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Gold price consolidates within symmetrical triangle above $1,900Gold price bounces off a one-week-old rising support line, as well as the 200-SMA, within a symmetrical triangle comprising levels marked since late July. Given the near-50.0 levels of the RSI and the impending bull cross on the MACD, the XAUUSD is likely to extend the latest rebound. The same highlights the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its July-August downside, near $1,937, ahead of shifting the market’s attention to the stated triangle’s top line, close to $1,947 at the latest. In a case where the bullion price remains firmer past $1,947, the monthly high of around $1,953 will act as the final defense of the bears. On the flip side, the 200-SMA and an ascending support line from the previous week limit the immediate downside of the Gold price near $1,918 and $1,916 respectively. Following that, the triangle’s lower line surrounding $1,906 and the $1,900 will be crucial to watch for the XAUUSD bears. In a case where the metal remains bearish past $1,900, the odds of witnessing a slump toward July’s low of $1,885 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the Gold Price is likely to remain sidelined within the aforementioned triangle but advocates more volatility ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD remains on the back foot within bearish channelEURUSD braces for the eighth consecutive weekly loss despite the latest hesitance of the bears surrounding the bottom line of the 1.5-month-old descending trend channel. It’s worth noting that the nearly oversold RSI line and sluggish MACD signals suggest a corrective bounce of the Euro pair, which in turn highlights the previous support line stretched from late June, close to 1.0750 by the press time. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0750, September’s peak of around 1.0885 and the aforementioned channel’s top line surrounding 1.0900 will lure the pair buyers. It should be observed, however, that the bullish bias remains elusive unless the quote stays below the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.0925, a break of which could challenge July’s peak of 1.1275 gradually. Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s weakness might dwindle around the stated bearish channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0695 by the press time. Following that, the lows marked in May and March, respectively near 1.0635 and 1.0515 could lure the Euro sellers. Should the pair bears remain in control past 1.0515, the yearly bottom of around 1.0480 will act as the final battle point for the buyers before giving the throne to the sellers. Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain bearish but a corrective bounce can’t be ruled out.
by MTradingGlobal
This Rice stock might rise soon!KRBL is one of the leading stocks in basmati rice export(holding company of India gate brand) Recently, Indian government has put a ban on non-basmati rice exports which has led to increase in price of basmati rice in the world. However, despite of the positive news for the stock, no major price change was observed in chart. The stock is available at a PE of 12 and has a negligible debt with ROE of around 17%. Technically, the stock is near a strong round number resistance of 400. Positional traders can keep this stock in watchlist as the risk associated is low and reward is high in a longer term. Idea is shared only for educational purposes
NSE:KRBLLong
by chartistamey
AUDUSD bears flex muscles on RBA DayAUDUSD bulls struggle to hold the forte after posting the first weekly gain in seven on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision Day. That said, the Aussie pair trades within a three-week-old bearish triangle, staying below the convergence of the 100-SMA and 50-SMA surrounding 0.6450 on the key day. It’s worth noting that the steady RSI and bearish MACD signals lure the sellers to sneak in and break the stated bearish triangle’s bottom line, close to 0.6420 at the latest. In a case where the risk-barometer pair remains weak past 0.6420, it confirms the bearish chart pattern and can well refresh the yearly low, currently the August 13 bottom of around 0.6360. On the other hand, an upside clearance of the previously stated triangle’s top line, near 0.6530, could unleash the AUDUSD buyers. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-July around 0.6600 will precede a five-week-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding 0.6625 to test the upside momentum. In a case where the Aussie pair buyers keep the reins, backed by the hawkish RBA actions or signals, the odds of witnessing a run-up toward July’s peak of around 0.6900 can’t be ruled out. Overall, AUDUSD bulls run out of steam but the bears need approval from the RBA and the triangle breakdown.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bulls run out of steam around mid-146.00sUSDJPY again flirts with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October 2022 to January 2023 downturn within a five-month-long bullish channel. Though, the overbought RSI (14) and looming bear cross on the MACD signal pullback of the Yen pair. That said, the tops marked in late June and early July join the 21-DMA to highlight the 144.60-50 zone as a short-term key support. In a case where the risk-barometer pair drops below 144.50, the late July swing high around 142.00 might stop the sellers before challenging them with the 140.00 support confluence comprising 100-DMA and the bottom line of the stated channel. Meanwhile, a daily closing beyond the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 146.50 will direct the USDJPY buyers toward the November 2022 peak of around 148.85 and then to the 149.00 round figure. Following that, the 150.00 round figure might test the Yen pair’s upside before highlighting the previous yearly high of around 152.00. To sum up, the USDJPY pair’s pullback appears overdue but the downtrend appears off the table beyond 140.00.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD eyes further upside, 1.2830 challenges buyersGBPUSD gained buyer’s attention after snapping a four-week downtrend the last week. Adding strength to the upside bias is the Cable pair’s confirmation of the descending triangle bullish chart pattern. However, a clear upside break of the stated triangle’s upper line, close to 1.2740 by the press time, as well as successful trading beyond the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.2830 becomes necessary for the Pound Sterling bulls to retake control. Following that, the late July swing high of around the 1.3000 psychological magnet will act as a buffer during an expected ride towards challenging the yearly top marked the last month near 1.3145. On the contrary, multiple supports around 1.2700 and 1.2650 restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair. However, the Cable’s bearish bias remains elusive unless witnessing a clear break of the previously stated triangle’s bottom line, close to 1.2625 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the Pound Sterling’s sustained weakness beneath 1.2625 may seek confirmation from the late June swing low of around 1.2590 before targeting May’s bottom of 1.2310. Overall, GBPUSD lures buyers but the upside needs validation from 1.2830.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold stays bearish despite corrective bouncesGold braces for the fourth weekly losses even as a one-month-old falling support line defends intraday buyers. That said, the recovery appears elusive unless crossing the 200-SMA level of around $1,940. Even so, multiple tops marked since late May, surrounding $1,985, constitute a strong resistance for the bulls to cross before taking control. Following that, a run-up toward crossing the $2,000 round figure will be a cakewalk for the XAUUSD buyers while $2,050 and May’s peak of around $2,066 could gain the market’s attention afterward. On the flip side, the aforementioned support line, around $1,887 by the press time, could keep poking the Gold sellers. However, a break of which could quickly drag the XAUUSD to the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the metal’s May-July moves, near $1,863. It’s worth noting that the bullion’s weakness past $1,863 will make it vulnerable to testing the yearly low of around $1,804, quickly followed by the $1,800 threshold. Overall, Gold sellers keep the reins unless the prices remain below $1,985 but the downside room appears limited, which in turn suggests intermediate bounces in the price.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD remains vulnerable to refresh yearly low past 0.6400A daily closing beneath a nine-month-old rising support line, now resistance around 0.6480, keeps the AUDUSD bears hopeful of witnessing further downside even as the oversold RSI conditions prod the immediate declines. That said, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6380, checks the bears while the last November’s bottom of around 0.6270 can challenge the Aussie pair’s downside afterward. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.6270, the previously yearly low marked in October around 0.6170 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, AUDUSD recovery needs validation from the multi-day-old previous support line, close to 0.6480. Even so, the 10-DMA level surrounding 0.6515 can challenge the buyers before directing them to the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s successful trading beyond 0.6600 enables it to aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6670 ahead of targeting May’s peak of near 0.6820. Above all, AUDUSD stays on the bear’s radar unless crossing the double tops marked in July close to 0.6900. Overall, AUDUSD is less likely to return to the buyer’s radar any time soon.
by MTradingGlobal
Falling wedge, oversold RSI tease NZDUSD buyers on RBNZ dayNZDUSD bears appear running out of steam after a four-week downtrend as the Kiwi pair portrays a one-month-old falling wedge bullish chart formation at the yearly low amid the oversold RSI (14) line. That said, the 10-DMA surrounding 0.6045 guards immediate recovery of the quote ahead of the key 0.6060 resistance comprising the top line of the stated wedge. In a case where the bulls manage to keep control after crossing the 0.6060 hurdle, June’s high of around 0.6250 and a six-month-long horizontal area near 0.6380-90 can test the upside momentum before the falling wedge’s theoretical target of 0.6535. It’s worth noting that the said 0.6535 level coincides with the yearly peak marked in February and hence becomes the key hurdle for the buyers to watch afterward. On the contrary, the aforementioned wedge’s lower line restricts the immediate downside of the NZDUSD pair around 0.5920, a break of which will defy the bullish chart pattern. However, the 0.5900 round figure and a downward-sloping support line from early March, close to 0.5880, could challenge the bears afterward. In a case where the Kiwi sellers refrain from stepping back past 0.5880, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, around 0.5730, will act as the last defense of the buyers before directing the quote to the previous yearly low of near 0.5515. Overall, NZDUSD is likely to witness recovery as the RBNZ managed to lure Kiwi buyers without doing much. However, Fed Minutes will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD downside hinges on 0.6470 breakdown and Aussie/US dataA clear downside break of the 10-month-old rising support line teases the AUDUSD bears as China releases mixed inflation data from July. Even so, an ascending trend line from early November 2022, close to 0.6470, could join the nearly oversold RSI to challenge the Aussie bears. Following that, a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6375, may act as the final defense of the bulls before the late 2022 low of 0.6170 gains attention. Meanwhile, AUDUSD needs to provide a daily closing beyond the support-turned-resistance line, near 0.6540 at the latest, to recall buyers. Following that, a three-week-old falling resistance line, around 0.6650, could check the upside momentum ahead of targeting May’s peak of around 0.6820. It’s worth noting, however, that the double tops surrounding 0.6900 become the key hurdle to the north for the pair buyers to crack for conviction. Overall, AUDUSD slips into the bear’s radar but the road towards the south is long. That said, Thursday’s Australia Consumer Inflation Expectations for August and the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be crucial for the pair traders to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD has a long way to go before convincing bullsAUDUSD fades bounce off a three-week low while poking a two-month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance around 0.6730, on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision Day. Adding strength to the upside barrier is the 200-DMA hurdle surrounding the said 0.6730 level. Following that, a run-up towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside, near 0.6810, will be quick. However, the double tops around the 0.6900 round figure, close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.6890, can challenge the buyers before giving them control. On the contrary, the AUDUSD pullback appears elusive beyond the latest swing low surrounding 0.6620. Even if the Aussie pair drops below 0.6620, a horizontal support zone comprising levels marked since early March, near 0.6560-55, will act as the last defense of the bulls ahead of challenging the yearly bottom of 0.6458. It should be noted that the Aussie pair’s weakness past 0.6458 won’t hesitate to challenge November 2022 trough and the previous yearly low, respectively near 0.6270 and 0.6170. Overall, AUDUSD remains on the bear’s radar despite the week-start rebound and remains a good candidate for “sell the bounce”.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY breaks immediate support despite BoJ inactionUSDJPY appears well-set to reverse the previous weekly gains as it reverses from a three-week-old descending resistance line surrounding 141.00. Also adding strength to the downside bias could be the pair’s break of a fortnight-old support line’s break, as well as bearish MACD signals. However, the below 50.0 levels of the RSI challenges the Yen pair as US Dollar bulls flex muscles ahead of the Fed’s favorite inflation clue, namely the Core PCE Price Index. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s recovery remains elusive below 141.00 while the 200-SMA and multiple technical levels marked since June 19 and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the June-July downside together constitute the 142.00-10 area as a tough nut to crack for the bulls. On the contrary, USDJPY sellers need validation from the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near 139.00 to rule further. Should the Yen pair remains bearish past 139.00, tops marked in March and May around 137.70 and the monthly low near 137.25 will act as the final defenses of the major currency pair. If at all the quote drops beneath 137.25, May’s bottom of near 133.50 and the 130.00 threshold will lure the sellers. Overall, USDJPY is likely to add to the weekly gains but US data appears crucial to watch for clear directions.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD portrays bearish triangle on Australia inflation, Fed decAUDUSD fades bounce off 200-EMA, reversing from a one-week-old falling resistance line, as Australian inflation and the Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision decorate the calendar. Given the downbeat oscillators, as well as the Aussie pair’s placement within a two-month-old bearish triangle, the quote stays on the seller’s radar. However, a clear downside break of the stated triangle’s bottom line, close to 0.6690, becomes necessary to convince bears, not to forget the need for a sustained close beneath the 200-EMA level of 0.6730. Following that, the late June low surrounding 0.6595 and the previous monthly bottom of near 0.6485 will gain the market’s attention. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6485, the theoretical target of the bearish triangle confirmation, near 0.6240, should be logical to expect as the target for the short positions. On the contrary, an upside break of the seven-day-old resistance line, around 0.6790 at the latest, will precede the 0.6800 round figure and the last weekly high of near 0.6850 could test the AUDUSD buyers. However, major attention will be given to the triangle’s top surrounding 0.6900, a break of which won’t hesitate to propel the Aussie pair toward the 0.7000 psychological magnet. Should the quote stays firmer past 0.7000, the mid-February peak of around 0.7030 may check the upside momentum ahead of directing the bulls to the yearly top close to 0.7160. Overall, AUDUSD appears slipping off the bull’s radar but the sellers need validation from the triangle breakdown and the fundamentals.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD reverses before 0.6680 support on impressive Aussie dataAUDUSD remains on the front foot while printing the first daily gains in five after strong Australian employment data. The pair’s latest upside also justifies the upward-sloping RSI line, not oversold, as well as the bullish bias of the MACD signals. With this, the quote is likely to extend the north run toward May’s peak of around 0.6820 ahead of targeting the 0.6895-6900 resistance area comprising the tops marked in July and June, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6900, the odds of witnessing a rally past the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. In that scenario, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the yearly peak, respectively near 0.7010 and 0.7160 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, the 0.6685-80 support confluence comprising the 50-DMA, 100-DMA and an upward-sloping trend line from late May appears the key challenge for the bears to conquer before retaking control. That said, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of around 0.6730 and the 0.6700 round figure is likely immediate supports to watch during the pair’s further fall. It’s worth noting that the bear’s dominance past 0.6680 won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly low of around 0.6590, a break of which will direct the sellers toward the year 2023 bottom, so far, marked around 0.6460 in May. Overall, AUDUSD bears are in the driver’s seat but the trip towards the south needs an entry-pass from 0.6680.
by MTradingGlobal