Bank Nifty close to 31000. It's a important support level.In my last Friday’s update I mentioned that we may see banknifty trading at 31000 levels. The index registered a close at 31160 today. Now it’s trading close to a support level the KS line. A major support is at 30600. Most of the time KS acts as a very good support for prices, so a bounce from it is not ruled out. 31600 will be the decider level for coming sessions, a strong close above it will only result in trend resumption. The RSI is pointing down while MACD lags upside momentum.
Strategy
Maruti's break failed at 7000! MARUTI SUZUKI: The stock was holding support levels for last few sessions, in today’s move it broke down from an important pivot and negated the bullish view. Now the stock is expected to remain sideways to down for a couple of weeks. The RSI is close to 40, which may result into some bounce, till 7000 levels. This level will now serve as a resistance instead of a support. The stock may head to 6600 levels in the coming weeks.
Trading close to a very important level. NIFTY: Nifty took beating from the bears in the last two sessions. Now at a very key juncture, a break and close below the 12000 levels have shattered the physiological support levels, still the bullish nature is not wiped out fully, if the fall continues the index may tumble to 11420 levels, again the levels I am mentioning may be vague & outrageous but still they are valid as long as selling in prominent. A minor support may be seen at 11790 below which the above targets on the downside is open.
CONCOR gaped up with forming bullish candle & closing at highs.CONCOR: The stock opened with a gap up and the prices continued up during the day. The prices closed near the highs. The prices have been making a falling wedge pattern with falling volumes. The RSI took support at the 40 levels and bounced up, MACD turned positive (though it is below zero line) there is a minor resistance at 585 levels, the stock is expected to retrace to 565 – 570 levels, watching price action entries can be planned for higher targets of 604, 619 & 625 levels. However a move below 540 will negate the bullish view.
USDINR gaining strength! Will it further perturb stocks?USDINR: The currency pair has pulled back in the past week, the last two sessions were positive and the prices managed to close above all resistance and pivot levels. The RSI is into a bullish zone and bounced from the bullish extreme zones. The MACD is positive and above zero. The pair is expected to move higher in the coming sessions. The pair may move to 72.25 – 72.55 in the coming weeks.
Symmetrical Triangle & NR formation indicating weaknessAPOLLO HOSPITALS: Prices are ranging between a symmetrical triangle pattern, this leg up missed the upper boundary of the pattern indicating weakness probably. Symmetrical patterns are neutral patterns, let’s have cues from the indicators. The RSI is into neutral zone has formed a NR, MACD is just at neutral zone. The prices have faced resistance at important levels forming a bearish candle pattern on the chart. Any push below 1440 will be sign of further weakness and the stock may start to descend down. A close above 1490 is required for the bulls to get control.
Taking support a very important level. Price action positiveThe stock has made healthy retracement and have now it’s resting on the Kumo. Today’s price action was quite convincing to re-establish the buyers into the stock. The RSI is taking support on the bullish extreme levels with MACD curling up indicating momentum is picking up. If ONCG gets overall support from Nifty, the stock is expected to pull up strongly from these levels the short term targets may be set at 149-154 zones. 125 levels are important support levels for the stock.
Bata India is at an important level.BATA INDIA: The stock is in a dominant trend up though we notice there is a momentum loss which is leading a correction. Now the stock is just at the SPAN support, a good price action (bullish candle) is required here to assert the trend else it may lead to a deeper correction till 1530 levels! We can notice a TK cross. The RSI took resistance at the bear extreme levels and crippled into neutral zone. MACD is also neutral as of now.
Expiry Strategy Nov: Sell 115 Put @ 0.75. Lot Size: 5334Trend continued to be in bearish territory on back of EMA (20 EMA below 50 EMA). Recent correction from the resistance of 140 level where roof of the downward trend line hovers.
On contrary, as MACD above zero expect the price to find support around 120 levels. In the recent past, the price comfortably found support around the same level twice.
Expect a bounce back in the coming days so Nov expiry would above 120 levels.
As I always believe in option selling rather buying based upon the trend, prefers Sell 115 Put around 0.75 level.
NIFTY CLOSED LOWER FOR THE WEEK? What does this indicate?NIFTY: Nifty made a lower close this week. The narrow range bar indicative of weak momentum in the index (however it doesn’t signal outright shorts) but longs positions should be tighten at this juncture. Correction may initiate below 11800, which may extend to 11400 – 11300 levels, at this point we can notice institutional support coming up. The RSI is above 60 which indicates the overall trend is up. Counter trend trading strategy may be considered keeping in mind the support levels on 11400 – 11300.
MINDTREE: Holding a longterm support plus RSI RD! Move UP?MINDTREE EQUITY CASH (LONG ONLY): The stock seems to form a base as of now. On the charts we can see that it is hovering into 60-40 zones which indicate a shift of range from bear to neutral. Along with momentum as well prices are taking support now. Keeping a stoploss of 666 stock can be accumulated for a minimum target of 810. The prices may face a little resistance around 710.
Bank Nifty made a sensible close by supporting the trend line.BANK NIFTY: Banknifty made a sensible close than the Nifty, the price action supported the breakout trend line and bounced. Also a TS line acted as a good support level. The RSI bounced from the 60 levels, that too is a signature of strength. The lower time frames have to buck up now, the hourly timeframe’s RSI is still wagging between 60-40 levels. 30200 levels on closing basis is important, as long as bank nifty stays above it, the trend in short term shall be positive.
BHEL: Range Shift Bearish to Bullish?BHEL: After a former failure breakout attempt from the clouds, today’s session made an reattempt to breakout. The RSI is into a bullish zone and also managed to form a PR on the daily charts just near 60, indicating strength. The TK is pointing up with MACD above zero indicating bullish strength in the move. As long as the stock stays above 50 the trend up can be considered safe.
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Bank of Baroda : Getting ready for move up?BANK OF BARODA: The stock is taking support at the KS line, forming a bullish sash pattern. The RSI is into 60-40 zone after getting above 60 levels, the move seems to be sideways with a positive bias. The MACD is into bullish zone above 0. Everything above indicates bullish possibility in the coming sessions. However a move below 93 may negate the view.
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BANKNIFTY Set for New Highs?BANK NIFTY: The index was over performing Nifty for the day, closed positive on weekly basis. Hovering around the breakout levels. Most of intraday’s gain was given away. The trend is up as RSI is well above the 60 levels. Any pullback to 30250 will be a healthy pullback, below it the index may further drift to 29350 levels. Any positive price action between these levels should be utilized for creating longs. Below 29350 the index may get into serious trouble. . Our “ProRSI moblile trading application has been launched on Play Store and IOS, get high probability trading ideas in equities, futures and options. Download Now.
Time to say YES to YES BANK?YES BANK: The stock has been in news after RJ’s activity in the stock. On the charts we can see a rounding bottom formation on going on the daily chart which is yet to breakout. The RSI though has changed its nature and has move above 60 and now bouncing on it. Once a breakout is registered the stock is expected to rally and move ahead to 95 and even 133 going ahead. A failed breakout will have a coiling effect and the stock may further start to plummet to the lows. . Our “ProRSI moblile trading application has been launched on Play Store and IOS, get high probability trading ideas in equities, futures and options. Download Now.
Coal India : Getting ready for a move up?COAL INDIA: Coal India registered a Kumo Breakout in today’s session. The KS is pointing up and future cloud is positive. CS is free, these are early indication of trend change. RSI bouncing from the 60 levels further pumps up the analysis. However the entries can be refined at 202 – 203 levels, the next resistance levels are placed around 224. Below 198 the analysis is negated.
ITC: Ready for a new trending move? ITC: The RSI has shifted range and held to it after a long time. Overall chart looks good, if Nifty supports the stock may start to scale up soon. The RSI bouncing on 60 is a good sign of buyers presence in the stock. A horizontal supply area is present and ITC is running into it, crossing it and moving ahead will be a good signal.
Expiry strategy: Sell 230 Put >1. Stock tumbled from 310 level to 235 levels in the last 5 weeks.
Recently, it witnessed sharp bounce back from low around 235 by following a reversal double bottom pattern with volume. MACD also confirms the reversal.
Any fall could invite fresh buying in this stock. Expect the stock to expire above 230 level in Oct series. Lot size:2400
Nifty: Applying breaks to the rally?In continuation of my previous post, there was a concern on the Nifty weekly chart, the RSI on the weekly charts was close to 60 levels. Now the candles on the daily charts in the last two sessions seems to pull breaks on the rally. Though the momentum hasn’t dried up on the daily, the price pattern is giving signs. 11785 is the gap area, a close below this may trigger corrections. Any aggressive longs should be held as of now. It’s not a outright bear call, but a conservative signal.
Expiry Strategy 31Oct2019: Sell 10600 Put @ 28.Recent announcement from FM helped the index to witness breakout from consolidation phase of 10700 to 11200 levels.
MACD confirms the positive momentum.
Expect this month expiry would be above 10600 levels. Sell 10600 31Oct2019 put at 28 levels. Lot size: 75
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HAPPY TRADING
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option statergy for the coming holidaysas we know weekend is coming and also there is one holiday next week on the occasion of dushhera where market will remain close .....so i suggest to to sell 11000pe of nifty of 10th october expiry and buy 10850 pe of 10th october expiry ........these two options will play simultaneously ..........as during holidays premium decay will happen fast and we will be in profit in whichever direction the market heads .
also today i expected the rate cut would of 40 pips thats why i took a contra bet ........25 pips market phle hi pacha chuka tha koi na we will make money rain in next expiry till then bbyeeee :)