BajajFinsv W pattern completed 16/09/25Symbol : BajajFinsv , Exchange : NSE India BajajFinsv completed a W pattern formation with a decisive breakout above strong resistance on September 12, 2025. The breakout has held for three consecutive trading sessions. Based on the W pattern measurement, a 5% upside price target is projected
Trend Analysis
Sensex Structure Analysis and Trade Plan: 17th September
4-Hour Chart (Swing Context)
Trend: The Sensex index is currently in an ascending channel formation after a prior downtrend.
Key Zone: The price is approaching the 82,100-82,300 supply zone, which is a significant resistance area.
Previous Break: The price has broken above the 81,200 level, which is now acting as a potential demand zone.
Bias: The overall momentum is bullish, but the price is currently within a major resistance zone.
1-Hour Chart (Intraday Context)
Structure: The price action is forming a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish structure.
Support: The 81,200 level, which was previously resistance, is now acting as a support zone and showing strong bounces.
Current Action: The price is currently consolidating below the 82,100-82,300 supply zone.
BOS: The buying order flow is still dominant, but the upside liquidity appears to be thinning.
15-Minute Chart (Execution View)
Action: The price is in a sideways consolidation pattern below the 82,000 level.
OB: The order block around 81,100-81,200 is acting as a support buffer.
FVG: Minor FVGs in the 81,300-81,350 zone may offer intraday support.
Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel boundaries.
Trade Plan (17th September)
Bullish Scenario
Entry: Buy on a retracement towards the 81,100-81,200 demand zone (OB + structure support).
Targets:
TP1: 81,500 (intraday liquidity)
TP2: 82,100-82,200 (supply zone top & channel resistance)
Stop Loss: Below 81,000 (channel bottom & invalidation).
Bearish Scenario
Entry: Short on a rejection of the 82,100-82,300 supply zone with a strong bearish signal (e.g., engulfing candle).
Targets:
TP1: 81,300 (potential FVG fill)
TP2: 81,100-81,200 (major demand zone/OB)
Stop Loss: Above 82,300.
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish. Expecting a potential pullback to 81,100-81,200 before a move towards the 82,100-82,300 resistance zone.
Caution: If the 81,100-81,200 demand zone fails to hold, expect a further downside acceleration towards 80,800-80,600.
NIFTYHello & welcome to this analysis
On the eve of FOMC meet, the index has today covered the gap down made on July 11th and entered the potential reversal zone (PRZ) 25350 - 25425 of two bearish harmonic patterns - Butterfly (15m) & Gartley (daily).
Reversal confirmation as of now is once it starts giving a 60m close below 25225.
Pattern gets negated above 25525.
All the best
Regards
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in GMRP&UI
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
GBPJPY Analysis – Bullish Outlook and Market ForecastGBPJPY Analysis – Bullish Outlook and Market Forecast
GBP/JPY Market Outlook
The structure of GBP/JPY continues to highlight an orderly bullish cycle. Price action is showing clear phases of expansion, retracement, and continuation, reflecting strong market rhythm rather than random volatility. Recent break-of-structure signals confirm that short-term corrections are consistently being absorbed, with liquidity cycles providing fuel for further upside development.
The current pullback is part of a healthy market rotation, where positioning is reset before the next directional move. This type of behavior often signals strength, as it reflects deeper participation rather than exhaustion. The broader flow suggests that buyers remain in control, with momentum favoring sustained upside progression over the medium term.
In summary, GBP/JPY is maintaining structural integrity, with corrections serving as opportunities within an established bullish framework. The outlook remains constructive, supported by consistent market behavior and trend alignment.
Nifty 50 Gap up open with Brekout 17/09/2025Symbol : Nifty 50 , Exchange : NSE India . Today gap up open above level with breakout. The Nifty 50 exhibited a strong bullish candle on September 16, 2025, with a notable upward movement. This "big candle" formation indicated robust buying interest, leading to a decisive close above the key resistance level of 25,175..This breakout confirms a successful shift in momentum, transitioning from consolidation to an upward trend.
NIFTY Analysis 16 SEPTEMBER, 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amNMifty is in overbought zone so expect profit booking
Initial range is between 25020 and 25085
Opening may POSSIBLEE near 25059
If Nifty goes down to 25023 and holds above 25020 then it can move to 25100 and 25150
If Nifty falls to 25000 and holds above 25000 then short covering can take it back to 25020 and 25105
If Nifty breaks below 25000 ,WATCH BB BAND on 5 minute chart then it may slip to 24943
Support levels for today are 25498 and 24943
Resistance levels for today are 25150 and 25203
#USHAMART - VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame Script: USHAMART
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP BreakOut in Daily Time Frame
📈 Price consolidated near Resistance before BO
📈 Volume spike during Breakout
📈 MACD Crossover
📈 Stock is near ATH
📈 Can go for a swing trade
BUY ONLY ABOVE 410 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 407
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 12.90%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 6.20%
⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Okish, Position size 50% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
GOLD DAILY PLAN 15/09: SMC & Wyckoff Logic🔎 Market Overview
Market Structure (SMC): Price is currently moving inside a short-term descending channel but is showing signs of Wyckoff accumulation around the 3620–3635 zone (Liquidity BUY). This is a key support area.
Wyckoff: After a supply test, price is likely to consolidate and then push higher to sweep liquidity above (Liquidity SELL at 3688–3703).
Liquidity Zones
Liquidity BUY: 3595–3592 (major demand area)
Liquidity SELL: 3688–3703 (profit-taking & potential reversal zone)
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 3668 – 3688 – 3703
Support: 3634 – 3629 – 3622 – 3617
🟢 BUY Plan (Primary Setup)
Entry: 3595–3592
Stop Loss (SL): 3587 (below Liquidity BUY)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3615
TP2: 3625
TP3: 3635
TP4: 3645
Open TP: 3685 (extended Wyckoff target)
🔴 SELL Plan (Counter-trade)
Entry: 3698–3701 (Liquidity SELL zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 3706 (just above breakout trap)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3690
TP2: 3680
TP3: 3670
TP4: 3660
Open TP: 3650
⚡ Scalping Strategy
Enter only on confirmation signals at Order Blocks (OB) or Liquidity Zones.
Prioritise BUY trades at support and SELL trades at resistance.
Apply strict risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade.
✅ Conclusion
Main directional bias for the day: BUY from 3595–3592, targeting the 3685–3700 region.
At Liquidity SELL 3688–3703, short-term SELL setups can be considered with targets back to 3660–3650.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in MBLINFRA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 17/09/2025Today’s session begins with a gap-up opening across both Nifty and Bank Nifty, reflecting strong bullish sentiment.
For Bank Nifty, the index is likely to open near 55,500 levels. Sustaining above 55,050–55,100 can trigger further upside momentum toward 55,250, 55,350, and 55,450+. A breakout above 55,550 will add strength, paving the way toward 55,750–55,950+. On the downside, immediate support lies at 54,950–54,900, and a break below may push prices lower to 54,750–54,550-.
For Nifty, the index is expected to open near 25,400 levels. A move above 25,250 can fuel bullish momentum toward 25,350, 25,400, and 25,450+. If it manages to break and hold above 25,500, then higher targets at 25,650–25,750+ come into play. On the downside, support is seen around 25,200–25,150, and a breach below could invite selling pressure, dragging it toward 25,100–25,000-.
Overall, both indices are showing bullish setups with gap-up openings, but profit booking around resistance zones cannot be ruled out. Traders are advised to follow breakout levels with strict stop-losses and trail profits as targets are achieved.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(17/09/2025)Bank Nifty is set to open with a gap up near 55,500 levels, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market.
On the upside, if Bank Nifty sustains above 55,050–55,100, it can trigger fresh buying momentum toward 55,250, 55,350, and 55,450+. A breakout above 55,550 will further strengthen the bulls, opening higher targets at 55,750, 55,850, and 55,950+.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 54,950–54,900. A break below this zone may invite profit booking, dragging the index lower toward 54,750, 54,650, and 54,550-.
Overall, the sentiment remains positive with a gap-up start, but traders should remain cautious near resistance zones and trail stop losses to protect profits. Intraday opportunities will favor the direction of the breakout from the defined levels.
Consolidation and Potential BreakoutResistance: resistance zone is located between $4,700 and $4,800, it is all time high level there are some profit booking whic led to a short reversal,
Support:The primary support is the rising trendline, which has been guiding the price upwards since early September.
There's also a strong horizontal support zone between $4,100 and $4,200. A break below the rising trendline would likely test this lower support level.
An intermediate support level is visible around $4,300 to $4,400, which is where the price is currently hovering.
Ethereum is currently in a high-stakes waiting game. The price is consolidating, building energy for its next major move or all time high. The most prudent strategy is to remain patient and wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before entering a position. Waiting for a break of the key resistance at $4,700 or the key support at $4,100 provides a clear entry signal and allows for better risk management.
Gold Trading Strategy for 19th September 2025📊 Gold Intraday Trading Plan
🟢 Buy Setup (Long Trade)
✅ Condition: Enter only if price closes above the high of the 15-minute candle at $3686.
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3696
2nd Target → $3709
3rd Target → $3720
📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Place a safe SL below $3678 (just under the breakout candle’s low).
🔴 Sell Setup (Short Trade)
✅ Condition: Enter only if price closes below the low of the 1-hour candle at $3663.
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3653
2nd Target → $3643
3rd Target → $3633
📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Place a safe SL above $3670 (just above the breakdown candle’s high).
📘 Notes
⚖️ Wait for candle close confirmation (don’t enter early).
🕒 Use 15-minute chart for Buy setup & 1-hour chart for Sell setup.
💵 Risk small (1–2% of capital). Never risk full money on one trade.
📉 Always place Stop-Loss before entering a trade.
📊 Trail your SL to lock profits once the first target is hit.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is only for educational purposes. 📚 Trading involves high risk. 💸 Do your own research before investing. I am not a financial advisor.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders
Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits.
The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally.
3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause.
Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone.
Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend.
Good luck and happy trading,
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 17-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 17-Sep-2025
📌 Nifty is currently hovering near its immediate resistance zone after a strong upward move. Tomorrow’s opening will be critical in deciding whether the index continues its bullish momentum or faces resistance-led profit booking. Gap openings of 100+ points will set the initial tone.
1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ Points Above 25,354) 🚀
If Nifty opens above the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (25,354–25,400), the bullish tone will be reinforced.
Sustained trading above 25,400 can push the index towards the higher resistance target at 25,687.
Traders can look for long opportunities on dips, keeping a stop loss below 25,247 (Opening Support/Resistance).
Avoid chasing the very first green candle; let the market stabilize in the first 15–30 minutes before entering.
📌 Educational Note: A gap-up above resistance often triggers continuation buying. However, false breakouts are common – confirm with hourly close above 25,400 for strong conviction.
2. Flat Opening (Near 25,247–25,254 Zone) ⚖️
A flat open around the support/resistance zone signals indecision and could create a range-bound start.
Inside this zone (25,247–25,254), avoid aggressive trades; this is a "wait and watch" area.
If Nifty sustains above 25,354, initiate longs towards 25,400 → 25,687.
If it breaks below 25,173, bearish momentum may emerge, targeting 25,091.
Maintain tight stop losses around the opposite side of the breakout to reduce risk.
📌 Educational Note: Flat openings test patience. The best strategy is to let the market pick a direction instead of predicting one.
3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ Points Below 25,150) 🔻
A gap-down below the Opening Support (25,173) may trigger profit booking or fresh selling pressure.
If the index opens below 25,150 and sustains, expect further downside towards 25,091 (Last Intraday Support).
Breakdown of 25,091 can extend the fall, leading to stronger bearish sentiment.
Any pullback towards 25,173 should be carefully monitored; rejection here may provide another shorting opportunity.
Stop loss for shorts should be placed just above 25,254 on an hourly closing basis.
📌 Educational Note: Gap-downs can trap emotional sellers. Always wait for stability before committing to shorts.
💡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Prefer ATM or slightly ITM options over OTM to reduce time decay risk.
Do not over-leverage; use only a fixed % of your capital in one trade.
Always trade with a stop loss, especially in weekly options where premiums erode quickly.
Consider spreads (Call/Put spreads) to manage risk in volatile sessions.
Book partial profits when targets are near, instead of holding entire position.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Above 25,354 → Bullish continuation towards 25,400–25,687.
Flat near 25,247–25,254 → Wait for breakout; direction will decide trade.
Below 25,150 → Bearish momentum towards 25,091, with risk of further fall.
📌 Key Point: Tomorrow’s opening is crucial. Avoid trades inside consolidation zones and focus on clean breakouts for better risk-reward setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is purely for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking trading decisions.
Power Grid Corporation: Fibonacci Support Meets Trendline HurdleAfter months of consolidation, Power Grid Corp. finds itself at a decisive juncture. The stock has completed an expanded flat (3-3-5) correction from the highs of ₹362.50, ending at ₹247.30. From there, price staged a clear 5-wave impulse up to ₹322.00 — marked here as Wave 1/A .
The subsequent decline has been corrective in nature, unfolding as a W-X-Y double zigzag that retraced precisely to the 0.618 Fibonacci level at ₹272.25 , with RSI oversold at the same point. This makes a strong case for Wave 2/B being in place .
Currently, price is consolidating just below a long-standing trendline resistance . The technical map is straightforward:
Bullish Case
A convincing breakout above the trendline would confirm that Wave 2/B has ended at ₹272.25.
That would open the door for a powerful Wave 3/C advance , with momentum likely to accelerate beyond ₹301.35 and eventually challenge the prior high of ₹322.00.
Risk to the View
Until the breakout is confirmed, risks remain. Failure to clear resistance keeps the door open for further choppiness, and only a decisive drop below ₹272.25 would suggest a deeper retest toward ₹247.30.
In short: Power Grid is compressing between Fibonacci support and trendline resistance. A breakout here could ignite the next major trending move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
GOLD Bullish continuation (new highs, momentum sustain) :
Probability: around 60–65%
The breakout has strong support from macro conditions. Real yields look like they are peaking, inflation expectations remain sticky, and the Fed is leaning toward easing. On top of that, the US dollar is softening and central banks are continuing to add gold to reserves. These combined factors increase the odds that the breakout holds and the trend continues higher.
Sideways consolidation or retest of breakout :
Probability: about 25–30%
A pullback or cnsolidation wouldn’t be surprising, especially if the Fed sounds less dovish or if inflation data cools faster than expected. In that case, gold could spend some time chopping between support and resistance before deciding its next big move.
Major correction or deep mean reversion :
A deep selloff looks like the least likely path right now. Real yields aren’t rising sharply, inflation isn’t collapsing, and the dollar is still under pressure. But nothing is guaranteed. A surprise hawkish turn from the Fed or a sudden global disinflation shock could knock gold back toward old structural levels.but this remains the least likely scenario in the near to medium term.
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.