BankNifty Analysis BankNifty also had a similar chart pattern as of Nifty50. A gap-up open of 345pts ~ 0.78% and then a steady period till 13.20. Fell 208pts ~ 0.47% in 50mts and then recovered for close. HDFCBK did quite well even after the declaration of the results. The gap-up on hdfcbank was the main reason both Nifty and BankNifty had an unusual start. In...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr chart, I wish to maintain the neutral stance until we break out or break down. Since we are near the resistance level, the probability of breaking out could be higher. That does not mean we jump the gun and take the trade early — patience is gold” Nifty got a mega boost by the gap-up open of almost 118pts ~ 0.6%....
BankNifty Analysis BankNifty’s trade today looked quite different from Nifty50. The opening candle was a stronger red and we retested the 44068 support. Since we did not break it - my short call did not trigger. The rejection took BN higher by 312pts ~ 0.71% and we went into the green territory for a brief period. And even after all these - the options data was...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr pattern, the first thing I would like to do is change my stance from bullish to neutral. We have broken the 19776 support today and well above the 19446 zone. For Monday I wish to go with the neutral trades only and go short if we fall below 19614 in the forenoon session.” We started the day with a strong red...
BankNifty Analysis BankNifty was crazier than Nifty today, but because the options premium were not juicy enough, I refrained from taking positions (glad that I did). Open we fell 349pts and never really recovered from it. Till 13.30 BankNifty was showing more intent to fall than Nifty. Then came a quick surge of 248pts ~ 0.56% in 30mts. We closed the gap with...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: ”For tomorrow I wish to continue my bullish stance if 19776 support is respected. If that breaks in the morning session, I would like to change my stance to neutral. If 19671 level breaks in the forenoon session — I would definitely go short as we may fall below the double-top formation.” Yes, you guessed it right by reading...
BankNifty Analysis Banknifty also had a perfect flat day today. Since we did not have an attempt to fall, I assume the bulls have a slight advantage over the bears. Its inability to take out the 44738 resistance was also quite worrying. But there was something strange and heroic by BN today. NiftyIT was falling pretty sharply today on the back of results from...
Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Nifty went up 236pts ~ 1.21% between the last expiry and today. The major highlight was its capability to defend the support of 19446 and then breach the resistance of 19776. Today we even retested the support of 19776 and it held and may pave the way for further upmoves. Nifty Today Analysis Recap from yesterday: “We had a perfect...
BankNifty Weekly Expiry Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty has gained 525pts ~ 1.2%. The fall on 9th October was nicely covered up by the price actions on 10th and 11th. This is the 2nd time BankNifty has recovered after falling below 44068, the bulls are still strong. BankNifty Today Analysis There were many things different about the expiry today....
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the hourly chart — India replies with 5 white soldiers to the war news (3 white soldiers means 3 strong green candles). We have not taken out the 19776 resistance so far — but we are pretty close. I wish to change my stance from neutral to bullish with the first target of 19776 and the 2nd target of 19847.” Nifty...
BankNifty Analysis The real reason for the rally on Nifty was BankNifty. Remember yesterday we discussed how it fell below the support of 44068 and then had an intraday rejection. We also went with a bearish view for today. The first thing the gap-up and the swing of 1st candle did was to breach the resistance. A +268pts ~ 0.61% open was more than adequate. Then...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: ”For true bearishness 19350 or the recent swing low has to be taken out tomorrow. Well, I have a bearish bias because of the LONG PUT option — but the charts are not showing anything so far. If we bounce back from the 19446 level tomorrow also — I may be forced to close out the position at a loss. For tomorrow I would like to...
BankNifty Analysis On Friday I changed my stance from bearish to neutral since we had a strong performance. We pushed through the 44068 resistance and maintained those levels. But today we dropped below that and even closed lower. Notice we took out the 44068 level in the opening 5mts candle itself. From there we hit a new swing low of 43796 and then recovered...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For Monday, I wish to continue my neutral stance but keep my options open for bullish moves. The moment 19776 is tested and broken — we can expect further participation to take Nifty much ahead. For the bears to make a comeback — the US markets have to close in DEEP RED today.” Nifty opened mega gap-down due to the shocking...
BankNifty Analysis I had a bearish view for today, but it played out as a bad day for the bears. The RBI MPC meeting at 10 am did not move the needle that much. Usually, the RBI Governor’s speech drives up the volatility and we have some adverse moves. There was one strong move of 250pt from 10.50 to 11.20 where we pulled back from 44500 levels. Even then the...
Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Although we had a good green day today — the body of the candle was not good enough. So I am not changing my stance from bearish to bullish instead, I am going with a neutral stance for tomorrow.” Everything went in the bull’s way today. The opening was gap-up followed by a steady upward-looking rally. Even though we had the...
BankNifty Analysis BankNifty had a similar chart pattern as that of Nifty. An opening gap-up of 272pts ~ 0.6% and then a 2nd leg of rally from 10.30 of 279pts ~ 0.63%. The only difference I saw was that after the day’s high was hit - BankNifty started falling gradually whereas Nifty went flat. Tomorrow’s RBI MPC outcome at 10.00 might be interesting. We would...
Nifty Expiry Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has only lost 6pts. Quite a rarity to see a flat close especially when we had some strong preceding moves. The recovery today gave Nifty a strong character change as well. It was looking a lot negative yesterday and further fall was looking obvious. Nifty Daily Analysis Recap from yesterday: “The...