Supply Zone
Morning Mantra 29th March, 2023Dear All,
Yesterday was the day of consolidation , where nifty had traded in a choppy zone .
Still 16800 is a hope for the Bulls as a support and most of the Bulls are eagerly waiting for a breakout of 17180 on closing basis.
As of now be cautious and keep following cherry picking strategy.
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
TCS Swing TradeTCS is near crucial support zone on daily chart. We can take swing trade here.
Entry:
We can go long after close of strong bullish candle near support zone.
Target:
We can keep the target near the next resistance zone as marked on chart.
Stoploss:
We can keep stoploss below the support zone.
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BANKNIFTY MONDAY PREDICTION...#BANKNIFTY ANALYSIS. Market was close on support level zone may be for pull back on monday let's see. If the market break 41300 zone then we can go for CE(CALL) First target = 41361,41464,41583. If the market break 41200 zone then we can go for PE(PUT) First target = 41163,41117,40944.
Proximal and Distal Line Plotting For Supply and Demand ZonesProximal and Distal lines are important components of any Supply and Demand zone. One needs to plot two horizontal lines to mark Supply and Demand Zones. To know How to draw these lines, you need to understand Supply and Demand Zone formations.
Proximity means nearest to the current price, while distal means farthest from the current price.
What is the need to draw Proximal and Distal lines on a zone?
As a Supply and Demand trader, one needs to know which price point to enter and where to exit.
The proximal line is used to define the entry point into a trade, and the Distal line defines the Stopping Point. We place our stop losses slightly beyond the distal lines of the zones.
Have a look at the above image
Supply zones are located above the current market price and Demand zones are located below the current market price.
In the illustration above, CMP is Rs.1668.3
The green-shaded zone below CMP is the Demand zone. It has two horizontal lines one at Rs.1607.65 which is nearer to the current price, and it forms the proximal line, whereas the other horizontal line is at Rs.1588.75 which is far away as compared to Rs.1607.65, so it constitutes the distal line of the demand zone
The pink-shaded zone above CMP is the Supply zone. It has two horizontal lines one at Rs.1688 which is nearer to the current price, and it forms the proximal line, whereas the other horizontal line is at Rs.1702.4 which is far away as compared to Rs.1688, so it constitutes the distal line of Supply zone.
How to Draw Proximal and Distal Lines for a Demand Zone
A Demand zone is a designated area on a chart where Demand exceeds Supply, and there is a high likelihood of having pending Institutional Buy Orders. We look to enter long trades when the price retraces back to the demand zone, in doing so we also participate along with the Institutions which increases the probability of the trade working in our favour. So it's important to correctly identify the Proximal line and Distal line of a Demand Zone. Let u see how to mark the Proximal and Distal line of a Demand Zone
Proximal Line Marking For A Demand Zone
Irrespective of whether it’s a DBR or RBR Demand zone, the proximal line marking method remains the same. There are multiple ways to mark proximal lines, I will discuss the one that I follow and is widely used. While marking the proximal line we look at only the Base Candles, Proximal line is plotted at the Highest Wick of the base candles.
Distal Line Marking For A Demand Zone
There is a slight variation while marking distal lines, depending upon whether it’s a DBR or RBR Demand Zone
Distal Line For DBR Demand Zone
We need to consider all three components, Leg In, Base Candles & Leg Out. The distal line is plotted at the lowest point of the entire formation.
Distal Line For RBR Demand Zone
We need to ignore the Leg In and focus only on the Base candles and the Leg Out. The distal line is plotted at the lowest point of either the Base candles or the Leg Out, whichever is lower.
How to Draw Proximal and Distal Lines for a Supply Zone
A Supply zone is a designated area on a chart where Supply exceeds Demand, and there is a high likelihood of having pending Institutional Sell Orders. We look to enter Short trades when the price retraces back to the supply zone, in doing so we also participate along with the Institutions which increases the probability of the trade working on our favour. So it's important to correctly identify the Proximal line and Distal line of a Supply Zone. Let u see how to mark the Proximal and Distal lines of a Supply Zone
Proximal Line Marking For A Supply Zone
Irrespective of whether it’s an RBD or DBD Supply zone, the proximal line marking method remains the same. There are multiple ways to mark proximal lines, I will discuss the one that I follow and is widely used. While marking the proximal line we look at only the Base Candles, Proximal line is plotted at the Lowest Wick of the base candles.
Distal Line Marking For A Supply Zone
There is a slight variation while marking distal lines, depending upon whether it’s an RBD or DBD Supply Zone
Distal Line For RBD Supply Zone
We need to consider all three components, Leg In, Base Candles & Leg Out. Distal line is plotted at the highest point of the entire formation.
Distal Line For DBD Supply Zone
We need to ignore the Leg In, focus only on the Base candles and the Leg Out. Distal line is plotted at the Highest point of either the Base candles or the Leg Out, whichever is Higher.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the Proximal and Distal lines are critical components of the Supply and Demand Trading Strategy. Knowing how to properly place them is essential for the correct identification of zones. Supply and Demand Zone formations when combined with other factors like Trend, Location, and Quality attributes of the zone form a very sound rule-based Price Action Trading Strategy.
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Maximum 85.80 up side ioc can go with stoploss 88 target 75-65
Study Logic
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Only For Paper Trade And Education Purpose
Don't Real Trade
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Rally Base Drop – Supply ZoneUnlike conventional Price Action Analysis, which relies on countless chart patterns, Supply Demand Strategy focuses only on four high-probability price formations. Rally Base Drop (RBD) is one of the four price formations which lay the foundation of the Supply Demand Trading Strategy.
Rally Base Drop Pattern
RBD is a reversal price pattern, which one can generally locate at market turning points. At areas where uptrends get exhausted and begin a new downward move.
RBD occurs when prices have been rising, and peaking, followed by a sharp drop. This indicates that the sellers are now more aggressive and have overwhelmed the buyers to form a Supply Zone.
Components of a Rally Base Drop Pattern
This formation comprises three parts:
1. Leg-In Candle - Bullish Candle to the left-hand side of the base structure. It need not be an explosive candle.
2. Base Candles - Narrow range small-bodied candles which indicate that orders are potentially being accumulated by the institutions.
3. Leg-Out Candle – Huge Explosive Red candle with a sharp drop in price, which indicates the footprint of Institutional Selling activity.
Steps to Identify a Rally Base Drop Pattern
1. Start with the Current Price on the Chart and go from Right to left
2. Look up and left until you find a strong Drop in the Price
3. Identify whether the formation is an RBD
4. Mark the Zone
When marking the Zone, we need to watch for freshness and the strength of the Leg-Out Candle.
Fresh Supply Zones are those where the price has never retraced after formation, they have the highest probability of having unfilled sell orders.
Strong Explosive Red Leg-Out Candle indicates that supply and demand are totally out of balance and institutions have been aggressive sellers at that price zone.
Trade Action at a Rally Base Drop Supply Zone
RBD pattern is the footprint of Institutional selling activity, formed due to the sheer size of their sell orders. This implies that, when prices retrace back to the area, there is a strong likelihood that there will be a large number of pending sell orders.
After identifying the supply zone, we as retail traders must wait for the price to retrace to the zone. The first retracement to the RBD supply zone is a high-probability sell opportunity. We can initiate a short trade on the pullback to the zone and in doing so participate along with the Institutions to the short side.
Some past examples:
Although RBD is a very powerful supply zone formation, it is highly recommended that one mustn’t trade it in isolation. Combining it with factors like a trend, trend exhaustion and location will improve the odds of the zones working in our favour.
INDUSD(Nifty50) is at supply zonehello everyone! Its the end of year and here we are at a major supply zone. market is moving in a clear 3 wave motion. this could be an ending diagonal (final 5th wave in Indian market history which can lead to huge correction) or a leading diagonal of 5th wave. lets wait for the market makers to decide their long term move. But for time being lets focus on short term view which is being projected to 19400. wait for a reversal to enter, if you are an aggressive trader. conservative traders can wait for A and B wave to complete before entry.
Demand in ICICI BANK LTDA new resistance has come through ICICI Bank and the price has moved downwards from there.
A good bullish move was seen in the market when the resistance was broken by the market.
A good move to the downside can be seen if the market breaks the 915 level.
Strong resistance currently acts as strong support.
If the market cannot break the level of 915 then the market can move to the upside.
Downward target
T1 = 915
If the market breaks the 915 level
T2 = 905
T3 = 985
Thank You
@Money_Dictators
GBPUSD bears lurk behind 1.2080 key supportGBPUSD fades upside momentum after reversing from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of January-September downside, despite the latest rebound. A pullback in the RSI and receding strength of the bullish MACD signals also backs the broad retreat in prices. However, a convergence of the 200-DMA and three-month-old ascending trend line, near 1.2080, challenges the pair sellers, a break of which could quickly drag the quote to 1.1760-40 support area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-July. It’s worth noting that the Cable pair’s failure to bounce off 1.1740, the early October swing high near 1.1500 could lure the bears.
On the flip side, GBPUSD recovery could aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden ratio, around 1.2440. That said, August month’s high of near 1.2295 and the 1.2300 round figure acts as the immediate resistance to probe the buyers. In a case where the Cable rises past the 1.2440 hurdle, an upward-sloping resistance line from late October, close to 1.2660, will be in focus. Also acting as the upside hurdle is May’s peak surrounding 1.2665. Hence, 1.2660-65 is the key block for the Cable buyers.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to recall bears and even if it doesn’t at the moment, the recovery remains elusive below 1.2665.
Gap Trading Combined With Supply & Demand ZonesWhat Are Gaps?
Gaps are nothing but Price of a Stock moving up and down sharply with no or little trading happening between the previous days close and current days open. Gaps show an ultimate picture of imbalance between supply & demand. Gap formations are due to many fundamental and technical reasons.
Most common example, when there is an announcement of company earnings. Gap Up or Gap Down is imminent the next trading day due to positive or negative news. A trader can profit from gaps provided he/she can identify the type of gap and its location with perspective to Institutional Supply & Demand Zones.
Gap Trading Strategy using Supply and Demand Zones
A lot of traders are fearful of Gaps and see it as a threat & aren’t comfortable carrying positions overnight. However, for a professional Supply Demand Trader, these Gaps aren’t threats on the contrary they provide high probability trading opportunities, when combined with Supply & Demand Zones.
Four Gap Structures That We Look At:
1. Inside Gaps
2. Outside gaps
3. Novice Gaps
4. Professional Gaps
1.How to Identify & Trade Inside Gaps?
Inside gaps are created when Price Opens between the prior Day’s High and low. Often these gaps fill quickly on the same day. Inside gaps can be mainly used for quick intraday trades, provided they happen at strong supply & demand zones.
Gap Up into a strong Supply Zone provides a good short opportunity, whereas Gap Down into a strong Demand Zone presents a good long opportunity. Let’s see an example:
2.How to Identify & Trade Outside Gaps?
Outside gaps are created when Price opens beyond the Prior days High and low. These gaps generally do not fill on the same day. They indicate the establishment of a new Trend or the continuation of the existing one.
One must wait for quality Supply & Demand Zones to form after the gap and wait for a pullback to join the new move. Let’s see an example:
3.How to Identify & Trade Novice Gaps?
When price gaps in the same direction of the current trend, then it is called a Novice Gap. Novice gaps as the name suggests are created by novice trader emotions and are excellent opportunities to find high probability trade setups.
Gap Up or Gap Down after extended moves into quality areas of Supply & Demand, offer us high probability Short & Long opportunities respectively. Let’s see an example:
4.How to Identify & Trade Professional Gaps?
When price gaps up in the Opposite direction of the current trend, it is called a Professional Gap or a Pro gap. Pro gaps represent a significant imbalance between Supply & Demand.
Pro Gaps generally occur after extended moves in one direction, taking the amateur traders completely by surprise. They generally bring about trend change. Pro Gap Down & Pro Gap Up form high probability Supply & Demand Zones. Pull back to these zones provide us with opportunities to enter at trend change points. Let us see with an example:
#SUNDARAMCLAYTON #BOOM BAAM #23/10/21BULLISH .
TRADE wisely.
WE CAN JUST PREDICT.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered advisor , so before entering on my view plz ask your SEBI Registered Advisor . Profit is your and loss is your.