UPL | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Regards,
Revive Traders
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Wyckoffaccumulation
AsianPaints | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained !!Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
--------------------------------------------------
Regards,
Revive Traders
------------------------------------------------
Guys check out the related POST as well, it went FANTASTIC !
🙏FOLLOW for more !
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CASTROLIND Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff methodWyckoff Story
Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have BC and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH.
Down wave Analysis
We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase C, confirming the accumulation Bias.
Volume Analysis
We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed.
Spring
We have spring in Phase C
Major Sign of Strength
we have MaSOS in phase D with good volume indicating institutions are present in buying.
Final View
Bullish on the stock
CASTROLIND Trade Analysis for Buy using Wyckoff methodWyckoff Story
Prior to trading range we were in uptrend and then we have BC and CHoCH (Change of character). Let’s assume our bias is accumulation based on CHoCH as we don’t see lot of supply in the CHoCH.
Down wave Analysis
We can see that the volatility of the down wave is decreasing from Phase A to Phase C, confirming the accumulation Bias.
Volume Analysis
We have supply decrease from Phase A to Phase C indicating supply is being absorbed.
Spring
We have spring in Phase C
Major Sign of Strength
we have MaSOS in phase D with good volume indicating institutions are present in buying.
Final View
Bullish on the stock
Price is ready to move after accumulationIn Weekly and Daily Time frames, accumulation is done in the complete zone.
Any minute supply near Resistance is being absorbed in this week by Big players.
Bullishness is clearly visible in 75min TF.
Futures can be taken at current price.
Good sector support is additional confirmation.
Identifying Institutional footprints using Wyckoff AccumulationHere I am using 63Moons monthly chart to explain how Wyckoff Accumulation works. The Wyckoff Accumulation has 5 major phases.
Phase A - Stopping the previous trend
Phase A marks the stopping of prior downtrend.
The Preliminary Support(PS) indicates that some buyers are showing up but still not enough to stop the downward move.
The Selling Climax(SC) is formed by an intense selling activity as investors panic. This is a point of high volatility where panic selling creates big candlesticks and wicks. The strong drop then quickly reverses into a bounce also known as Automatic Rally(AR) as excessive supply is absorbed by buyers.
The Secondary Test(ST) happens when the market drops near the SC region testing whether the downtrend is really over or not. At this point the trading volume and volatility tend to be lower. ST generally forms at or above the same price level as the SC, if the ST goes lower than that of Sc one should anticipate new lows or prolonged consolidation.
The lows of the SC and the ST and the high of AR set the boundaries of the trading range(TR).
Phase B - Building the cause
Phase B serves the function of building a cause for new uptrend. Basically the idea is that something cannot happen out of nowhere, that to see a change in price a root cause must first have been built. Generally causes are constructed through a major change of hands between well informed & uninformed operators in an anticipation of the next markup.
This institutional accumulation takes a long time sometimes more than a year. As institutions do their due diligence and take their required positions.
There are usually multiple STs during Phase B as well as upthrust type actions near the upper range of TR. Early on in Phase B the price swing tends to be wide and accompanied with high volume. As professionals absorb the supply the volume on downswings within the TR tends to diminish. When it appears that the supply is likely to have been exhausted the stock is ready for Phase C.
Phase C - Test
In Phase C the stock price goes through a decisive test of the remaining supply. In Wyckoffian Analysis a successful test of supply is represented by a spring(shakeout). A low volume spring(or low volume test of a shakeout) indicates that the stock is likely ready to move up.
A spring is a price move below the support level of the trading range (which is established by low of STs in Phase A and B) that quickly reverses and moves back to TR.
The spring action is very important and ideal because the greater the movement, the more liquidity you will be able to capture and there the more gasoline the subsequent movement will have.
Phase D - Trend within range
Phase D consists of breakout and confirmation events. After the shakeout event the price should now develop a clear trend movement within the range with wide candles. This is evidenced by a pattern of advances known as Signs of Strength(SOS) on widening price spreads and increasing volume as well as reactions (Last point of Support LPS)on smaller spreads and diminished volumes.
During Phase D the price will move at least to the top of the Trading range. LPS in this phase are excellent places to initiate long positions.
Phase E - Trend out of range
In Phase E the stock breaches the trading range. This phase consists of impulsive and reactive movements and some shakeouts which are short lived. The price here abandons the structure upon which the cause has been built previously and begins a new trend as an effect of the same.
Coming to the chart of 63 Moons any pullback near 180-160 is an excellent place to initiate positions. The Phase E is gonna start soon in this scrip.
Hope you liked my analysis.
LATENTVIEW - THE ART OF WYCKOFF ACCUMULATIONLATENTVIEW is being accumulated by institutions, I have already explained the Wyckoff Accumulation in my previous posts. You can refer my 63MOONS post to study in detail.
I have initiated my position @ 383. MY stoploss is 340
*DISCLAIMER*
This analysis is only for educational purpose. I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst/Advisor. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any position and please use a Stop Loss for any Investments/Trading Positions. It is your hard earned money so give risk management your highest attention. Do take this disclaimer seriously.
SIGACHI a classic example of Wykcoff accumulationSIGACHI Industries is showing signs of Wykcoff Accumulation. I I have explained earlier in my post how Wyckoff accumulation works. Please refer it. I believe a trend reversal is taking place here. I have entered the scrip with stoploss placed @ 280.
*DISCLAIMER*
This analysis is only for educational purpose. I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst/Advisor. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any position and please use a Stop Loss for any Investments/Trading Positions. It is your hard earned money so give risk management your highest attention. Do take this disclaimer seriously.
VARROC ENGINEERING WYCKOFF ACCUMULATIONVarroc Engineering is focused on designing, manufacturing and supplying exterior lighting systems, plastic and polymer components, and electrical and electronics components
Market Cap : 5000cr Market Cap set your positions accordingly
Sector : Auto Ancillary
VARROC ENGINEERING is in a 4 month trading range, the analysis done above is through Wyckoff method and we get what looks like a accumulation TR (trading range).
PHASE A : The TR got established from 15th September where it did the highest volume since it's IPO in 2018. Labelled the PSY , SC , AR as Upthrust Action followed by a low spread Secondary Test on good volume leaving a wick and closing in green shows hints at some absorption happening that marks the PHASE A and CHoCH ( Change of Character ) the bias for the TR at this point is bullish.
PHASE B : Secondary Test on 21st October with huge volume but closed below the AR 319.80 level which shows rejection, at this point we can conclude the price is not ready for the markup phase and still needs to spend some time in TR followed by the price falling off with low volumes and low spread indicating no further new selling but also fall in demand till 16th Nov where the price went below the ST in PHASE A but on low volumes then buying demand came and closed above previous 4 Days close with fair volume and good spread.
PHASE C : The hardest part is identifying PHASE C but it is the only thing matters followed by PHASE D in Wyckoff Method.
16th - 17th Nov the stock had good volumes and good spread indicating SOS rally but failed to closed above AR levels , also the following week/month Nifty ( Comparative Index/ Market Proxy ) had faced Volatility on the down side and 29th Nov being the biggest fall in Nifty since 2 quarters but the underlying stock didn't broke the ST(PHASE B) levels. This shows positive jump in Relative Strength and the start of it.
On 7th Dec the candle showed some demand and followed buying crossing above the AR, ST(PHASE B) levels giving couple of closes above the TR so we mark the low on 6th Dec as LPS (Last point of Support) and Conclude Phase C. Though we missed our First of Four entry points but given the Volatile Market conditions it was hard to Initiate.
PHASE D : PHASE D in the Wyckoff Method indicates a SOS ( Sign of Strength) TR above the previous TR , BU ( Backing Up Action) and LPS/ Multiple LPS.
In this stock's case after the SOS rally the volumes cooled off with slide in price we mark the last swing ended as ST=UT because it wasn't a SOS because the price failed to sustain above the TR and came back in the TR , the market proxy faced huge volatility and made a new low from it's previous levels with big spreads but the underlying stock didn't made a new low thus forming a Higher High - Higher low formation showing relative strength even though it closed -9% and the price is now rising with lower spread and volumes, thus we mark the low as LPS.
We make a uptrend channel by connecting two lows and the high.
Conclusion :
Scenario # 1 : The stock still seems to be in PHASE D also trying to cross above 200 Dema and 100 Dema if it shows SOS above 336 we can expect PHASE E (Markup PHASE), CHoCH and we can start a bull campaign and further add positions with trailing stoploss on LPS/Channel/DEMA.
Scenario # 2 : If the price breaks Channel we can expect that the stock needs to spend more time in TR.
Scenario # 3 : If the price also breaks LPS then the TR can be extended way further or can be concluded as a Distribution PHASE .
SGX nifty Wyckoff accumulationThe SGX NIFTY appears to be in a period of accumulation, according to the Wyckoff method of technical analysis. This pattern is characterized by a trading range in which there is a buildup of buying pressure, as evidenced by a series of higher lows and a lack of significant selling pressure. Based on this analysis, it is likely that the NIFTY will experience a strong upward move in the near future. However, it is important to note that technical analysis is not an exact science and past performance is not indicative of future results. It's important to do your own research and use this analysis as one piece of information among many when making investment decisions.
Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern Observed in Bitcoin MarketRecent analysis of the bitcoin market reveals that the cryptocurrency is currently forming a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, as indicated by schematic 4. This is a bullish signal for the market, indicating that accumulation of the asset is taking place before a potential upward price movement.
Wyckoff Phases in PracticeWe all know that market moves in Phases. The four most popular phases are –
1️⃣Accumulation
2️⃣Markup
3️⃣Distribution and
4️⃣Markdown
Mr. Wyckoff analyzed these phases further, esp. Accumulation and Distribution, to understand the price behavior for potential opportunities to trade/invest in the market.
In this tutorial I am going to have a brief discussion about Accumulation-sub-phases of the market with the help of an example that I came across today.
✅ Phase A
🚩Starts after a major downtrend.
🚩Begins with a selling climax (SC) - Large down bars with abnormally high volume (see B).
🚩SC is followed by the largest rally in the major downtrend, associated with good buying volume. This Automatic Rally (AR) represents the change in character (ChoC) of the market - buyers taking over.
🚩Market retest the level B with a lower volume (supply) – Secondary Test (see D).
✅ Phase B
🚩Usually the longest phase.
🚩High volume during rallies (eg. E) and lesser during retracements.
🚩Even if volume is high during retracements, price fails to make new lows.
🚩More secondary tests (see F) held at the support zone (B and D).
🚩Market consolidates testing supply and demand with no particular direction – Consolidation.
✅ Phase C
🚩The smallest but most important.
🚩Usually ends with a Spring (not in the above case).
🚩You would see final shakeout of weak buyers. Price dips underneath the support zone (B, D and F) and reverse sharply back above support.
🚩Perhaps the best time enter for those who like to take low risk high probability trades.
🚩In the above case G was just another test of support Zone.
✅ Phase D
🚩You would see swift action in this phase. Wide up bars (with high volume) and small down bars (with low volume).
🚩This also represents the change in character which now differs from the consolidation phase.
🚩ChoC - Notice two blue rectangles and the price action in them.
🚩Price breaks the resistance zone (mostly the high of automatic rally).
🚩It again retests this resistance which now starts acting as support. This is called the Backup action.
🚩This is perhaps the best time for those who like to enter after confirmation.
✅ Phase E
🚀Accumulation is over and a trend is established.
Not all bear markets end with these accumulation-sub-phases. You may often see V-shaped recoveries just like what we experienced after March 2020 lows. But you will surely find some stocks or markets that moved in line with Wyckoff phases.
Thanks for reading.
Do like and comment.
📣Disclaimer: The views are personal and theoretical. Apply your own due diligence before making your investment decisions.
Why do I think the IT index is going to rally soon?Hi all, hope you guys are doing well.
Over the last 2 months, we have seen a great rally in the majority of the indices, except one - The IT index. Read this post to find out why I think IT is going to pump soon!
1. The IT index has been strongly underperforming the benchmark as well as all other sectoral indices for the last few months. I have taken the June lows as a reference because the market started rallying from there onwards. Observe how the IT index is lagging far behind all other indices.
2. In the last few days, the IT index has been strongly improving, suggesting a mean reversion towards the benchmark index - Nifty. Notice the angle of the curve. On the other hand, all other indices seem to be more or less flat. If the market is able to consolidate the gains and maintain the bullish to sideways narrative, the IT index can really perform well in the coming weeks.
3. This is also in line with the structure. If you notice, the index seems to be forming the Wyckoff accumulation schematic in which the "Spring" seems to have been established on 15 July. Currently, the price appears to be bouncing off the range low and may head towards the range high.
4. The market structure has started to shift to the upside. As we can notice, after the formation of the low on 15 July, the price rallied higher creating a higher high. This caused a shift in the market structure.
5. If we get a move above the range high at 31k, it will confirm that the short-term structure has turned bullish and we can expect higher prices, possibly a move towards 34k.
6. All the IT stocks have been forming a similar structure. I am attaching a few charts for reference.
🔹 Wipro:
🔸 Infosys:
🔹 Mphasis:
🔸 Coforge:
Thanks for reading. I hope you found this helpful! 😊
Disclaimer : This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Community Manager (India), TradingView
Nifty futures 15 min chart Wyckoff Re-Accumulation StructureMultiple bullish signs clearly evident in the chart
- The structure of Higher Highs and Higher Lows
- Price Volume Analysis showing clear bullish volumes (volume increase on up move and decline on down move)
- Reversal Action and spike in volume at trendline support repeatedly
- Price Action and slope of the buying wave and selling wave comparison
- A Pennant pattern overall in a trending market
Can look for all these confluence factors in the annotated chart.
Please like the post if you find it useful as it will give me incentive and confidence to post more charts based on the powerful technique based on Wyckoff
Powergrid outperforming NIFTY 500 benchmark1. Powergrid breaking out of consolidation. This looks to be typical Wyckoff re-accumulation tilted to upwards.
2. Its also out performing the NIFTY 500 Index, which means it has high RS.
3. Short term price target of 25 % is achievable and near term target of 40% is possible.
GOLD - 1H BUY PROJECTION Accumulation Phase
Selling Climax (SC) -
Selling Climax is a pattern in Accumulation phase characterized by a sharp selloff. It takes place before the Preliminary Support or PS. It indicates that selling pressure has reached a stage in which panic selling by the public will be absorbed by Big Institutional players or Smart money traders.
Automatic Rally (AR) -
An automatic Rally is an up move that forms after the Selling Climax in the Accumulation phase. The underlying buying interest causes the prices to rally higher, but quickly prices will fall back after making a new high. The highest point of this rally will become the Resistance of the Accumulation range. You can see the example of Automatic Rally or AR in the Image.
Secondary Test (ST) -
The Secondary Test formation happens after an Automatic Rally. It’s caused by the long covering process of Public Investors, which brings the price back to the area of Preliminary Support. Often prices will bounce back after touching the Preliminary Support indicating the presence of Buying Interest.
Springs -
Springs are nothing but shakeouts that happens within the Accumulation phase. The prices will fall below the Preliminary Support of the trading range only to reverse back above the trading range within a short time period. (Often referred to as False Breakout)
Springs are caused by Big Players to mislead the Public and acquire more shares at a lower price. It influences uninformed traders and investors to sell their shares at a lower price, as they expect a further fall in stock prices. You can see the example of Springs in the Image.
Sign of Strength (SOS) -
The Sign of Strength takes place after the Spring Pattern, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market.
Sign of Strength can form like a normal pullback or minor consolidation at the Resistance level of the Accumulation range. It’s a confirmation that Sellers have lost momentum and prices will continue to rise on the upside. Most of the time SOS looks like a breakout setup which is often followed by a sharp rally on the upside. Take a look at the Image to understand SOS