Natural gas 302 target hit then some dip , again buy on dip 290Natural gas 302 target hit buy recommended near 280 , again buy near 290
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Wave Analysis
Silver holding buynfrom 144000 , target 145600Silver holding buy from 144000, target 145600 , upside target big but mcx closed tomorrow so will book profit.
Yesterday also bought at 141500 and booked today at 144100
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Silver holding buy trade from 47.20 today yesterday also buySilver holding buy from 47.20 yesterday also bought at 46.30 and booked at 47.10
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Nifty 50: Genuine Rally or Selloff Setup?The Nifty 50 Index went up, but this upward move was likely just a temporary correction, not the start of a new, long-term rise.
Bottom (Wave W): The index first hit a low around 24,377
Bounce (Wave X): It then went up to a high near 25,448 . This rise was a clear, three-part corrective move (like an ABC pattern) that stayed inside a rising channel .
Clue: Because the move from the bottom (W) to the peak (X) was corrective, it suggests the overall trend is still bearish (downward).
Points to look at:
1. Reversal: The index is currently around 24,836 and is starting to turn down from the top of that rising channel. This suggests the temporary rise is over.
2. Projected Drop (Wave Y): The main prediction is a significant drop (Wave Y) that will likely break the previous low of 24,377 .
3. Target: This decline is expected to head toward the lower blue trendline on the chart, completing a larger WXY corrective pattern.
4. Projection: Ending point of wave (Y) can act as the ride for the new impulse cycle.
5. Bearish Stance: Traders should be cautiously bearish (expecting the price to fall).
6. Price action perspective: Previous swing is bearish, better to look at short positions for safe entry.
7. Selling Opportunities: Any small upward movements (retracements) are seen as good selling opportunities (betting on the price going down), as long as the price doesn't break above the recent highs or the channel ceiling.24,300 is indeed a strong demand zone.
Stay tuned!
Money Dictators :)
MEDANTA Price ActionMedanta (Global Health Ltd) is currently trading in the ₹1,300–₹1,335 range, having shown a notable run-up over the past six months, but with increased volatility in recent weeks. The stock reached a recent high near ₹1,393 and a low around ₹935 during the past year.
Fundamentally, Medanta continues to deliver robust revenue growth: annual revenues for FY25 rose to ₹3,692 crore, up approximately 13% from the previous year. Operating profitability remains strong, with margins in the 23% range and net profits exceeding ₹480 crore for the latest fiscal year. However, the most recent quarter saw a profitability dip due to a non-recurring expense, reflecting some variability in the bottom line.
On valuation, Medanta trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of more than 73 and a price-to-book (P/B) above 11, both of which are elevated compared to sector averages. This premium reflects market optimism about its growth prospects but also limits the scope for immediate, significant upside. The company has a modest dividend yield and consistently generates healthy cash flows, contributing to financial strength.
The outlook from analysts remains moderately positive: one-year price targets are clustered around ₹1,300–₹1,500, with the company expected to benefit from long-term sector growth and its strong operating metrics. Near-term, the share price may consolidate after recent gains, with moves likely guided by the next round of earnings and overall market sentiment. Medanta’s key strengths are scale, profitability, and discipline, but its premium valuation requires steady execution and increasing returns to justify further appreciation.
GOLD H1 – THE WOLF WAVE SCENARIO IS FORMINGHello trader 👋
Gold has surged back strongly after a nearly 70-point drop yesterday. Currently, the price is fluctuating around the newly established ATH, with the potential to extend short-term targets towards 3,960 – 4,000 if the upward trend continues to hold.
On the H1 chart, the price structure indicates the possibility of forming a Wolfe Wave pattern. This will be the main reference frame for trading throughout the day, capitalising on the oscillation range within the pattern.
⚖️ Short-term Trading Strategy
🟢 Buy Scenario (priority in line with the main trend):
Entry: 3,852 – 3,854
SL: 3,847
TP: 3,865 → 3,878 → 3,890
👉 Trend-following trade, suitable for holding positions and maximising profits.
🔴 Sell Scenario (scalping at the upper boundary):
Entry: 3,877 – 3,879
SL: 3,884
TP: 3,865 → 3,850 → 3,838
👉 Short-term sell order, only for wave-trading within the pattern boundary.
📊 General Outlook
Gold continues to be supported by the major upward trend, but the H1 range suggests there might be some tug-of-war within the Wolfe Wave.
Buying positions remain a priority for the day, as they align with the trend and allow for more effective order management.
Traders need to closely monitor price action at the upper and lower boundaries to make flexible decisions.
💡 News Factors to Note
In the next hour, the market will focus on political news from the US, especially the potential US Government shutdown. This could be a catalyst causing more significant gold volatility during the session.
📌 Conclusion: Day trading prioritises Buying at support zones – Selling scalps at the upper boundary within the H1 Wolfe Wave pattern. Tight capital management and clear SL to mitigate risks. I will continue to update new scenarios for you – stay tuned to not miss out 🚀.
Gold 1H – Correction or Continuation After Supply Test?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,861 after consolidating below a premium supply zone at 3876–3874. Structure shows a recent BOS to the upside, but current rejection signals potential engineered liquidity sweeps into the nearby FVG and discount demand zones. The first support rests at 3796–3798, aligning with discount territory and previous accumulation, offering scope for continuation if price reacts positively.
From the macro side, today’s headlines point to persistent U.S. dollar strength as traders await fresh Federal Reserve guidance on inflation and rate path. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical concerns in energy markets are maintaining safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold’s intraday swings.
This dual backdrop sets up a tactical approach: fading rejections at supply while being prepared to enter on discounted dips at demand.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3876–3874 (SL 3883): Premium supply zone, downside targets at 3850 → 3835 → 3815.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE SUPPORT 3796–3798 (SL 3790): Discount demand zone aligned with BOS, upside targets at 3820 → 3845 → 3860+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3876–3874)
• Entry: 3876–3874
• Stop Loss: 3883
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3850
TP2: 3835
TP3: 3815
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3796–3798)
• Entry: 3796–3798
• Stop Loss: 3790
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3820
TP2: 3845
TP3: 3860+
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains in a corrective phase after testing supply. Expect liquidity sweeps into discount levels before continuation. With the dollar strengthening and Fed commentary in focus, intraday traders should:
• Fade supply rejections at 3876–3874.
• Scale into buys around 3796–3798 if liquidity is cleared.
HCLTECH 1D Time frameOpening Price: ₹1,387.40
Closing Price: ₹1,387.40
Day Range: ₹1,383.10 – ₹1,395.00
Previous Close: ₹1,387.40
📉 Trend Analysis
Short-Term Trend: Bearish — The stock is trading below key moving averages, confirming the bearish trend.
Medium-Term Trend: Neutral — The stock is in a consolidation phase, characterized by lower highs and lower lows.
Long-Term Trend: Neutral — No significant trend identified; the stock is trading within a range.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊
________________________________________
🔹 Momentum
• D1:
Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing.
• H4:
Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways.
• H1:
Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
• D1 Wave:
Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top.
Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed.
Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early.
• H4 Wave:
A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs.
With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher.
→ Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool.
• H1 Wave:
A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying.
As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness.
Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone.
________________________________________
🔹 Trade Plan
• Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887
• Stop Loss: 3895
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3830
📌 Notes:
• This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable.
• If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline.
• Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
XAUUSD / GOLD / GC Analysis 01-OCT-2025LTP 3863
Supports: 3355/3110/2721/1921
As long as Gold supported by the above levels, we can see 3991-4385 next.
Bigger picture targets: 3748(done)-3991-4385 (Min target)
Further targets:
4934
5420-5655-6036 (Normal target)
7082-7334-8116 (ultimate target)
Extension 11225.
NOTE: I expect big correction between 3748-3991-4385 levels to 3355-3110-2721 before next bull run towards 5K+.
BUY ON DIPS VIEW
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915
The gold market continues to demonstrate the strength of an upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak.
Today's perspective:
Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend.
The Buy position from 3797 is still being held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders.
Prioritise observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders; if the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point.
Trading scenario
Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915
Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open
In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Stick to the trend, prioritise Buy to maximise profits.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and stay tuned for my updates.
Why should u buy the dips??Nifty CMP 24611
Gann Square - from the 2008 lows the time cycle has pointed at imp pivots on the chart. The 8th cycle is the next bar, which is Nov-25. Hence the breakout will mostly happen in Nov-25.
Elliott - this is the last wave of this swing, which is the 5th wave. The tgt for the same is at 27100. From the current levels thats 10% move on the Index.
Conclusion - Hence buying the dip continues to be a good strategy.
“Nifty 50 Key Levels & Trade Zones 1st Oct 2025”
“Follow me and like this post for more learning tips!”
24890 → Above 10m closing → Short Cover Level (CE Safe Zone)
24790 → Above 10m hold CE (Entry Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone)
24718 → Above 10m hold → Positive Trade View
Below 10m hold → Negative Trade View
24570 → Above Opening S1 hold CE (Buy Level)
Below Opening R1 hold PE (Sell Level)
24470 → Above 10m hold CE (Buy Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Sell Level)
24333 → Above 10m hold CE (Safe Zone)
Below 10m hold UNWINDING Level
Part 4 Institutional TradingThe Structure of an Option Contract
Every option contract has certain key components:
Underlying asset – The stock, index, or commodity the option is based on.
Strike price – The agreed-upon price at which the asset can be bought or sold.
Expiration date – The last date when the option can be exercised.
Premium – The cost paid by the buyer to the seller.
Lot size – The standardized quantity of the underlying represented by one option contract.
Example:
If you buy a Nifty 20,000 Call Option at ₹200 premium, one lot size is 50.
Total cost = ₹200 × 50 = ₹10,000.
You gain if Nifty moves above 20,200 (strike + premium).
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesIntroduction
Financial markets have evolved significantly over the last century, offering a wide variety of instruments to investors and traders. One such instrument is options, which provide flexibility, leverage, and hedging opportunities. Unlike straightforward investments such as stocks or bonds, option trading involves contracts that derive their value from an underlying asset—making them part of the broader derivatives market.
For professional traders, options are indispensable for hedging risk, generating income, and leveraging market moves. For retail participants, they represent both a fascinating opportunity and a high-risk tool that requires discipline and knowledge.
This guide explains option trading in detail, starting from the basics and moving into advanced strategies, risks, and practical applications.
USD/JPY H4 – SMC Mapping & Trading Plan1. Market Structure
Overall trend: bullish, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside.
Currently in a corrective pullback, retesting demand zones.
Strong liquidity resting below around 146.000 (Buy Zone Liquidity).
2. Key Zones
Sell Zone (Supply/CP):
148.500 – 148.800
Supply zone aligning with stoploss hunt above.
Demand Zones (Buy Side):
147.200 – 147.500 → short-term reaction zone.
146.000 – 146.300 → strong liquidity pool + CP Order Buy zone.
3. Trade Logic (SMC Flow)
Scenario 1 (Short Setup):
If price pulls back into 148.500 – 148.800, expect bearish reaction.
SL: above 149.000
TP: demand zone at 147.200 or deeper at 146.000.
Scenario 2 (Long Setup after liquidity sweep):
If price sweeps into 146.000 – 146.300, this zone is key liquidity + CP Order Buy.
Expect strong bullish reaction → Buy setup.
SL: below 145.800
TP: 149.000 – 149.500
4. Market Psychology
Sellers: may capitalize on pullback into supply to load shorts.
Buyers: likely waiting for liquidity sweep around 146.000 to accumulate long positions and push higher.
Flip Zone: once a supply/demand zone breaks, it often flips into a new reaction area.
✅ Summary Plan
Sell Zone: 148.5 – 148.8 → TP 147.2 / 146.0
Buy Zone: 146.0 – 146.3 → TP 149.0 – 149.5
EUR/USD is entering a decisive SMC zone – Big move loading...📊 EUR/USD H4 – SMC Mapping & Trading Plan
1. Market Structure
Main trend: bearish (after clear CHoCH and BOS).
Price has formed Equal Highs (EQH) → strong liquidity above.
Untested liquidity zone below (OBB) → expectation for price to sweep down.
2. Key Zones
Supply Zone (OBS + FVG):
1.18100 – 1.18200
This supply aligns with the Fair Value Gap.
Expecting price to retest this zone and reject downward.
Demand Zone (OBB):
1.16500 – 1.16650
Strong demand zone combined with liquidity resting below previous lows.
3. Trade Logic (SMC Flow)
Scenario 1 (Short Setup):
If price reaches the OBS + FVG (1.1810 – 1.1820) area,
Expect bearish reaction → Sell setup.
SL: above 1.1830.
TP: demand zone at 1.1650.
Scenario 2 (Long Setup after liquidity sweep):
If price taps into OBB (1.1650 – 1.1665) and holds,
Expect bullish reaction → Buy setup targeting 1.1750 – 1.1780.
SL: below 1.1630.
4. Market Psychology
Buy side: attempting to push higher but likely just a pullback to fill FVG and sweep liquidity above EQH.
Sell side: in control after BOS to the downside, targeting demand below.
Flip Zone: once supply is broken, it may flip into a new reaction zone (support).
✅ Summary Plan
Sell Zone: 1.1810 – 1.1820 → TP 1.1650
Buy Zone: 1.1650 – 1.1665 → TP 1.1750