USDJPY May 27, 2024 Has the price started to rise?Looking at the H1 chart we see that the price is in wave 4
- Wave 4 target at price range 156.55
- Then the price continues wave 5 with wave targets at 157.4 and 157.83
We watch to buy at 156.55 after the candlestick reversal signal appears
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
Trendanalyisis
XAUUSD May 27, 2024 gold's reaction after a sharp declineWith investors' expectations of interest rate cuts in the market increasingly decreasing, especially when statements from Fed members last week all hinted that there will be no plans to cut interest rates in the near future. This interest rate causes the expectation to buy gold to decrease, leading to a weak demand for accessing the market.
Looking at H1 last weekend, we witnessed a strong decline according to the Elliot wave principle. This strong decline may be a characteristic of wave 3 of wave c in the abc correction wave as shown on the chart.
- Currently the price is in a recovery phase and this could be wave 4. We measure the target of wave 4 ending at the price range 2351-2355
- Then the price continues to decrease to complete wave 5 as well as wave c, then we have the target price area of this wave 5 at 2322.7 or 2311.5
Trading plan
- We can sell at area 2351-2355 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area.
- We can buy in 2 areas 2322.7 and 2311.5 when candlestick reversal signals appear in this area
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
EURUSD May 27, 2024 Has the complicated adjustment process endedWe watch the price to the target price zones of 1.0783 and 1.0787 to look for candlestick reversal signals to buy.
Looking at the H1 chart, we see that this adjustment process is a complex adjustment process with an abcde pattern.
- The price has completed wave d and is followed by a decrease to complete wave e
- Looking at the H4 momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is in the overbought area
- Continuing with the 3 green zones on the H4 chart, we see that we currently have 3 price zones lacking liquidity so the price will return to these zones to fill liquidity.
- From the above data, we have the formation of a bearish wave e to end this correction
- We measure 2 target price ranges to end wave e
+ The first zone is the price zone 1.0783
+ The second price range is the price range 1.0787
trading plan
We watch the price to the target price zones of 1.0783 and 1.0787 to look for candlestick reversal signals to buy.
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
XAUUSD Trading plan for the week of May 4, 2024Looking at chart D, we see that with the current price level, the candle has not yet closed above 2430, so we will have 2 plans for next week.
Last week we saw
Information that the Fed still has no plans to cut interest rates and even extends the expected time to reduce interest rates is continuously given by Fed officials. This creates concern that the USD will not weaken, so in the weekend sessions, gold price had a strong adjustment from 2450 to 2332 in the last 2 sessions of the week.
This week we pay attention to two important news: Prelim GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims and Core PCE Price Index m/m
With the forecast decrease in GDP and increase in Unemployment Claims, it is showing the consequences of the tightening economy. Besides, the news of Core PCE Price Index m/m decreasing is a very good sign to help the Fed have monetary plans. currency to run a stable economic development. But we still have to wait for the actual data to be released and it will affect the trend this week.
Looking at chart D, we see that with the current price level, the candle has not yet closed above 2430, so we will have 2 plans for next week.
First plan
- According to the Elliot principle, wave 4 has completed and now the gold price is in wave 5 and this wave 5 is confirmed when the candle closes above 2430.
- Wave 5 will include 5 small waves i ii iii iv v
- Currently, the price correction last weekend has completed wave i and is preparing to complete wave ii to start wave iii
- Looking at the Weekly frame momentum indicator, this indicator has reversed in the oversold area combined with the daily frame momentum as shown on the chart, we see that the momentum has approached the oversold area, signaling that the downward price momentum has weakened.
So our trading plan for next week is to go to the H1 area to find candlestick reversal signals to Buy at this price range of 2334.
Second backup plan
- If the price continues to decline and breaks out through the 2278 area, we will use this backup plan
- At that time, the price continues to complete wave c in the corrective wave abc
- We have measured the target of ending wave C at area 2211
- Then our trading plan waits for the price to reach this target area and then we enter H1 to look for reversal signals at the 2211 price range to buy up.
Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later.
Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
TREND CHANGED IN NMDC - FROM BUYING ON DIPS TO SELL ON RISE ?NMDC is engaged in exploration and production of Iron Ore along with Diamond, production and sale of Sponge Iron and generation and sale of Wind Power.
This PSU stock has given great returns to investors as well as traders in last one year.
Although there exists so many positive talks about NMDC's volume growth, sales growth & capacity enhancement etc. which are fundamentally good but I think trend is changed in NMDC.
This stock was buy on dips since May-June 2023 but right now as per technical chart & price action, I think trend is changed from buy on dips to sell on rise.
I will find opportunity to sell it on each rise until it breaks 235-240 level.
So, Is it still buy on dips or has become sell on rise?
Only time will tell!
P.S. : This stock is on my main watchlist for a short trade.
PIDILITIND Possible breakoutNSE:PIDILITIND
Possible break out on the daily chart.
Good above average volume on Friday. Good delivery of 1.7 times vis-a-vis 5 day average.
Price also moved 2.02% giving more confidence on the breakout.
However there is a psychological resistance at around 3000 levels.
We can wait for the stock to close above 3000 and then initiate a trade.
Relative strength showing positive
RSI positive
Supertrend indicating uptrend.
XAGUSD Is ready to moveXAGUSD Which is showing a great opportunity XAGUSD is ready to breakout. what is your view please comment it down. We are NISM Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
RALLIS - 2.5 Years Downtrend BreakoutRallis India Ltd
1) Time Frame - Weekly.
2) The Stock has been in a Downtrend since (June, 2021). Now It has given a Downtrend breakout & Closed above it's (December, 2022) High with strong bullish momentum candle & with Huge Volume in Weekly Time Frame.
3) The stock will move towards It's Life Time High price (362.60) in the long term.
4) Since the midcap and smallcap index are under selling bias & It's a 5000 Cr Market Cap company, One need to be cautious & should keep the Stop Loss tight In case of any sudden selling in the stock.
5) Recommendation - Consider Buying it with tight Stop Loss.
Great opportunity for short selling in TitanAfter a good rally in Titan , now it has been exhausted . Bear engulfing pattern can be seen in 1D timeframe .
Support has been broken today and closed below the trendline.
Easy 3-4 % profit can be made or maybe 5% if it goes below RS 3549.
SL:-3765.60
TARGET :-3549
Book 60% quantity with trailing SL and go target for 3500 RS.
PS:- If you like my analysis do follow me too for more . Also write down the stocks you want me to analyze for you. Happy Trading
KPITTECH - 3 Months consolidation Breakout & All Time HighKPITTECH
1) Time Frame - Daily.
2) The Stock has been in a consolidation since (November, 2023). It has given a breakout & Closed at its All time high with strong bullish momentum in Daily time frame.
3) Good bullish momentum NIFTY IT Index.
4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
IOB / INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK - 4 months consolidation BreakoutINDIAN OVERSEAS BANK
1) Time Frame - Weekly & Monthly.
2) The Stock has been in a consolidation / Downtrend since (September, 2023). Currently the stock has given a breakout & Closed with strong bullish momentum & Good volume in weekly time frame.
3) The stock may reach the January, 2015's high (64.65) in short Term.
4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
SIGACHI INDUSTRIES - 2 Years consolidation / IPO Base BreakoutSIGACHI
1) Time Frame - Monthly.
2) The Stock has been in a consolidation / Downtrend since its listing (November, 2021) and has given an IPO base / Previous Life Time High breakout & Closed with strong bullish momentum & Good volume in monthly time frame.
3) Since it is a cup pattern breakout, The stock may reach the target (182) as per the cup pattern breakout target in the Long Term.
4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) - Break Out OpportunityDate : 23-Aug-2023
Rating : Buy
LTP : Rs. 4031.10
Target : Rs. 4800
Exit Plan : Follow the 7/13/26 DEMA cross down on closing basis.
NSE:HAL has given a break out from an Ascending Triangle that has been created since last few sessions. With this it has also break out from it's last known resistance. 7/13/26 DEMA crossover, MACD crossover and RSI above 0 supporting further upward journey and possibility of achieving new highs.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market.
A PERFECT EXAMPLE OF CUP AND HANDLE PATTERN ON FSL STOCKWhat is the cup pattern?
Cup and Handle Pattern is a bullish continuation pattern that signals a strengthening of a security's price followed by a breakout, after which the scrip's price soars up. The U-shaped cup represents the era of consolidation, while the handle represents the moment of breakout.
How to trade ?
The buy point occurs when the stock breaks out or moves upward through the old point of resistance
the volumes are also increasing mean its ready to break the cup
NIFTY50 BEAR TREND STARTEDGreetings everyone,
I am of the opinion that either the NIFTY50 or the entire market is entering a bearish trend. Starting from today or possibly in the upcoming week, it seems likely that the market will commence a downward trajectory. This projection is based on two potential factors:
Observation of a Head and Shoulders pattern.
The breach of an important support level.
Key Levels:
Entry Range: 19200-19250
Stop Loss: 19600
Target 1: 18900
Target 2: 18600 (There is a considerable chance of attaining this target.)
Target 3: 18200
Strategies to Consider:
For those involved in options trading: Consider a small hedging strategy.
For those engaged in futures trading: Implement a strict stop-loss strategy.
Important Note: Make risk decisions in line with your available capital. It is strongly advised to refrain from trading with borrowed funds or your entire savings, drawing from personal experiences.
De Nora is getting ready for a Notorious Ride #SuperChartzKey levels:
Support: 1550, 1500 - Closing levels
Resistance: 1640, 1740, 1840
Technical Impact:
Recent Price Movement: The recent 5.83% positive return over 3 months suggests a favorable market sentiment and interest in De Nora India Ltd. Investors may find this upward trend appealing, potentially attracting more attention to the stock.
Price Volatility: The wide range between the 52-week high and low (₹2,337 / ₹740) indicates considerable price volatility. Traders might see opportunities in this volatility for short-term gains, while long-term investors may need to assess their risk tolerance.
Return History: A 79.8% return over the last 3 years reflects strong historical performance. Investors may view this as a positive sign, signaling the company's ability to generate value over an extended period.
CMP/FCF Ratio: The CMP/FCF ratio of 70.7 suggests that the stock's current market price is relatively high compared to its free cash flow. Investors should interpret this ratio cautiously, considering it may indicate overvaluation or high market expectations.
EVEBITDA and Enterprise Value: The EVEBITDA ratio of 25.1 and Enterprise Value of ₹833 Cr. provide insights into the company's overall valuation. Investors may analyze these metrics to assess whether the stock is undervalued or overvalued relative to its earnings.
Fundamental Impact:
Valuation Metrics: The P/E ratio of 35.2, compared to the industry average of 40.0, suggests the stock may be attractively priced. Investors may find this appealing, assuming the company's future earnings potential supports the current valuation.
Financial Health: Strong fundamental indicators such as a high ROCE (29.7%) and ROE (22.1%) indicate efficient capital utilization and strong returns for shareholders. This can boost investor confidence in the company's financial health.
Debt and Current Ratio: The absence of debt and a high current ratio of 7.63 reflect a healthy financial structure. This can be reassuring for investors concerned about the company's ability to meet its short-term obligations and manage long-term debt.
EPS and Sales: A solid EPS of ₹45.2 and sales of ₹75.0 Cr. indicate a healthy bottom line and revenue generation. Investors may see this as a positive sign of the company's operational efficiency and growth potential.
Conclusion:
The combination of positive technical and fundamental factors suggests that De Nora India Ltd is currently positioned well in the market. Investors may find the stock appealing due to recent positive price movements, strong historical returns, reasonable valuation metrics, and robust financial health. However, it's crucial to stay vigilant, considering potential risks such as customer concentration and market dynamics. A holistic approach, combining both technical and fundamental analysis, provides a comprehensive view for investors making informed decisions.
Daily Bullish Flag Pattern BO in CARYSIL LTDIntroduction:
The Acrysil Group was founded in India in 1989, by Ashwin M. Parekh. We produced our first kitchen sink with a technical collaboration with Schock & Co., Germany - an established world leader.
30 years later his son, CMD Chirag A. Parekh, has lead Acrysil into becoming one of the largest producers of quartz kitchen sinks in the world, under its brand Carysil.
In addition to being one of the world leaders in producing sinks, Carysil’s global experience, and expertise have naturally lead us to diversify into other kitchen products. We now produce stainless steel sinks, faucets, food waste disposer units; and kitchen appliances such as hobs, cooktops, ovens, wine chillers and dishwashers.
Presenting the world's first 100% green sink manufactured using environmentally friendly materials. It is a bio coated quartz sink with materials such as spinach, sandal, turmeric, beet root and more. The natural fibre is recycled resin.
Analysis
A Bullish Flag and Pole pattern is visible on the Daily chart of NSE:CARYSIL .
The Flag and Pole pattern is a bullish continuation pattern and it is visible in charts after a meaningful appreciation in the price.
MACD gave Positive crossover on Daily, Weekly and Monthly chart. So, expecting the momentum to continue.
One can create a fresh position in the scrip near Rs. 855-875 levels with the stoploss of Rs. 785 on Daily closing basis for the following targets 896.10, 919.20, 946.45, 966.75, 989.15, 1001.95, 1029.15, 1045.85, 1068.10,1083.55 and 1098.10
Risk Disclaimer:
The trading ideas and analyses presented here are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk. You should carefully consider your own financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any investment decisions.
The information provided in this analysis is based on my personal interpretation of market conditions and the available data at the time of writing. It is subject to change without notice, and I cannot guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided.
Trading and investing carry the risk of substantial losses, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always be aware that markets can be unpredictable, and prices may move against your trade or investment.
It is advisable to seek advice from a qualified financial professional and to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. You should only invest funds that you can afford to lose.
I am not responsible for any trades or investments made based on the information presented in this analysis. By reading and using this information, you acknowledge and accept that you are solely responsible for any losses you may incur.