Larsen case studyLarsen spot cmp 2480
Weekly time frame
Elliot wave study
Counter is trading in last leg of motive phase which might mature around current levels.
v of 5 is in play,
Ascending wedge pattern indicate counter is overbought as its trading above structure.
RSI and MACD have bearish divergence with respect to price.
Last week counter made high of 2483 levels and today it made high around 2493 levels,
As per measured move wave 5 should mature around 2500 levels
so till counter does not give weekly close above 2500 levels , long should be cautious..
Counter have out performed rest of the counter in this last rally of over all market.
Now its time for counter to give away.
Keep watch, if this study pans out counter can give good fall going ahead.
Wedgepatterns
MATIC on BULLISH ModeMATIC 1 hr. Chart Analysis
After Lower-Low retest mark of 59 cent, MATIC starts its Uptrend cycle into Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern and soon it will break again Lower-High 70-71 cents within 24-48 hrs in June month, and as per FIB Retracement markup points too, its upper point is 71 cent too.
Always #DYOR and Trade Wisely by using #StopLoss
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PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 23 JUN 2023Even in spite of the recent greenish momentum, we were all looking for a bearish breakthrough. I cannot say with 100% confidence that we are on the verge for a timely correction - but the markets are quite indicating that way.
Banknifty is again scoring over Nifty50 by staying more stable and swinging lesser. Today's episode may be linked to ADANIENT, but over the past few weeks - I think Nifty50's volatility is higher than Banknifty. Mainly because the options premium & the daily price swings per strike depends on the uncertainty of the underlying.
And if you are an option seller, nifty's options gave more bang for the buck compared to banknifty.
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Banknifty opened slightly gap down, filled the gap immediately and then made a downswing. The LOD was 43519 at 09.35 which was recovered pretty quickly. By 10.25 BN turned positive and maintained ground.
The session from 12.45 to close made some price action which showed a sentimental level weakness - but nothing serious. In fact Nifty50 hit its LOD during the closing minutes, but not banknifty.
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Nifty50 1hr chart shows the trade that was carried out today was below the resistance zone for 18762. Yesterday's trade was concluded right at this SR level and then today's breakdown helped the momentum to play its part.
Yesterday also we discussed the price action forming a 2 legged downward move
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Banknifty's 1hr chart on the other hand is showing a converging price, the top keeps falling and the bottom stays steady. A falling wedge is a bullish indicator - but at present I dont see signs of outright bullishness.
BANKNIFTY INTRADAY (15/06/2023)Don't be aggressive
.
if there is possibility for bullish--
entry: 44170
target-44360--44500--44750
.
If down trend starts
entry:43980
t1-43750--t2-43550
.
possibility for stoploss hunting will be there.
Don't trade in "no trade zone"
Trade carefully.
.
after breaking green box mentioned,
trend will be confirmed.
.
.
refer old ideas.
SBI LIFE INSURANCE Wedge Pattern Could Lead Significant MoveHowdy Traders,
I feel that the market may give a little negative I because the doji candlestick pattern is seen at the higher highs followed immediately by a black candlestick, indicating that the market may provide a little negative move.
Note = If the market stays below the level of 1249 then Target- 1231.90
If U want to trade right see leftIt is often said - "History does not repeat, it rhymes"
Price is making a rising wedge pattern similar to the earlier one (on the left side).
It has also reached the previous resistance.
Q - > Will the next move be similar ?
A - > Not sure right now, but indications of being extra cautious are popping up as the days go by
Indications -
1. The steepness of the rising trendline support - such steep trendlines do not hold for a longer time and normally the support give away
2. Price has developed Bearish divergence with the momentum indicator right at the resistance level
So, at least as a trader we need to keep ourselves close to the exit door.
Happy Trading !
Larsen chart study.Larsen spot cmp 2355
Weekly time frame
Elliot wave study
Motive phase on verge to mature.
Ascending wedge pattern formation
Counter is trading in overbought zone as per swing indicator and structure formation.
Bearish divergence on RSI with respect to price.
Time for bulls to sit on cash.
Bajaj finance chart studyBajaj finance spot cmp 6186.
240 mins time frame.
Price action study
Descending wedge pattern formation.
Counter is trading around supply zone as per descending trend line.
RSI is at historical levels, where counter makes peak and reverse.
Bearish reversal confirmation by candle.
Counter might take pause in this bullish trend or can also retrace deeper if the recent high is not cleared on closing basis.
So its alert for bulls to be at door step, as bears may take entry.
view remains valid till the high is not taken out on closing basis
USDJPY drops within falling wedgeUSDJPY struggles to defend the first positive week in five, grinding lower inside a falling wedge bullish chart formation. It should be noted that the bullish MACD signals and upward-sloping RSI (14) line, not overbought, keep buyers hopeful despite the latest weakness of the Yen pair. However, a sustained break of the 50-SMA hurdle surrounding 131.85 becomes necessary for the Yen pair buyers to retake control. Following that, the 200-SMA and the monthly high, respectively near 134.00 and 137.95, could probe the quote’s advances during the run-up to achieve the theoretical target of around 139.85.
On the flip side, an ascending support line from mid-January, near 130.60 at the latest, restricts the short-term USDJPY downside, if the Yen pair defies the latest bullish breakout by dropping back below the 131.40 resistance-turned-support. In a case where the pair remains weak past 130.60, the 130.00 round figure and the latest swing low around 129.70 may entertain sellers before challenging them by the stated wedge’s lower line, close to 129.20. It should be noted that the quote’s weakness past 129.20 makes it vulnerable to declining toward the yearly low of 127.21, marked in January.
Overall, USDJPY consolidates the monthly losses and is likely to regain the buyer’s confidence in the next month.
Rising Wedge in JPYINRJapanese Yen to Indian Rupee pair (JPYINR) has been forming rising wedge for some time on the Daily time frame. This is also supported by fall in momentum as shown in the RSI.
The pair has rejected bulls for last few days. Conditions look ripe for a fall in price toward wedge target zone of 0.6140 on the JPYINR spot pair. SL may be kept above Friday high, around 0.64.
TECHM - IT Sector - Reversal potential - Swing/InvestmentTECHM Weekly chart -
The analysis is done on weekly as well as on Daily TF hence price may take few weeks to few months in order to reach the targets.
Trade setup is explained in image itself.
The above analysis is purely for educational purpose. Traders must do their own study & follow risk management before entering into any trade
Checkout my other ideas to understand how one can earn from stock markets with simple trade setups. Feel Free to comment below this or connect with me for any query or suggestion regarding this stock or Price Action Analysis.
GBPUSD bulls run out of steam on BOE-inspired Super ThursdayBe it a one-month-old rising wedge or the overbought RSI conditions, GBPUSD shows it all to suggest that the bull’s reign is near to end. However, a sustained trading below the 1.2330 support, comprising the lower line of the aforementioned rising wedge bearish chart pattern, becomes necessary for the seller’s entry. Even so, the 200-DMA level surrounding 1.2100 could challenge the bears. Following that, a downward trajectory towards the 1.2000 psychological magnet and then to September’s peak surrounding 1.1740 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the rising wedge confirmation signals a theoretical target of around 1.1000.
Meanwhile, the upper line of the stated wedge, close to 1.2550, could act as an immediate upside hurdle to watch during the Cable pair’s further advances. In a case where the GBPUSD bulls defy the bearish chart pattern by crossing the 1.2550 hurdle, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s south-run from late March to September, near 1.2675, could lure the buyers. It’s worth noting that the mid-March low close to the 1.3000 psychological magnet and late March swing high near 1.3300 will be in focus if the quote remains firmer past 1.2675.
Overall, GBPUSD is up for further downside as the BOE looms. However, a surprise hawkish outcome could allow the bulls to have a few more happy days.