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GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range. 1- A "Head Shoulders" has been detected and we did a perfect Take profit ( TP1) at 2 395$. 2- When we break a range the Take profit should be the Height of the range. Then the TP2 is expected around 2 518$. 3- Plus we can also consider that the range is like a flag and then the TP3 ( green arrow) is expevted around 3 030$ The red horizontals are retracements regarding ICHIMOKU levels . However a retracement Fibonacci gives a target lower around 2 100$. Be careful
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
Supply & Demand Part 1We will talk about ranges, Premium & Discount levels and trading them. I'm going to explain the basics of Supply & Demand simply. This is Part 1 of a 2-part series. We’re going to cover the concept of buying high & selling low, ranges, Premium & Discount zones and taking entries & exits based on what we learned. Buying high & selling low Before we get into the topics, let's quickly understand the concept of buying high and selling low. We'll be using this concept throughout this idea. Why is it good to buy low and sell high? Let's imagine that we're trying to buy & sell a pair of shoes. If you buy at the 0.25 level and price goes up to 0.75, you make a profit. But if you bought at 0.5 and price goes up to 0.75, you would make less profit. If you buy at 0.25 and price goes down to 0, you make a loss. But if you buy at 0.5, you make much more of a loss. In the examples above, we can see that buying low is beneficial because it reduces how much money we lose and at the same time increases how much we can earn. The same logic can be applied to a sell. If we sell high at 0.75, we have less money to lose if price goes to 1 AND at the same time, we have more money to gain if price goes down to 0.25. But if we sell at 0.5, we have more money to lose (if price goes up to 1) and less money to gain (if price goes down to 0.25) The point is that it’s best to sell high and buy low. Range Let’s talk about what a range is. A range is the area between the latest swing high and swing low. A new range is formed when structure is broken and confirmed. Let’s look at how structure is broken. (a bearish structure break) We have our swing high and swing low to the left of the chart. This is currently our range. Then, price pulls back up and closes below the swing low (it breaks structure to the downside). A structure break only happens when a candle’s close is below the last swing low. Always check this on the previous candle and not on the current realtime bar which is forming. The current realtime bar will repaint and we won’t be sure if the close of the candle will actually remain below the last swing low (until the candle has finished forming). Now that our break of structure happened, we have to confirm the new low which just formed. We confirm this low by waiting for price to come up again and close (and not just form a wick) inside the range we had. Now, we know that our new low is confirmed. Once our new low has been confirmed, we can draw our new range. The new range’s top will be the highest high (i.e. the high which caused that confirmed low). The new range’s bottom will be the confirmed low. Let’s look at how a bullish structure break is formed. We have our range to the left of the chart. then, price comes down and then closes above the range. Now, we have an unconfirmed high. To confirm this high, we wait for price to close back inside the range. Once that’s done, we have our new range. Premium & Discount zones To understand Premium and Discount zones, let’s use a fib. The fib is divided into 4 zones: 0%, 25%, 75%, 100% A premium zone is the upper 25% (75% - 100%) of the fib and a discount zone is the bottom 25% (25% - 0%) of the fib. The other area in the middle (25% - 75%) is fair pricing. Aim to buy when price reaches the Discount zone (buy low) and sell when price reaches the Premium zone (sell high). Combining ranges with zones Let’s look at a way we can use what we learned to take entries and exits. For a buy: look for a bullish structure break. Then wait for price to close inside the range (to confirm the bullish structure break). Now, we have a new range. Draw a fib on the new range. Wait for price to reach the Discount zone of that fib. A candle low should be within the discount zone. You can buy there. Exit when price reaches the bottom/top part of the premium zone. If price fails to go down to the Discount zone to give us an entry and instead reaches the Premium zone and goes even higher above the new range, that means that a new range formed and we have to wait for this new range to be confirmed. This new range’s top will be the high that was broken, and the bottom will be the low that caused the move up which broke the high. Wait for price to close inside this new range for it to be confirmed. Then we have to wait for our buy signal again. For a sell: look for a bearish structure break. Then wait for price to close inside the range (to confirm the bullish structure break. That is our new range. Draw a fib on the new range and wait for a candle high to reach within the Premium zone. Sell there. Exit when price reaches the bottom/top part of the Discount zone. If price fails to go up to the Premium zone to give us an entry and instead reaches the Discount zone and goes even lower below the new range, that means that a new range formed and we have to wait for this new range to be confirmed. Our new range’s bottom will be the low that was broken, and the top will be the high that caused the move that broke the low. Wait for price to close inside this new range for it to be confirmed. Then we have to wait for our sell signal again. I hope you find this useful!
Education
by SamaaraDas
Kotak Mahindra Bank - Range ConsolidationKotak Mahindra Bank Limited offers a range of banking services covering commercial and investment banking on the wholesale side and transactional/branch banking on the retail side. Book Value Per Share: 562.55 Dividend Yield: 0.08 TTM EPS: 86.40 TTM PE: 21.12 P/B: 3.25 Sector PE: 25.38 Positives: Company with high TTM EPS Growth Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ) Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years Company with Zero Promoter Pledge Companies with current TTM PE Ratio less than 3 Year, 5 Year and 10 Year PE Brokers upgraded recommendation or target price in the past three months Decrease in NPA in recent results Mutual Funds have increased holdings from 9.45% to 9.63% in Sep 2023 qtr. Negatives: Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash Seems to be overvalued vs the market average Lagging behind the market in financials growth Net Profit TTM Growth % - Low in industry Price to Book Ratio - High in industry Promoters have decreased holdings from 25.94% to 25.93% in Sep 2023 qtr NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
NSE:KOTAKBANK
by babutaaniket
ANTONY WASTE seems right for my investing TASTEPE Ratio is 15.4 vs Industry PE ratio of 82.6. - Annual Revenue rose 32%, in the last year to Rs 876.6 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth for the last fiscal year was 26%. - Annual Net Profit rose 0.3% in the last year to Rs 68.1 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth for the last fiscal year was 49%. - Quarterly Revenue fell 5.6% YoY to Rs 227.3 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth YoY for the quarter was -16.5%. - Quarterly Net profit fell 21.3% YoY to Rs 18.3 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth YoY for the quarter was -16.7%. It is one of the top five players in the Indian municipal waste management industry with a track record of 20 years. Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd is engaged in the business of mechanical power sweeping of roads, collection and transportation of waste, waste to energy project and undertake the designing, construction, operation and maintenance of the integrated waste management facility in Kanjurmarg, Mumbai. During FY22, the Co. increased activity from its new contracts in Varanasi, Noida, Jhansi, New Delhi Municipal Corporation, increasing its geographical presence in 9 states in India through ongoing and completed projects. The Co. is the 2nd largest player in India.
NSE:AWHCLLong
by CannySunny
7
Hey Albert David ! Time for your Bid !Company is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 35.0% CAGR over last 5 years PE of 8 vs Industry PE of 29 Dividend Yield 1.12 % ROCE 17 % ROE 12.2 % Albert David Ltd is engaged in manufacturing and trading of Pharmaceutical Formulations, Infusion Solutions, Herbal Dosage Forms and Bulk Drugs by way of domestic sale or export. During FY22, the Co. introduced two products i.e., Evacure and C3H in the market. It is expected that these two products will augment the revenue and profits of the Company.
ALong
by CannySunny
Hey Albert David ! Time for your Bid !- Company is almost debt free. - Company has delivered good profit growth of 35.0% CAGR over last 5 years - Dividend Yield 1.12 % - PE 8 vs Industry PE of 29 Albert David Ltd is engaged in manufacturing and trading of Pharmaceutical Formulations, Infusion Solutions, Herbal Dosage Forms and Bulk Drugs by way of domestic sale or export. During FY22, the Co. introduced two products i.e., Evacure and C3H in the market. It is expected that these two products will augment the revenue and profits of the Company. The Co. will continue to focus on enhancing its presence organically as well as inorganically, both in the domestic and the international market.
ALong
by CannySunny
Reliance might finally give "Real Breakout"After the swift rally following the covid lows, reliance gained 200% within 1.5 years. And since then price went sideways. In past 2 years, reliance has given 0% return to those who bought at the top, or to anyone who bought in the range. This might change in coming period, and we can finally see Reliance making proper breakout, not the fake ones its been making over the past 2 years. The reason I believe so is because valuations have come to more reasonable level, seen during the covid period lows, not extreme undervaluation but more within the long term range. And with all the future enthusiasm there is about the business prospects of Reliance. I can easily see the upside coming in. Valuations are now in the range of 24-25x, down from overvaluation of 36-37x where it topped. So, yeah, things are falling in place for Reliance to lead once again. WATCH OUT THE NEXT BREAKOUT. IT MIGHT BE THE REAL ONE.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by rookietraderpro
Don't miss this - A market leader is available at a good price. How to do good in the markets ? - Buy low and sell high :-D Well, in this article, I will try to explain how can you really do well in the markets, practically. Not just an advice like - Buy low and sell high. Here's an explanation for this analysis: Fundamental: 1. A Market leader - Castrol is the second highest market share holder with more than 20% market. 2. Very strong Fundamentals - These numbers are just dream for any company. The below figures are twice as good as any competitors in this business. ROCE - 60.8 % ROE - 45.9 % 3. Consistent profit growth. There could be other parameters also, but I am highlighting the above three for fundamental analysis. Technical: 1. Huge buying force: A good share is known for performance and this has given 600% from the listing. Which is significant. 2. Correction: 60% correction from the top which catches my attention to notice a good share. 3. Base formation: Like my other analysis, I like to see a good base formation for a decent time frame. Here, the stock stops making lower lows and starts showing the sign of strengths. 4. Breakout: The dream begins here. As per Stan Weinstein (whom I have learnt a lot from), this is the stage 1 breakout. Here the stock shows first sign of strength again. Summary: If the stock confirms the breakout above 148-150 on the monthly charts, it can be a good entry location for the long term. Please understand that, nobody can make you rich by just giving you a share name, it is you who should understand your inner self and play the games by your own rules. !!
NSE:CASTROLINDLong
by NandanChaturvediTrade
Range StockHDFCLIFE is in a Range since it has been listed in the market and is continuously making higher highs and Higher Lows in a weekly time frame which suggests that it is in a UPTREND and therefore can be bought at the last support level for a potential next upswing. It has come back to its support and further trading at the trendline where potentially it can take support. A very short risk can be taken for a potentially big profits at this level, which makes it a highly favorable trade in risk reward ratio perspective. ENTRY - can be made at the same level i.e. 495 Stop Loss- at the last low i.e 470 Reward - at the last resistance i.e 600 and then range resistance and then at next resistance i.e. 650. *This is HIGH RISK HIGH REWARD trade. Use Stop Loss POSITIVELY in the market. *preservation of capital in the market is the first step of a profitable Trader.
NSE:HDFCLIFELong
by rohitbansal1212