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DIVISLAB's Open Interest Jumps 6%: Bullish Sentiment BuildsFollowing a strong upward trend, the stock encountered significant resistance near the 5,300 level, resulting in a steep drop. Afterward, the price found support near the 2,700 mark and managed to bounce back. During this consolidation phase, the stock price has developed a Rounding Bottom pattern. With a clear breakout, the price is now set for an upside rally. A notable increase in future open interest—around 6%—has been recorded for this stock. This rise in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that significant investors hold a positive outlook on this stock.
NSE:DIVISLABLong
by GoodluckCapital
3
COFORGE & ECLERX: Two IT Underdogs on the Rise!COFORGE The stock displayed an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, and following the breakout, the price saw a substantial rise, subsequently created another bullish formation called Pole & Flag. Recently, the price has broken through and is expected to continue its upward trend. ECLERX This chart also reveals the presence of an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern. Following a recent breakout, the price is positioned for an upward movement.
NSE:COFORGELong
by GoodluckCapital
2
Cosmic Collision: DLF & Oberoi Realty Clash in Real-Estate Space◉ Abstract The Indian real estate market is growing fast and is expected to reach $1 Trillion by 2030. Two big companies in this field are DLF and Oberoi Realty. DLF makes most of its money from commercial properties mainly through rental income, while Oberoi Realty focuses on homes. Both companies are doing well, but Oberoi Realty is growing faster and making more profit. DLF's stock price might go up soon after being stable for a long time. Oberoi Realty's stock has been going up steadily. Both companies don't have too much debt and are attracting investors. DLF seems expensive when you look at its price compared to earnings, while Oberoi Realty looks like a better deal. Oberoi Realty is also spending more on growing its business. In the end, both companies are in a good position to benefit from India's growing economy and increasing demand for real estate. ◉ Introduction The Indian real estate sector has witnessed significant growth in recent years, driven by increasing demand, policy reforms, and infrastructure development. Two prominent players, DLF Limited and Oberoi Realty Limited, have been at the forefront of this growth, shaping the country's urban landscape. Both companies have established themselves as leaders in the industry, with a strong presence in residential, commercial, and retail segments. ◉ Indian Real Estate Sector: Future Growth Prospects India's real estate market is expected to register significant growth in the coming years, driven by a number of factors. Here's a quick summary of the key trends: ● Market size and GDP contribution: The market size is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030, up from US$ 200 billion in 2021, and contribute 15.5% to GDP by 2047. ● Residential market growth: The residential market is witnessing strong growth, with the value of home sales reaching an all-time high of Rs. 3.47 lakh crore (US$ 42 billion) in FY23. Demand is surging in top 8 cities across mid-income, premium, and luxury segments. ● Retail and office space: The retail and office space segments are also growing rapidly. Gross leasing in top 7 cities crossed 60 million sq ft for the first time in 2023, with technology companies leading leasing activity. ● Data centers: Data center demand is on the rise, with an expected increase of 15-18 million sq ft by 2025. ● Housing shortage: There is a significant housing shortage in urban areas, with the current shortage estimated at 10 million units. An additional 25 million units of affordable housing are required by 2030. Overall, the Indian real estate sector presents a promising picture for growth and development. The sector is benefiting from a number of factors, including a growing economy, rising urbanization, and increasing disposable incomes. This is leading to strong demand for both residential and commercial properties. ◉ Company Overviews ● DLF NSE:DLF DLF Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on colonization and real estate development across India. Their activities encompass land acquisition, project planning, construction, and marketing. The company specializes in developing and selling residential projects, while also managing commercial office spaces and retail properties, including malls and hospitality ventures. Notably, it owns The Lodhi Hotel and Hilton Garden Inn in New Delhi, as well as the DLF Golf & Country Club in Gurugram. Additionally, DLF is involved in leasing, maintenance, power generation, and recreational services. Established in 1946, DLF Limited is headquartered in Gurugram and operates as a subsidiary of Rajdhani Investments and Agencies Private Limited. ● Oberoi Realty NSE:OBEROIRLTY Oberoi Realty Limited, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on real estate development and hospitality in India. It operates in two main segments: Real Estate and Hospitality. The company develops and sells various projects, including residential, commercial, hospitality, retail, and social infrastructure. It also leases office and retail spaces. Additionally, it manages hotel operations, which include room sales, food and beverage services, and related offerings, as well as constructing residential apartments and providing property management services. Established in 1998, the company is based in Mumbai, India. ◉ Market Capitalization ● DLF - ₹ 2,26,256 Cr. ($26.8 B) ● Oberoi Realty - ₹ 68,970 Cr. ($8.2 B) ◉ Relative Strength The chart vividly demonstrates that neither company has managed to surpass the performance of the real estate sector over the past year. The realty sector has achieved an impressive return of 94%, while DLF and Oberoi Realty have delivered returns of 73% and 67%, respectively. ◉ Technical Aspects ● DLF ➖ Since its listing in July 2007, DLF reached an impressive peak of ₹ 1046 in January 2008. ➖ However, the stock faced a significant decline following the Lehman Brothers crisis later that year. ➖ After enduring a lengthy period of consolidation lasting eight years, the price stabilized around ₹ 66 in February 2016 and began its upward trajectory. ➖ Now, after nearly 17 years of consolidation, the stock is trading just below a critical resistance level, with a breakout anticipated in the near future. ● OBEROIRLTY ➖ Since its launch in December 2010, Oberoi Realty has shown a consistent upward trajectory ➖ During this ascent, the stock formed a Bullish Pennant pattern, and after breaking out, it surged to an all-time high of ₹ 1970 in September 2024. ➖ Currently, it is trading just below this peak. Analysts expect the stock to continue its upward momentum and reach new heights in the coming days. ◉ Revenue Breakdown ● DLF DLF mainly generates its revenue from real estate development, concentrating on both commercial and residential areas. Significantly, the commercial real estate sector contributes a considerable 74% of the company's total revenue, largely through rental income. ● OBEROIRLTY The company predominantly earns around 97% of its revenue from the real estate development sector. Furthermore, it also participates in the hospitality industry, which adds the remaining 3% to its overall revenue. ◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis ● DLF ➖ Over the past three years, DLF has recorded a modest compounded annual growth rate of 6% in sales. ➖ Despite this, the company has seen remarkable profit growth, which surged by 33% during the same timeframe. ➖ Currently, DLF enjoys a robust operating profit margin of 33%, an increase from 30% in FY23. ➖ In fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have jumped to 11.02, up from 8.22 the previous year, reflecting a consistent upward trend in EPS over the last four years. ● OBEROIREALTY ➖ In the last three years, Oberoi Realty has achieved an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 30% in sales. ➖ Profit growth has closely mirrored this success, with a CAGR of 34% during the same period. ➖ The company currently boasts an outstanding operating profit margin of 55%, a figure that continues to rise. ➖ While the EPS growth from FY23 to FY24 is modest, with EPS standing at 52.99 compared to 52.38 the previous year, the overall trend in EPS has been positive over the last four years. ◉ Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ DLF's current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 79.6, slightly exceeding its 1-year median P/E of 76.7. However, when juxtaposed with the industry average of 34.4, it becomes evident that DLF is significantly overvalued at this time. ➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty presents a P/E ratio of 31.50, which is just above its 1-year median P/E of 29.6. Yet, when compared to the industry P/E of 34.4, it appears to be undervalued. ● P/B Ratio ➖ DLF's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 5.74, indicating a substantial overvaluation relative to the industry average of 3.54. ➖ Similarly, Oberoi Realty also seems overvalued with a P/B ratio of 4.98. ● PEG Ratio ➖ Oberoi Realty's PEG ratio of 1.83 positions it as an attractive investment opportunity, especially when compared to DLF's considerably higher PEG of 4.79. ◉ Profitability Analysis ➖ DLF ROCE - 6% in FY24 ➖ OBEROIRLTY ROCE - 15% in FY24 ➖ These numbers clearly demonstrate that Oberoi Realty is more profitable than DLF, as it efficiently leverages its total capital—comprising both equity and debt—to yield higher returns. ◉ Capex Analysis ● DLF ➖ The cash flow statement for DLF reveals a negative capital expenditure, indicating that the company is selling or disposing of its existing capital assets. ➖ This suggests a strategic decision to reduce its portfolio of office spaces and similar fixed assets, as they are no longer deemed necessary. ● OBEROIRLTY ➖ In contrast, Oberoi Realty has ramped up its capital expenditure from 601 crore to 677 crore compared to the previous year. ➖ This increase is a positive sign for the company, reflecting its ambition for expansion and growth in the market. ◉ Cash Flow Analysis ➖ DLF has demonstrated impressive growth in its operating cash flow, rising to 2,539 crore from 2,375 crore in FY23. ➖ Oberoi Realty has also performed exceptionally well, transforming its cash from operations to an impressive 2,810 crore, marking a significant recovery from a considerable negative of 2,383 crore in FY23. ◉ Debt Analysis ➖ DLF demonstrates robust financial health with a manageable debt level of 4,894 crores and an impressive debt to equity ratio of just 0.12, signaling that debt is not a significant issue for the company. ➖ On the other hand, Oberoi has a debt of 2,495 crores, resulting in a debt to equity ratio of 0.18, which indicates that the company is also not worried about its debt situation. ◉ Shareholding Pattern ● DLF ➖ Currently, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) possess a 16.17% stake, reflecting a decline from the previous quarter. ➖ On the other hand, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have increased their holdings to 4.81% as of the June quarter, a slight rise from 4.77% in the last quarter. ● OBEROIRLTY ➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have made a notable increase in their investment in this stock, now holding 18.05%, up from 16.96% in the last quarter. ➖ Conversely, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have reduced their stake to 12.30%, down from 12.83% in the March quarter. ◉ Conclusion After a comprehensive assessment of the technical and financial metrics, we have concluded that Oberoi Realty has surpassed DLF in terms of valuation, profitability, revenue growth, and future expansion prospects. However, this does not imply that DLF cannot enhance its performance in the future. In fact, DLF is on the verge of a significant multi-year breakthrough, and if this happens, it could create an excellent opportunity for investors to take advantage of any price declines. In the end, both companies exhibit strong growth potential as they are leaders in the real estate sector. As the economy continues to grow, both Oberoi Realty and DLF are well-positioned to capitalize on this expansion.
NSE:DLFLong
by GoodluckCapital
3
Tata Power & Tata Communications: Dynamic Duo Poised for UpswingTata Power The stock has shown a significant upward trend, reached at the 460 level, where it encountered strong resistance. As a result, the price pulled back and found support around the 405 level, entered a consolidation phase. During this phase, a Pole & Flag pattern developed on the chart, and with a recent breakout supported by robust trading volume, the stock is primed for further upward movement. Tata Communications Overall, the price is on an upward trajectory, consistently making higher highs and lows. After hitting an all-time high close to the 2070 level, the price faced a notable rejection, resulted in a sharp decline followed by a consolidation phase. During this period, an Ascending Triangle pattern developed, and the stock has recently achieved a successful breakout. The current price action indicates that the stock is poised for another significant rally.
NSE:TATAPOWERLong
by GoodluckCapital
ICICI Bank & M_M See Significant Open Interest GrowthICICI Bank The current stock price is navigating through an ascending parallel channel, demonstrating a strong upward trend characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows. Recently, the price has successfully breached the upper boundary of the parallel channel and is attempting to maintain its position above this breakout level. A significant rise in future open interest—approximately 27%—has been observed for this stock. This increase in both the stock price and future open interest suggests that major investors are optimistic regarding this stock. As long as the price stays above the 1300 level, the overall sentiment is expected to remain positive. Mahindra & Mahindra The stock is experiencing a robust upward trend, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows. During this upward movement, the price has formed a bullish Pole & Flag pattern. Recently, following a notable breakout accompanied by substantial trading volume, the stock has reached its all-time high. Additionally, there has been a significant increase in future open interest, which has risen by nearly 16%. This growth in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that major investors are confident about this stock.
NSE:ICICIBANKLong
by GoodluckCapital
3
Greenply vs Greenpanel: A Clash of Plywood and MDF Giants!About Companies Greenply Industries NSE:GREENPLY is a prominent player in the plywood industry, dedicated to the production and trade of plywood and its associated products. Their extensive range features plywood, block board, wood flooring, medium density fiberboard, flush doors, and decorative veneers. Founded in 1984 by Shiv Prakash Mittal, the company operates out of Kolkata, India. In 2018, Greenpanel Industries NSE:GREENPANEL emerged as a separate entity from Greenply Industries, concentrating on the manufacturing of MDF boards and related products. Their product lineup includes wood flooring, veneers, flush doors, and more. Market Capitalization ● Greenply Industries - ₹ 4,751 Cr. ● Greenpanel Industries - ₹ 4,849 Cr. Technical Aspects Greenply ● The monthly chart reveals that the stock price encountered significant resistance around the 340 mark, resulting in a sharp decline that brought it down to the 70 level, where it found support. ● After an extented phase of consolidation, the stock formed a Double Bottom pattern. ● Once this pattern broke out, the price surged upward, and nearly 6.5 years later, in July 2024, the stock successfully broke through the previous resistance zone. ● Having maintained its position above this breakout level, the stock price is poised for further gains. Greenpanel ● After reaching a remarkable high close to 625, the stock faced a considerable downturn. ● It later found a solid support at the 260 level, which set the stage for its recovery. ● Nevertheless, the stock ran into resistance around the 430 mark, caused another retreat to the previous support zone. ● Currently, with a fresh upward trend, the price exhibits significant growth potential. Revenue Breakdown ● Greenply Industries generates a remarkable 77.4% of its total revenue from plywood and associated products, establishing itself as a dominant player with a 26% market share in the domestic plywood sector. ● In contrast, Greenpanel Industries focuses heavily on MDF boards, which make up an astounding 91% of its total sales, securing a 21% market share in the domestic MDF industry. Sales & Profit Analysis ● Greenply ➖ In the last three years, this company has experienced an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 23% in sales. ➖ However, profit growth has been modest, increased by only 3% during the same period. ➖ The company currently holds an operating profit margin of 9%, which is deemed acceptable. ➖ In the fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have dropped to 5.44, down from 7.44 in FY2023. ● Greenpanel ➖ Over the past three years, this company has achieved a compounded annual growth rate of 15% in sales. ➖ In contrast, profit growth has been exceptional, soaring at a 26% CAGR during the same period. ➖ Currently, the company boasts an operating profit margin of 16%, a noteworthy figure. ➖ However, in fiscal year 2024, earnings per share have declined to 11.64, down from 20.92 in FY2023. Valuation ● P/E Ratio ➖ Greenply Industries currently has a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 48.75, which is marginally above its 1-year median PE of 48.1, yet it aligns closely with the industry average PE of 48.75. ➖ On the other hand, Greenpanel Industries shows a current PE of 33.94, indicating it may be overvalued relative to its 1-year median PE of 25.2, but it appears undervalued when compared to the industry PE of 48.75. ● P/B Ratio ➖ Greenply has a PB ratio of 6.69, suggesting it is considerably overvalued. ➖ However, Greenpanel Industries has a PB ratio of 3.68, which, although somewhat high, does not indicate overvaluation. ● Intrinsic Value ● Greenply is presently valued at ₹984, a figure that is approximately 2.4 times its intrinsic worth of ₹158. This suggests that the stock is currently overvalued. ● Conversely, Greenpanel has a market price of ₹395, roughly 1.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹259, which similarly indicates that this stock is also overvalued at this time. Product Demand analysis (Plywood vs MDF) ● Greenply presently has an inventory turnover ratio of 4.2, an improvement from 3.96 three years ago. ● In comparison, Greenpanel Industries shines with a current inventory turnover ratio of 5.08, a substantial increase from 3.71 three years earlier. ● These figures clearly indicate a rising demand for MDF products, highlighting a promising trend in the market. Company Capex ● Greenply has significantly reduced its capital expenditure, slashing it to 123 crore from last year's 412 crore, indicating a lack of a robust capex program. ● In contrast, Greenpanel has made a remarkable leap in its capital investments, raising its capex to 344 crore from just 80 crore in the previous financial year. Debt Analysis ● Greenpanel Industries stands strong with a manageable debt of 296 crores and a favorable debt to equity ratio of 0.22, indicating that debt is not a concern for the company. With an impressive interest coverage ratio of 16, Greenpanel is well-equipped to handle its loan repayments without any issues. ● Other side, Greenply Industries carries a higher debt burden of 549 crores, reflected in a debt to equity ratio of 0.77. With an interest coverage ratio of only 3.33, the company may face challenges in meeting its loan repayment obligations. Cashflow Analysis ● Greenply has experienced an impressive increase in its operating cash flow, jumping to 111 crore from a mere 62 crore in FY23. ● Greenpanel Industries has struggled to convert its profits into cash, with its operating cash flow declined significantly to 135 crore from 337 crore in FY2023. Shareholding Pattern ● Greenply ➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are dramatically raising their investments. In the latest June quarter, their stake has surged to 4.91%, a notable increase from just 2.15% in June 2023. ➖ Meanwhile, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) currently hold 30.33% as of the June quarter, down from 32.41% last year. ● Greenpanel ➖ Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are consistently divesting their positions in this stock, with their current ownership now at a mere 2.12%, a significant drop from 4.3% a year ago ➖ In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) are steadily boosting their investments, with their current stake rising to 26.71%, up from 21.60% in June 2023. Some Important Facts ● Shifting Demand From Plywood to MDF ➖ Worldwide, the consumption ratio of MDF to plywood stands at 80:20; however, in India, this ratio is notably reversed, with plywood dominating at 20:80 as of 2022. ➖ Industry experts predict that by 2030, this ratio in India will shift to an even 50:50. ➖ This shift indicates significant growth opportunities for the MDF sector in India, particularly as it is poised to capture a larger share of the low and medium-grade plywood market, which currently makes up 85% of the plywood industry in the country. MDF Industry Growth Drivers ● Growth of Online Home Décor Platforms ➖ The growth of online home décor platforms like Pepper Fry, Fab Furbish, and Urban Ladder has increased the need for ready-to-assemble (RTA) furniture, impacting the MDF industry directly. ● Reduction in Furniture Cycle Time ➖ The increasing popularity of stylish, comfortable furniture crafted from MDF has significantly reduced the home renovation timeline, slashing it from the previous 15 to 20 years down to just 7 to 8 years. ● Cost Advantage Over Plywood ➖ MDF is much cheaper than plywood because it is made from leftover wood materials, both hardwood and softwood. Conclusion ➖ After examining all the factors, it appears that the MDF industry is poised for significant growth in the near future, outpacing the Plywood sector. As a result, companies such as Greenpanel Industries are likely to reap substantial benefits, which will have a direct positive effect on their share prices.
NSE:GREENPANELLong
by GoodluckCapital
2
Angleone is destined to stage a comeback!Technical Analysis (Weekly Timeframe) ● The stock had previously consolidated and established a Rounding Bottom pattern. ● Following the breakout, the price surged, hitting an impressive all-time high of 3,880. ● However, it then began to decline, ultimately dropping to the support level around 2,000. ● A robust rebound from this support, accompanied by significant volume, indicates that the stock is poised for another upward movement. ● The potential targets to watch for are: ➖ 1st Target - 3,400 level ➖ 2nd Target - 3,880 level. Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe) ● The daily chart reveals that following the breakout from the Falling Wedge pattern, the price is currently in a consolidation phase, poised for a significant upward movement. ● The trading volume has surged notably in recent days, signalling that big market participants are showing keen interest. Technical Indicators (Daily Timeframe) RSI ● Current RSI of this stock is 61.37, which indicates the strength of buyers. MACD ● MACD line has crossed over the signal line from the below, indicates a robust bullish momentum is in play. ADX & DI ● ADX value surpassing 20 with +DI positioned above the -DI, indicates the strength of the trend.
NSE:ANGELONELong
by GoodluckCapital
Dixon & Bajaj-Auto Showing High Rise in Future OIDIXON Following a significant upward trend, the stock price experienced a correction and later established a Double Bottom pattern. Recently, a breakout occurred, backed by strong volume, suggesting that the price is set for further gains. Additionally, a notable increase in future open interest—nearly 11%—has been recorded. This rise in both stock price and future open interest signals that big investors are optimistic about this stock. As long as the price remains above the 12,900 level, the overall sentiment is likely to stay positive. BAJAJ-AUTO During the upward movement, the price experienced a brief consolidation phase, resulted in the formation of a Rounding Bottom pattern. Recently, a breakout occurred, supported by significant volume, suggested that the stock price is poised to maintain its upward trajectory. Moreover, there has been a remarkable surge in future open interest, climbed nearly 19%. This increase in both the stock price and future open interest indicates that big investors are bullish about this stock. As long as the price remains above the 10,000 level, the overall sentiment is likely to stay positive.
NSE:BAJAJ_AUTOLong
by GoodluckCapital
1
SHYAMMETL & RPSGVENT - Cup & Handle Breakout!!SHYAMMETL Following an upward trend, the stock price encountered resistance around the 740 level, resulting in a correction that brought the price down to the 530 level, where it established support. Subsequently, the price entered a consolidation phase before successfully breaking through its trendline resistance. With a surge, the stock price climbed back to its previous resistance level but faced rejection once more. After a period of consolidation just below this resistance level, the price ultimately broke out with significant volume support. During this time, a cup & handle pattern emerged, and with this breakout, that pattern was also surpassed. If the price can hold above this breakout point, we could witness another rally in the days ahead. RPSGVENT After a tough rejection around the 840 level, the price started to decline. Once it successfully broke through the trendline resistance, the stock price jumped back to its earlier resistance level but was rejected again. After a period of consolidation just beneath that resistance level, the price has finally made a breakthrough recently, supported by substantial volume. A cup and handle pattern formed during this period, and with the breakout, that pattern was also exceeded. If the price remains above this breakout level, there could be more upward movement.
NSE:SHYAMMETLLong
by GoodluckCapital
BALRAMCHINI & MPHASIS Showing High Rise in Future OIBalrampur Chini The stock price saw a notable decline after dropping beneath the Rising Wedge pattern. Subsequently, it entered an extended phase of consolidation, during which it formed an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. After the breakout, the price surged initially but then experienced a short consolidation period before breaking out again. This movement also shows a breakout from the Rounding Bottom pattern, which is allowing the stock price to go up even higher. Mphasis The stock price is currently in a strong consolidation phase. The chart shows that an Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern is developing, suggesting that this phase might end soon and the price could rise after a major breakout. To see an upward movement, the price needs to break through the 3,100 level and stay above it.
NSE:BALRAMCHINLong
by GoodluckCapital
Federal Bank vs Karur Vysya Bank: Which is the bettr investment?The Bank Nifty NSE:BANKNIFTY stands at the 50,500 level, reflecting a decline of approximately 5.3% from its all-time high. When evaluating private banks, HDFC NSE:HDFCBANK , Axis NSE:AXISBANK , ICICI NSE:ICICIBANK , and Kotak Mahindra NSE:KOTAKBANK typically emerge as top contenders for investment. However, in the mid to small-cap arena, Federal Bank and Karur Vysya Bank have shown remarkable resilience and performance over the past few months, outpacing the broader banking sector. Let’s delve into some crucial factors that can guide us in determining the most promising investment opportunity at this moment! Market Capitalization ● Federal Bank NSE:FEDERALBNK - ₹ 49,883 Cr. ● Karur Vysya Bank NSE:KARURVYSYA - ₹ 17,459 Cr. Relative Strength ● The chart clearly illustrates that the Bank Nifty has delivered an impressive return on investment of approximately 15% over the past year. However, Federal Bank and Karur Vysya Bank have far surpassed this figure, achieving remarkable returns of around 54% and 82%, respectively. This indicates that these two banks are currently excelling far beyond the overall bank index. Cost of Liabilities ● The liabilities cost for Karur Vysya Bank is at 4.8%, notably lower than Federal Bank's 5.14%. This indicates that Karur Vysya Bank has a greater ability to secure funds compared to Federal Bank. CASA Ratio ● The CASA ratio, which measures the proportion of deposits in current and savings accounts to total deposits, is a crucial indicator for banks. A higher CASA ratio signifies a reduced cost of funds, as banks typically do not pay interest on current account deposits, and the interest rates on savings accounts are generally quite low, around 3-4%. ● In this instance, the CASA ratios stand at 30.39% for Karur Vysya Bank and 29.56% for Federal Bank, highlighting Karur Vysya Bank's superior position over Federal Bank. Non-performing Asset (NPA) Analysis ● Over the past four years, the net non-performing assets (NPA) for these two banks have seen a remarkable decline. ● In the latest quarter, Karur Vysya Bank reports a net NPA of just 0.4, while Federal Bank follows closely with a net NPA of 0.6. Total Provisions ● Discussing the NPA without considering the overall provisions presents an incomplete picture. Both banks have experienced a notable decline in this crucial factor. ● For Federal Bank, the total provisioning for FY24 is only 196 crore, a stark reduction from 750 crore in FY23. Similarly, Karur Vysya Bank's total provisioning for FY24 stands at 728 crore, down from 1,039 crore in FY23. Net Interest Margins (NIM) ● Karur Vysya Bank boasts a superior net interest margin (NIM) of 3.75, significantly outpacing the Federal Bank's NIM of 2.87. ● A NIM below 3 is generally viewed as unfavorable for banks. highlighting the strength of Karur Vysya Bank in this key metric. Advances Growth (%) Analysis ● An increase in advances growth signifies a bank's ability to efficiently provide loans. The 20.4% rise in advances for Federal Bank surpasses the 16.68% growth seen at Karur Vysya Bank, showcasing a more robust lending capability. Valuation ● PE Ratio ➖Federal Bank's current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 12.4, which exceeds its 1-year median PE of 9.0. Compared to the industry average PE of 11.83, this suggests that the stock is not excessively overvalued. ➖On the other hand, Karur Vysya Bank has a current PE of 10.2, which is marginally above its 1-year median PE of 9.8. Given the industry PE of 11.83, this indicates that Karur Vysya Bank is significantly undervalued. ➖When analyzing the PE ratios, it becomes clear that Karur Vysya Bank holds a more advantageous position. ● Intrinsic Value ➖The Federal Bank is currently trading at ₹204, while its intrinsic value stands at ₹228, indicating that the stock is undeniably undervalued at this time. ➖On the other hand, Karur Vysya Bank's market price is ₹217, but with an intrinsic value of only ₹146, it clearly shows that the stock is currently overvalued. Technical Aspects ● From a technical standpoint, both stocks exhibit a similar pattern and appear to be currently overextended. Any pullbacks could provide a valuable opportunity to take positions. Conclusion ● Upon evaluating all the key factors, it is evident that Karur Vysya Bank NSE:KARURVYSYA is in a more advantageous position than Federal Bank NSE:FEDERALBNK ; however, this does not imply that Federal Bank is struggling. Both banks offer promising investment prospects. As the economy grows, a fundamentally strong bank is expected to consistently surpass the overall banking sector.
NSE:FEDERALBNK
by GoodluckCapital
3
WOCKPHARMA: W pattern breakout may drive the price higher! The 1700-1800 range has acted as a formidable barrier for this stock, with the price faced rejection at these levels on two separate occasions. After experiencing a significant downturn, the price eventually found support around the 135 level, led the price to a period of consolidation. During this time, the stock developed a Double Bottom pattern. Following a substantial gap, it successfully broke out of the Double Bottom pattern with strong trading volume and is now positioned just above that breakout level. At present, the stock is trading at nearly half its all-time high, making it an appealing option right now.
NSE:WOCKPHARMALong
by GoodluckCapital
2