The spread between the 10-year US and German government bond yields has dropped below a macro bullish trendline, characterizing the widening since 2008.
In other words, the market says the era of US rates being higher than German rates is passe! And therefore, holding EUR shorts is risky.
EURUSD retreats inside a six-week-old bullish channel as the holiday season allows buyers to take a breather. The pullback move, however, stays unimportant beyond the 1.0590-80 support zone comprising the 100-SMA and an upward-sloping trend line stretched from December 01. Even so, the stated channel’s support line, close to 1.0500 by the press time, will...
USDJPY fades bounce off the 200-DMA as it failed to cross the previous support line from late May. However, nearly oversold RSI challenges the sellers and hence a short-term consolidation between the 200-DMA and the support-turned-resistance line, respectively around 135.00 and 138.00, can’t be ruled out. Even if the quote rises past the 138.00 round figure, the...
Hello dear traders.
Gold has given mixed signals. In my opinion it is still under bearish pressure but with lack of strong downtrend momentum right now.
10Y and 30Y yields and DXY are green, so this has already pushed prices down fomr the multiple times checked 1670 level. 1670 was great for 50 pips sell.
On the other hand there is the 4H ascending trendline...
Gold braces for the second weekly loss but the bears appear hesitant around the yearly low. On the top of that, a bullish triangle formation and nearly oversold RSI suggest that the metal may witness a bounce. Hence, a convergence of the monthly horizontal resistance and the three-week-old descending trend line, forming part of the bullish triangle, around $1,643,...
USDJPY prints a three-week run-up as it pierces the previous multi-day top to print the highest levels since 1998. Considering the RSI (14) uptrend, not overbought, as well as the bullish MACD signals, the quote is likely to approach the 140.00 threshold. It should be noted that the RSI could turn overbought at that level, given the minor space available, which in...
USDJPY renews its six-week low while extending the downside break of a five-month-old ascending trend line, as well as the 50-DMA. However, the pair’s further declines appear less convincing as the nearly oversold RSI and proximity to the horizontal support zone from late April, around 131.50-25 challenge the bears. Even if the quote drops below 131.25, a...
USDJPY begins the week on a positive note by rising for six consecutive days to refresh the multi-year high. The yen pair, however, has limited upside room before hitting the key hurdles. The nearness to resistance joins almost oversold RSI to also challenge the buyers. That said, the upper line of the three-week-old bullish channel, near 137.35, appears the...
USDJPY sustains upside break of a weekly resistance line, now support around 134.85, as bulls brace for the fresh multi-year high, currently around 136.70. In doing so, the yen pair could aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of May 24 to June 16 moves, near 137.20. However, a convergence of the 78.6% FE and the upper line of the monthly bullish channel, near...
EURUSD dribbles around a monthly low after breaking the six-week-old horizontal support. That said, the downward sloping RSI (14) line, not oversold, joins bearish MACD signals to also hint at the major currency pair’s further downside. With this, the sellers brace for the yearly low surrounding 1.0350. However, the RSI line and nearness to the Fed may restrict...
AUDUSD extends pullback from the 0.7430-40 horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since October 2021. Given the recently steady RSI and the volatile MACD signals, not to forget Ukraine-led risk aversion and downbeat comments from RBA Governor Lowe, the upside momentum is likely to fade again. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.7440 hurdle, the late...
USDJPY cheers the greenback’s robust strength ahead of the Fed’s widely anticipated rate-hike to refresh five-year high. In doing so, the yen pair defied an upward sloping trend channel from late November, backed by the bullish MACD signals. However, overbought RSI and double tops around 118.65 could challenge the quote’s further upside. In a case where the pair...
A clear downside break of 50-SMA, as well as November’s peak, near 115.50 challenges the USDJPY pair’s recent rebound. However, 100-SMA and an upward sloping support line from December 03, respectively around 114.80 and 114.40, will restrict the yen pair’s additional losses, backed by nearly oversold RSI conditions. Should bears conquer the stated trend line...
Although oversold RSI conditions placate gold bears around $1,790, a sustained trading below the $1,800 threshold joins expected further recovery in the US dollar to challenge the upside momentum. However, the quote’s further declines will have to break a descending trend line from mid-January, at $1,772 now, to revisit the November 2020 low near $1,765. On a...
