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Gold Update: Watching Channel Support for ContinuationGuys last trade of the year haha, let's see if we got something in this trade. Gold is trading inside a rising channel, and the overall structure remains positive. After the recent move up, price has pulled back toward the lower side of the channel, which is a normal and healthy behavior in an uptrend. This pullback is bringing price closer to a key support area, where buyers have previously stepped in. As long as price holds above this support, the probability favors upside continuation rather than a breakdown. This is not a breakout trade. It is a buy-on-pullback setup, where patience matters more than speed. A clear hold near support is what keeps this setup valid. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If this update helped, like and follow for regular updates.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
XAUUSD (H1) – Short-term Correction After ATH Lana focuses on sell rallies, waiting for a deeper buy zone 💛 Quick overview Market state: Sharp sell-off after failing to hold above ATH Timeframe: H1 Current structure: Strong bearish impulse → corrective rebound in progress Intraday bias: Sell on pullbacks, buy only at major support Technical picture (based on the chart) Gold printed a clear distribution top near ATH, followed by a strong bearish displacement. This move broke the short-term bullish structure and shifted momentum to the downside. Price is now attempting a technical rebound, but so far this looks corrective rather than impulsive. As long as price stays below key resistance, Lana treats this as a sell-the-rally environment. Key observations: Strong bearish candle confirms loss of bullish control Current rebound is moving into prior liquidity + Fibonacci reaction zone Market is likely building a lower high before the next move Key levels to trade Sell zone – priority setup Sell: 4392 – 4395 This zone aligns with: Prior structure resistance Fibonacci retracement area Liquidity resting above current price If price reaches this zone and shows rejection, Lana will look for sell continuation. Buy zone – only at strong support Buy: 4275 – 4278 This is a higher-timeframe support zone and the first area where buyers may attempt to step back in. Lana only considers buys here if price shows clear reaction and stabilization. Intraday scenarios Scenario 1 – Rejection at resistance (preferred) Price retraces into 4392–4395, fails to break higher, and rolls over → continuation to the downside, targeting deeper liquidity. Scenario 2 – Deeper correction then recovery If selling pressure extends, price may sweep liquidity into 4275–4278 before forming a base for a larger rebound into the new year. Market tone The recent move reflects profit-taking and risk reduction after an extended rally. With year-end liquidity thinning out, price action can remain volatile and deceptive, making zone-based trading essential. This analysis reflects Lana’s technical view and is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and wait for confirmation before entering trades 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Gold Holds Rising Channel – Upside Targets Still OpenGold is trading inside a clean rising channel, forming clear higher highs and higher lows, which confirms that the overall trend remains bullish. Instead of chasing breakouts, price is now doing what strong trends usually do, pause and consolidate before the next move. The marked buying zone sits perfectly inside the rising channel and has already acted as a strong demand area. As long as Gold holds above this zone, buyers remain in control and upside continuation remains the higher probability scenario. Upside targets are aligned with the channel resistance, which adds further confidence to this setup. These types of structures often reward traders who wait for pullbacks rather than reacting emotionally to fast candles. A breakdown below the marked invalidation level would weaken this bullish view, but until then, the structure favors patience and trend-following. Key Levels to Watch Best Buying Range: 4519–4515 1st Target: 4535 2nd Target: 4553 Final Target: 4570 Structure Invalidation: Below 4497 Trend Bias: Bullish above support Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
2
Chumtrades XAUUSD Any pullback is an opportunity to buy higher.This morning’s move was a corrective sell-off, best understood as profit-taking from BUY-side, not a trend reversal. The overall structure remains within a rising trend channel, with no sign of a structural break → BUY bias stays intact, looking to buy pullbacks in line with the trend. 🟢 Key Support Zones 447x: near-term support (4476 – 4472 – 4470) 4450 – 4455 4430 – 4435 🔴 Key Resistance Zones 4548 – 4550 4560 – 4565 4599 – 4600 (upper resistance) 📌 Additional Note 453x is a mid-zone to watch closely for price reaction. 📊 Intraday Expectation Price is expected to range sideways on the H2 timeframe Range high: 4549 Range low: 4473 → Possible BUY near the lower boundary and SELL near the upper boundary if the range holds. ⚠️ Risk Management No major news at the moment; price is mainly driven by technical flows. Holiday period → thin liquidity, higher risk of stop hunts. Keep stops reasonable and avoid overtrading. Wishing everyone a productive trading day.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with LiquidityXAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with Liquidity and Volume Profile Gold remains bullish on the H4 timeframe and continues to respect a well-defined rising channel. With price approaching extended areas, the higher-probability approach is to buy pullbacks at value zones and treat the upper boundary as a short-term profit-taking area rather than chasing momentum. TECHNICAL CONTEXT The uptrend structure is still intact, with price forming higher lows inside the channel. After a strong impulsive leg, the market is now consolidating and rebalancing, which favours execution around Volume Profile and FVG zones. The upper channel boundary often acts as a short-term exhaustion area, while value zones below offer better risk-to-reward long entries. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN Buy the pullback at key value and liquidity zones Buy POC: around 4485 Buy zone FVG support: around 4368 Rationale: The 4485 POC is a high-volume area where price frequently reacts during pullbacks. The 4368 FVG aligns with channel support and represents an imbalance area that price often revisits before continuation. Expected behaviour: A pullback into POC or the FVG zone, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN Short-term sell scalp near the upper boundary Sell scalping zone: around 4600 Note: This is strictly a short-term scalp if price reaches the upper channel boundary and shows clear rejection. It is not a trend reversal thesis. KEY TAKEAWAYS The H4 trend remains bullish, but the channel range is wide, making chasing price riskier. Volume Profile and FVG zones define higher-probability execution areas. The best edge comes from buying pullbacks at value, while treating 4600 as a potential short-term reaction zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H1 – Trading Liquidity During the Year-End SessionXAUUSD H1 – Trading Liquidity During the Year-End Session Gold remains in a bullish structure, but this is a holiday market with weaker liquidity as many banks are closed. The best approach here is to trade around liquidity and value areas, rather than chasing price during extended moves. TECHNICAL OVERVIEW On H1, price continues to respect an ascending channel, moving through expansion and pullback phases. After the latest strong push, the market is now consolidating and rotating, which typically favours level-based execution. Momentum remains positive overall, but it is not accelerating aggressively, suggesting selective buying and a higher probability of liquidity sweeps during thin conditions. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN Buy the pullback at key liquidity zones inside the bullish channel Buy liquidity zone: 4475 – 4478 Buy POC zone: 4409 – 4412 Technical rationale: The 4475–4478 area is a near-term liquidity pocket within the channel where buyers often step in during technical pullbacks. The 4409–4412 region aligns with the Volume Profile POC, a value area where price frequently stabilises and rebalances supply and demand. Expected price behaviour: A corrective move into these liquidity zones, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel structure. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN Short-term sell only at the upper boundary as a scalp Sell zone: 4565 – 4469 Context: This zone sits near the upper channel boundary where profit-taking is common, especially when liquidity is thin. Any sell idea should be treated as a short-term scalp rather than a trend reversal. WHY LIQUIDITY-BASED TRADING MATTERS HERE Holiday sessions can produce irregular flows, sharp spikes, and stop runs Volume Profile helps define higher-probability execution areas instead of emotional entries Trading around value and liquidity improves consistency when price action becomes less reliable FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP AND MARKET SENTIMENT OANDA traders highlight multiple drivers behind the strength in precious metals, with longer-term projections pointing to further upside for gold and silver next year. The narrative remains supported by safe-haven demand, expectations of easier monetary conditions, and a softer USD tone. Still, in the short term, the holiday environment can distort price action, making liquidity zones even more important for execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD (H4) – Tuesday ForecastBroke the old ATH, trend continuation | Buy the pullback at 4442, sell premium at 4559 Strategy summary Gold has broken the previous all-time high (ATH) and the bullish structure remains intact. Today my priority is still buying with the trend, but only on a clean pullback — no chasing. The secondary plan is a reaction sell at a premium Fibonacci zone if price extends too aggressively. 1) Technical view (based on your chart) The breakout above the old ATH is a strong bullish signal: we have a clear higher high and price is building a new base. The chart highlights a Buy VL / value area just below current price — a logical pullback zone to reload longs. Above, there’s a 1.618 Fibonacci premium sell zone, where profit-taking often shows up. Key point: The trend is bullish, but the higher we go, the more likely we see sharp wicks and quick pullbacks. Stay disciplined and trade the levels. 2) Trade plan for today (clear entry, SL, target) Scenario A (priority): BUY the Asia pullback ✅ Buy: 4442 SL: 4435 Target: 4747 (your projected target) Logic: This is a clean pullback into the session value area. If price holds here, continuation becomes the higher-probability path. Scenario B: SELL the premium Fibonacci reaction ✅ Sell: 4559 SL: 4568 TP: scale out on the reaction (short-term profit-taking), or manage based on momentum after rejection Logic: 4559 is a premium Fibonacci zone. If price spikes into it, a rejection move is very common — but only sell with reaction, not by chasing. 3) Macro context (why gold stays supported) XAU/USD is building on yesterday’s strong rally (+2%) and is printing fresh record highs for a second day. Price is pushing toward the 4,500 psychological level during Asia, supported by multiple safe-haven drivers. Comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent add uncertainty around the long-term reliability of Fed policy — and uncertainty typically supports gold. 4) Risk management (Liam rule) Don’t chase after breakout. Only buy at 4442 as planned. Risk per trade: max 1–2%. If stopped out, wait for the next structure — no revenge trading. What’s your bias today: buying the 4442 pullback, or waiting for a 4559 reaction sell?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD H1 Trading with Volume Profile Ahead of CPI RiskXAUUSD H1 Trading with Volume Profile Ahead of CPI Risk Gold is slowing down as the market awaits news and liquidity is fragmented, so prioritize trading according to Volume Profile zones to choose advantageous entry points instead of chasing prices. PRIORITY SCENARIO Strategy to buy at POC and VAL zones according to Volume Profile, suitable for a medium-term perspective. Buy zone: 4314 – 4317 SL: 4307 TP: 4328 – 4345 – 4363 – 4370 Technical context: On H1, the price is accumulating and reacting around the value area. The 4314–4317 area is the POC and VAL zone, often a liquidity attraction point and likely to see buying pressure if the structure maintains support. Expected movement: Price holds the 4314–4317 zone, absorbs short-term selling pressure, then rebounds to the above TP levels. When approaching 4345, monitor reactions as this is an area prone to selling pressure. Position management: If the price quickly rises but fails to hold above 4328, consider reducing risk. If the price clearly breaks below 4307, prioritize stopping the buy scenario and wait for a deeper zone. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Sell scalping strategy at short-term resistance zone, higher risk as the larger trend still favors buying. Sell scalping zone: 4343 – 4346 SL: 4353 TP: 4325 – 4310 – 4290 Technical context: The 4343–4346 area is a sell scalping zone on the chart, suitable for short-term trading when the price rebounds to resistance and clear rejection signals appear. Note: Sell should only be a scalping order. Do not prioritize holding long sell positions if the market is still in an accumulation phase awaiting news. MAIN REASON Volume Profile shows that POC and VAL zones are advantageous entry points during a sideways market lacking a clear trend. The 4314–4317 zone acts as a value support area for finding buy points, while 4343–4346 is suitable for sell scalping when the price rebounds to resistance. When the market awaits news, the likelihood of liquidity sweeps increases, so trading by zones will be more effective than chasing candles. MACRO CONTEXT AND CPI DATA The upcoming US CPI release during the North American session will be the main variable guiding Fed policy expectations, directly impacting USD and gold. Ahead of data risk, dovish expectations from the Fed are causing USD to lack strong upward momentum, but volatility may spike suddenly at the time of the news release, creating spikes and sweeping SL on both ends. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Do not open orders when the price is between zones and has not reached the exact levels of 4314–4317 or 4343–4346. Prioritize reducing volume before CPI or only maintain positions that are already profitable and manage tightly. Focus on observing price reactions at POC VAL and sell scalping zones, as these are decisive points for short-term direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key NewsXAUUSD H1 Analysis Before Key News During the Asian-European session, gold is likely to move sideways awaiting news as the market enters a sensitive phase with data and political factors, amidst a clearly formed short-term downtrend structure. PRIORITY SCENARIO Trading strategy according to the current structure, prioritizing short-term sell and buy at lower liquidity zones. Main sell zone: around 4323, coinciding with the POC of the Volume Profile. Technical context: price is moving below the equilibrium zone, clear H1 downtrend structure; the POC area often acts as a "pullback to sell" price zone. Expected movement: early European session may see a pullback of about 40–50 points, then price returns to sideways movement and faces downward pressure again. Position management: Sell should only be held short-term and tightly managed when price reacts at 4323. If price surpasses POC and holds above this zone, risk should be reduced and avoid holding sell positions. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO Strategy to buy at lower liquidity zones, suitable for medium-term trading. Buy zone 1: around 4242, important VAH zone. Buy zone 2: around 4215, Buy Zone according to Volume Profile. Technical context: these are two price zones with high liquidity density, often attracting buying force when the market needs to rebalance after a decline. Expected movement: price sweeps liquidity below, creating a new accumulation base and seeking recovery opportunities. MAIN REASON On H1, a downtrend structure has formed after a distribution phase, indicating short-term advantage leans towards the sell side. Volume Profile clearly identifies POC 4323 as a reasonable pullback zone to sell, while 4242 and 4215 are price zones with high probability of buying reaction. Sideways scenario before news fits the market context awaiting important macroeconomic and political information. MACRO CONTEXT AND POLITICAL NEWS Political factors are strongly impacting the currency market, especially the USD. The US is said to have proposed a security guarantee mechanism for Ukraine similar to NATO's Article 5 to promote negotiations to end the conflict with Russia, although territorial issues have not yet reached consensus. These signals are putting weakening pressure on the USD, thereby continuing to support gold in the medium term. However, in the short term, strong volatility around news release time is something to be particularly noted. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Do not prioritize trading when price is between the equilibrium zone and has not reached important Volume Profile levels. Sell orders should only be considered short-term trades before news, avoiding holding through data release or important political speeches. Medium-term buy strategy will have more advantage if price reacts clearly at 4242 or deeper at 4215. Closely monitor USD fluctuations as current political news is the main driving factor.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Based on Volume ProfileXAUUSD H1 Analysis Based on Volume Profile Gold is moving sideways and consolidating around the 4,300 USD/oz area. The short-term direction remains unconfirmed and requires clear reactions at key liquidity zones. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN SCENARIO Medium-term trend-following buy strategy at price areas with Volume Profile advantage Primary buy zone: around 4284 based on VAL Technical context: this is the lower value area where buying interest is likely to appear as the market continues to consolidate Price expectation: price holds above VAL, absorbs short-term selling pressure, and gradually rotates back toward the upper balance area Position management: If price reacts positively and H1 candles hold above the 4284 level, a medium-term bullish bias in line with the main trend can be maintained. If price breaks clearly below VAL, caution is required and deeper reaction zones should be monitored. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SCENARIO Deeper buy opportunity in the event of additional liquidity sweep Alternative buy zone: around 4242, based on the VAH of the previous value area Technical context: this area represents the upper value zone of the prior consolidation and may act as strong support during a deeper pullback Price expectation: downside liquidity sweep followed by a recovery, restoring market balance SELL SCENARIO – HIGH RISK Sell positions should only be considered as short-term trades, not a primary strategy Short-term sell zone: around 4378, based on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension Note: sells should only be considered if clear price rejection signals appear. Avoid holding short positions for extended periods while the broader trend remains bullish. KEY REASONS On the H1 timeframe, price is consolidating, indicating the market needs additional liquidity before confirming the next directional move Volume Profile clearly highlights high-probability trading zones, particularly VAL at 4284 and VAH at 4242 The 4378 level represents an extended resistance zone suitable for profit-taking or short-term countertrend sells MACRO CONTEXT AND MARKET SENTIMENT Gold continues to hold strong near the 4,300 USD/oz level, supported by expectations of continued monetary easing from the Federal Reserve and rising safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, silver has faced short-term profit-taking pressure after reaching record highs, reflecting a more cautious market tone. This week’s focus is on the US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Weak data may reinforce gold’s bullish trend, while strong data could trigger a short-term correction amid ongoing policy uncertainty within the Fed. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid trading while price remains in the middle of the consolidation range and away from key Volume Profile levels. The medium-term buy strategy loses its edge if price breaks clearly below 4242 and fails to reclaim the level. Closely monitor volatility around the Nonfarm release, as sharp spikes and liquidity sweeps are highly likely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD H4 Medium Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity ZonesXAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity Zones Gold reacted sharply after touching the trendline, with the primary focus next week on buying pullbacks in line with the dominant trend PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Trend-following buy strategy on a corrective move into key support and liquidity areas Primary buy zone: 4175 – 4203 Technical context: this area represents a previously validated support zone and a clear pool of downside liquidity Price expectation: a corrective dip into support, absorption of selling pressure, followed by a potential rebound back toward the upper balance area Position management: If price shows a strong reaction and H4 candles hold above the support zone, maintaining a swing-long bias remains favoured. If price breaks decisively below support, risk should be reduced and deeper levels monitored. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY STRATEGY Deeper pullback buy opportunity near the lower trendline of the rising channel Alternative buy zone: near the lower boundary of the rising channel, aligned with long-term liquidity Technical context: this area acts as the last line of defence for the medium-term bullish structure and is suitable for longer-term positioning Price expectation: a deeper liquidity sweep followed by recovery, reaffirming the rising channel KEY TECHNICAL POINTS On the H4 timeframe, price continues to trade within a rising channel. The sharp 100-point drop after touching the upper trendline highlights profit-taking pressure at higher levels The 4175 area and the lower channel trendline remain the most important liquidity zones for trend-aligned buying Upper resistance and the FVG-liquidity zone are better suited for trade management rather than aggressive new longs MACRO AND MARKET CONTEXT Markets are reacting to growing expectations of a potential shift in future Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction. The probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed Chair has increased, alongside comments indicating a preference for significantly lower interest rates. Such expectations may remain supportive for gold in the medium term, although short-term technical corrections should still be respected after strong upside moves. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price near the upper boundary of the rising channel. Any sell positions should be treated as short-term countertrend trades and only considered with clear rejection signals. The bullish scenario weakens if price breaks and fails to reclaim the rising channel structure. Remain alert to volatility around policy-related headlines and key economic data, as liquidity sweeps are likely.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
4
XAUUSD H1 Volume Profile and Key Price AreasXAUUSD H1 – Volume Profile and Key Price Areas Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with the primary strategy focused on buying pullbacks PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY Buy-the-dip approach aligned with the dominant trend using Volume Profile levels Expected buy zone: around 4253 based on VAH Short-term range to monitor: 4263 – 4285 Price expectation: rebound from VAH toward the upper range before further expansion Position management: If price holds above the 4263 area and shows clear bullish reaction, maintaining long exposure remains favorable. If price is strongly rejected near 4285, risk should be reduced as this zone represents an important short-term resistance. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SETUP Short-term countertrend opportunity at an extended resistance level Sell zone for the alternative scenario: around 4310 at the Fibonacci extension This setup is only considered if clear rejection signals appear at the level KEY REASONS The bullish structure on the H1 timeframe remains intact Volume Profile highlights the VAH near 4253 as a high-probability reaction zone The 4310 area represents an extended resistance suitable for profit-taking or short-term pullback reactions MACRO CONTEXT The Federal Reserve continues its rate-cutting cycle and maintains a dovish stance, putting pressure on the US dollar and supporting gold prices. Geopolitical tensions and concerns about US economic slowdown further reinforce safe-haven demand. Markets are now focused on the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls report, where weaker data could drive further upside, while stronger data may trigger a short-term correction. RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING Avoid chasing price while gold trades within the 4263 – 4285 range. The bullish scenario becomes invalid if price breaks clearly below the support area beneath the VAH. Expect increased volatility around major economic data releases and manage exposure accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before FedXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before Fed: watch for a rebound to sell down Market snapshot Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold is moving sideways within a fairly wide range, not yet choosing a clear direction. In the H1 timeframe, the price fluctuates around the value area, making it very suitable for short-term trading according to the Volume Profile instead of trying to predict the meeting outcome. Volume Profile – Key price areas Nearest VAL: around 4.197 – the bottom of the current value area, where there was previous buying support. Above, the FVG area + VAH/POC cluster is around 4.210 – this is an "air pocket" area where selling pressure can easily appear when the price fills the liquidity gap. Below, the target for a downward wave if the Fed is not too dovish is around 4.13x (area 4.130–4.135) – coinciding with the old buy zone on the chart. Trading scenario according to Volume Profile Watch for a light Buy reaction at VAL 4.197 If the price slides to 4.197 and a nice rejection candle appears on H1/M15, a short scalp buy can be considered: Idea: capture the rebound from VAL back to the middle/top of the value area, do not hold the position long. Sell when the price fills FVG around 4.210 (priority scenario) After the rebound from VAL, the FVG area 4.210 will be where Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell: Reference sell entry: around 4.208–4.212 TP1: 4.185–4.180 TP2: 4.165–4.160 TP3: area 4.13x (4.130–4.135) if a strong sell-off occurs after the Fed SL should be placed neatly above the FVG/VAH area (e.g., 4.218–4.220), avoid setting it too far. Fed context – Why trade cautiously? The focus this week is the FOMC meeting: The market is waiting to see if Chairman Powell can create enough consensus to continue cutting interest rates with very few members opposing, similar to the previous 25 bps cut. If the Fed maintains a dovish tone → USD weakens, yields cool down, gold is likely to bounce back after the sweep. If Powell signals a "hawkish rate cut" (concern about inflation, cut less – talk tough) → yields rise, gold may complete a deep decline to the 4.13x area before stabilizing again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume ProfileXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Volume Profile: risk of deep decline as market awaits PCE data Market snapshot On H1, gold is declining in a rather "clean" structure, continuously creating lower highs and lower lows. The 4.175 area is currently the nearest support – if breached, the decline could extend another 50–60 points to lower areas. Price remains below 4.250 USD, as the market awaits PCE data (Fed's preferred inflation measure) to find a clearer direction. Technical map – Volume Profile & price areas Important areas today: 4.210 – 4.200 – 4.175 – 4.164 – 4.133 4.210–4.200: upper area, coinciding with the nearest POC/VAH cluster – selling pressure likely when price retraces here. 4.175: short-term support + area with sell-side liquidity; if this area is lost, price could be pulled to a deeper demand cluster. 4.164–4.133: potential Buy zone in a deep decline scenario – Volume Profile shows significant buying occurred around this area previously. In short: on H1, the trend is down, prioritize selling according to volume; consider buying only when price falls to a lower discount area. Trading scenario reference (Not personalized advice – adjust volume & SL according to your account) Scenario 1 – Sell following the downtrend structure (priority) Sell area: 4.210–4.200 (POC/VAH + technical retracement area) Idea: Wait for price to retrace to this area, observe H1/M15 for rejection candles (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) before activating a Sell order. Suggested take profit areas: TP1: 4.175 TP2: 4.164 TP3: 4.133 (in case of a strong 50–60 point decline) Scenario 2 – Buy at deep discount area Buy area: 4.164–4.133 Idea: Only consider buying when price has "dumped" deeply enough into the buy zone, with clear reversal candles on H1. At that point, this is a technical retracement play, not trying to catch the bottom of a major trend. Suggested take profit areas: TP1: return to 4.175 TP2: 4.200 Macroeconomic context – Why is gold still hesitant? Gold recorded a slight increase on Friday, but remains within the narrow trading range of the week. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to pressure the USD, generally supporting gold in the medium term. However, buyers are waiting for US PCE data before taking larger positions: If PCE cools significantly → reinforces the story of an early Fed rate cut → gold could easily rebound. If PCE remains stubborn → market fears a "hawkish rate cut" scenario from the Fed → yields may rise, adding selling pressure on gold. Risk management For the Sell scenario, avoid chasing price in the middle of the area – prioritize waiting for a retracement to POC/VAH before entering, with a tight SL above the 4.210–4.215 area. If participating in the Buy play at 4.164–4.133, consider splitting TP and moving SL to breakeven as soon as TP1 is reached to avoid constant chart monitoring.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gap-Up Premium Continuation Observation | Intraday OptionsThis idea is based on a simple price behavior observation in option premium. When the option premium opens with a gap-up and continues to trade above the initial range with higher highs, it often shows bullish strength in that premium for the session. In this setup, after the gap-up opening, the premium respected an upward trend structure and maintained strength throughout the day. This indicates sustained buying interest, which traders can observe for intraday momentum opportunities. ⚠️ This chart is shared only for educational and observational purposes. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Options trading involves high risk. Always use proper risk management and confirmation from your own analysis before taking any trade. ✅ Short Caption for Chart (Safe & Professional) You can use any ONE of these directly on the chart: “Gap-Up Premium with Intraday Strength – Bullish Continuation Observation” “When Premium Gaps Up and Maintains Higher Structure, Strength Often Persists” “Gap-Up + Trend Hold = Intraday Premium Momentum (Observational Setup)” “Educational View: Gap-Up Premium Showing Sustained Buying Pressure” ✅ Disclaimer “For educational purposes only” “No guaranteed outcome” “Use your own confirmation”
NLong
by financegurupooja
2
The EMA Cloud+RSI Combo That Traders Are Using to Catch Big MoveHello Traders! If you struggle with false breakouts and early entries, this simple combination of the EMA Cloud and RSI Confirmation can help you filter noise and catch cleaner trend moves. This setup works for Stocks, crypto, indices, forex, any market where trends matter. Let’s break it down in the simplest way possible. 1. What Is the EMA Cloud? The EMA Cloud is a zone created using two EMAs, commonly the 20 EMA and 50 EMA. When price stays above the cloud, the trend is bullish and dips become buying opportunities. When price stays below the cloud, the trend is bearish and rallies become selling opportunities. The cloud visually shows where momentum is strong versus where price is losing strength. 2. Why Add RSI Confirmation? RSI helps you avoid chasing overextended moves. You only take a trade when RSI aligns with the cloud direction, giving you confirmation. This reduces false entries and improves accuracy. EMA Cloud gives the trend. RSI gives the green signal to enter. 3. Entry Rules:– Simple and Clear For Longs: Price must stay above the EMA Cloud. RSI should be above 50 to confirm bullish momentum. Enter on a small pullback into the cloud or after a breakout candle closes above it. For Shorts: Price must stay below the EMA Cloud. RSI should be below 50 for bearish confirmation. Enter on a pullback toward the cloud or a breakdown candle. This combination prevents you from buying too early or selling too late. 4. Exit Strategy:– Keep It Clean Exit when price closes inside the EMA Cloud against your direction. Aggressive traders can exit when RSI crosses back below 50 (for longs) or above 50 (for shorts). Always trail your stop loss below the cloud to lock in gains. The cloud helps you ride the trend longer with less stress. 5. Why This Strategy Works So Well EMA Cloud filters the market trend. RSI filters the momentum. Together, they eliminate 70% of noise and give you only the smoothest trend trades. It’s simple, visual, and beginner-friendly, yet powerful enough for advanced traders. Rahul’s Tip: Don’t rush entries just because the market is moving fast. Wait for cloud direction + RSI confirmation, this patience alone can double your accuracy. Conclusion: The EMA Cloud + RSI Confirmation Strategy is a clean, reliable way to follow trends without second-guessing. It removes emotional entries, filters noise, and gives you structured trade opportunities. Use it consistently, and you’ll notice how much clearer your charts feel, and how much calmer your decision-making becomes. If this post helped you understand a simple yet effective trend strategy, like it, comment your thoughts, and follow for more practical trading setups!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
5
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur. The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control. In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points. 2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart): This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest. When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction. Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move. Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week. 3. Trading scenario for next week Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys. Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area. Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below. Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week. Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure: Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support). The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend. In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom. 4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold Central banks are increasing gold purchases: In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022. This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed. This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold. Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions. 5. Risk management suggestions Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy. Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD –| watch reaction at POC – VAL – VAH according to VolumeXAUUSD – Brian | watch reaction at POC – VAL – VAH according to Volume Profile 1. Market snapshot Gold is entering a redistribution phase in the high price range, with fluctuations mainly revolving around large volume clusters on the Volume Profile. In this context, Brian's current priority scenario is to watch for a Sell when the price approaches the POC / VAL / VAH areas – where the market previously traded heavily. 2. Volume Profile – Notable price areas POC – VAH area 4.217 is the price area where buyers/sellers previously "struggled" strongly, suitable for looking for sell signals if there is a rejection reaction. VAL & the support area below around 4.134 is where short-term buying force may appear, suitable for a technical rebound buy scenario. 3. Trading plan (this week) Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority) Sell: 4.217 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.200 – 4.182 – 4.150 Idea: wait for the price to rebound to the POC/VAH area around 4.217, observe the H1/M30 candle reaction. If a clear rejection signal appears (long upper tail, reversal candle...), the sell order can be activated according to the plan. Scenario 2 – Short buy at VAL/support area Buy: 4.134 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.155 – 4.180 – 4.200 Idea: if the price adjusts deeply near the VAL area and holds above 4.125, a technical rebound may occur. This is a short buy, not going too far against the trend, prioritizing partial profit-taking when the price returns to the upper POC area. 4. News to watch – Unemployment Claims Today there are US Unemployment Claims figures, which are quite sensitive data for gold because: The market will assess the strength/weakness of the US labor market. Worse-than-expected figures → increase the likelihood of Fed easing → positive for gold. Better-than-expected figures → support USD, may cause gold to face adjustment pressure. Therefore, it is advisable to limit new orders close to the news release time, wait for the post-news candle to stabilize, and then reassess the structure. 5. Risk management (user-friendly for phone users) Sell is the priority scenario but do not overlook SL 4.125, to avoid the case of a strong breakout above the current volume cluster. With the Buy 4.134 scenario, it is advisable to split TP, move SL to breakeven when the price hits TP1 to reduce the pressure of having to "watch the chart" continuously on the phone. If D1/H4 closes below the 4.125 area with large volume, Brian will consider it a signal to reduce short-term buying expectations and wait for a clearer new structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+ Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry Market snapshot At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1. The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area. On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly. Volume Profile & key price areas The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys. A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly. Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term. Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile) Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile). Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions. Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order. Immediate targets: TP1: area 4,240–4,245 TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase". If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle. Defensive scenario – Deep support If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch. Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip". Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave. YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role. Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening. Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs. The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
7
XAUUSD Elliott H1:waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrendXAUUSD – Elliott H1: waiting for ABC correction in a strong uptrend Brian – Short sell correction, prioritize Buy according to the major trend 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold has just broken the upward Dow structure and completed 5 small waves – a common signal before an ABC correction. The larger trend is still a very strong uptrend: gold is on track for its best year since 1979, up more than 60% in 2025, with the YTD performance gap between XAU and BTC continuing to widen. Therefore: selling is only a short-term strategy, while the priority position for next week remains to buy on deep corrections. 2. Technical structure – Elliott H1 H1: 5 upward waves have completed → the base scenario is for the price to create a wave A down – B retrace – C down before continuing the trend. The price area above 4,227–4,238 is a zone with selling liquidity + retesting the structure after breaking the H1 peak. The 4,183–4,173 area (Fibo 0.618 of the most recent increase) is the main demand zone, reasonable to watch for buying in line with the trend with a good R:R. 3. Trading plan for next week Scenario 1 – Short sell ABC correction (counter-trend) Idea: take advantage of the A/B correction wave after 5 upward waves on H1. Sell watch area: 4,227–4,238 SL: 4,246 Reference targets: TP1: area 4,200–4,195 TP2: towards the Fibo/Buy zone 4,183–4,173 Note: this is a counter-trend order, only suitable for accounts accepting intraday risk, volume should be smaller than buy orders. Scenario 2 – Buy according to the major trend at Fibo 0.618 (priority) Idea: wait for the ABC correction to complete, buy at the "discount" price area according to Elliott and Fibo. Buy watch area: 4,183–4,173 (Fibo 0.618 + technical support area). SL: 4,166 Target direction: Initially: return to the 4,220–4,230 area Extended: depending on developments, it may aim for new highs in the context of a record growth year. 4. Fundamental context – Why prioritize Buy on deep corrections? Gold increased +6% in November, marking the 4th consecutive month of gains. Previously it was +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September – a very rare series of increases, reinforcing the long-term bull market story. When an asset has risen strongly but still maintains momentum for many consecutive months, ABC-type corrections on H1 are often just opportunities for new money to participate, rather than trend reversals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
WHAT ARE YOU DOING BUY OR SELL ?🧭 Market Context Gold’s still running that bullish leg structure, respecting the rising trendline beautifully. Right now, price is dancing around the mid-supply zone (4,225–4,245) — this zone is key because it’s where we’ll see whether smart money defends or dumps liquidity before the next push. A reaction sell from this zone can drive price into the Buy-side GZ (4,195–4,180) marked below. That’s the golden reload zone — and your low-risk, high-reward setup area. LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU GUYS THING ABOUT IT I HAVEALREADY MARKED MY LEVEL AND HAVE SET LIMIT ORDER TELL ME YOUR LEVELS
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by VALHALLA-FX
XAUUSD – Weekly outlookXAUUSD – Weekly outlook: structure points towards 4,580 as long as bulls hold the line Brian – Favouring buy-the-dip setups while price holds above 3,996 1. Market overview – triangle break and trend confirmation On the daily chart, gold has finally broken out of the long consolidation triangle, with Friday’s candle closing cleanly above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. For me, this breakout is the first proper confirmation that the primary bullish trend is resuming. The next major resistance on the chart sits around 4,246 – a key level I’m watching as a trend-confirmation line. If price can break and hold above 4,246, the path towards the higher zone around 4,580 opens up, in line with the Fibonacci extension drawn on the chart. In short: the structure into next week is bullish, with pullbacks seen as opportunities to position for a potential move towards new highs. 2. Technical structure – from breakout to extension targets The breakout from the triangle comes after a sequence of higher lows bouncing off the rising trendline, indicating accumulation rather than distribution. Below price, we have demand zones clustered around the 4,110 trendline area and deeper supports near 4,040 and 3,920. Above price, the roadmap is fairly clear: First, a test of 4,246 (local resistance & former supply). Then the ATH / prior high region around 4,360–4,380. Finally, the Fibonacci 1.618 extension projects into the 4,560–4,580 zone, which is my medium-term upside objective if bulls can maintain control. As long as daily structure keeps printing higher highs and higher lows and price stays above the key invalidation at 3,996, I will continue to treat gold as buy-on-dip rather than looking for major tops. 3. Key zones & trading ideas for next week I’m not treating this as a signal service, but here’s how I’m mapping the chart for my own trading: Primary idea – Buy the dip into trendline / support Watch zone: around the rising trendline near 4,110. If price pulls back into this area early in the week and shows a clear rejection on H4/D1 (wick rejections, bullish engulfing etc.), I’ll be interested in building long positions. Upside path: First objective: 4,246 – trend-confirmation resistance. If broken and retested from above, the next leg could extend towards 4,360–4,380. Extension target: 4,560–4,580 in line with the 1.618 Fibonacci projection. Secondary idea – Using Fibonacci zones on break above 4,246 If gold breaks and holds above 4,246, the Fibonacci zones between roughly 4,360 and 4,580 become interesting for scaling in / managing positions: Partial profits or tight trailing stops can be considered as we approach 4,360–4,380. Any healthy corrective pullback from that region that respects the rising structure could still offer add-on entries with the 4,580 zone as a medium-term target. Invalidation: A daily close below 3,996 would seriously damage this bullish structure and force me to reassess. Below that, I would step aside and wait for a new pattern rather than trying to force the long idea. 4. Fundamental backdrop – why gold still has a bid From a macro point of view, gold is navigating a mix of: Tariff and trade tensions, which keep hedging demand alive as investors look for protection against policy shocks. Ongoing geopolitical risks and conflict, supporting gold’s role as a classic safe-haven asset. A late-cycle interest-rate environment, where markets are increasingly focused on when and how aggressively central banks will adjust policy after a period of elevated rates and liquidity distortions. This combination tends to limit the downside for gold: even when we see corrections, dip-buyers are never too far away, especially when the technical structure is aligned with the macro story. 5. Strategy & risk management Into next week, my bias is clear: structure is bullish above 3,996, so I prefer buying pullbacks rather than trying to short into strength. The trendline around 4,110 is my first area of interest for fresh longs; anything closer to 4,040–4,000 (if we see a deeper flush) would be considered an even better price, provided the daily structure doesn’t break. As always, position sizing and stop placement are key – one good weekly move is far more valuable than several emotional entries trying to catch every candle. What do you reckon – does this breakout have enough fuel to take us towards 4,580, or do you see a deeper correction setting up first? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital