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Xauusdanalysis

Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (10/10/2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum In the October 9th plan, based on H1 momentum and wave structure, I anticipated a strong bearish move, which indeed occurred during yesterday’s late session. D1 Momentum: Currently turning downward, meaning the main trend in the coming sessions remains bearish to bring D1 momentum into the oversold zone. H4 Momentum: Now showing signs of reversal from the oversold area, suggesting that a short-term recovery wave may appear soon. H1 Momentum: Currently approaching the oversold zone, so within the next 1–2 hours, a minor corrective upward move could take place. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure: We can now see a confirmed bearish reversal candle, whose body is larger than previous bearish candles. This indicates that the yellow wave ⑤ has likely completed, and I expect a deeper corrective move to unfold — potentially reaching the 3700 area. H4 Wave Structure: As mentioned yesterday, we use the price channel for observation, and now the price has closed back inside the channel. This gives us additional confirmation that wave ⑤ has completed. With H4 momentum preparing to turn upward, the market is likely to form a corrective upward wave on this timeframe. H1 Wave Structure: Currently, a blue ABC correction has formed after yesterday’s strong decline. Notably, wave C is twice the length of wave A, showing that the panic selling yesterday may have exhausted the sellers. Combining this with the H4 momentum reversal, it suggests a potential upward move ahead. Furthermore, after a complete ABC structure, according to Elliott theory, the market often forms another ABC pattern or a 5-wave structure in the opposite direction, → therefore, we will now look for Buy opportunities. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Liquidity Zones Observing the liquidity areas on the chart, there are two key zones to focus on: • 3953 • 3933 These are the two zones where we will look for Buy setups. Yesterday’s oversold decline (an irregular wave C) suggests, by Elliott principles, that a strong rebound from the 0.618 retracement up to the previous high is likely — this will be important for determining our Take-Profit levels. ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: • Entry: 3956 – 3953 • SL: 3943 • TP: 3989 Buy Zone 2: • Entry: 3934 – 3931 • SL: 3922 • TP: 3953 ________________________________________ 💡 Note: This rebound is a technical correction after an oversold sell-off, so it’s recommended to monitor price reaction near TP and consider moving SL to breakeven to secure profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. CPI DataXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader ________________________________________ 📈 Market Context Gold prices remain steady around $3,975, as traders await the U.S. CPI data release later today — a key event that could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move. If inflation cools, the dovish sentiment may boost gold’s safe-haven appeal; however, a hotter CPI print could trigger renewed dollar strength and short-term pressure on XAUUSD. Market volatility is expected to spike near the release, so liquidity grabs and false breaks are likely before the true direction forms. ________________________________________ 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style) • The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirms short-term bearish control after breaking the bullish structure near 4017. • FVG Sell Zone (4015–4017) aligns with premium imbalance and prior liquidity — ideal for short setups if price retests that zone. • BOS to the downside was confirmed at 3960, showing sellers in control. • The discount zone 3908–3910 is a strong demand area where buyers may step in after liquidity sweep below 3910. ________________________________________ 🟢 Buy Zone: 3908–3910 SL: 3900 TP targets: 3920 → 3940 → 3960+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4015–4017 SL: 4022 TP targets: 4000 → 3985 → 3970 ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entering either side. • Use partial position sizing around CPI release — volatility may cause large wicks. • Watch for liquidity hunts near 3980–3990 before CPI, then confirm structure direction. ________________________________________ ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating below key resistance while awaiting U.S. inflation data. Smart money may engineer a liquidity sweep toward 4015–4017 (FVG) before resuming the bearish leg into 3910. However, if CPI comes in softer than expected, buyers may defend 3908–3910, sparking a recovery back toward 3980+. 🔔 Stay alert around CPI release hours — expect manipulative price action and confirm structure breaks before committing to directional trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight. The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market: 🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions. 💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold. Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone. 📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View) Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance. After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term. The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas. 🔑 Key Zones to Watch Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033 Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912 Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878 💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios 🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910 🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905 ✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ??? Trading View: The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high. A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone. However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation. 🧭 MMFLOW Insight Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative: U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved. Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens. Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones. ⚠️ Trading Notes ✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments. ✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels. ✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed. 📍 Summary Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones. Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse. Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Neowave Bulletin| 10/10/2025 Namaskaram Everyone Welcome to intelligent investor, we provide market insights by synchronising and combining all the price action waves from different time frames and gives you single trend. Here are all our previous gold analysis, with this you will understand how with Neowave Theory you will have an edge in the market. Previous Neowave Bulletin 09/12/2025 07/10/2025 01/10/2025 30/09/2025 29/09/2025 OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD VANTAGE:XAUUSD MCX:GOLD1!
FX:XAUUSD
by IIntelligentinvestor
XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance. Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold. Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt. All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones. Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term. Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG. Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone). 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002 SL: 3996 TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984 SL: 3980 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Note The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps. Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment. ✅ Summary Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD UPDATE – Bulls Defend $4,000 Ahead of Powell’s SpeechGold continues to hold firm above the key $4,000 psychological level, even after a sharp correction from the all-time high near $4,059. The market’s focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which could set the tone for the next directional move. Despite the recent dip, the overall structure remains bullish, and the FiboMatrix setup still signals that buyers are not out of the game yet. Technical Structure (H1 – FiboMatrix View) Support Zone (BUY Setup): 4010 – 4012 → Retest of breakout trendline + Fibo 0.618 reaction zone. Strong intraday base where liquidity may reload for another bullish leg. Reaction Buy Zone: 402x → Potential confirmation area if price reacts positively. Resistance Zone (ATH): 4060 → Previous intraday top, acting as the first major barrier before retesting 408x. SELL Reaction Zone: 4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, potential scalp short zone with tight stop above 4090. 🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Strategy) ✅ BUY Setup: Entry: 4010 – 402x (wait for confirmation). TP1: 4060 TP2: 4084 SL: Below 3996 ⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp): Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms). Target: 4040 → 4020 SL: Above 4096 🔑 Francis Outlook Gold’s short-term correction looks more like a controlled retracement than a trend reversal. As long as the price holds above the $4,000 handle, the bullish bias stays intact. 👉 Expect potential consolidation before Powell’s remarks, followed by a sharp reaction depending on the tone of his speech. A clean breakout above 4060 – 4086 will open the path toward $4,100+ and new ATH targets. 🚀 Trend Bias: Bullish above 4010 – Buy the Dip, Sell only at Fibo extremes with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TRENDXAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TREND Hello trader 👋 Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising price channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, which is a crucial confirmation range to assess whether the uptrend will continue or start adjusting. In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD slightly increases and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing significant investor sentiment fluctuations. 🔎 Technical Analysis On the H1 frame, prices are still moving within a clearly ascending channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken. Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear. Important Resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel) Important Support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node) RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical correction. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🔴 Main SELL: Entry: 4078 – 4080 Stop Loss: 4085 Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008 👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with high liquidity area. 🔴 SELL on breaking 4005 confirmation: Entry: 4015 – 4017 Stop Loss: 4023 Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945 👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below the 4005 zone. 🟢 Short-term BUY: Entry: 4056 – 4058 Stop Loss: 4050 Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095 👉 Swing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel. 🟢 BUY SCALPING: Entry: 3982 – 3985 Stop Loss: 3978 Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation 👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears. 💡 Fundamental Perspective Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains a focal point. The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, rising 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold. Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter. ⚖️ Conclusion Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening At this stage, closely monitor price action at the 4043 – 4005 range to determine the next direction. Prioritise selling at resistance – buying at support, leveraging fluctuations within the price channel. Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news. 📈 Quick Summary: Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017 Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985 Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (new trend confirmation)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
$4070 Gold: New Record! Recent Dip Was a Bada Sell Trap?Hello, traders! Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Kya momentum hai! This rally, up 54% YTD, is fueled by two main engines, boss: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cuts (FOMC Minutes pakka it) and 2) Super-strong safe-haven demand due to global gadbadi (US Shutdown, conflict, etc.). Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed That sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) made many people panic-sell. But look closely: buyers overpowered them and broke $402x resistance. Technical Conclusion: That dip was clearly a Sell Trap and just a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority. Risk ko control karo. Risk Warning: If $4000 is cleanly broken with heavy volume, then long positions will be in trouble. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094 Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support) BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017 SL: $4013 TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038 BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990 SL: $3982 TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040 SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058 SL: $4062 TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086 SL: $4094 TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036 Will this momentum take us past $4100 this week? Chalo, dekhte hain! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView #PaisaBanega
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to shine past the ₹4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year. The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style) • Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point. • The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter. • Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation. • Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070 SL: 4077 TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in. • On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops. • Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation. ✅ Summary Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure. 🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions. Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact. Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by: 🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions, 💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle, 🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation, ⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand. Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support. 4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries. 3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area. 4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area. 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008 SL: 4002 TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982 SL: 3978 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ???? ✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092 SL: 4098 TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals. Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely. Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend. The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982, with upside targets toward 4060–4090, and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear. 💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The current momentum is turning downward. We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation. ➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave. H4: H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of: • A short-term bullish retracement, or • A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move. H1: H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure Overview: In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries. D1: • The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase. • When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains. ➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops. H4: • Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint. • We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5. H1: • The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan. • Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure. • The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top. ⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top. Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly. Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal. Trading Plan: Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039 Stop loss: 4048 Take profit: 3985
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilising temporarily. The current market structure indicates a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-following buys. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and a medium-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 zone → indicating that the upward momentum has not weakened. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Entry at the support zone of FVG (Fair Value Gap) in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Outlook Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to drive gold demand. US government temporary shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is an opportunity to “buy the dip”. ⚖️ Scenario & Strategy Main strategy: Focus only on buying with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout zone 4040 – 4060: If it breaks decisively, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong uptrend (Bullish continuation) Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news. In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session. 1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path. Potential scenarios: "Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge. "Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip. This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction. 2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch: Potential Buy Zones (Key Points): FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release. "Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper. "Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards. Upside Targets: Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas. Strategy Summary Main Trend: Bullish. Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned. Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend. Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top. WHAT'S YOUR VIEW? How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951? Share your views in the comments below! 👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching Hello everyone, Gold and US stocks are setting new records together, but don't forget — strong sell-offs often appear when everyone believes prices can only rise. Currently, gold maintains a sustainable uptrend structure, with each subsequent low higher than the previous one, confirming a clear trend on the H1–H4 timeframe. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 45m – XAUUSD) The price structure remains a clear Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that buyers are still in control of the market. Key liquidity zones are around: 🔹 4050–4060 (resistance – POC Volume Profile) 🔹 4020–4025 (temporary support zone – confluence of Fibo 0.618) 🔹 3980 (technical bottom, strong previous liquidity zone) The upward target according to Fibonacci Extension is currently in the 4090 zone, corresponding to the 2.618 extension level — likely to become a major profit-taking area for buyers. 🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios Short-term Sell (based on resistance reaction): 📍 4048–4050 🛑 SL: 4055 🎯 TP: 4030 – 4018 – 4005 – 3980 Buy scalping: 📍 4022–4024 🛑 SL: 4017 🎯 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4060 – 4080 Buy swing (trend-following): 📍 3980–3982 🛑 SL: 3975 🎯 TP: 3995 – 4010 – 4025 – 4040 – 4060 🧭 Fundamental & Market Sentiment View According to the FOMC minutes from 16–17/9, most Fed officials believe that continuing to cut interest rates this year is appropriate. This is the first time since 2020 that the Fed has officially reduced the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing the range down to 4.75% – 5.00%. → Cheap money + safe-haven sentiment continue to be the main drivers pushing gold higher. However, with gold and stocks both reaching peaks, the risk of technical corrections may occur when prices hit major liquidity zones. 📌 Conclusion Gold is still in a stable uptrend, with a short-term target towards 4090 USD/oz. However, watch the liquidity zones around 4050–4060 and 4000–4025 to optimize entry points, avoiding FOMO when prices are already in high zones. 👉 I will continue to update details for each trading session. Follow me to not miss the earliest gold scenarios!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The current momentum is turning downward. We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation. ➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave. H4: H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of: • A short-term bullish retracement, or • A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move. H1: H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure Overview: In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries. D1: • The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase. • When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains. ➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops. H4: • Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint. • We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5. H1: • The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan. • Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure. • The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top. ⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top. Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly. Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal. Trading Plan: Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039 Stop loss: 4048 Take profit: 3985
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
XAUUSD GOLD IS HEADING TOWARDS 7000$ Cycle started when gold is around 1450$ some years ago. 1st cycle - 1000$ to 2000$ 2nd cycle - 2000$ to 3000$ 3rd cycle - 3000$ to 4000$ 4th cycle - 4000$ to 7000$ 5th cycle - 7000$ to 12000$ Every impulse has corrective phase according to price theory. you will see minor & major correction , profit bookings between level's to level's. oppurtunity will arise always so don't be greedy. This analysis based on fundamental factor's. Technically it will correct after every impulses. This analysis based on daily timeframe and it is not suitable for day trader , intraday or scalper. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by martiantrader9
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis: The XAU/USD (Gold Spot) 1-hour chart shows a strong upward trend within a well-defined ascending channel. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum. Currently, gold is trading near $3,959, staying comfortably above the trendline support, which has repeatedly acted as a dynamic base for buyers. The projected movement (blue arrow) suggests a potential short-term retracement toward the lower channel boundary, followed by a rebound toward the upper resistance zone around $4,000–$4,035. As long as gold remains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal further upside potential, while a drop below the trendline may lead to short-term consolidation. Summary: Trend: Bullish Support: $3,915 – $3,925 (trendline zone) Resistance: $3,995 – $4,035 Bias: Buy on dips near trendline support for potential continuation toward new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
$4000: New Record! Correction Warning & FVG Strategy. Hello, traders! Gold has officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Kya baat hai! Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this big psychological level, the rally is still getting solid support from: Fundamentals & Market Conflict Main Drivers: The market is pakka (sure) about two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are a big deal), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) due to global gadbadi (instability) and inflation. Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA), a big institution boss, is warning that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a correction in Q4. Dhyan rakhna! Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction The price got rejected straight at $4000, causing a small pullback. However, the overall trend is super strong. The safest strategy is to wait patiently for a BUY at specific support zones. Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to ride the main trend's momentum. Avoid unnecessary SELL attempts; if you must, use tight SL. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064 Support: $4018, $3999, $3986 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips) BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992 SL: $3984 TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067 SL: $4075 TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017 Do you trust BoA's warning, or do you think the FOMC Minutes will push us past $4050? Tell me your plan! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS #GoldFever
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilizing temporarily. The current market structure shows a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-aligned buying. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and the mid-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 level → upward momentum shows no signs of weakening. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Enter at the FVG (Fair Value Gap) support area in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Insight Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to boost gold demand. Temporary U.S. government shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is a “buy the dip” opportunity. ⚖️ Scenarios & Strategy Main strategy: Only look to buy with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout area 4040 – 4060: If decisively broken, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong bullish continuation Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold 1H – Bulls Seek Re-Entry Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extends its advance above $4,030 as traders position ahead of this week’s FOMC minutes and key U.S. inflation expectations data. The metal remains supported by persistent geopolitical risk and renewed central-bank demand, while Treasury yields hover near monthly lows. However, sentiment is mixed after the IMF warned of slower global growth, keeping the dollar steady and prompting potential short-term corrections before continuation. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price structure shows a clean Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside following a higher-low formation. The market is currently reacting near premium liquidity at 4068–4066, where a rejection could trigger a retracement toward the discount buy zone at 3969–3971 before resuming the bullish leg. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3969–3971 (Discount Demand / FVG) – potential re-entry area for continuation buyers. 🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4066 (Premium Liquidity) – possible engineered sweep zone for short-term sellers. 🔑 Key Levels • BUY Zone: 3969–3971 (main support 3960) • SELL Zone: 4068–4066 (liquidity pool) • Psychological Resistance: 4070 • Intraday Pivot: 4035 💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3969–3971 SL: 3960 TP: 3980 – 3990 – 4005 – 4020 – 4035+ 🔴 SELL ZONE: 4068–4066 SL: 4075 TP: 4050 – 4035 – 4020 – 4000 ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Expect liquidity sweeps near 4068 before the U.S. session. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (ChoCH / BOS) before entry. Volatility may spike around the Fed minutes, so partial profits and tight stop management are advised. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish above 3960, with intraday retracements likely before continuation. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates buy reactions around 3970 and short-term rejections at 4068, aligning with the current SMC structure and macro catalysts ahead of FOMC updates. 🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for live setups, liquidity plays, and real-time gold structure updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD M30 – Bulls Defend $4,000, Eyes on 4,100+Gold’s historic surge above the $4,000 psychological barrier is now consolidating, with buyers defending the 3996$ support (Fibo 0.618 reaction). The structure remains bullish, while intraday traders are eyeing the next reaction zones for both continuation and scalp opportunities. 📊 Technical Levels to Watch (Fibo Matrix – M30) 3996$ Support Zone: Breakout retest + Fibo 0.618 → must-hold for bulls. 4018 – 4020: First intraday resistance, potential short-term reaction. 4043$: Expansion-based psychological barrier. 406x – 407x: Key SELL Reaction Zone (Fibo 1.5 – 1.618) → scalp rejection likely. 4095$+: Upper liquidity expansion, next major target if momentum extends. 🎯 Francis Trade Plan ✅ BUY Setup: Entry: 3996 – 4000 zone. Targets: 4018 → 4043 → 406x. SL: Below 3984. ⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp only): Entry: 406x – 407x reaction. Targets: 4020 → 4000. SL: Above 4096. 🔑 Francis View The breakout at $4,000 signals strength, and bulls still dominate. 👉 Dips into 3996 support remain attractive BUY opportunities. 👉 Short-term scalpers can prepare for reaction SELLs around 406x – 407x. 📌 Bias: Bullish above $3996 – 4,100 zone remains the next liquidity magnet.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERS Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust increases in recent history. Let's take a look at the key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇 🔻 SELL Scenario SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980 SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980 🟩 BUY Scenario BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 📈 Technical Analysis The medium-term upward price channel continues to be stable. Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong. The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 zone, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension. The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, once anticipated by many traders to reject gold prices, but now could become a strong demand zone. 🧭 Macroeconomic Perspective If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market may aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce. Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged: US public debt is increasing Central banks are diversifying foreign reserves The USD is weakening All of which support gold's medium-term upward trend. ⚡️Summary Gold remains in a solid upward structure, even as it approaches overbought territory. There might be strong corrections, but as long as the upward structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
4
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus. 🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30) Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel. Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action. Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone. 🔑 Key Trading Levels BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand. Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure. Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone. SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp. Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall. 📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style) ✅ BUY on Dips Entry: 395x – 393x Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$ Stop Loss: Below 392x ⚡ SELL Scalp Entry: 3988 – 4000$ Targets: 3970 → 3950$ Stop Loss: Above 4015$ 🎯 Final Take Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones. 🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo