10th Oct ’23 - India sends 5 white soldiers to the war - Nifty
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: ”For true bearishness 19350 or the recent swing low has to be taken out tomorrow. Well, I have a bearish bias because of the LONG PUT option — but the charts are not showing anything so far. If we bounce back from the 19446 level tomorrow also — I may be forced to close out the position at a loss. For tomorrow I would like to go with a 50% neutral and 50% bearish option. Nifty is not technically weak — it is the global macro that is weak. “
Nifty does a gap-up open today and then rallies a total of 109pts in the opening candle w.r.t previous day’s close. This also ensures that yesterday’s swing high is not broken on the downside from the 2nd candle onwards. Till 11.35 Nifty showed no special signs of directional movement but once the 19620 levels were broken - it started climbing ferociously. Can you believe we shot up another 106pts ~ 0.54% to negate yesterday’s price action as well as take out the swing high of 6th October.
Yesterday looked like a blip, remember our Friday’s plan - “Go long”. We are there now. What these 2 days did was to take out my stop losses both ways. My long stop loss was taken out yesterday and the short stop loss was taken out today.
On the hourly chart - India replies with 5 white soldiers to the war news (3 white soldiers means 3 strong green candles). We have not taken out the 19776 resistance so far - but we are pretty close. I wish to change my stance from neutral to bullish with the first target of 19776 and the 2nd target of 19847. In case we lose the momentum tomorrow - we will still be range-bound unless the bottom support is broken.
Recap from yesterday: ”For true bearishness 19350 or the recent swing low has to be taken out tomorrow. Well, I have a bearish bias because of the LONG PUT option — but the charts are not showing anything so far. If we bounce back from the 19446 level tomorrow also — I may be forced to close out the position at a loss. For tomorrow I would like to go with a 50% neutral and 50% bearish option. Nifty is not technically weak — it is the global macro that is weak. “
Nifty does a gap-up open today and then rallies a total of 109pts in the opening candle w.r.t previous day’s close. This also ensures that yesterday’s swing high is not broken on the downside from the 2nd candle onwards. Till 11.35 Nifty showed no special signs of directional movement but once the 19620 levels were broken - it started climbing ferociously. Can you believe we shot up another 106pts ~ 0.54% to negate yesterday’s price action as well as take out the swing high of 6th October.
Yesterday looked like a blip, remember our Friday’s plan - “Go long”. We are there now. What these 2 days did was to take out my stop losses both ways. My long stop loss was taken out yesterday and the short stop loss was taken out today.
On the hourly chart - India replies with 5 white soldiers to the war news (3 white soldiers means 3 strong green candles). We have not taken out the 19776 resistance so far - but we are pretty close. I wish to change my stance from neutral to bullish with the first target of 19776 and the 2nd target of 19847. In case we lose the momentum tomorrow - we will still be range-bound unless the bottom support is broken.
