protects against false breakouts while keeping risk limited.
📝 Key Takeaways
Flag & Pole = Bullish Continuation.
Entry on breakout, target = pole length, stop-loss below flag.
Sharda Cropchem shows this setup, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity if breakout sustains.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 03.12.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 03.12.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Understanding the Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern: TATACONSUM📈 Understanding the Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern: Tata Consumer Products Case Study
Technical analysis often provides traders with powerful insights into potential market moves. One of the most reliable reversal patterns is the Inverted Head & Shoulders, which signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Let’s break down this pattern, its importance, and how it applies to Tata Consumer Products Ltd, currently trading near ₹1152 levels.
🔍 What is the Head & Shoulders Pattern?
Classic Head & Shoulders (H&S): A bearish reversal pattern formed after an uptrend OR sideways consolidation. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder → A rise followed by a decline
Head → A higher rise followed by a decline
Right Shoulder → A lower rise followed by a decline
Inverted Head & Shoulders (IH&S): The bullish counterpart, formed after a downtrend or sideways consolidation. It consists of three troughs:
Left Shoulder → A decline followed by a rise
Head → A deeper decline followed by a rise
Right Shoulder → A higher low followed by a rise
The neckline connects the peaks (in IH&S, the resistance line). A breakout above this neckline confirms the bullish reversal.
🌟 Importance of the Pattern
1. Reliability: IH&S is considered one of the most dependable reversal signals.
2. Psychology: It reflects weakening selling pressure and strengthening buying interest.
3. Trend Reversal: Marks the transition from bearish consolidation to bullish momentum.
🎯 How to Enter After Neckline Breakout
1. Wait for Confirmation: Enter only after the price closes above the neckline with strong volume.
2. Retest Entry: Sometimes, price retests the neckline after breakout. This offers a safer entry point.
3. Avoid Premature Entry: Entering before breakout increases risk of false signals.
📏 Measuring the Target on Breakouts
The target is calculated by measuring the distance from the head (lowest point) to the neckline, then projecting it upward from the breakout point.
Target Price = Neckline Breakout Level + (Neckline − Head)
🛡️ Stop Loss Placement
1. Conservative SL: Just below the right shoulder low.
2. Aggressive SL: Below the head (deepest trough).
3. This ensures risk is managed if the breakout fails.
📊 Current Opportunity in Tata Consumer Products Ltd
1. Trading Level: Around ₹1185 (neckline zone).
2. Pattern Setup: Inverted Head & Shoulders nearing completion.
3. Bullish Potential: A breakout above ₹1185 could trigger a move toward Target levels as explained.
4. Risk Management: Stop loss near below right shoulder
✅ Key Takeaways
1. The Inverted Head & Shoulders is a strong bullish reversal pattern.
2. Always wait for neckline breakout confirmation before entering.
3. Targets are measured by projecting the head-to-neckline distance.
4. Stop loss discipline is crucial to protect against false breakouts.
Tata Consumer Products Ltd at ₹1185 offers a potential bullish opportunity if neckline breakout sustains.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 03-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 03 DEC 2025
Nifty closed around 26,057, sitting just below the Opening Resistance (26,085) and far from both the day’s support and supply zones.
The chart indicates bearish pressure, but buyers still defend the 25,954 support on dips.
The behaviour at the opening will define whether the index attempts a rebound or continues the downtrend.
🔍 Key Levels For The Day
🟥 Opening Resistance: 26,085
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,139 – 26,156
🟥 Major Upside Target: 26,246
🟩 Opening Support: 25,954
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,798
🟩 Major Breakdown Target: 25,760 – 25,720
🟩 SCENARIO 1 — GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens near 26,150–26,200, it jumps straight into the resistance zone.
If price sustains above 26,085 → It will attempt the next resistance at:
26,139 → 26,156 → 26,200+
Break & retest above 26,156 gives a drive toward 26,246.
If price rejects 26,085–26,139 (upper wicks, strong red candle) →
Expect profit-booking down toward 26,020 → 25,954.
Safer Long Setup:
✔️ Breakout above 26,156 + Retest → Target 26,200 / 26,246
Early aggressive shorting is risky.
Gap-ups near resistance often create trap candles.
📘 Educational Note:
A gap-up directly into resistance is often a testing zone where institutions check if late buyers will panic.
Let the chart confirm strength before entering.
🟧 SCENARIO 2 — FLAT OPENING (25,980–26,050)
Flat openings create a balanced battlefield between bulls and bears.
Upside trigger → Break above 26,085
Targets → 26,139 → 26,156 → 26,200
Downside trigger → Break below 25,954
Targets → 25,900 → 25,850 → 25,798
Avoid trading inside the tight range 26,020–26,070 — high noise, low reward.
Two ideal setups:
✔️ Breakout & Retest above 26,085
✔️ Breakdown & Retest below 25,954
💡 Educational Tip:
Flat opens typically lead to a clean breakout after the first 2–3 candles.
Let direction reveal itself instead of predicting it.
🔻 SCENARIO 3 — GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points)
If Nifty opens around 25,920–25,960, it opens near or inside support.
If buyers defend 25,954 and form higher lows →
Reversal targets:
26,020 → 26,057 → 26,085
If 25,954 breaks decisively →
Next targets → 25,900 → 25,850 → 25,798
Breakdown below 25,798 triggers stronger fall →
Targets → 25,760 → 25,720
Reversal trades should only be taken with:
✔️ bullish candle
✔️ higher low
✔️ strong wick rejection
inside the support zone.
📘 Educational Note:
Gap-downs into support attract smart money buying, but only if the zone holds.
A breakdown usually gives a clean trend day on the downside.
💼 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTION TRADERS 🔐💡
Do NOT trade the first 5 minutes after open (avoid traps).
Prefer ITM/ATM options for directional moves.
Use chart-level SL, not premium-level SL.
Avoid averaging losing trades — re-entry is always safer.
Trail SL once the trade hits the first target.
During high VIX, prefer option spreads.
Avoid overtrading during volatile candle clusters.
⚠️ Golden Rule:
Protect capital first.
Exposure without risk control = guaranteed loss.
📌 SUMMARY
Bullish Above:
✔️ 26,085 → 26,139 → 26,156 → 26,200 → 26,246
Bearish Below:
✔️ 25,954 → 25,900 → 25,850 → 25,798 → 25,760
Reversal Zones:
🟩 25,954 (Opening Support)
🟩 25,798 (Intraday Support)
🟥 26,085 (Opening Resistance)
🟥 26,139–26,156 (Key Supply Zone)
Avoid Trading Inside:
⚠️ 26,020–26,070
This is the NOISE zone.
🧾 CONCLUSION
Nifty is set for a decisive day with clear vertical levels.
Trend direction will be driven by:
✔️ Sustaining above 26,085 = Bullish continuation
✔️ Breaking below 25,954 = Fresh downside
✔️ Breakout above 26,156 = Strong rally
✔️ Breakdown below 25,798 = Sharp sell-off
Trade only with confirmation, avoid guessing direction, and focus on clean structure-based entries.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes.
Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Doubtful Environment Ahead — Trade Only What the Market ConfirmsToday I followed what we planned in yesterday's commentary and sold NSE:NIFTY on the rise.
While many “gurus” on social media say there are no opportunities in the market, the truth is simple — opportunities always exist if you look in the right direction.
Now let’s talk about today’s market behaviour, which was quite unusual.
- Nifty fell on the chart, but buyers’ volume increased at the end of the day.
- The Macro Index also dropped.
- Market health shifted from Green to Orange.
- Collective volume decreased.
- And price is currently neither at support nor at resistance.
Together, these points indicate that the market is in a doubtful and unclear environment.
For me, trading means protecting what I earned today and not losing it tomorrow.
So whenever I am in doubt, I stay out. It is that simple for me.
Tomorrow looks like one of those days.
Since Nifty is stuck between support and resistance, I will plan my trades live during market hours. I’m prepared for both directions.
My primary idea is still Sell-on-Rise.
However, because buyers’ volume was strong today, I will not hesitate to go long if the index bounces from support.
I think tomorrow would be the day where I catch both side swing.
Support for me is around 25970.
Resistance is at 26110, where I will look for rejection to sell.
Pivot is now 26061 and the Pivot Percentile is tight, which means liquidity will be good tomorrow.
That's what I have as of now.
Take care.
Have a profitable tomorrow.
When Charts Speak Loud: Balkrishna Industries at Turning Point📊 Understanding the Head & Shoulder Pattern
Definition: The Head & Shoulder (H&S) pattern is one of the most recognized reversal formations in technical analysis. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a decline.
Head: A higher rise followed by another decline.
Right Shoulder: A smaller rise, often mirroring the left shoulder, followed by a decline.
Neckline: The support level connecting the lows after each peak. A breakdown below this line often signals a bearish reversal.
👉 Why it matters: Traders view the H&S as a warning that bullish momentum is fading and a potential trend reversal could be underway.
⚡ RSI Momentum Explained
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
Key Levels:
Above 70 → Overbought zone (possible correction or reversal).
Below 30 → Oversold zone (possible bounce).
In Balkrishna Industries’ case, RSI moving above 70 on the hourly chart suggests the stock is in an overbought condition, increasing the probability of a pullback.
📌 Current Opportunity in Balkrishna Industries (Trading at 2407)
The stock is forming a Head & Shoulder pattern on the hourly timeframe.
RSI above 70 indicates overheated momentum, aligning with the potential reversal signal from the H&S.
Trader’s takeaway:
Watch for a neckline breakdown to confirm the pattern.
A confirmed breakdown could open opportunities for short trades or profit booking.
Risk management is crucial—false breakouts can occur, so traders often wait for volume confirmation.
🎯 Why Traders Should Care
Combining chart patterns (H&S) with momentum indicators (RSI) gives a stronger signal than relying on one alone.
Balkrishna Industries at 2407 is at a critical juncture—either it sustains momentum or confirms reversal.
For traders, this is a classic setup where technical analysis provides a roadmap for potential profit opportunities.
🔥 In short: "Balkrishna Industries is shouting reversal—will you listen to the charts?"
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.12.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.12.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/12/2025Nifty is expected to open flat today, indicating a neutral start as the index continues to move within a tight range after recent sideways sessions. A flat opening near the midpoint of the structure suggests that the market is waiting for a clear directional trigger before committing to a strong move. On the upside, if the index sustains above the 26250–26300 zone, the long setup becomes active with upside targets of 26350, 26400, and 26450+. A breakout above 26450 can further extend bullish momentum toward the next significant resistance at 26500 and potentially higher levels if the buying interest strengthens.
On the downside, immediate weakness will only be confirmed if Nifty breaks below the 26200 level, which activates the short setup with downside targets of 26150, 26050, and 26000-. A break below this zone would indicate a continuation of the selling pressure that has appeared near the top of the consolidation structure. If the index slips further toward the 26000 support band, lower levels may come into focus, especially if broader sentiment remains weak.
Overall, with a flat opening expected, the market may remain range-bound during the initial hour until a decisive breakout or breakdown occurs from the key levels. Traders should be cautious during the early session, as the market may show choppy movements before establishing a clear trend for the day.






















