Trend Analysis
GBPUSD – Support Holding, Watching Reaction From RangeGBP/USD has reacted from a well-defined support zone, an area where buyers have stepped in multiple times before. Price is currently trading between clear support and resistance, indicating a short-term range environment.
As long as this support holds, upside reactions toward the resistance zone remain possible. A clean break below support, however, would weaken this structure and change the short-term bias.
This is a reaction-based zone, not a prediction. Let price confirm the next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Please manage risk responsibly.
IBEX ltd analysisJAN-2025
1. has got good move and then time correction.
2. Volume is contracting.
3. good momentum score, Good durabilty score.
2. quaterly profit & revenue has increased.
3. EPS has increased.
4. Debt has gone down.has low debt
5. No change in institution holding.
i am managing my risk by stop loss of 6.6%
Bitcoin at Demand: Where Most Traders Panic and Smart Money WaitWhen I look at this chart, I don’t see weakness.
I see price reacting exactly where it should .
Bitcoin is sitting above a clearly defined demand zone, and instead of collapsing, price is slowing down and compressing.
That usually tells me the market is absorbing liquidity, not distributing .
Key things I’m focusing on:
Price is holding above ascending demand , which shows buyers are still defending structure.
Reactions from the demand zone are clean , not impulsive, a sign of controlled participation.
Overhead supply is present , which explains the compression instead of an instant breakout.
RSI bullish divergence adds confidence that downside momentum is weakening near demand.
My mindset here:
I’m not chasing moves.
I’m not panicking into demand.
I’m simply watching how price behaves here , because this zone decides whether the next move expands or fails.
As long as structure holds, patience matters more than prediction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Kitex (W): Aggressive Bullish, Political Catalyst + Tech Rev(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic)
The stock has staged a V-Shape Reversal from a fresh 52-week low, forming a textbook Bullish Hammer on the weekly chart. This technical move is powered by a major political development (joining NDA), which removes significant "Political Risk" from the stock valuation.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The technical bounce is driven by a sentiment shift:
> Political Alignment (NDA Entry): The market expects that joining the ruling alliance will fast-track the company’s massive expansion plans in Telangana and reduce friction in its home state of Kerala.
> Valuation Comfort: At ₹138 (the low), the stock was trading at attractive valuations, prompting value buying in the textile sector which is seeing a revival.
📈 2. The Chart Structure (The Bear Trap)
> The Support: ₹147 the support.
- Refinement: The price momentarily broke this support to hit ₹138.20 (on Jan 21), triggering stop-losses, before skyrocketing back up. This indicates a "Bear Trap" or "Spring" formation, where smart money buys the panic selling.
> The Pattern: The Weekly Hammer has a very long lower shadow, indicating that sellers pushed price down, but buyers overwhelmed them to close the week near the high.
📊 3. Volume & Indicators
> Volume Spike: The 12.43 Million volume is an "Ignition Bar." It is significantly higher than the 10-week average.
> RSI: RSI reversing from the "Oversold" zone (below 30 on daily, rising on weekly) is a classic momentum divergence signal.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock has cleared the "Panic Bottom."
🐂 Bullish Targets (The Recovery):
- Target 1: ₹200. .
- Target 2: ₹295 - ₹298.
- Blue Sky: If the political tailwinds persist, a breakout above ₹324 (ATH) is possible in the long term.
🛡️ Support (The "Line in the Sand"):
- Immediate Support: ₹147 – ₹150. The previous support level is now reclaimed.
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹135 (below the Hammer's wick) would invalidate the reversal.
Conclusion
This is a High-Conviction Turnaround.
> Refinement: The "Hammer" is valid, but the Fundamental News (NDA) is what makes this a sustainable trend rather than a dead-cat bounce.
> Strategy: The reversal is confirmed. Use dips to accumulate.
Types of Breakout in the Markets ( Monthly Time Frame )In this video I will showcase different type of Breakouts you can see in the markets, mostly Horizontal types and Trendline Types but even inside them which ones are best to follow
I have used charts older than 3 months to showcase this information
ATH Breakout Pullback: Smart Money Reloading at Demand Zone?Price has corrected from an all-time high and is now revisiting a high-quality demand zone that played a key role in breaking previous highs. This is not a random pullback — this is a structurally important retest. Let’s decode what the chart is really saying using pure Supply & Demand and Price Action.
📊 Higher Timeframe & Intermediate Trend Context
The weekly structure remains firmly bullish. Price has already achieved something critical: it broke and closed above the previous all-time high. This single fact changes the entire narrative.
When a market makes a fresh all-time high, it confirms:
• Strong institutional participation
• Absence of historical supply overhead
• A higher probability of continuation over deep reversal
The current move is best understood as a corrective pullback within a dominant higher-timeframe uptrend, not trend reversal.
📦 Demand Zone Logic: Why This Area Matters 🧠
The demand zone currently in play is not just any zone — it is the origin of the rally that led to the all-time high breakout. That gives this zone exceptional importance.
Key observations:
• This zone generated a powerful follow-through move
• It successfully absorbed supply and pushed price into price discovery
• Previous all-time high was broken after leaving this zone
Such zones often act as institutional reload zones, where large players look to re-enter positions during corrections.
🧩 Zone Structure & Strength
• The base is clean and well-defined
• The leg-out was explosive, signaling urgency from buyers
• Very limited basing candles, which increases imbalance
• First meaningful return after the breakout, enhancing freshness
This combination significantly improves the credibility of the zone.
🧠 Market Psychology Behind the Pullback
After an all-time high, weaker hands tend to book profits aggressively, mistaking correction for reversal. Meanwhile, stronger hands wait patiently for price to return to value.
📐 Trade Logic & Risk–Reward Perspective 🎯
The trade idea on the chart is structured around a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio, which aligns well with:
• Higher timeframe Uptrend
• Strong demand location
• Favourable asymmetry between risk and potential reward
⚠️ Risk Awareness & Execution Discipline ⚖️
Even the best demand zones can fail. No setup is 100% reliable. Always define risk first, respect invalidation, and avoid emotional decision-making. Capital protection is more important than being right.
📌 Final Takeaway 🧭
higher-timeframe uptrend, all-time high breakout, and a controlled pullback into a good demand zone. Now, price action inside this area will decide the next move — reaction matters more than anticipation.
“Big trends are built on deep patience and precise execution.” 🔥📊
Thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Part 1 Institutional vs. Technical Key Option Terminologies
1. Strike Price
The agreed price at which the asset can be bought or sold.
2. Expiry Date
The last date on which the option contract is valid.
3. Premium
The price paid by the option buyer to the seller.
4. Lot Size
The fixed quantity of underlying assets per option contract.
5. Open Interest (OI)
Total number of outstanding option contracts.
DLF going to touch 613DLF is currently entering a critical price cluster between 611 – 620. This zone will likely dictate the trend for the coming days.
The Pivot Point: 613 (Mean Level)
Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 613 backed by strong volume confirmation and a breakout of the descending trendline could trigger a rally toward 637.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to clear the trendline and slips below 613, expect a retracement toward the support at 596.
Note: Watch for a clean break of the converging trendlines for additional confirmation if you need.
BEL 1 Day Time Frame 📌 📊 BEL 1‑Day Key Technical Levels
Approx Current Price (latest quotes today):
Around ₹415–₹419 range on NSE/BSE today (daily range seen ~₹415.85–₹424.55).
📈 How to Read These Levels (Daily Chart)
Bullish bias: Price holding above Pivot (~₹403–₹417) and especially above R1 (~₹409–₹421) suggests strength and scope to test R2/R3 (~₹423–₹426+).
Support guard: S1/S2 zones (~₹396–₹412) act as key intraday floors — break below these may extend selling.
High‑probability range: Most of the day’s action tends to unfold between S1 and R2 before breakout/ breakdown.
📊 Daily Price Context
Recent day’s low ~₹408.50 and high ~₹419.00 shows volatility and testing of higher supply near ₹421+.
52‑week range remains between ~₹240 and ~₹436, so current price is near upper band historically.
⚠️ Quick Notes
These are technical reference levels (support/resistance/pivots) and not buy/sell calls.
Markets move quickly; for live tick‑by‑tick data use a brokerage platform or real‑time charting tool.
USDJPY – A Global Repricing Phase, Not a Random MoveWhen I look at USDJPY, this move doesn’t feel random to me. It looks like part of a broader global adjustment phase rather than something driven by this pair alone.
Price Context:
Price spent a long time reacting from a major supply zone before showing a clear structure shift. Since then, the market has been respecting an ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows.
Why this move makes sense:
As global risk sentiment shifts and interest rate expectations change, currencies often move together. That’s why similar moves are visible across multiple FX pairs, this is a broad-based repricing, not a pair-specific reaction.
Current Structure:
The recent pullback into demand and trend support looks like a healthy retracement, not a breakdown. As long as this structure holds, the broader trend remains intact.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk.
AXISBANK 40% upside possibility in 1-1.5 YearsAXISBANK 40% upside possibility in 1-1.5 Years
Fundamentals - Company has delivered good profit growth of 72.2% CAGR over last 5 years - Best among all Private banks.
Technical - Stock breaking from ATH backed with excellent Results.
LTP - 1325
Targets - 1850+
Timeframe - 1-1.5 Years.
Happy Investing.
BTC Confirms Bearish Structure After Neckline RejectionBTC Confirms Bearish Structure After Neckline Rejection
#Bitcoin has rejected the 94k–98k neckline resistance, confirming a bearish market structure.
➡️ Resistance: 94k–98k
➡️ Supports: 80k → 75k → 70k
Structure shows a confirmed Head & Shoulders Pattern Failed, Followed by a bear flag breakdown, trend remains decisively bearish.
Outlook:
Below 90k, downside continuation is favored.
Measured move points to 75k–70k (~22% downside).
Bullish bias only returns on a strong reclaim and acceptance above 92k.
Until then: sell the rallies, respect the trend.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
Silve is going to moon higher speed than GOLD #xauusdSilve is going to moon higher speed than GOLD #xauusd and this is my next move i analysis from 50 to 100 then 91 to 114 and form next level to next tp of silver as i analysis as of now it takes time and in between a small correction will be possible and then ne xt tp hits of #xagusd
Silve is going to moon higher speed than GOLD #xauusd and this is my next move i analysis from 50 to 100 then 91 to 114 and form next level to next tp of silver as i analysis as of now it takes time and in between a small correction will be possible and then ne xt tp hits of #xagusd
Silve is going to moon higher speed than GOLD #xauusd and this is my next move i analysis from 50 to 100 then 91 to 114 and form next level to next tp of silver as i analysis as of now it takes time and in between a small correction will be possible and then ne xt tp hits of #xagusd
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 27/01/2026A gap-up opening near the 25200 zone in Nifty indicates an attempt by the market to stabilize after recent selling pressure, but the broader structure still suggests a range-bound to weak undertone unless key resistance levels are decisively crossed. The gap-up itself is not a confirmation of trend reversal; instead, it places the index right at an important decision-making area, where both buyers and sellers are active. The initial 30 minutes of trade will be critical to judge whether the gap sustains or starts filling.
From a technical perspective, the 25250–25300 region is acting as a major intraday resistance. This zone has previously seen supply and rejection, which means any upside move without volume support may struggle here. A reversal long setup becomes valid only if Nifty sustains above 25250, with follow-through buying. In such a case, upside targets can be projected towards 25350, 25400, and 25450+, where partial profit booking is advisable due to overhead supply and previous breakdown levels.
On the downside, 25200–25150 is the immediate support band. Failure to hold above this level, especially if the gap starts getting filled, can invite fresh selling pressure. A breakdown below 25200 opens up a short-selling opportunity, with downside targets around 25100, 25050, and 25000. These levels are psychologically and technically important, and price reactions here should be watched closely for potential intraday bounces.
If selling momentum intensifies and Nifty breaks below 24950, it would signal continuation of the broader bearish structure. Below this level, the index may slide towards 24850, 24800, and 24750, where stronger demand zones are placed. These lower levels can act as temporary support, but trend reversal should only be considered after clear price confirmation and structure change.
Overall, the market is showing a gap-up within a corrective or consolidation phase, not a confirmed bullish trend yet. Traders should remain level-driven, avoid chasing the opening move, and wait for price acceptance above resistance or breakdown below support. Tight stop-losses, partial profit booking, and disciplined risk management are essential, as volatility and false breakouts are likely around the current zone.
XAUUSD – Bullish Continuation, ATH Expansion Still in PlayGold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution.
On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels.
➡️ This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking.
Structure & Price Action
H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact.
The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline.
No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective.
Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion.
Key takeaway:
👉 Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback
Focus on patience and structure confirmation.
BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020
(Rebalance area + intraday demand)
BUY Zone 2: 4,985 – 4,960
(Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity)
➡️ Only execute BUYs after bullish reaction (rejection wicks / structure hold).
➡️ Avoid chasing price at highs.
Upside Targets (ATH Extension):
TP1: 5,106
TP2: 5,198 (upper extension zone)
Alternative Scenario
If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs.
Invalidation
A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment.
Summary
Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside.
The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.
MFSL at Channel Support — Bounce or Breakdown?MFSL is moving inside a well-defined rising channel, showing a healthy and controlled uptrend.
The stock has respected this structure multiple times, with buyers stepping in near the lower support and selling pressure appearing near the upper resistance.
Currently, price is approaching the lower boundary of the channel — a crucial zone where trend continuation usually happens if buyers defend it.
As long as this support holds, the overall trend remains positive.
A clear breakdown below the channel could signal further weakness.
Dynamic Price & Time Calculations ( Logical approach) One can see the change in the Price % during Positive Movement in the Market
it also show the No of days consumed in the directional move which are ideally known as
motive waves in technical approach
The Speed of Rate of change one must calculate related to No of days
I have made some efforts in Explaining putting the both % tool & No of days Tool on the chart
what you can notice is when speed is moderate
1st Phase Dynamic CAGR is 123.68 % Per Year
2Nd Phase increase in time & increase in Price Movement which results in Dynamic CAGR 170.70%
3ed Phase Speed increase in price displacement but % remain Lower then Previous Two Movements resulting Dynamic CAGR 83.80 %
Now by this time I am not completely agreeing on market trend termination
but if markets turns then it will Give very less revenue in all of the Motive Movements
This is education Content
Goodluck
CRUDE OIL Moving towards 6700+CRUDE OIL Moving towards 6700+ after 5 Years ... Are we near the breakout of CRUDEOIL?
Crude OIL MCX is seen rising towards 6700+ Level post correction for 5 Months.
We seen big Rally in 2020-2021 on Crude OIL post COVID - post that we have seen 4 Years of correction on it. Now are we ready for upmove on Crude again.
LTP - 5667
Possible Targets - 6700+
If we see breakout from 6700+ Levels we can see crude moving above ATH of 7900+
ChartsBoltaHai.
Gold Trading Strategy for 28th January 2026🟡 GOLD ($) TRADING PLAN
📊 TREND TRADING (Intraday)
📈 BUY SETUP
🟢 Condition:
➡️ Buy above the high of 30-min candle
➡️ Candle must close above $5244
🎯 Targets:
💰 $5255
💰 $5266
💰 $5277
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 Below the low of the breakout candle
📉 SELL SETUP
🔴 Condition:
➡️ Sell below the low of 1-hour candle
➡️ Candle must close below $5125
🎯 Targets:
💰 $5115
💰 $5105
💰 $5095
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔺 Above the high of the breakdown candle
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY
🔻 SELL SCALPING (Resistance – $5244)
❌ Price tests $5244 zone
❌ 15-min candle rejection observed
📍 Entry:
➡️ Sell below the low of rejected 15-min candle
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔺 Above the high of rejected candle
⏱️ 5–10 points max or trail SL
📌 Trade Management:
🔄 Trail stop once price moves in favor
🔺 BUY SCALPING (Support – $5125)
✅ Price tests $5125 zone
✅ 15-min candle rejection observed
📍 Entry:
➡️ Buy above the high of rejected 15-min candle
🛑 Stop Loss:
🔻 Below the low of rejected candle
⏱️ 5–10 points max or trail SL
📌 Trade Management:
🔄 Trail stop once price moves in favor
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 This is not investment advice.
📉 Trading in commodities involves high risk.
💸 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
🧠 Trade only with proper risk management.
📌 Always consult your financial advisor before trading.
❗ Author is not responsible for any profit or loss.
UPL Short Trade Setup UPL has broken a prior pivot low signaling potential weakness. Price is retracing toward supply zone which aligns with the 50 and 21 EMA confluence on the daily chart—a strong area of resistance.
This zone offers a high-probability short entry, targeting a move back toward the higher time frame demand zone.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: On rejection from the zone
- Stop Loss: Above supply zone at 15 % Datr
- Target: (1:3 RR)
Trade entry remains invalid if price moves down before retracement creating a lower low and lower high.
XAUUSD (H1) – Liam Plan (Jan 27) Bullish TrendQuick summary
Gold is still trending higher inside a clean rising channel, but price is now approaching a weak high / liquidity pocket where stop-runs are likely.
Macro backdrop adds fuel for volatility: reports suggest the US is pressuring Ukraine toward territorial concessions as part of peace talks — this kind of uncertainty often keeps safe-haven demand supported, but it can also create fast spikes + fake breaks.
➡️ Today’s rule: follow the uptrend, but only buy at liquidity test points. No chasing highs.
1) Macro context (why spikes are likely)
If markets start pricing a forced compromise in the Ukraine conflict:
risk sentiment can swing quickly,
headlines can trigger instant pumps, then sharp retraces.
✅ Safe approach: let price hit your zones first, then trade the reaction — not the headline.
2) Technical view (H1 – based on your chart)
Price is respecting an ascending channel and building liquidity around key levels.
Key levels (from the chart):
✅ Support / buy liquidity zone: 4,995 – 5,000
✅ Flip / reaction zone: 5,047
✅ Upper resistance / supply: 5,142
✅ Weak High / liquidity target: 5,192.6
✅ Extension target (1.618): 5,240.8
Bias stays bullish while inside the channel, but near 5,192–5,240 we should expect liquidity sweep → pullback behavior.
3) Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
A) BUY scenarios (priority – trend continuation)
A1. BUY the pullback into the flip zone (cleanest R:R)
✅ Buy: 5,045 – 5,050 (around 5,047)
Condition: hold + bullish reaction (HL / rejection / MSS on M15)
SL (guide): below 5,030 (or below the reaction low)
TP1: 5,085 – 5,100
TP2: 5,142
TP3: 5,192.6
Logic: This is the best “trend-following” entry — buy support, sell into liquidity above.
A2. BUY deep liquidity sweep (only if volatility hits)
✅ Buy: 4,995 – 5,000
Condition: sweep + strong reclaim (fast rejection / displacement up)
SL: below 4,980
TP: 5,047 → 5,142
Logic: This is the strongest liquidity test zone on your chart — ideal for a bounce if price flushes.
B) SELL scenarios (secondary – reaction scalps only)
B1. SELL the weak high sweep (tactical scalp)
✅ If price runs 5,192.6 and shows rejection:
Sell: 5,190 – 5,200
SL: above the sweep high
TP: 5,142 → 5,085
Logic: Weak highs often get swept first. Great for quick mean reversion back into the channel.
B2. SELL extension (highest-risk, but best location)
✅ Sell zone: 5,235 – 5,245 (around 5,240.8)
Only with clear weakness on M15–H1
TP: 5,192 → 5,142
Logic: 1.618 extension is a common exhaustion pocket — don’t short early, short the reaction.
4) Key notes
Don’t trade mid-range between 5,085–5,142 unless you’re scalping with tight rules.
Expect false breakouts near 5,192 and 5,240 during headlines.
Best execution today = buy support, take profits into liquidity.
Question:
Are you buying the 5,047 pullback, or waiting for the 5,192 sweep to sell the reaction?
— Liam






















