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BTCUSD: Holding Wave X or Slipping Lower?24 Nov 2025 27 Nov 2025 1 Dec 2025 17 Dec 2025 Bitcoin is still trading inside a falling channel, and the overall structure remains corrective. The recent bounce from lower levels lacks momentum and is overlapping, which signals consolidation rather than a trend reversal. Price continues to respect channel resistance, keeping the broader bias weak. Wave X is acting as an important support zone around 83,822 , and as long as price holds above this level, further consolidation remains possible. This area is currently absorbing selling pressure and preventing immediate continuation to the downside. However, a decisive breakdown below Wave X would signal that the correction is not complete. In that scenario, downside momentum is likely to expand, opening the path toward the 79,650 - 75,655 zone. Stay Tuned @Money_Dictators RD :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Money_Dictators
2
Btc swing trading layout Price was respecting an ascending trendline (higher lows). That trendline has now broken → structure shift from bullish to bearish. After the break, price is trying to move back up = pullback / retest phase. Retest / Supply zone: 87,800 – 88,800 This is the broken trendline + previous support turned resistance. Current price: ~86,700 (below the trendline → bearish bias intact) Major support: 84,800 – 84,000 Liquidity / HTF support: 80,600 – 80,500 (your marked low)
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDShort
by techtrader_ravi
Zoom Out: Bitcoin’s 14-Year Structural Expansion Explained!Hey Everyone, let's analyse long term structural view on Bitcoin as it is once again sitting inside the same structural expansion channel it has respected for more than 14 years. Zooming out removes the noise, what looks random on lower timeframes reveals a very consistent long-term pattern. Most traders focus on headlines. Long-term moves are built on structure. Bitcoin has never moved randomly on higher timeframes. Every major cycle since 2011 has expanded inside a rising macro channel driven by demand, time, and liquidity. Each cycle looks different on the surface, but the internal structure remains the same, higher lows forming on macro support, followed by exponential expansion phases. Current price is still respecting the long-term rising structure, with buyers consistently stepping in near the lower boundary of the channel. The upper zone shown is not a prediction. It represents the historical expansion boundary where previous cycles matured and volatility peaked. As long as the macro structure remains intact, the probability continues to favor structural continuation rather than random collapse. Key takeaway: Markets don’t repeat perfectly, but they rhyme . And Bitcoin has been speaking the same structural language for over a decade. Conclusion: This is not about catching tops or bottoms. It’s about understanding where you are in the cycle , and acting accordingly. If this structural perspective helped you, like, comment, and follow for more long term market studies. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects a long term structural view. It is not financial advice. Always manage risk and do your own research before making trading or investment decisions.
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
3
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis December 19 Hello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Shortly, at 10:30 AM and 12:00 PM, the Nasdaq indicators will be released. At the bottom left, the purple finger indicates the strategy, which follows yesterday's final long position entry point of $84,682. *If the red finger follows the path, it is a one-way long position strategy. 1. Touch the first point of the purple finger at the top, or even if it doesn't, the red finger indicates the long position entry point at $86,935.2. Stop-loss price if the green support line is broken. 2. $90,815 is the first target for the long position -> Target price is up to Miracle over the weekend. If the strategy is successful, the top point can be used as a long position re-entry point. The first point at the top is today's maximum resistance level. If it touches this point after 9:00 AM tomorrow, it can ignore the resistance line and continue to rise. Conversely, if it touches the bottom immediately, a sharp correction could occur, so focus on the 86.9K long position entry point. Today, it's best to avoid breaking below the light blue support line (bottom) to safely move upward. Below that, the weekend's lowest support line (2nd) -> double bottom (84082.2 dollars) remains. If it reaches the double bottom, unless a very strong rebound occurs, an additional downtrend could occur next week, so be careful. (The gray uptrend line is marked in section 2.) **It's been a while since I've made this fully public. My daily analysis, which I diligently write, is divided into key support and resistance levels, and can be utilized in real-time from entry to liquidation. So, I think it's no different. Thank you for your support, and I'll make more full public releases in the future.** Please use my analysis to this extent for reference only. I hope you'll operate safely, with a strict trading strategy and stop-loss orders. Thank you for your hard work this week.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
4
Bank of Japan Policy Decision: Global Market Impact AnalysisBank of Japan Interest Rate Decision (December 19) Introduction : Why Japan’s Interest Rate Policy Matters Japan’s monetary policy plays a critical role in the global financial system. For decades, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained ultra-loose conditions, turning the Japanese yen into the world’s primary funding currency. Global investors borrow cheaply in JPY and deploy capital into higher-yielding assets such as equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies. Because of this structure, even a small shift in BoJ policy can trigger large cross-market reactions. The BoJ’s interest rate decision on December 19 is therefore a high-impact macro event with potential consequences for forex, global equities, bonds, gold, and crypto markets. Scenario 1: If the Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rates A rate hike would represent a historic policy shift and signal the early stages of monetary normalization. Impact on Forex (USD/JPY & JPY Pairs) * The Japanese yen (JPY) is likely to strengthen due to improved yield appeal * USD/JPY may face strong bearish pressure * Carry trades funded in JPY could unwind rapidly, increasing volatility JPY crosses such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, and AUD/JPY may also decline as risk exposure is reduced. Impact on Global Equity Markets * Japanese equities: Mixed to bearish bias due to a stronger yen hurting exporters * Asian markets: Short-term weakness as financial conditions tighten * US & European equities: Increased volatility and pressure on growth stocks Overall, a rate hike may trigger a short-term global risk-off reaction driven by liquidity repricing rather than economic deterioration. Impact on Crypto Markets (Bitcoin & Altcoins) * Bitcoin: Short-term bearish pressure and higher volatility * Altcoins: Likely underperformance due to higher risk sensitivity * Macro-driven selling could create longer-term accumulation zones once volatility settles Impact on Bonds, Gold & Risk Sentiment * Bonds: Japanese and global yields may rise * Gold: Short-term pressure from higher yields, medium-term support if risk aversion increases * Risk sentiment: Shift toward defensive positioning and reduced leverage Scenario 2: If the Bank of Japan Does NOT Raise Interest Rates If rates remain unchanged, markets may view the decision as continued policy caution. Expected Market Reactions * JPY: Continued weakness * USD/JPY: Bullish continuation * Global equities & crypto: Supported by ongoing liquidity * Risk sentiment: Risk-on behaviour likely to persist Short-Term vs Medium-Term Outlook Short-Term * Rate hike: Sharp volatility, risk-off moves * No hike: Relief rally in risk assets Medium-Term * Gradual tightening allows controlled market adjustment * Continued loose policy supports assets but increases structural risks over time Markets typically shift from news reaction to trend confirmation within weeks. Educational Entry–Exit Examples (Not Financial Advice) USD/JPY (Rate Hike): * Bias: Bearish * Concept: Breakdown → pullback → continuation * Invalidation: Above recent swing high Bitcoin (No Hike): * Bias: Bullish * Concept: Pullback after impulse * Risk Note: Reduced size during news volatility US Indices: * Rate hike: Sell rallies near resistance * No hike: Buy dips in confirmed trend Conclusion: Key Takeaways for Traders The Bank of Japan’s December 19 interest rate decision is a major global liquidity event. A rate hike would favour the yen while pressuring risk assets, whereas a no-change policy would support equities, cryptocurrencies, and carry trades. Traders should prioritise volatility management, confirmation from price action, and cross-market correlations over predictions and forecasts. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Money_Dictators
How Emotions Destroy Profitable TradersHow Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders 🧠 How Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders | Trading Psychology Explained Most traders don’t fail because of strategy. They fail because they can’t control emotions. Even a profitable system becomes useless when emotions take control of decision-making. Let’s break it down 👇 😨 Fear: The Profit Killer Fear appears after losses or during volatility. What fear causes: Closing trades too early Missing high-probability setups Moving stop losses emotionally 📉 Result: Small wins, big regrets. Fear stops traders from letting probabilities play out. 😤 Greed: The Account Destroyer Greed appears after wins. What greed causes: Overleveraging Ignoring risk management Holding trades too long 📈 Traders want “more” and end up losing everything. Greed turns discipline into gambling. 😡 Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account After a loss, many traders try to win it back quickly. Revenge trading leads to: Random entries No confirmations Breaking trading rules 🔥 One emotional trade often leads to many bad trades. 🤯 Overconfidence After Wins Winning streaks create false confidence. Overconfidence causes: Larger position sizes Ignoring market context Believing losses “won’t happen” Markets punish ego — always. 😴 Impatience: Silent Consistency Killer Good trades require waiting. Impatience leads to: Forcing setups Trading low-quality zones Entering without confirmation ⏳ The market rewards patience, not speed. 🧘‍♂️ How Profitable Traders Control Emotions Professional traders don’t eliminate emotions — they manage them. Key habits: Fixed risk per trade Pre-planned entries & exits Accepting losses as part of business Waiting for confirmation Trading less, not more 🧠 Discipline > Emotion 📊 Process > Outcome 📌 Final Thought If emotions control your trades, the market will control your money. Master your psychology, and your strategy will finally work. Trade the plan. Respect risk. Stay patient.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
BTCUSD (Bitcoin) ViewBTCUSD (Bitcoin) has filled its gap down and is now consolidating in a sideways range between 92,972 and 88,564. A breakout from this range will likely determine the next directional move. 📉 Current Market Structure Gap Down Filled: Bitcoin opened with a gap down today, but price action has since retraced to fill that gap, a common behavior in CME futures trading. Sideways Range: BTCUSD is now consolidating between 92,972 (resistance) and 88,564 (support). This range-bound behavior reflects indecision in the market, often preceding a breakout move. Volume & Momentum: Sideways movement typically shows declining volume and momentum, which aligns with the current structure seen on daily charts. 📊 Strategy Considerations Breakout Traders: Watch for a strong candle close above 92,972 or below 88,564 with volume confirmation. Range Traders: Until breakout, consider fading moves near the edges of the range with tight stops.
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by Chartology-AI
BTC Bullish or Bearish 1 Hour Scenario: Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle (yellow trendlines). BTC is sitting near $89,300, just above the lower ascending support. EMA 100 (~$90,500) is acting as resistance. Volume is dropping, indicating a potential breakdown soon. 1 Day scenario: BTC is struggling at the intersection of the downtrend resistance and ascending support. The bearish structure remains unless BTC closes above $92,400. RSI likely neutral; momentum slowing. EMA 100 (~$101,700) remains the major cap for bulls. 1 month Scenario: Holding above $86,000 → bullish reversal potential in Q1 2026. If it breaks below $82,000, expect deeper correction to $75,000–$72,000. Disclaimer: The analysis and price prediction provided above are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or legal advice. They are general market commentary and should not be treated as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency or financial instrument.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by nikhilvishwakarma322
1
Weekly Analysis of BTC with Buy/Sell scenarios...We analyzed three weeks back that BTC would be in range for some time before taking any further move, And BTC is following same analysis and trapped within a small range since then. BTC prediction of last week also worked perfectly well and market kept in consolidation mode itself. BTC is still in consolidation zone and may spend some more days. It may develop ABC pattern or reversal at identified daily FVG level, if price has to change its delivery and take turn from here. This zone is kind of make or break. If price is not able to sustain and breakdown, then it may witness ~65-70K levels as well. We hope for reversal from this level as price is developing the pattern at higher time frame. 1. Price has taken liquidity or 82K and almost touched 80K. 2. It has inversed 1Day FVG and now price is consolidating in the range between EMAs. 3. We may expect price retracement till 1D iFVG and then reversal. 4. Before to that we may see sweep of 92900 (1D CISD) level and then a retracement short trade till 1D FVG 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (5m/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signaling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P
by HareeyMarketMantraah
BITCOIN INTRADAY ANALYSISOverview: Bitcoin is consolidating after a sharp rebound from the lower trendline support near 84.5k, indicating short-term stabilization. Price is struggling to sustain above the 88.5k–89k zone, where prior supply and the moving average converge. The structure still reflects lower highs, keeping upside capped unless 90k–92k is reclaimed decisively. Failure to hold current levels could invite another pullback toward the rising base support. Biasness: Recent BoJ interest rates rise by 25 bps will impact carry trade mechanism globally, crucially impacting investments in riskier assets. Moreover, market is expecting 2 more rate cuts in 2026, , which will negatively impact Bitcoin Key Levels: R1: 90000 R2: 92000 S1: 88000 S2: 85500 Data Release: Investors awaited key PCE Price Index. A rise in the US inflation reading will strengthen dollar and negatively impact the overall riskier markets including bitcoin. Technical Analysis If price faced rejection near the mid-Bollinger band and RSI is also holding below neutral levels, then bitvoin will indicate bearish strength. Alternative Scenario: If prices rise above immediate resistance (R1 = 90000), then higher resistance level (92000) could be achieved by the crypto While writing the report, the pair is trending at 89000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by tanmay_agrawal
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis December 23Hello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart. Indicators will be released shortly at 10:30 AM and 12:00 PM. I've made rough predictions about the likely movements. Whether the red finger or Gap 6 retraces before and after the purple finger touches seems important. I've applied this directly to Bitcoin. Here's a 30-minute Bitcoin chart. Tomorrow is Christmas Eve, and the day after is Christmas Day, so I've covered two days of analysis up to the 25th. I'll briefly summarize the key points and then move on. *When the red finger moves, One-way long position strategy 1. Confirm the purple finger touches once at the top (autonomous short) Long position entry point at $87,328.6 at the bottom / Stop loss if the green support line is broken 2. If the strategy is successful, utilize the intermediate wave with the pink finger First target for a long position: $89,398 -> Target prices in order from the top to the top. If the pink resistance line is not broken from the current position, it will trigger a vertical decline. The key question today is whether the Nasdaq will retraceive Gap 6. Also, if the price touches the first section and rebounds without breaking above the purple support line, it's most advantageous for a long position. I've set my stop-loss level slightly loosely to the green support line. If it holds until this point, it will become a safe sideways market. (Check the MACD dead cross on the 6-hour chart.) After breaking the green support line, the candlestick pattern can fall to the second section at the bottom. The price is open to a maximum of 84.5K until the 25th. If this section breaks, it will represent a double bottom. Holding the light blue support line at the bottom of the second section will create the conditions for continued upward movement this month. Please use my analysis to this point as a reference only. I hope you operate safely, adhering to principled trading and a stop-loss level. Will there be a Christmas Santa beam? Have a good year-end and see you on Friday. thank you
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
"BTCUSD WARNING THIS IS NOT A DIP… A MAJOR DROP IS COMING”⚠️ BTC MARKET WARNING – HIGH RISK ZONE AHEAD 🚨 This is not a normal analysis. This is a clear market warning. CRYPTO:BTCUSD is showing strong bearish signals on the higher timeframe, and ignoring these signs could be extremely costly. The chart clearly suggests that the market is preparing for a deeper correction, not a small pullback. 🔴 PRICE ACTION – DISTRIBUTION CONFIRMED Bitcoin has faced strong rejection near the top, visible through long upper wicks and consecutive bearish candles. After making higher highs, the market has lost structure, and price is now forming lower highs and lower lows. ➡️ This behavior typically signals a trend reversal, not a temporary dip. 🔴 KEY SUPPORTS HAVE TURNED INTO RESISTANCE Multiple important levels have already been broken: Previous support zones are now acting as strong resistance Price is failing to reclaim the 86,000 area, which is a major red flag This clearly indicates that buyers are losing strength, while sellers are in control. 🔴 RSI CONFIRMS BEARISH CONTINUATION Weekly RSI has dropped below the 45–44 zone This area historically signals bearish continuation Repeated bearish signals on RSI confirm weak market momentum ⚠️ When RSI breaks and holds below this level on higher timeframes, corrections often last weeks or even months. 🔴 DOWNSIDE TARGETS – THIS IS NOT A SMALL DROP If the current structure continues, the following downside levels are likely: 🎯 Target 1: ~83,200 🎯 Target 2: ~79,200 🎯 Target 3: ~70,000 (High-probability zone) This represents a potential 18–20% downside, which is completely normal on a weekly chart after a strong rally. 🔴 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY – THE BIGGEST TRAP What is happening right now: Traders are aggressively buying the dip Overconfidence after a long bullish run Emotional decisions without confirmation 📉 This phase is where most retail traders lose money. 🧠 CLEAR WARNING MESSAGE The market is no longer here to reward emotions — it is here to test discipline. Long positions carry high risk No stop-loss equals account damage Blind dip-buying is a retail trap 🛑 WHAT SHOULD TRADERS DO NOW? ✔️ Protect capital ✔️ Wait for higher-timeframe confirmation ✔️ Avoid emotional trading ✔️ Only experienced traders should consider short-term setups with strict risk management ⚠️ FINAL WARNING Those who respect the warning will survive. Those who ignore it will remember this phase.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Alpha_strike_trader
Part 2 Intraday Master ClassRisk-Defined Spread Strategies Bull Call Spread This involves buying a call at a lower strike and selling another call at a higher strike. Market View: Moderately bullish Risk: Limited Reward: Limited This strategy reduces cost compared to buying a naked call. Bear Put Spread A bear put spread involves buying a higher-strike put and selling a lower-strike put. Market View: Moderately bearish Risk: Limited Reward: Limited It is efficient when a controlled downside move is expected.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
BTC/USD 1 Day Time Frame Live intraday BTC/USD price (1‑day timeframe): ~$90,368 USD (with a high near ~$92,705 and low near ~$89,560 today) — updated in real‑time. Real‑time exchange aggregator sites also show similar live ranges: • BTC ranges roughly $89,500 – $92,700 (24h low/high) on major exchanges. • Live price data from CoinMarketCap & CoinGecko shows ~$90,100 – $92,300 in recent pricing. 📊 Daily (1D) Key Levels — BTC/USD Support Levels (bullish buffers where price may bounce): S1: ~$90,200 – $90,300 — near current trading zone and pivot support. S2: ~$87,600 – $88,000 — secondary support zone from recent range structure. S3: ~$85,500 – $86,000 — stronger support if sellers push deeper. Resistance Levels (sell pressure zones / breakout targets): R1: ~$94,800 – $95,000 — first upside resistance from pivot targets. R2: ~$97,000 – $97,500 — medium‑term resistance from recent range highs. Psychological / higher area: ~$100,000 round number. Traders watch this as a big breakout level if BTC climbs above R2. (Observed market behavior) 📈 Daily Price Range (Current 24h) Approximate intraday price band: Low: ~$89,500 High: ~$92,700 This defines today’s 1‑day candle range — useful for intraday support/resistance decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Knowledgehub