FED HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?GOLD PLAN 21/05 – FOMC HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?
The recent surge in gold has paused just as traders digest the latest Federal Reserve signals. Despite rising geopolitical risks and weakening U.S. economic data, Fed officials continue to project a “higher-for-longer” rate stance, keeping the dollar afloat and adding pressure on gold’s rally.
📉 However, the technical structure tells another side of the story.
⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Bearish Trap or Hidden Bullish Opportunity?
On the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation after tapping into a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3328–3356 area. We now observe two key FVG zones above and below current price, highlighting high volatility and potential liquidity grabs.
🔍 A short-term bullish scenario is forming if gold retraces towards 3250–3252 support, where trendline confluence and dynamic support suggest strong demand.
Conversely, any strong rejection from 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could activate a bearish play back towards the lower structure levels.
💹 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3252–3250
Stop Loss: 3246
Take Profit Targets:
3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ???
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3277–3275
Stop Loss: 3272
Take Profit Targets:
3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔻 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3354–3356
Stop Loss: 3360
Take Profit Targets:
3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3328–3330
Stop Loss: 3334
Take Profit Targets:
3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
🌍 MACRO INSIGHT:
Fed’s hawkish tone is weighing on precious metals, but gold remains attractive under geopolitical uncertainty and de-dollarization trends.
China and other central banks continue their accumulation, suggesting long-term bullish pressure is intact.
Watch for U.S. data this week – especially PMI and jobless claims – which could provide short-term catalysts.
📌 Stay cautious and disciplined. Stick to your zones and manage risk tightly – volatility is increasing.
👉 If you found this useful, don’t forget to like, comment and follow for daily gold insights!
Xauusdanalysis
GOLD - RETEST OF TREND RESISTANCE BEFORE POTENTIAL DECLINESymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3246
Gold is staging a modest recovery amid ongoing market uncertainty. However, a significant resistance zone lies ahead, which could limit further upside and potentially initiate a reversal.
Since the session's open, prices have rebounded slightly following a week-long decline. The current upward momentum is constrained by mixed market signals: on one hand, pressure on the US dollar and Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating are providing support for gold. On the other hand, elevated bond yields and prospects of new US trade agreements are capping gains.
Market participants are closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve commentary and tracking developments in US trade negotiations with key global partners. In an environment marked by concerns over fiscal stability and weaker economic indicators, gold may maintain a positive bias. However, the emergence of favorable trade news could shift sentiment and lead to renewed downward pressure.
Key Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Key Support levels: 3204, 3153
A failed breakout above the identified resistance range would signal a lack of upward momentum. Should the price consolidate below the 3257 level following a false breakout of the 3257-3265 zone, it may trigger a reversal and drive the market toward key support levels.
GOLD MARKET UPDATE - BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!🔥 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – FED'S HAWKISH STANCE SHAKES INVESTORS | BE READY FOR BIG MOVES!
Gold experienced a sharp drop following the latest hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, as they reaffirmed that current monetary conditions remain stable and tight. This has caused confusion and panic among many investors, leading to a wave of sell-offs during the U.S. and early Asia sessions.
📉 On the higher timeframes, Gold appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern – a classic consolidation structure before a potential continuation move. Despite the strong bullish momentum seen during the Asian and European sessions yesterday, the key resistance near 325x held firm, preventing any major breakout.
For now, Gold seems to be trapped in a new sideways range, and unless price decisively breaks above 325x, we may continue to see choppy price action within this zone.
⚠️ However, if the current selling momentum persists and the price breaks down below the lower trendline support, the bearish flag setup could play out, with up to 80% probability, signaling a potential strong continuation of the downtrend.
Traders should stay extremely alert – a major price movement could happen at any moment!
🔑 Key Support Levels:
3205
3294
3280
3262
🔑 Key Resistance Levels:
3244
3262
3278
3286
💹 Scalping Setup – BUY:
Entry: 3294–3292
Stop Loss: 3288
Take Profit Targets:
3298 – 3302 – 3306 – 3310 – 3315 – 3320 – 3330
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3272–3270
Stop Loss: 3266
Take Profit Targets:
3276 – 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3330
🔻 Scalping Setup – SELL:
Entry: 3242–3244
Stop Loss: 3248
Take Profit Targets:
3238 – 3234 – 3230 – 3226 – 3220 – 3210
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3276–3278
Stop Loss: 3282
Take Profit Targets:
3272 – 3268 – 3264 – 3260 – 3250 – 3240
📌 Remember to always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital!
GOLD DAILY PLAN MAY 19: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH GOLD DAILY PLAN – MAY 20: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH RUN?
Gold opened the new trading week with a powerful GAP UP of over 20 USD, followed by an additional 50 USD rally during the Asia session. This explosive move is being fueled by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the tone for what could be a highly volatile and profitable week for gold traders.
🔥 Key Fundamental Drivers Behind This Gold Rally:
1️⃣ Putin rejects peace talks – Increased war risks reignite gold’s safe-haven appeal.
2️⃣ U.S. credit rating downgraded – Rising debt and bond yields are pushing investors back to gold.
3️⃣ Trump threatens new trade tariffs – Even a softer version of “Trade War 2.0” could shock global markets, making gold a top hedge.
➡️ With no clear resolutions in sight, gold may soon retest the all-time high of $3,500.
🧠 Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Are Confirming
EMA13 has crossed above EMA34 and EMA200 on the M30 chart — a classic reversal confirmation.
The main trendline was broken, and price is now retesting the breakout zone.
Momentum remains strong, and price structure is shifting bullish. Priority is now to BUY the dips rather than sell counter-trend.
📌 Key Price Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
3254 – 3277 – 3288
(If price breaks above 3287, we may quickly see a move toward 3350–3500.)
🔻 Support Zones:
3204 – 3193 – 3186 – 3174 – 3163
(Best areas to watch for confirmation to BUY.)
🎯 Suggested Trade Ideas:
BUY Zone: 3186 - 3184
Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
BUY Scalp: 3194 - 3192
Stop-loss: 3189
Take-Profit: 3200 - 3204 - 3210 - 3215 - 3220
SELL Zone: 3287 - 3289 Only scalp or take quick profits near resistance zones
Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
(Note: Avoid holding SELLs, only scalp on strong bearish signals.)
⚠️ Trading Notes:
Market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines. One comment from Trump or Putin could move gold 50–100 USD in minutes.
No need to chase price. Let it come to your zones — and only enter on clear confirmations.
📌 Summary:
✅ Structure has turned bullish across M30 and H4.
✅ Focus on buying dips, not shorting into strength.
✅ Medium-term target zones: 3350 → 3400 → 3500, depending on continued macro pressure.
📣 Follow AD for live trading plans, market sentiment, and smart entry zones every session!
Good luck & stay disciplined.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis for Next Week (May 18–23, 2025)
# The following technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) is based on current market conditions, recent price action, and insights, focusing on key levels, trends, and potential price movements for the upcoming week. This analysis integrates technical indicators, support/resistance levels, and market sentiment while critically examining the data for a balanced outlook.
# Current Market Overview
Price as of May 17, 2025 closed around $3,204
Recent Price Action: Gold has experienced a sharp decline from highs near $3,430–$3,500, dropping to a one-month low below $3,200. Unable to close below support level $3,163
A corrective bounce has occurred, with prices testing key support zones in 4 hour time frame.
# Market Sentiment: Mixed, with short-term bearish pressure due to fundamental factors (e.g., US-China tariff truce, Fed's hawkish stance) but potential bullish triggers from renewed dollar weakness or geopolitical shocks. Technical indicators show neutral to bearish signals, with some bullish setups emerging on lower timeframes. (4-Hour)
Key Support and Resistance Levels given in the chart for your reference
GOLD Pullback or Bull Trap? This Move for the WEEK⚡️Will the Recovery Hold or Just a Retest Before Another Drop?
🧠 Macro Backdrop:
Geopolitical tension: US-China trade headlines and Russia-Ukraine negotiations continue to stir uncertainty, but risk appetite is still cautious.
US CPI and PPI data this week came in weaker than expected → inflation remains soft, but no signal yet for immediate rate cuts from the Fed.
Gold has been under pressure for 2 weeks but may be stabilizing as DXY loses steam and equity markets show hesitation.
🔍 Technical Outlook (Chart: M30–H1):
Gold is forming a rising wedge within a broader corrective pattern. Yesterday’s rebound from the 3,163 zone has pushed price back above the 20 EMA (black) and is testing the 3,208–3,210 zone.
This area is key for today: breakout or rejection?
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance:
3,221 → Local structure neckline
3,235 → Previous supply + Fibo confluence
3,251 → Strong upper bound resistance
🔻 Support:
3,184 → Minor support (demand block)
3,173 → Swing low (key reaction zone)
3,163 → Final line of defense
📈 Trade Scenarios:
⚠️ Scenario A – Bullish Push Above 3,221:
If price breaks and holds above 3,221, we may see a bullish continuation to 3,235 and even 3,251.
Momentum confirmation: Price must stay above 3,210 on pullbacks.
🔹 Entry: 3,222 – 3,224
🔹 SL: 3,216
🔹 TP: 3,235 → 3,251
⚠️ Scenario B – False Break & Bearish Rejection:
If price fails to hold above 3,221 and reverses below 3,208 → potential short opportunity targeting lower liquidity zones.
🔻 Entry: 3,220 – 3,218 (after rejection)
🔻 SL: 3,228
🔻 TP: 3,184 → 3,173 → 3,163
⚠️ Scenario C – Range Play:
If price remains between 3,208 and 3,184, scalp inside the range and wait for breakout confirmation.
💬 Follow for real-time setups and live strategy updates during major market sessions.
GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 16: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 17: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?
Gold is closing out the week with unpredictable volatility, following two extreme sessions where prices dropped over 100 pips, only to rebound aggressively. Are recent news headlines just justifying the price action, or is this a well-orchestrated market trap?
🔍 Technical Breakdown (D1 & H4)
On the daily and 4-hour charts, we can clearly see a sharp breakdown, followed by an immediate rebound into the 325x area.
🎯 Key Level to Watch: 3254 – 3256
If price remains below 3256, sellers continue to dominate.
If 3256 is broken to the upside, we could see a quick move toward 327x–328x.
This zone acts as a decisive barrier between continuation and reversal.
🌐 Macro Perspective – Market Triggers
US inflation data continues to disappoint, weakening the USD and halting DXY recovery.
US-China tensions flare up again after short-lived optimism, especially around tariff talks and rare earth restrictions.
With mixed geopolitical cues, this market is prone to fakeouts and liquidity sweeps, especially ahead of the weekend.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
🔺 Resistance Zones: 3237 – 3251 – 3261 – 3276 – 3287
🔻 Support Zones: 3205 – 3188 – 3170 – 3143
🎯 Trading Plan
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3240
⚠️ Key Notes:
Friday sessions often bring major liquidity grabs and false breakouts.
Be disciplined with SL/TP management – especially in such volatile conditions.
Wait for candle confirmation before reacting — don’t trade emotionally.
GOLD - RESISTANCE RETEST BEFORE THE DROPSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase, retesting a significant resistance and liquidity zone within the broader context of a prevailing downtrend. The global trend appears to be approaching a critical juncture, potentially signaling a reversal.
Ahead of the forthcoming US inflation report, gold prices have stabilized following a 3% decline, trading steadily around the 3250 level. This consolidation is occurring against a backdrop of a weaker US dollar. Market participants are awaiting the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to provide clearer direction for both monetary policy expectations and asset flows.
Support for gold prices is being derived from a combination of factors, including optimism surrounding the US-China trade dialogue, signs of easing geopolitical tensions, and profit-taking on long dollar positions. However, the market remains cautious, closely evaluating the potential implications of inflation data on Federal Reserve policy and the demand for safe-haven assets.
Despite the current stabilization, skepticism persists regarding the sustainability of any upward momentum. Technical conditions suggest the possibility of a sharp reversal, with attention focused on key inflection points that could trigger renewed selling pressure.
Key Resistance Levels: 3269, 3284
Key Support Levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
Should the CPI report fail to deliver any major surprises, a false breakout within the 3260-3270 resistance zone followed by price consolidation could serve as a catalyst for a decline toward the 3200-3150 range.
SPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold LosingSPDR's Heavy Outflows Signal Institutional Exit – Is Gold Losing Momentum?
📉 SPDR Gold Trust Overview (Apr 24 – May 14, 2025):
🔻 Continuous Net Selling:
From April 30 to May 14, SPDR saw 10 consecutive sessions of net selling, unloading over 18.5 tons of gold.
📌 Key Selling Days:
May 2: -4.87 tons
May 6: -2.29 tons
May 14: -2.58 tons
👉 SPDR's gold holdings dropped from ~948.56 tons to ~936.51 tons — a decrease of over 12 tons in just 3 weeks, signaling that institutional capital is exiting gold ETFs. This reflects waning confidence in gold’s short-term upside.
🕯️ Technical Breakdown:
Gold's price has broken below the $3200 support zone on the D1 chart, invalidating the bullish defense zone.
The Double Top pattern is now around 80% completed, signaling a possible deeper drop unless a strong recovery occurs.
Momentum remains strongly bearish, making it difficult to time SELL entries unless lower timeframe resistance shows up.
🧭 Macro Pressures:
Optimism around US economic growth and expectations of prolonged high interest rates are weighing on gold.
The PPI report and Fed Chair's speech today could trigger further volatility, especially if the rhetoric remains hawkish.
CPI earlier this week painted a mixed picture, with sticky inflation — which is bearish for gold.
🧠 What Smart Money Is Doing:
Big funds are rotating out of gold and back into risk-on assets like equities and crypto.
This shift is not just a technical correction; it reflects a broader macro-driven sentiment change.
Gold is currently lacking institutional support.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today:
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3186 – 3188
SL: 3192
TP: 3182 → 3178 → 3174 → 3170 → 3166 → 3160 → 3150 → 3140
🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Probability Resistance):
Entry: 3226 – 3228
SL: 3232
TP: 3220 → 3216 → 3210 → 3206 → 3200 → 3196 → 3190 → ???
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3154
3174
3188
3206
3226
3254
⚠️ What to Watch Today:
US PPI and Fed speech could trigger extreme volatility in the NY session.
Wait for price to pull back toward resistance before SELLING — don’t chase.
BUY only if a confirmed D1 reversal or high-volume reaction occurs.
🔚 Final Thoughts:
With SPDR aggressively dumping gold and price breaking below critical support, institutional flows are no longer supporting the bull case. As long as price stays under $3200, SELL remains the primary strategy. A break below $3150 opens the path to $3000.
📣 Stay tuned — AD will update real-time strategies as we approach the US session. Follow, trade smart, and always respect your TP/SL. Good luck!
GOLD - BEARISH FLAG OR BULLISH TREND REVERSAL?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3238
Gold is emerging from a local corrective channel, commonly identified as a 'Flag' formation. Consolidation continues near the base of this potential reversal pattern, with market focus centered on the critical 3200 level.
Gold is experiencing downward pressure amid renewed trade optimism and strength in the US dollar. Prices are retreating early Wednesday as market participants engage in profit-taking following a recent rebound from weekly lows. Although US inflation data came in below expectations, it failed to support earlier assumptions of imminent monetary easing. The Federal Reserve’s continued reluctance to initiate rate cuts is exerting additional pressure on the precious metal. Moreover, growing optimism surrounding potential trade agreements between the United States, China, the United Kingdom, and other nations-along with renewed hope for diplomatic progress in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is dampening gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, the outlook remains bearish. The absence of a meaningful rebound from support suggests sustained selling pressure. A consolidation phase appears to be developing ahead of a potential test of the 3200 support level.
Key Resistance Levels: 3243, 3257, 3269
Key Support Levels: 3222, 3200
Should price action continue to consolidate within the current local range and repeatedly test support in the 3222-3200 zone, further downside may be anticipated in the short to medium term. However, in consideration of common market maker tactics, a brief short squeeze targeting local resistance zones cannot be ruled out prior to any subsequent decline.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold Price Faces Heavy Pressure – Key Levels and Strategy GOLD DAILY STRATEGY – 14 MAY 2025
Price fails to hold gains as sellers dominate early Asia – Eyes on 3206 zone!
🔍 Market Sentiment Update:
Gold started the day with a slight uptick, but the rally was quickly rejected, and price fell sharply — a clear signal that buying power remains extremely fragile. This kind of price behavior — slow climbs, rapid falls — is typical of a market losing confidence in its upside momentum.
At the same time, geopolitical tensions have eased and US-China tariff talks have shown signs of progress, further pressuring gold as safe-haven demand weakens. All major macro indicators are now aligning with the bearish narrative.
🟠 Conclusion? Gold is likely to stay within the current descending price channel, and any bullish pullbacks may be limited unless strong demand re-emerges.
📉 Technical Outlook:
Price is trading below key resistance and continues to reject upside attempts. The market is respecting short-term resistance zones and pushing deeper into support. Unless there’s a clear reversal signal, selling on rallies remains the optimal approach.
📌 Key Resistance Zones:
3244
3262
3278
3290
3308
3330
📌 Key Support Zones:
3216
3206
3194
3170
3158
🎯 Trade Setups:
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3257 – 3259
SL: 3263
TP: 3253 → 3250 → 3246 → 3242 → 3238 → 3235 → 3230 → 3220
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3262 → 3258 → 3254 → 3250 → 3240 → 3230
🔵 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3196 – 3194
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220
🔵 BUY ZONE (Long-Term Zone)
Entry: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190
⚠️ Final Notes:
Price action continues to respect the bearish channel.
BUY entries are risky at this point — every bounce is met with resistance.
Watch closely for price behavior near 3222–3206 for possible intraday reactions.
News events remain critical — any update from US-China talks or surprise Fed remarks could change the bias swiftly.
📌 As always — respect your zones. Stay reactive, not predictive. Trade safe, and let the market show its hand.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAU/USDBearish Trade Setup Supply Zone Rejection to Target $3050Trend Overview
📉 Downtrend in Play
Price has reversed from the peak near $3,354
Currently trading below the 70 EMA (📍$3,299.86)
Forming lower highs – indicating bearish momentum.
Key Zones & Levels
🔶 Supply Zone (Resistance)
📍 $3,290.72 – $3,353.41
Strong selling pressure expected here
Possible short entry if price gets rejected
🟦 Support Zone (Previous Support)
📍 Around $3,254 – $3,210
Price has previously bounced here
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit)
📍 $3,050
Clear support level – used as a profit target
Trade Setup – Bearish Bias
🟩 Entry Point
📉 Sell near $3,290.72 (inside supply zone)
🛑 Stop Loss
❌ Above $3,354.69 (above resistance line)
✅ Take Profit
💰 Target $3,050
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio
Approx. 1:3 – Favorable for short trades.
Summary
🔍 Watch for a rejection in the supply zone
💼 Setup is ideal for short sellers
📊 Downtrend is supported by structure and EMA
GOLD Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?GOLD UPDATE – Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?
📊 Market Analysis:
Yesterday’s sharp decline in gold prices indicates a temporary easing in geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict and political issues. It seems that the global environment has become slightly less tense recently, which could be a key factor in the correction we are seeing in gold.
From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend appears rational, but it is important to note that nothing is set in stone just yet. Further negotiations are expected, and these could lead to significant agreements. After the sharp drop, gold has managed to find some momentum for recovery, filling liquidity gaps and returning to areas of lower liquidity.
🔍 Current Outlook:
At the moment, I’m still expecting a possible rebound in gold, but the best opportunity might be to focus on sell positions for the time being. Yesterday’s plan, although bearish, enabled us to catch key levels for potential buy entries. Today, sell entries might be more favorable than buying.
The price is likely to continue adjusting as we await more macroeconomic news, especially regarding the US Federal Reserve’s actions. We’ve seen the Fed avoid Trump’s pressure, and there is speculation that interest rate cuts might be postponed until later in the year rather than mid-year as previously expected. If this is the case, gold could potentially revisit the $3000/oz mark in the near future.
🔮 Short-Term Strategy:
For now, we will continue trading according to the market’s correction wave. Sell positions might offer a better risk-to-reward ratio in this environment. We may still see some bounces, but they would likely be short-lived unless we see more positive macroeconomic data.
💡 Key Resistance Levels:
3264
3278
3307
3328
💡 Key Support Levels:
3241
3207
3196
3172
3156
🎯 Trade Setup:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3196 – 3164
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3328 – 3330
SL: 3334
TP: 3324 → 3320 → 3316 → 3312 → 3308 → 3300 → 3290 → 3280
📅 Key Event: CPI Announcement
Today, we are also expecting the CPI report, a critical piece of data for the month. Be aware that there’s not much to analyze yet regarding this report, but we will update everyone once the data comes out later today.
💼 Risk Management:
Given the volatility we’re seeing, proper risk management is essential. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your account and avoid unnecessary risks.
📈 Final Thoughts:
Gold is currently facing corrections, but with geopolitical tensions easing, it could lead to more stability and potential breakout opportunities. Keep your trades aligned with key levels and macro news. Keep an eye on CPI and adjust accordingly.
💬 Good luck to everyone! Keep your positions safe and be patient for the right opportunities.
GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?📉 GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN – RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?
Gold started the week with a sharp gap down, breaking below key levels after weekend developments signaled easing geopolitical tensions and positive progress in US-China trade talks. This calm has dampened safe-haven demand, triggering an aggressive selloff in early Asian hours.
🔍 Technical Outlook – M30 Parallel Channel
Gold is currently respecting a descending parallel channel on the M30 chart. Price is pushing lower and has yet to fill the weekend’s gap around the 3326–3328 zone. This remains a critical Key Level for any potential short-term recovery.
🗓️ This Week’s Macro Focus
Traders should brace for high volatility as the US economic calendar is packed with top-tier releases:
Tuesday: CPI (Consumer Price Index)
Thursday: PPI (Producer Price Index)
Thursday Night: Fed Chair Powell speaks
Meanwhile, ongoing tariff policy updates and geopolitical headlines will continue to stir price action unpredictably.
📌 Trading Bias
For now, the dominant trend is bearish. Unless we see a strong bullish reversal pattern or key breakout confirmation, the preference remains selling on rallies. Only if buyers reclaim control around the gap zone (3326–3328) should we look for long setups.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3288 – 3308 – 3328
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3262 – 3246 – 3236 – 3200
🎯 Trade Setups
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244
SL: 3240
TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3326 – 3328
SL: 3332
TP: 3322 → 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3306 – 3308
SL: 3312
TP: 3300 → 3296 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3270
⚠️ Final Thoughts
Gold remains highly reactive to macro news and liquidity traps, especially with so many risk events this week. Trade with caution, follow your TP/SL rules, and stay flexible with your strategy. The market may deliver unexpected volatility—manage your risk smartly.
🟡 Let price guide you — not emotions.
🚨 Stay disciplined. Stay profitable.
GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?📊 GOLD – BREAKOUT OR TRAP BEFORE THE WEEKEND?
The gold market is showing significant liquidity sweeps this Friday. In the early Asian session, price pushed down to the 327x region, collecting liquidity, before swiftly rebounding. On the M30 chart, multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have formed and been filled — signaling accumulation and potential setup for a major move.
📉 Technical Perspective:
Gold has been moving within a parallel descending channel since yesterday. However, during the late Asian session, we saw the first signs of a possible breakout. If the candle closes above 3,324, this could confirm a breakout — at which point an early BUY entry on the retest would be ideal.
🔥 Fundamental Notes:
The market remains highly sensitive to geopolitical news, especially tensions between nations and potential tariff announcements from Donald Trump regarding China.
In this climate, trading based on key level reactions is safer than predicting direction. The zones 3,324 and 3,366 will be crucial decision points for bulls and bears. A breakout above 3,366 could shift the short-term trend bullish.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
3,345
3,364
3,395
🔻 Key Support Levels:
3,280
3,270
3,256
3,244
3,225
📈 Trade Setup – Friday Strategy:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,280 – 3,278
Stop Loss: 3,274
Take Profits: 3,285 → 3,290 → 3,295 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,320
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,364 – 3,366
Stop Loss: 3,370
Take Profits: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330
✅ Final Note:
Fridays often bring sharp liquidity grabs. Stay cautious, especially with heightened geopolitical tension and pending policy statements from global leaders. Always respect your TP/SL zones to protect your capital.
📌 Let price lead. React to structure. Avoid chasing noise.
Wishing all traders a safe and profitable end of the week!
POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains?🟡 GOLD 08/05 – POST-FOMC MARKET OUTLOOK | Is Gold Poised for More Gains?
After last night’s FOMC meeting, the outcome came in line with expectations — the Fed held rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% and maintained a hawkish tone. Powell reinforced that there is no urgency to cut rates and that future policy will depend on incoming economic data.
Despite some dovish hopes from the market, the Fed remained cautious — no pivot, no surprises.
🔥 Geopolitical Tensions:
Meanwhile, geopolitical stress between India and Pakistan is escalating again around the Jammu-Kashmir region. This could continue to act as a bullish driver for gold, especially in Asia where safe-haven demand is more sensitive to border conflicts.
🧠 Market View: BUY Setup Still Dominates
Over the past few sessions, gold has shown strong accumulation followed by solid bullish momentum. As long as candle structure remains healthy, buying dips near 338x–336x remains the preferred strategy.
However, if an unexpected catalyst drives a breakdown below 336x with confirmation from candle close, this could invalidate the short-term bullish bias and open the door for a sell setup, targeting the large liquidity gap between 3354 to 3340.
Until then, trade the range — respect top and bottom of key intraday zones.
📉 TECHNICAL ZONES TO WATCH:
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3396
3408
3430
3455
🔻 Support Levels:
3384
3366
3354
3334
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3334
SL: 3330
TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3430 – 3432
SL: 3436
TP: 3426 → 3422 → 3418 → 3414 → 3410 → 3400
⚠️ Key Event Ahead:
Today’s US session brings the Unemployment Claims report — known to trigger high volatility in precious metals. Stay alert, and always wait for confirmation candles before executing trades near critical zones.
✅ Follow for real-time updates and mid-session trade setups.
💬 Drop your view in the comments below – are we going to break higher or revisit liquidity zones?
Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut FOMC Storm Incoming?Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut – FOMC Storm Incoming?
📅 May 7, 2025 | XAU/USD Intraday Outlook
Gold faced a sharp decline in early sessions today, dropping nearly 800 PIPS from 3,435 down to the 3,36x range. While the fall appeared aggressive, the macro backdrop may provide clues — especially ahead of tonight's high-stakes FOMC meeting.
🔍 What Triggered the Sell-off?
1️⃣ China Cuts Rates by 10bps Unexpectedly:
Just ahead of U.S.–China trade talks, China slashed its benchmark interest rate by 10bps. While the move supports Chinese markets, it also boosts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), creating headwinds for gold.
2️⃣ Investors Awaiting FOMC Clarity:
Traders are hesitant to buy gold near recent highs, especially with the Fed expected to signal rate direction tonight. There’s growing speculation that today's events are part of a broader setup for potential Fed easing.
3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions Not Helping Gold – Yet:
Despite renewed tensions between India and Pakistan, and a volatile global climate, gold hasn't responded bullishly — a sign that technicals and macro shifts are temporarily outweighing news-based fear.
📈 Technical Analysis – Dual Scenarios in Play
Gold is now moving in a wide, volatile range. Liquidity grabs at both ends are likely, and traders should adopt a flexible, confirmation-based approach rather than sticking to one directional bias.
🔺 Key Resistance Zones:
3,390
3,402
3,416
3,432
3,444
3,468
🔻 Key Support Zones:
3,365
3,356
3,332
3,314
🎯 Trade Plan – May 7, 2025 (Pre-FOMC Strategy)
🔵 BUY SCALP
• Entry: 3,355
• SL: 3,350
• TP: 3,360 → 3,364 → 3,368 → 3,372 → 3,376 → 3,380
🔵 BUY ZONE
• Entry: 3,332 – 3,330
• SL: 3,326
• TP: 3,336 → 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,348 → 3,352 → 3,358 → 3,365
📌 KEY BUY LEVEL to Watch:
→ 3,314 – 3,312
⚠️ This is a critical Fibonacci zone. If broken, trend structure may be compromised. Use wide SL (~6 PIPS) with open TP structure.
🔴 SELL SCALP
• Entry: 3,430 – 3,432
• SL: 3,436
• TP: 3,425 → 3,420 → 3,415 → 3,410 → 3,400
🔴 SELL ZONE
• Entry: 3,468 – 3,470
• SL: 3,474
• TP: 3,464 → 3,460 → 3,455 → 3,450 → 3,445 → 3,440 → 3,430
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
Today’s FOMC statement will likely dominate market direction for the rest of the week. Volatility is expected to increase sharply. With both macro and geopolitical catalysts in play, risk management is non-negotiable.
🔐 Stick to key zones. Avoid trading the news blindly. Wait for price action confirmation — and remember: capital protection beats every setup.
📌 Follow this post to get real-time updates after FOMC and new breakout zones for Thursday.
GOLD IN PLAY - RISKY ROADS AHEAD BUT GOLD KEEPS SURGINGSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3468
Gold continues to show strength, testing resistance within the established range, with bullish momentum persisting. The price has moved above the flat consolidation line and entered the buying zone, further progress now depends on the actions of the bulls.
The metal is advancing for a second consecutive session, supported by a weakening of US dollar, heightened demand for safe-haven assets, and intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Market sentiment remains fragile due to trade-related uncertainties and regional instability across Asia, as investors look ahead to forthcoming Federal Reserve decisions and remarks from Powell.
Gold is currently breaking out of its previous neutral range. Immediate attention is on the 3369 level and nearby resistance at 3381. The macroeconomic environment remains favorable for gold. If bullish positions are maintained above these key thresholds, upward continuation remains likely.
Resistance Levels: 3369, 3381, 3408
Support Levels: 3352, 3330
A potential retest of the local liquidity zone around 3352, possibly triggering a long squeeze, cannot be ruled out prior to a resumed upward move. For now, the focus remains on the 3369–3370 area, which currently serves as a critical support zone.
Gold Surges Amid War Tensions Is This the Start of a New Bull 🟡 Gold Surges Amid War Tensions – Is This the Start of a New Bull Run?
📈 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook – May 6, 2025
Gold made a strong comeback this morning, jumping over 600 PIPS as investor demand surged in response to escalating geopolitical risks and massive physical demand in Asia — particularly from China and Japan. The current breakout momentum suggests a high probability of new ATHs if macro and political tensions continue.
🔥 Why is Gold Rising Again?
1️⃣ Geopolitical Flashpoint:
19+ Ukrainian UAVs struck Moscow overnight.
The attack came just ahead of Russia's Victory Day (May 9) — a symbolic blow that rattled global markets.
2️⃣ China Ramping Up Gold Imports:
Reports show China has been quietly stockpiling gold at aggressive levels.
Institutional and retail demand has returned strongly to the Asian bullion market.
3️⃣ Fear and FOMO in the Market:
Asian investors are driving early-session buying frenzies.
Technical retracements are being ignored as price accelerates without respecting classic resistance zones.
📊 Technical Outlook – H4 + D1 Focus
Gold has successfully defended the 3312 zone and surged past resistance zones with ease. Current MA13/MA34/MA89 crossovers on higher timeframes confirm a trend reversal and sustained bullish momentum.
🔑 Key Technical Zones to Watch:
🔻 Support Levels:
3355
3335
3313
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3380
3405
3443
3470
🎯 Trade Plan for May 6 – BUY Bias Dominant
🚫 Avoid SELL positions unless confirmed exhaustion appears — momentum is extremely bullish and politically driven.
🔵 BUY ZONE #1:
Entry: 3314 – 3312
SL: 3308
TP: 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → ???
🔵 BUY ZONE #2:
Entry: 3335 – 3332
SL: 3329
TP: 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE (High Risk):
Entry: 3343 – 3345
SL: 3359
TP: 3339 → 3335 → 3330 → 3326 → 3320
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold is currently in hyper bullish mode. Key level 3313 is now confirmed as a volume-based support (VPOC + FIBO 0.5) and will likely be the base for the next wave. As global headlines point to uncertainty, investors are shifting capital back into gold, supported by physical buying from China.
💬 Patience and proper entry are key. Avoid early sell traps. Focus on the Asia-led FOMO rallies and align your strategy with safe-haven flows.