TVSMOTOR, 1D forms Bearish EngulfingNSE:TVSMOTOR TVS Motor Company is an Indian multinational motorcycle manufacturer headquartered in Chennai. It is the third-largest motorcycle company in India in terms of revenue. The company has annual sales of three million units and an annual production capacity of over four million vehicles.
TVSMotor formed Bearish engulfing candlestick pattern after an uptrend on daily timeframe and gave closing below that candlestick pattern.
Entry : 1454.4
Target : 1386
SL : 1502
RR : 1.44
Short
Shooting Star formed on LT, 1DNSE:LT Larsen & Toubro Ltd, commonly known as L&T, is an Indian multinational conglomerate company, with business interests in engineering, construction, manufacturing, technology, information technology and financial services, headquartered in Mumbai & Technical services, headquartered in Chennai.
LT forms Shooting Star after an uptrend and gave closing below it.
Entry : 2906.75
Target : 2760
SL : 3015
RR : 1.36
ACC formed Bearish Marubozu on 1DNSE:ACC ACC Limited (Formerly The Associated Cement Companies Limited) an Indian cement producer, headquartered in Mumbai. It is a subsidiary of Ambuja Cements and a part of the Adani Group. On 1 September 2006, the name of The Associated Cement Companies Limited was changed to ACC Limited. The company was established in Mumbai, Maharashtra on 1 August 1936.
ACC formed Bearish Marubozu and gave closing below it.
Entry : 2024.5
Target : 1913
SL : 2106
RR : 1.36
Nifty: How September series start looks like19480-19460 played a vital role in Aug series and so did 19385 in the last 2 trading days.
Directional trade can be taken once Nifty decisively breaks 21 day EMA or 50 day EMA. A few days back when Nifty closed below 50 day EMA, it bounced back immediately. Now again Nifty has broken the 50 day EMA on Expiry day. Is this a knee jerk reaction or is the breakdown real this time.
If Nifty struggles to go past 19320 odd levels on the upside then it could indicate Bears trying to make a grip on the market. On the flip side, avoid selling above 19320 odd levels.
Till the time Nifty is below 50 day EMA, chance of downfall towards 19030 / 18951 odd levels is on a higher side.
Important levels which may act as Support and resistance for the day
Imp levels on the upside 19320 / 19438 / 19487
Imp levels on the downside 19193 / 19152 /19080
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Nifty: Trading between 21 day EMA and 50 day EMAFor most part of the August month, Nifty has been trading between 21 day EMA and 50 day EMA
- the monthly average for Nifty Futures is around 19490
Nifty likely to open gap up. However one needs to watch out for 19389-19424 zone
If after gap up, Nifty sees rejection in this zone and falls below 19385, then pullback rally may be considered to be over and we might see continuation of downfall.
Cautious if Nifty trades above 19430. View gets invalidated if Nifty closing above 19490
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
-The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Is the Monthly Nifty expiry gonna be a volatile climax???Nifty
We are looking at daily charts of Nifty
- Since July 20, Nifty is trading in a falling channel
- Currently Index is seen struggling to re-claim 21 day EMA zone
- Nifty Closed below 50 day EMA after 31 March 2023
There could be a pullback attempt from here but if Nifty closing by Wednesday is below 50 day EMA, then we might see some further downside.
Important levels on the upside: 19322 / 19384 / 19440
Important levels on the downside: 19196 / 19080 / 18966
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
-The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
gbpusd sell Trade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 3
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!
EUR/USD Wave Analysis:LONG
📈🌍 Uncover the intricacies of EUR/USD price action through an insightful wave analysis. We dissect the evolving wave patterns to reveal the potential opportunities that lie ahead. Join us as we delve into the afterwaves of 12345 and prepare for the upcoming correction wave, setting the stage for a profitable journey through Wave ABC!
🔍 Key Points:
Deconstructing Wave Sequence: Embark on a journey through the recent EUR/USD price movements, meticulously breaking down the quintessential five-wave pattern (12345). Gain a comprehensive understanding of each wave's characteristics and its contribution to the overall market trend.
Approaching the Correction Wave: Unveil the significance of corrective waves within the realm of forex trading. We examine the various scenarios and projections for the impending Wave ABC, shedding light on potential price levels, patterns, and timing.
Profitable Potential: Learn to harness the power of correction waves for profitable trading. We lay out strategies that empower traders to identify optimal entry and exit points, enabling them to capitalize on the market's risk-reward dynamics.
Capturing Wave BC: Dive into the heart of Wave BC, the second phase of the corrective pattern. Understand the external factors influencing its formation and acquire the insights needed to align your trading strategy for potential gains.
Risk Management Mastery: Master the art of risk management during correction waves. Explore effective techniques to safeguard your trading capital while maximizing profit potential, ensuring a balanced approach to your trading endeavors.
Leveraging Technical Indicators: Discover an arsenal of technical indicators and tools that bolster your EUR/USD analysis. Utilize these tools to validate your insights and fine-tune trading decisions during this pivotal phase.
Real-life Case Studies: Immerse yourself in historical instances of correction waves within the EUR/USD pair. Draw parallels between past patterns and outcomes to enhance your decision-making prowess.
📊💰 As EUR/USD takes center stage, equip yourself with the knowledge and strategies required to navigate these exciting waves of opportunity. Embark on a journey of profit potential during the correction wave – Wave ABC has the potential to unlock lucrative trades. Stay informed, trade with confidence, and make well-informed decisions with our comprehensive analysis!
(Note: Trading carries inherent risks, and historical performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking guidance from financial experts before executing trading decisions.)
eurusd short + long Trade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 1.7 , 1:3
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!AND IF YOU WANT TO LEARN/ having doubt IT WHAT STOPPING YOU TO ASK HOW ?
HTF - GOLD - HAS LOST ITS SHINE?My analysis today deals with how the further course of our most popular precious metal "GOLD / XAU" could look like.
For this I have carried out a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month - week - day) and thus makes the big picture visible.
Normally, all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing.
> We traders know that nobody can predict the future, and that's exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations.
> If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets.
> This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture.
> I have explained in detail which levels are RELEVANT in the following pages. .
table of contents
1st part = INTRODUCTION
2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
= Monthly - Time frame
= Weekly - Time frame
= Dayly - Time frame
3rd part = CONCLUSION
PART ONE
"INTRODUCTION"
After "XAU/USD" formed a double top between 2020-2022, a strong sell-off has been unleashed thereafter.
> This sell-off paused in October this year to test the strength of it.
> With a subsequent bullish monthly candle, many retail investors now feel on the safe side that new highs will be reached.
> Here I do not want to take away the joy, but the big picture does not suggest anything like that.
> Once you look at the DXY (USD index) on the higher timeframes, the following sell-off in gold is "indirectly" confirmed.
(My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.)
GOLD SAFE HARBOUR .
If you follow popular wisdom, GOLD is classified as a safe and reliable haven.
SPEAKING LIKE ...
> "All that glitters is not gold."
> "Talk is silver, silence is gold."
> "Much gold, much future."
That, the precious metal gold got such a high value awarded - HAD - its reasons.
> Inflation protection and security - are definitely the two most associated words with this precious metal.
Unfortunately, at the latest, since the year 2021, this no longer seems to apply.
> If one compares the loss of inflation and the gain in value of gold, a significant gap can be seen, at which there can no longer be any talk of "inflation compensation".
> Gold will therefore no longer live up to its reputation and a rethinking of its value will have to take place in the future.
SECOND PART
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
For the analysis of the higher time levels, I proceed according to the onion-skin principle.
> MONTH - level > WEEK - level > DAY - level
These are divided into
> SUMMARY > CHARTS
The charts are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way.
1st MONTH – Time frame
SUMMARY
The trend channel plotted on the chart formed in March|2007 and has since maintained its position as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market.
> Price is in the area below the mean line and had last touched the channel in 2018.
> September|2020 the price ran into the mid-line but was not strong enough. This becomes very clear when looking at the moving away middle line despite the "double top".
> The trend arc is another resistance, which should be taken into account for a future downward movement.
If we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can look at two zones in the chart.
> The "SUPPLY" zone is VERY STRONG because it is a RBD (Rally Base Drop).
> The "DEMAND" zone is VERY WEAK, as it is a DBD (Drop-Base-Drop).
> If we get another rise in the DXY, the drawn "DEMAND" zone will break and the sell-off will continue.
The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation, and have been proved in past moves (last decades) .
> Should the price rise even further, FIB (1) will serve as a Strong Resistance Zone, although the "FIB Zone = 0.75-0.88 - is the Strongest Resistance. (1)
> If the sell-off continues, FIB (2) cannot do much in the monthly chart, but if necessary there will be a reaction on the "smaller" time levels.
> The FIB (3) = 1.618 level, will resemble a large magnet and in combination with the FIB (4), will trigger a large resistance reaction in the market.
Past highs and lows usually serve as resistance / support, of which we have three.
> HIGH | 08/20 - Already showed a reaction (double top).
> HIGH | 09/11 - Point of Control
> LOW | 03/21 - Broken and recaptured
Points and levels of interest are in front of us, which have played a strong role for the market since 2011 .
> The most significant resistance, represents the plotted - POI (1800 USD), which is still contested at the time of this analysis.
> The other POIs have non-negligible resistance and support characteristics and should be kept in mind.
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture
XAU - Trend lines
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Market Structure Break
XAU - Fibonacci
XAU - POI
ATTENTION
In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. .
2nd WEEK – Time frame
SUMMARY
In addition to the already mentioned trend channel, now three more become visible, which may have escaped the one or the other.
> The "Purple" trend channel formed at the same time as its big brother (monthly channel) and thus represents a major significance for the market.
We are at the middle line of the channel and the market seems to have used it as support.
> The "Turquoise" trend channel accompanies us since the last high and has a big say with its many interactions.
My guess is that its resistance line will decide whether the sell-off will continue or be broken with confirmation.
> The "Earth-colored" trend channel is a small sideways accumulation and accompanies us in this area.
Currently, the price has fought its way back into the channel, confirmed it and is now targeting the top of the sideways channel.
> The "Orange colored" trend line , has been respected since 2018, 07|2022 broken.
The price suggests that the trend line is approaching for a final retest.
The additional "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones join the two existing ones and remain untouched.
As additional Fibonacci additions, we have:
> The 0.88 FIB (1), combined with the levels from the FIB (2). This represents with the 0.88 levels from FIB (2) - two very relevant resistance ranges.
> FIB (3) is only valid if the price does not rise further and therefore the input values do not change. Should this be the case, the 0.786 + 0.88 area is the most important to watch out for.
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture
XAU - Overall picture + Month
XAU - Trend Channels + Trend Lines
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES
XAU - Fibonacci
ATTENTION
In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. .
3rd DAY – Time frame
SUMMARY
The chart shows a falling triangle which has been broken .
> As a result, the price has confirmed this break, with a close at the break point.
> At this time level, there will be a sell-off, especially if the DXY rises.
To give a little comment on the "Supply & Demand" zones:
> The upper two "SUPPLY" zones are definitely very strong. 1800 + 1980.
> The bottom "DEMAND" zone is very strong, as it is a DBR (Drop-Base-Rally) zone. (ca. 1640 - ca. 1615)
> The "DEMAND" zones in between are incidental, will trigger small reactions on the lower time frames, but nothing significant. (ca. 1760 - ca. 1660)
CHARTS
XAU - Overall picture + Month + Week
XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Trend Lines
THIRD PART
CONCLUSION
"The central banks, themselves, are behind the gold price manipulation. What should you get out of it?"
Run this question through your head and let me know in the comments what you think is more likely.
> Another sell-off or a positive gold price for now?
In summary, based on technical analysis, there are a few reasons for a weak GOLD price .
> If you look at the area between 1,950 USD - 1,840 USD, it almost seems like an arm guarding the upper levels.
> To bring down this defense, I think, needs more momentum than what we have and are getting right now. (Christmas, New Year, Chinese New Year)
For this reason, I expect a weak gold rate and a strong USD, and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets.
> Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT .
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive an evaluation of the idea.
Thank you and happy trading!
BankNifty - 25 July 2023I have clearly explained in my YT video about today's market behaviour and tomorrow's prediction.
Please do watch my old videos in Daily Analysis Playlist to understand the Entry and Exit criteria.
Do follow and subscribe if you like the analysis .
I've Bearish sentiment for tomorrow. Everything depends on tomorrow's market opening.
Trade or invest according to your analysis. This is just my view.
<----- 3MRT Trading ----->
Good company ,Not a good time to add. Wait for SEP QUATER RESULTOk this analysis is my 4rth about LXCHEM from which i made a good return after its IPO DEBUT
Had got huge quantity at around 220 INR AND SOLD AT 500 ABOVE .
Now as I wanted to reenter the stock , so here's my analysis
1.As the company has been shut for close to a month during sep quarter , the results will get affected .
2.Last quarter results are also not par with June 2021 results and eps are down
3.Will make entry only after results are out and when price come down a bit.
4.The company has given notice about Aquitation , it may be a good news it may not be but cant risk as retail people get trapped in news .
Now for the technical part
1. The price has created a Rising wedge pattern , certain sell will come with even a good bottom breakout.
2. The stock can be added Buy on DIPS after this correction
3. 280-300 is the price range to start adding , with adding more on any DIP .
Axis Bank technical chart analysisAxis Bank technical chart analysis
Strong support zone is 845-822
Strong resistance zone is 1000-965
Impulse wave
Impulse wave has completed (1-5) on daily basis.
Wave 1 & wave 5 are equally.
Wave 3 is longest wave.
Wave 2 taken less time as compare as wave 4 ( in corrective pattern).
Corrective wave
Corrective wave is pending & expect it may flat or zigzag pattern, elongated, running etc .
Touched Fibonacci R3 resistance level at present (988)
RSI is making LL & Price is making HH on daily chart. (Divergence)
On balance volume indicator making divergence
Target:
Downside: 38.2% must to be came at least this level 905
Upside: 1218 level but take a time month/years.
Note: Axis is all time high. It is not possible breakout in second attempt. Therefore it should be correction
This is only education purpose only
NFP report: How Will it Shape the Gold Trend?NFP report: How Will it Shape the Gold Trend?
Gold prices experienced a rise on Tuesday and Thursday (sideways on Wednesday), driven by traders' expectations of another interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve. But is the medium-term downtrend really over?
One fundamental indicator that can help answer this question is the nonfarm payrolls, due to be released this Friday (US time). Any unexpected outcomes could lead to heightened volatility in rate-sensitive assets such as gold.
Market projections indicate that the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will show a slowdown in job additions to the economy, with 190,000 jobs compared to the 253,000 jobs added in April. Interestingly, the forecast for the previous month was also around 190,000 jobs.
The nonfarm payroll data serves as the final key indicator ahead of the release of inflation data on June 14 and the concurrent interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.
Market sentiment currently suggests a 60% probability of a 25 basis-point interest rate hike during the Federal Reserve's upcoming June meeting, compared to a 26% chance observed a week earlier. If implemented, this would mark the central bank's 11th consecutive rate increase.
Gold was trading around $1,932, reaching its lowest level since March 17 before its incline began on Tuesday. While Thursday was a positive day for the metal, it still retraced about half of its gains on the day and now trades at approximately $1,960. It peaked at $1,974, which is the most immediate resistance level but without much historical precedence. Considering the NFP is still two days away, this level might become irrelevant.
$1,985 is a level with more medium-term precedence but will have to wait until closer to the release of the data to tell if this level is something that needs to be watched. If gold turns to the downside, it might pay to keep an eye on $1,938 as a support level.