MCDOWELL_NHELLO EVERYONE,
You all can see the beautiful and clean chart of NSE:MCDOWELL_N on a Monthly Pivot-Point TimeFrame, where the following observations are crucial to note down and understand!
-> Inside + Narrow CPR Setup depicts that the price movement for this month of April can be "Trending" which usually suggest a breakout or breakdown of a range-play formation near the Reversal Camarilla Levels (H3 and L3).
-> Open of the month was above the monthly CPR but the close of the same candle went below to close below the CPR suggesting a weakness of trend and now the CPR will initially act as a resistance whenever the price retraces back towards the CPR. We would have saw further bearishness if the price would have taken down the Cam L3 level in the similar formation as discussed above.
-> After a retrace from ML3 we see the rejection towards the Monthly CPR initially and then comes the breakout of the CPR with a fresh month high which now indicates the strength of responsive bulls coming into the script.
-> After the breakout the phenomenon of "Pivot Swap" can be seen where the price after the breakout takes a dip towards PIVOT (M) and proceeds higher after that which depicts that the CPR which was initially acting as a resistance will now turn into support and proceed for Cam H3 Level and break of the MH3 will initiate the long trigger for the initial target of MH4 and and then MR2.
This was a very basic understanding of how you can plan out your trade in case of Narrow or Inside CPR but as the term BASIC is mentioned in the statement it denotes that these setup are very volatile and have to superimposed with a range-play formation for smooth results.
Will continue to update this as we proceed with the auction!
Pivotstrategy
RELIANCE - THE TREND SETTER?? ♠︎Hello Pivster's ★
We see a beautiful chart of (Pivot-Points + Price-Action) on the street favourite and most watched stock by the bulls to provide them a power booster for the coming sessions if required.
NSE:RELIANCE has off-late been in news for one of it's business subsidiary "JIO Financial"s stock market debut in the coming month.
➖ What can we expect further from Motabhai's company in the upcoming session ↘︎
📍One of the main X-factor for this Oil & Gas giant up-move is declining Crude Oil prices which makes the scenario beneficial for all the OMC companies as a whole.
• As seen in the chart with the applied Monthly Pivot Points, it is very clear of a strong confluence at a major support level with the ML3 cam level 2460-2475.
• Here the responsive buyers in the broader TF took the price above the Monthly CPR which in terms of price-action is a triangular breakout pattern.
But, wait do we see NSE:RELIANCE contributing approx. 25% of the previous session NSE:NIFTY 's upmove along with IT and FMCG sector as the script alone was up by 2.25% in the previous trading session 🤓
Keeping the above factors and pointers in mind we can expect bulls to take help of NSE:RELIANCE to break through the major seller's resistance zone and can act as a catalyst for the upcoming sessions.
Lastly, if you liked it and found useful share it everywhere with your fellow-traders/friends/family etc... 🫶
Regards,
Mukkull
NIFTY50 : WEEKLY EXPIRY SPECIAL 🔍So, got a lot of enquiries for explanation of today's movement by Indices and here I will try to summarise the entire context for ongoing price movement with the help of my very own "Pivot Auction Chart" 📶
➖ To start with the general context of this week's price movement -
👉🏻 Currently both the indices are in grip of weekly participants (responsive).
👉🏻 So, either they show strength at the pullback to push the price in the ongoing direction or else the Monthly Responsive players will trap them in coming sessions which will lead to a situation of pullback getting turned into reversal.
This context was discussed on 8th August, 2023
What happens today??
📍 We saw a O=H opening today depicting strong selling pressure as we break the previous 2D low which happens to be at the Monthly Cam Level L3 (ML3) and Weekly Pivot (Pivot(W)) .
📍 Now with first hour being a seller's candle alongside daily narrow CPR setup which was an indicative of a possible trending day which turned the tables after the flush of weak daily sellers who enter in the market after a consolidation in the first half.
📍 With the market narrative being seen as a pause for further selling in the second half, we see a price breakout from the hourly price range and as the general context was given we see as soon as the price cam to previous 2D low in confluence to the price level of Monthly Responsive Buyers they trapped all the shorters for the day with the of help of Metals, OIl & Gas and Auto Sector in their bucket to push the price higher to the 2D high.
◇Attaching a snapshot of NSE:NIFTY in accordance to Auction Market Theory (AMT) which shows this phenomenon in more depth and will help you tomorrow too ▿
↘︎ A brief for tomorrow's expiry movement:
• We see a Bullish GPZ setup for tomorrow alongside an event day too that is "RBI MONETARY POLICY" meet which starts at 10am IST.
• So, here one thing is which is very straight and simple is that NSE:NIFTY will be in control of today's buyers until the GPZ is taken down.
• In case of GAP-UP opening we have a broader responsive range of "Weekly Responsive Sellers (WH3) - Quarterly Responsive Sellers (QH3) & also Daily Responsive Sellers (DH3) so, a dip can come towards the GPZ and if the GPZ is intact a good short covering can be seen tomorrow towards 19800.
• In case of GAP-DOWN opening we can price taking an initial bounce from the Daily Pivot and if the price unable to cross PDH then first we will break the GPZ and then if the news momentum joins in then we can go as deep as towards 19380-19410 levels.
So, here is a summarised brief of today's movement in the simplest yet as descriptive as possible and tomorrow's possible move in NSE:NIFTY and similar follow up in NSE:BANKNIFTY ✓
If you found it helpful then share it with your traders/friends/family ⏭️
Regards,
Mukkull 🫶
BANKNIFTY : (PIVOT AUCTION CHART) Hey Pivster's
NSE:BANKNIFTY having a beautiful and smooth weekly pivot auction chart where you can see the "support" (WH3-MH3 zone) turned into "resistance" alongside the Weekly Bearish GPZ setup.
A brief synopsis for BankNifty:
-> We see a gap-up opening in the month of July'2023 with the first 30m candle close above WH3 and MH3 zone.
-> After making a swing high of 45353.20 it goes to dip and retest the WH3-MH3 zone (responsive players zone) where BNF takes a clean initial support by making a swing low as 45000.25 (round number) but does not breaks 45000.
-> BNF proceeds with the strength of daily intraday pivot based initiative players and a wild move happens in 2nd trading session of the month on 4th July,2023 where the price travels upside to mark a swing high 45655.50 which basically is above the MH4-WH4 zone (initiative players zone) but crisply closes within the zone and immediately a long sellers candle can be in the following 30min candle.
-> We see a responsive ranged based move for next 2 trading sessions (Check the Mother Candle of 5th July, 2023).
-> And as much needed breakout/breakdown on the last trading session of the previous week i.e. 7th July, 2023 we get a gap down opening which takes support from the marked zone and also 2D mother candle low.
-> Comes the awaited breakdown with a clean price-action as follows-
* Breakdown of Intraday 30min ORB range
* Breakdown of WH3-MH3 zone marking a comeback of broader responsive players
* Breakdown of 2D Mother Candle range
And, as we see price now travels to the 'GAP-UP ZONE' which was created on the starting of the July month.
-> What happens today must now be very clear and fun to interpret as per the pivot auction theory which is as follow -
* Price pushed to gap up opening towards the WH3-MH3 zone which is beautifully in confluence with the 'Daily Bearish GPZ'
* As we expect the support turns resistance and we see a ORB (30min) breakdown in the second half.
I hope you enjoyed the read time for the BNF synopsis and hopefully take home a lot of things, factors and situations to your learning desk and sharp mind which is powerful enough to decode every problem.
MORAL - Stock Market is EASY, but not SIMPLE :)
If you thought this was helpful to you then share the same with your fellow traders / friends / family etc.....
Regards,
Mukkull
NIFTY50: (THE BROADER PICTURE) HEY FAM,
- As you see in the pictorial representation of NSE:NIFTY , the index took an upsurge at around 13th June, 2023 with a gap-up opening which happens to the level of previous month high (PMH).
- Moving on we also see a PEMA crossover with an initial retest of price at Monthly H3 (MH3) level which shows that monthly responsive players are in action now when the price takes the first support from marked zone that is -> (PMH - MH3)
- Now in the same week we form a Weekly high (PWH) at around 19th June, 2023 which you can see comes in a beautiful confluence with the level of Monthly H4 (MH4) thus making it a hot level on the upper side which is why the line is marked as 'orange'.
- Fast forward to this current week, we have a reference that the index has a responsive range of around 210 points which is clearly marked on the chart too.
- This week beautifully shows the fight between the weekly and monthly responsive players trying to break through from the responsive range and thus open gates for their respective initiative players to race towards their range targets.
NOTE:
I hope you understand the broader picture now and can also testify how simple things can be if you just connect the respective dots from multiple pivot timeframe.
So, I think that this information through a brief pictorial representation helps you in further projects and the same time shows you one of the way you can use PIVOT STUDY WITHOUT EVEN APPLYING ANY INDICATOR!!
Let me know your thoughts upon this publish in the comment section.
THANK YOU
How to Trade Camerilla Pivot Points with Live Trade exampleHow to Trade Camerilla Pivot Points with Live Trade example
Keep Eye on Stop loss levels they will either work as Support/Resistance breakout or breakdown can give Explosive moves which are good level for Options Buying
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my view.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
How Trade Key Trading levels - Camarilla Pivots How Trade Key Trading levels Camarilla Pivots with combination of Previous day high & Low & Close
This video is not real live trade its made on reply trade.
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my view.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
RAYMOND LTD shows strong buy indicated by PSAR, MACD & Fisher crossover followed by EMA & MA Crossover
Target 2: 1021.55
Target 1: 927.05
Stop Loss: 870.20
𝑫𝒊𝒔𝒄𝒍𝒂𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒓:
The analysis is only for illustration purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor, agent, broker before acting on any information. We may or may not have positions in the stock and our actions may be contrary to the one mentioned here. This analysis may or may not be updated. We would not be responsible for the profit/loss resulting from this analysis. NSE:RAYMOND
Reliance CPR and Money zone have formed a lower relation. Looking at price analysis, price has taken a strong rejection at previous month high and is currently trading below monthly pivot range. the price has been steadily trading lower and is currently at multiple resistances. Any strong rejection would push the price to new lows for the week.
OIL INDIA LTDNSE:OIL shows strong buy indicated by PSAR, MACD & Fisher crossover followed by EMA & MA Crossover
Target 2: 259.45
Target 1: 244.10
Stop Loss: 220.05
𝑫𝒊𝒔𝒄𝒍𝒂𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒓:
The analysis is only for illustration purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor, agent, broker before acting on any information. We may or may not have positions in the stock and our actions may be contrary to the one mentioned here. This analysis may or may not be updated. We would not be responsible for the profit/loss resulting from this analysis.
BankNifty Spot Weekly Outlook For Week May30th–Jun 03Falcon Analytics Outlook Bank Nifty for the week ( May 30 – Jun 03 )
Technically on the daily charts we see minor support on the downside for BankNifty index lies at 34164 levels,
whereas minor resistance on the upside is capped around 36263 levels.
If BankNifty index breaches minor support on the downside and closes below it, we may see fresh break down and index can drag towards major support on lower side around 33561/32958 and and if breaches minor resistance on the upside and closes above it, we may see fresh breakout and index can head towards major resistance at higher levels around 36719/37322.
Currently BankNifty index is just trading below 200 day EMA @ 35885 suggests long term trend is Bearish .
Falcon Analytics predicts range for the week is seen from 34164 on downside and 36719 on upside.
Below Mentioned Spot Levels can be used to trade Long Or Short during the week ahead.
( All Spot Levels)
RESISTANCE 4: 37322
RESISTANCE 3: 36719
RESISTANCE 2: 36116
RESISTANCE 1: 35743
WEEKLY PIVOT LEVELS: 35140
SUPPORT 1: 34537
SUPPORT 2: 34164
SUPPORT 3: 33561
SUPPORT 4: 32958
All above views for education purpose only .
Regards,
MD .
IRB INFRASTRUCUTRE: POSITIVE TRENDNSE:IRB shows strong buy indicated by PSAR, MACD & Fisher crossover followed by EMA & MA Crossover
Target 2: 260.95
Target 1: 245.30
Stop Loss: 221.10
𝑫𝒊𝒔𝒄𝒍𝒂𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒓:
The analysis is only for illustration purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor, agent, broker before acting on any information. We may or may not have positions in the stock and our actions may be contrary to the one mentioned here. This analysis may or may not be updated. We would not be responsible for the profit/loss resulting from this analysis.
GAIL INDIA LTD: POSTIVE TREND NSE:GAIL shows strong buy indicated by PSAR, MACD & Fisher crossover followed by EMA & MA Crossover
Target 2: 170.35
Target 1: 162.45
Stop Loss: 151.10
𝑫𝒊𝒔𝒄𝒍𝒂𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒓:
The analysis is only for illustration purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor, agent, broker before acting on any information. We may or may not have positions in the stock and our actions may be contrary to the one mentioned here. This analysis may or may not be updated. We would not be responsible for the profit/loss resulting from this analysis.
JK LAXMI CEMENTS : POSITIVE TRENDNSE:JKLAKSHMI shows strong buy indicated by PSAR, MACD & Fisher crossover followed by EMA & MA Crossover
Target 2: 546.85
Target 1: 526.15.80
Stop Loss: 453.30
𝑫𝒊𝒔𝒄𝒍𝒂𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒓:
The analysis is only for illustration purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor, agent, broker before acting on any information. We may or may not have positions in the stock and our actions may be contrary to the one mentioned here. This analysis may or may not be updated. We would not be responsible for the profit/loss resulting from this analysis.
NIFTY FUT- Blue Print for 22-Mar-2022 *******************************************************************
NIFTY FUT- Blue Print for 22-Mar-2022
*******************************************************************
HTF - Market Structure
l Chart Pattern - Higher Low structure
l DTF Pivot Trend - Bullish Structure
l DTF Price Action - Bearish Marbuzzo
Pivots Analysis.
l Monthly Pivot - LV Relationship -Trending Range month.
l Weekly Pivot - HV relationship - Trading Range week.
l Daily Pivot - LV Relationship - Trading Range day.
l Pivot Width Analysis - Trending day - 0.40
l DR - 261.45>137.60 (DR=<50% of ADR to confirm trending day)
l GPZ - H3GPZ (Resistance GPZ)
Key levels.
l PDH/PDL - Done.
l PD Turning Points - Done
l PD Supply and Demand Zone (1HR TF) - Done
l Swing High/Low - Done
l Gaps - Done
l Virgin CPR - None
Summary
► DTF is in area with "BEARISH MARBUZZO", which infers sellers dominant bias.
► Pivot analysis infers TRADING RANGE bias.
► CPR is in "LOWER VALUE WIDE RANGE" relationship.
► Support levels 16850/16799
► Resistance levels 17500/17480.
**FII have sold total of 44207 crores in total for this month. Hence, always look any up move with skepticism.**
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Trading Plan
1. Any bullish PA above 17422 is stop of 17374 and target of 17500.
2. Any bullish PA above 17048 is stop of 17000 and target of 17142.(Scalp)
3. Any bearish PA below 17338 is stop of 17388 and target of 17263.(Scalp)
4. Any bearish PA below 16997 is stop of 17052 and target of 16930.
Two rules that I follow religiously while trading
► Don’t trade until 9:30, unless it’s a trending day.
► Once you Reach 1:1 RR ratio move u SL to cost and book 50% if you are conservative trader.
This information is for education purpose only. So, please consult your financial advisor for any investment/trading advise.
Bonne chance!!
@Sacredmonkey.
Dwarkesh Sugar: Will it break out to return a +30% gain?Dwarkesh Sugar is currently trading in a tight range and most likely forming a pivot range of <= 7%
What is the trade idea?
Stock has risen 222% within 21 weeks and formed a good 2T VCP pattern. Now it's been consolidating for a good 17 weeks and with the low risk range that’s currently in progress, it is on my high alert now.
My expectation is that 78.50 should be crossed in the coming two weeks. (hopefully ;-) the markets have a tendency to surprise, always, and I'm wrong about 60% of the times)
I am expecting a possible consolidation within the marked tight range box for the next two weeks.
Here's my Trade Plan
Entry : On Breakout above at 80.40
Initial Stop Loss (ISL): Below @ 66.80 (SL based on structure)
Note: Breakout needs to be supported with high volumes.
Potential Targets: 97.50, 105.90
Need to watch carefully what the price action will do around the resistance of 84 levels. If that is convincingly crossed, then both upper targets have a good probability of being achieved.
Since price has been consolidating for long, my expectation is that 84 ought to be crossed decisively. Keeping fingers crossed though.
Chart marked with the trade plan. Please feel free to clarify your doubts, and trade safe.
Nifty Trading Plan - 29th JulySummary
► DTF is in area with "BEARISH HAMMER", which infers "sellers dominant" bias".
► Pivot analysis infers TRADING RANGE bias.
► CPR is in "LOWER VALUE WIDE RANGE" relationship.
► Support levels 15605/15578
► Resistance levels 15778/15735.
FII have sold total of 18300 crores in total for this month. SO, my suggestion it would be better if we take short trades.
► TRADING PLAN ACCURACY DATA SHEET - docs.google.com
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Trading Plan
1. Any bullish PA above 15714 is stop of 15692 and target of 15753. (Scalp)
2. Any bullish PA above 15586 is stop of 15559 and target of 115626745.
3. Any bearish PA below 15740 is stop of 15762 and target of 15705. (Scalp)
4. Any bearish PA below 15635 is stop of 15657 and target of 15599.
Two rules that I follow religiously while trading
► Don’t trade until 9:30, unless it’s a trending day.
► Once you Reach 1:1 RR ratio move u SL to cost and book 50% if you are conservative trader.
This information is for education purpose only. So, please consult your financial advisor for any investment/trading advise.
Bonne chance!!
@Sacredmonkey.
Nifty Trading plan - 28th july
Summary
► DTF is in area with "MARUBUZZO", which infers "sellers dominant" bias".
► Pivot analysis infers TRADING RANGE bias.
► CPR is in "LOWER VALUE WIDE RANGE" relationship.
► Support levels 15696/15656
► Resistance levels 15793/15778.
Don't rush into taking trades. since, its trading range day. wait for extra confirmation.
Most of traders make money on TRENDING DAY and lose on TRADING RANGE DAY. Don't be that guy!
TRADING PLAN ACCURACY DATA SHEET - docs.google.com
**********************************************************************************
Trading Plan
1. Any bullish PA above 15796 is stop of 15774 and target of 15818. (Scalp)
2. Any bullish PA above 15716 is stop of 15695 and target of 15745.
3. Any bearish PA below 15815 is stop of 15829 and target of 15792. (Scalp)
4. Any bearish PA below 15688 is stop of 15662 and target of 15707.
Two rules that I follow religiously while trading
► Don’t trade until 9:30, unless it’s a trending day.
► Once you Reach 1:1 RR ratio move u SL to cost and book 50% if you are conservative trader.
This information is for education purpose only. So, please consult your financial advisor for any investment/trading advise.
Bonne chance!!
@Sacredmonkey.
Nifty Trading plan - 27th July Summary
► DTF is in area with "Bearish Doji", which infers "sellers being dominant" bias".
► Pivot analysis infers sideways/breakout bias. But, ADR is pretty high hence, big whipsaws are possible, but one sided moves are of low probability.
► CPR is in "UNCHANGED VALUE" relationship, which suggests breakout or sideways tomorrow.
► Support levels 15735/15700
► Resistance levels 15895/15941.
► FII sold 2376 crores, second highest in this month. So, below point is kind of getting true.
► I am repeating what I said on 14th July. " Market in DTF market is moving sideways which infers STAGE 3 as per Stan Weinstein methodology, which means all big folks are selling their shares to retail folks hence, expect correction".
► I may think of creating a strategy to go short on positional in INDEX with proper hedge. This is just a plan and not in motion yet.
**********************************************************************************
Trading Plan
1. Any bullish PA above 15908 is stop of 15887 and target of 15941. (Scalp)
2. Any bullish PA above 15946 is stop of 15923 and target of 15991.
3. Any bearish PA below 15825 is stop of 15847 and target of 15799. (Scalp)
4. Aggressive short below 15807 is short with stop of 15822 and target of 15756.
Two rules that I follow religiously while trading
► Don’t trade until 9:30, unless it’s a trending day.
► Once you Reach 1:1 RR ratio move u SL to cost and book 50% if you are conservative trader.
This information is for education purpose only. So, please consult your financial advisor for any investment/trading advise.
Bonne chance!!
@Sacredmonkey.
HINDUNILVER - Trading plan 27th JulySummary
► DTF is in area with "Bearish Hammer", which infers "sellers being dominant" bias".
► Pivot analysis infers TRENDING DAY bias and ADR is below 0.50 which suggests high probability of TREND DAY.
► CPR has "narrow range LV" relationship, which suggests breakout tomorrow.
► Support levels 2332/2319
► Resistance levels 2371/2356.
**********************************************************************************
Trading Plan
1. Any bullish PA above 2350.75 is stop of 2345.50 and target of 2359. (Scalp)
2. Any bullish PA above 2356.65 is stop of 2350.75 and target of 2370.
3. Any bearish PA below 2351 is stop of 2361 and target of 2340. (Scalp)
4. Aggressive short below 2345 is short with stop of 2353 and target of 2331.
Two rules that I follow religiously while trading
► Don’t trade until 9:30, unless it’s a trending day.
► Once you Reach 1:1 RR ratio move u SL to cost and book 50% if you are conservative trader.
This information is for education purpose only. So, please consult your financial advisor for any investment/trading advise.
Bonne chance!!
@Sacredmonkey.
Nifty trading Plan - 16th JulySummary
► HTF is in uncharted area with a Bullish candle, which infers "Positive" bias". If sellers can push market below 15760 then we may see sellers upper hand, else Bulls will take control.
► Pivot analysis infers TRENDING DAY bias.
► Support levels 15895/15858
► Resistance levels 15941.
► If market can hold off tomorrow and close above 15850, we may see bullish momentum for few week/medium term.
► I don’t know how many of you noticed, but OPEN INTEREST went way too high today for the month July. So, can we expect a momentum play in this month? Do, let me know in comments.
► PS: I am not into OI readings, but since it’s a significant change bought this to attention, would love to know from some experts here.
**********************************************************************************
Step 1 - Strategies to be deployed -
l Open drive .
l PPT.
l CPRRVL
Step 2 - Trading Plan
1. Any bullish PA above 15900 is stop of 15881 and target of 15936.
2. Any bullish PA above 15925 is stop of 15905 and target of 15952 . (Scalp)
3. Aggressive long above 15968 is stop of 15951 and target of 16000.
4. Any bearish PA below 15883 is stop of 15901 and target of 15861. (Scalp)
5. Aggressive short below 15852 is short with stop of 15869 and target of 15815.
This information is for education purpose only. So, please consult your financial advisor for any investment/trading advise.
Bonne chance!!
@Sacredmonkey