#banknifty analysis for 11th Aug'2021What do I see?
#banknifty high 36,317 and price is trading above all DMA (5/10/20/50/100) & important pivots (around 35,933 to 35,957).
Wave 4 marked in the chart competes at 35,612 or we are in Wave 5 which has min targets of 36,414 & 36,914 on the upside, is still a question.
OI data turned negative, do I short here? No, OI data keeps changing based on positions, don't read much into it until it's an expiry day.
Should I go long or short? No, when the price is above MA & pivots, why take contra trade.
Should I go long? Yes, buy-in dips have to be the strategy till the 35,200 area holds.
Should I chase up trades on the upside? You can, but the risk to reward is not in favor as compare to buy in dips.
Where should I short? Good Question, might be around 36,400 to 36,500 area with 75 point SL or at 36,900 to 37,100 levels.
Note:- If 36,500 holds, then we have 500 more points on the upside, blind shorting won't help, look for reversal signals.
#banknifty
Regards,
SG
Options
PFC CASH LEVELS - DAILY ANALYSIS BUY @ 128-133 TARGET 139-144PFC Cash Levels - Daily Analysis
Buy @ 128-133
Target 139-144-148-153-158-163-169-177-190-200+
Sl Below 120 (Daily Candle Closing Basis)
Holding Period 2-3 Months
Option Players Can Try Aug Ce
Pfc 140 Aug Ce CMP 2.15
Buy @ 2 Ra Range Target 3-5-7-9+
Sl Below 1
#banknifty view for 9th Aug to 13th Aug'21#banknifty view for 9th Aug to 13th Aug'21
#banknifty 35,809 weekly closing is strongest after 15th Mar'21 almost after 4 month.
All Daily Moving Averages, Momentum & Trend Oscillators are in buy mode:-
Period Simple
MA5 35517.90 Buy
MA10 35114.54 Buy
MA20 35181.18 Buy
MA50 35133.42 Buy
MA100 34162.39 Buy
MA200 32632.53 Buy
The majority of pivot points are around 34,870.
On technical indicators side, it's a buy until 35,180 holds.
On price action analysis:-
On 4 hour time frame:- Minimum 38% Fibonacci Projection for wave is nearly achieved after break above 35,985. Next 50% & 61% projection is placed at 36,905 & 37,563 which may or may not be achieved.
On 15 min time frame:- We have completed wave 3 and in Wave 4 - Can be anything 35,211 / 35,404 / 35,596, the price might reverse from GAP 35,238 - 35,313 and move up for 36,250 area.
How to trade? Below 34,700 the price might try to fill up the gap & from there you can expect the next up move above 36,000.
E.g. One of the important DP is the weekly low, if the weekly low is broken, then only you will be short else you won't.
John Maynard Keynes said, “the markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” So be cautious and flexible as market conditions evolve.
Always trade what you see, never trade what you feel. Make this a habit, you won't be requiring any seminar, webinar, or mentor, you will be self-sufficient.
Regards,
SG
BN Vertical Call Credit SpreadFollowing trade is for educational purposes only. An Iron Condor is an option strategy, where the expected outcome for next week is range-bound.
A CE option mentioned below is a European Call Option, while a PE option is a European Put.
A hedger always buys these options and a speculator mostly sells one.
But when the speculator only sells these options, the risk involved is unlimited and the margin requirement is also high. This is called naked option selling. When both CE and PE are sold, it is called a short strangle.
In combination with this, if we buy much farther CE and PE, the short strangle becomes an Iron condor. Here, the idea is to capture the option premium in a range-bound market with reduced risk and margin compared to short straddle.
The spread between buy and call leg is based on optimum use of margin. Since the option premium is credited to us in advance, it is also a credit spread.
Since this week the view is bearish , we are taking only the CE leg of Iron Condor. As the week progresses, additional trade may be added.
Please leave a comment if you need further clarification on the following trade
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Sell 36800CE, Buy 37400CE
The history of trades of this trade model is in the following link:
docs.google.com
My concept of trading is not to be an overnight millionaire, but a disciplined method to grow the wealth that you own.
Please leave a like if you like the trade ideas :)
Nifty: The King of Options gets the weekly expiry range right!😀Nifty
It was mentioned that
- Nifty closing today would be subdued
- not expecting any firecrackers today
Range given for today was 16190-16302 with possibility of extended range of 16160-16330
The level of 16330 also had it's importance from Technical Analysis point of view and was mentioned in this post as T3 level
Nifty levels were identified beforehand based on Technical and F&O data analysis...
That approach of relying on studies and doing our homework, gave us clarity and be more rational in our trading decisions, rather than taking decisions based on greed, hope and fear.
Nifty traded most of the part within the narrow range mentioned. It did trade in the extended zone for around 2 hours but eventually closed just 35 points above (0.22%) at 16294 well within the narrow range mentioned.
Our Trading Strategy update
Given the conditions, we waited patiently and when Nifty entered the extended zone, Strategy suggested during live markets, was to consider selling 26 August expiry 16500 Call option around 100.
It gave ample opportunity to sell between 97-102 eventually closing the day in profit at 76.
Remember Technical and Derivatives Analysis is not about being right or wrong but more about understanding your risk and reward potential in the trade and looking for opportunities where Risk::reward ratio is favorable to trade
If you understand the above rule and can apply in your trading system, you won't need to Like or Follow me
But if you decide to follow me
Don't just follow the King of Options blindly 😉
Learn to identify opportunities independently
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Data is dynamic and can change in no time
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: Likely range for 05 August weekly expiry dayNifty
Prima facie based on F&O data analysis, not expecting any fire crackers tomorrow.
Nifty expiry looks likely to be subdued in the range of 16190-16302.
Extended range could be 16160-16330
Take care and plan your trade responsibly
Let me go by Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Data is dynamic and can change in no time
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
#banknifty view for 2nd Aug to 6th Aug'21#banknifty view for 2nd Aug to 6th Aug'21
Deleted everything from the chart and started fresh for the new month, the view is neutral to bullish, the market in time correction/consolidation, the significant move can be seen after the range breaks.
The view will be changed to bearish below 33,700 only, but don't want to miss out on the next big upmove.
Moving Average Anaylyis:-Overall in sell mode.
Period Simple
MA5 34711.18 Sell
MA10 34851.40 Sell
MA20 35134.03 Sell
MA50 35061.47 Sell
MA100 34167.60 Buy (33,700 to 33,900 area will continue to work as support)
MA200 32333.01 Buy
The majority of pivot points hovers around 34,650
What's on the chart?
The uptrend started from mid of April has been broken on the downside, the price might try to enter the trend again and will continue to in the consolidation zone (33,908 to 35,985) which we are in for the last 2 months.
Pattern Analysis:- Falling Wedge, which indicates an Up move.
Bit confused? You will be, because there is no trend in the market right now, as more time correction is in progress.
Now how to trade? 34,830-34,919 will be your decision zone, falling wedge indicates upmove, better be in buy-in dips mode until there is the breakdown.
A significant breakdown below 33,700 only
Next view, if the range breaks.
E.g. One of the important DP is the weekly low, if the weekly low is broken, then only you will be short else you won't.
John Maynard Keynes said, “the markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” So be cautious and flexible as market conditions evolve.
Always trade what you see, never trade what you feel. Make this a habit, you won't be requiring any seminar, webinar, or mentor, you will be self-sufficient.
Regards,
SG.
Tata Steel: Chart set up and trading strategyTata Steel
Observations are mentioned in the chart itself.
Any rise towards 1430 / 1451, needs to be watched carefully. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________
Given the set up suggested F&O strategy,
One may consider to sell Tata Steel 26 August expiry 2021
1460 Call option around between 35 - 42 (Closing price 37.05)
Max profit potential in strategy Rs 31492/- per lot (at closing price) till 26 August 2021
More importantly, the strategy has an inbuilt risk cover for a rise in price up to 1497 till expiry day.
Take care & safe trading....!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
BN Vertical Call Credit SpreadFollowing trade is for educational purposes only. An Iron Condor is an option strategy, where the expected outcome for next week is range-bound.
A CE option mentioned below is a European Call Option, while a PE option is a European Put.
A hedger always buys these options and a speculator mostly sells one.
But when the speculator only sells these options, the risk involved is unlimited and the margin requirement is also high. This is called naked option selling. When both CE and PE are sold, it is called a short strangle.
In combination with this, if we buy much farther CE and PE, the short strangle becomes an Iron condor. Here, the idea is to capture the option premium in a range-bound market with reduced risk and margin compared to short straddle.
The spread between buy and call leg is based on optimum use of margin. Since the option premium is credited to us in advance, it is also a credit spread.
Since this week the view is bearish , we are taking only the CE leg of Iron Condor. As the week progresses, additional trade may be added.
Please leave a comment if you need further clarification on the following trade
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sell 35500CE, Buy 36100CE
The history of trades of this trade model is in the following link:
docs.google.com
My concept of trading is not to be an overnight millionaire, but a disciplined method to grow the wealth that you own.
Please leave a like if you like the trade ideas :)
#banknfity Delta update for 3rd AugWhat do I see on #banknifty?
Falling wedge breakout with a gap and pull back to the falling wedge line.
The heart might say to go short, but when you open your eye and use your brain to analyze, there is clear cut long which chart is telling us.
I prefer to go long until 34,350 is not broken, the buying will come above 35K, 35500 looks very much possible on the upside.
The rest of the weekly analysis remains the same.
NIfty BreakdownNifty 50 is not looking good as per option chain data there is heavy writing on 15900 on call side but put side is considerably weak. So keep your puts ready as most probably the nifty 50 can go down after this consolidation..
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*Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line , option chain data, etc,. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types gains or loses in the market.
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Nifty Intraday Options Trades for 2/8/2021Intraday Options:
A. Buy 5th Aug Nifty 15900CE Strictly above 53 SL 40 Target 90 and 100.
B. Buy 5th Aug Nifty 16000PE Strictly above 287 SL 245 Target 390 and 400
Exit before market Close Today. Do not take position for Tomorrow unless advised so.
Out of the above 2 options calls, Trade only in 1 option which ever comes first and cancel second order immediately.
All Disclaimers Apply.
BN Vertical Call Credit SpreadFollowing trade is for educational purposes only. An Iron Condor is an option strategy, where the expected outcome for next week is range-bound.
A CE option mentioned below is a European Call Option, while a PE option is a European Put.
A hedger always buys these options and a speculator mostly sells one.
But when the speculator only sells these options, the risk involved is unlimited and the margin requirement is also high. This is called naked option selling. When both CE and PE are sold, it is called a short strangle.
In combination with this, if we buy much farther CE and PE, the short strangle becomes an Iron condor. Here, the idea is to capture the option premium in a range-bound market with reduced risk and margin compared to short straddle.
The spread between buy and call leg is based on optimum use of margin. Since the option premium is credited to us in advance, it is also a credit spread.
Since this week the view is bearish , we are taking only the CE leg of Iron Condor. As the week progresses, additional trade may be added.
Please leave a comment if you need further clarification on the following trade
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sell 35700CE, Buy 36300CE
The history of trades of this trade model is in the following link:
docs.google.com
My concept of trading is not to be an overnight millionaire, but a disciplined method to grow the wealth that you own.
Please leave a like if you like the trade ideas :)
BN Iron CondorFollowing trade is for educational purposes only. An Iron Condor is an option strategy, where the expected outcome for next week is range-bound.
A CE option mentioned below is a European Call Option, while a PE option is a European Put.
A hedger always buys these options and a speculator mostly sells one.
But when the speculator only sells these options, the risk involved is unlimited and the margin requirement is also high. This is called naked option selling. When both CE and PE are sold, it is called a short straddle.
In combination with this, if we buy much farther CE and PE, the short straddle becomes an Iron condor. Here, the idea is to capture the option premium in a range-bound market with reduced risk and margin compared to short straddle.
The spread between buy and call leg is based on optimum use of margin. Since the option premium is credited to us in advance, it is also a credit spread.
Please leave a comment if you need further clarification on the following trade
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sell 35000PE, Buy 34400PE
Sell 36700CE, Buy 37300CE
The history of trades of this trade model is in the following link:
docs.google.com
My concept of trading is not to be an overnight millionaire, but a disciplined method to grow the wealth that you own.
Please leave a like if you like the trade ideas :)
#99 YOUR TIME STARTS NOW#99 (GENIE IDEAS): I will daily post intraday/swing/positional trading opportunities so u can analyse and get the most from it. if you like my analysis do like and follow me as a token of appreciation. And if you have any queries let me know.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging.
#98 AIRTEL GONNA FLY AIR BORNE #98 (GENIE IDEAS): I will daily post intraday/swing/positional trading opportunities so u can analyse and get the most from it. if you like my analysis do like and follow me as a token of appreciation. And if you have any queries let me know.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging.
NIfty BObreakout from the box or sideways channel Best way to trade this time is with options you can buy Out of the money Calls for this trade and risky traders can buy at the money nifty is heading towards the 16300 marks but can go slowly. Keep watching the levels now 15910 will be the goos support area buy near support for great risk-reward ratio