ES1! Short : Strong Breakout !After a strong trend reversal, the price has broken through a major support zone, providing an excellent opportunity to short ES1! Investors, best of luck.
ES1! trade ideas
Robbie's prep #1still learning, but by using the fib and applying what i learned about the market gravitating back to its last low i feel like it will drop in the short term. ?
ES mini in Short LevelsAll Levels mentioned on Chart
your part is to manage risks wisely
as you are responsible for your understandings
E mini Spooz Extended targetsJust updating to my previous Es extentions.
These levels are for educational purpose only this is not FA
These levels are fibonacci price extentions with levels all the way to $12,000
ES S&P Futures Levels and IdeaTodays daily candle was teetering between +/-
We ended closing - but its a very weak close from bear
my plan today was if we close - like this i would long targeting new weekly highs
if we close weak + (weak bull) i would have looked to short the close.
based off probabilties bears seem like they are losing steam and markets seem to be
favoring longs. There fore im positioned long atm if we start closing hourly candles
below 4550-60 ill be reconsidering this plan. Above you can find my levels with my scenarios
if we can maintain staying above 50-60 i could see us getting to much much higher levels.
if we start failing i could see us going to bottom/ bottom quarter of the range.
Goal for now is getting and sustaining above daily open which is aprx 4586 if we can close above yesterdays highs 86 will become demand for future we close below it will be supply
NFA Educational Purposes Only
Sunday Prep 10/10 - $ES/$SPY Pullbacks are Still OpportunitiesIt’s very important to always identify which timeframes we are extended on and which ones we are not. I do this by asking if we are extended from the 20sma or are we right on it? If we are far away from the 20sma, to me that signals that we are extended on that timeframe. It's pretty obvious on the monthly timeframe we are extended. Yes, there is substantial downside if we were to lose the weekly timeframe’s trend.
But a quick glance at the weekly chart and it becomes apparent that we are NOT extended on this timeframe. In fact, this pullback we’ve seen over the last few weeks has really just been a pullback INTO the weekly 20sma. So I’m interested if we can start to hold in these areas, start to set a base, and possibly see some narrowing of the range as we get ready to make our next move, either back towards highs or another leg down.
Now switching to the daily chart, you can see the nuances of what's happening under the hood. Obviously pops into 20d & 50d are acting as resistance. Until we break above those levels, we may still find a lot of overhead supply on the other names as the market is pushing into these levels. We already kind of rejected the 50d. I’d like to see a pullback and see buyers step in before we test last week’s lows. That 4300 area would be a great area to see pullbacks start to find buyers and see if we can put in some higher lows. But if we come down and test the annual pivot and last week’s lows, I would still expect those levels to act as support.
So pullbacks are still opportunities for me to look to get long on strong names. If we push back above certain levels and then if we start to pullback and base, then I will start to look for even more bullish setups. If for whatever reason we extend straight up without really having any major pullback, maybe into 4470 (monthly pivot & recent congestion on the daily chart). Then I will look for shorting names that are extended and those which are pushing into levels of resistance. Right above that you have a quarterly pivot at 4490 and the 4500 psychological levels.
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $ES/$SPY Here's How I'll be Trading this WeekBULLISH TO NEUTRAL: Broader Market Analysis starts with the ES. Last week we talked about the first red flag of many. The break of previous month lows. (Aug lows were broken in Sept). Now with Sept lows being broken in Oct already. I still don’t think there’s anything to panic about.. At least not yet. Why? Because we’re just pulling back into the Weekly 20 SMA.
I try to understand what timeframe we’re extended away from the 20 SMA. Oddly enough you’ll find support show up at this SMA. We’re not extended on the weekly anymore. The ugly setup on the daily would get me concerned IF we were extended from the 20 SMA on the weekly chart.. But we’re not.
I would like to see Oct be a narrow candle. Then in Nov stuff and come back under. I would like to see a lower low on a higher timeframe. That would be the red flag I look for.
The other thing that could happen is we just go sideways for a while. If this happens then the big move up will begin getting digested. Then I’ll formulate some long setups. Also, if we start to see some long setups gear up from here and we start making ATHs.
The way I’ll be playing this market this week:
If we gap up on Monday, I’ve got quite a few names on short watch.
If we gap DOWN on Monday then I’m hands off until we see some support show up somewhere around last week’s low.
I want to see Friday’s lows hold. If they don’t, it’s not the end of the world. I have some a support around 4200.
Sunday Prep 9/26 - $SPY/$ES We Finally Did It!So we finally did it! For the first time in over a year, we broke the lows of the previous month. Always keep in mind that that alone is not enough to cause concern. Remember, it isn’t the pullback itself that matters. It’s what happens afterwards. I’m fully focused on the weekly chart. The first challenge for this coming week is to see if we can break back above last week’s highs. If we are able to do that, can we get back to ATHs? Or do we begin to roll back over and have the possibility for putting in a lower high on the weekly chart? If attempts at retaking highs start to fail, then we may have some cause for concern. But let’s at least give the author(price) time to tell us before we start to get all bearish. Bulls would want to see pullbacks towards the 4400 area hold as support. I do still like that 4364 area as well. As far as levels of resistance, the 20d/monthly pivot will be the first area I’d expect the bears to heavily defend. Above that is the quarterly pivot at 4512.25 which is also the area where the recent correction began from.
ES1 IdeaES1 looks like could form a rising wedge to then fake out above, hit the OB and FIB Channel GP to then come back down. Early days need to monitor still.
Sunday Prep 9/19 - $SPY/$ES Don't Think It's Time to PANIC Last week we saw quite a bit of heaviness to the market. Last Sunday Prep called for pops back into the underside of the 20d to be treated as possible areas of resistance where we could look to get short. As you can see we breached this trendline that we’ve been holding since last year. I still don’t think it’s time to panic as there are still plenty of levels below us that I think offer really strong support. The first level is that 4364 level that was the base from late July thru August. Just below that is the previous month’s pivot as well as the August low at 4347.
Remember, we haven’t broken the previous month’s lows for over a year now. If we were to lose August’s lows, that would be a definite red flag for me and I would begin to monitor pops back into levels to see if sellers really start taking control.
The weekly chart really becomes important to me in times like this. From this point forward, I am watching the pushes up to see if we can get above last week’s highs but fail to ever make new ATHs. IF that were to happen, then we may be putting in a lower high on the weekly chart and at that point, the break of the recent lows would validate that lower high and I would start to move most of my long term stuff into cash. The weekly 20sma would be the first real level of support if that scenario were to play out.
As far as levels of resistance, I would still watch all pops back into the underside of the 20d as well as the 4500 level. I personally would love to see a retest of the quarterly pivot at 4512.25 since that lines up real nice with our major breakdown area. A test of that level that stuffs would give you the lower high on the weekly chart that we were just discussing.
But keep in mind that after this large pullback last week, the early part of this week may be a relief bounce and there are plenty of charts that have pulled back to support. So there are still long opportunities in the market, especially if we are going to push off last week’s lows.
Sunday Prep 9/12 - $SPY/$ES We finally are getting that pullbackWell we finally are getting that pullback. The 50 is just below. Would love to see us test that area and then look to see what price action is suggesting. Till then I will treat all pops back to the underside of the 20d as a possible area of resistance. If we lose the 50d, we have the monthly/quarterly pivots right below there right around 4400.
Sunday Prep 9/5 - $SPY/$ES Sideways action - Not surprising!!Last week was a pretty narrow range for what we’ve been seeing. Doesn’t necessarily mean anything. We’ve seen a decent move up so some digestion isn’t a surprise. Will be using under last week’s lows as the first area to think we see a bigger flush lower. The area I’m interested in seeing tested is the 20d as it lines up almost perfectly with the monthly pivot now. Below that the 50d also lines up beautifully with the next monthly pivot as well as the quarterly pivot. 4600 is the first real area above that I am interested in as possible resistance. The monthly timeframe chart continues to give caution, but not going to let it deter me from getting long on legit setups.
Sunday Prep 8/29 - $SPY/$ES And the Ascend ContinuesAnd the ascent continues. The grind up has really just become mechanical at this point. Dips are very controlled and cause no real reason for longs to panic and if there are any macro shorts left then they are all just being slow-cooked to death at this point. The more this continues, the more I begin to feel like the only way this ends is in some sort of parabolic speed up. Until then, I think it’s business as usual. Support below is the 20d followed by the quarterly pivot at 4400 and after that you have the 50d. Above there isn’t much resistance other than the monthly up at 4543.75. If and when we eventually do speed up, there’s no need to pick a top. Those blow off moves always have very distinct characteristics that make it so there is no reason to step in front of them until the author TELLS you it’s time
Sunday Prep 8/22 - $ES/$SPY Got the big flush down to the 50d/monthly pivot which held almost to the T. Will be watching for pullbacks to those levels as key support this week. Below that and there’s not much in the way of support till the monthly pivot/annual pivot area around 4270s. We have ATHs as the first area of resistance and after that maybe we finally test that 4500 area.
Super Cloud Momentum SetupStrategy consist of
RSI (21) Overbought 60 Oversold 40
Super trend (7,3)
Ichimoku Cloud - Only Kumo i.e Senkou Span A & Senkou Span B ( default )
Bullish Signal
When RSI closes above 60 and price closes above ichimoku cloud and super trend
Buy above the bullish candle and trail the trade with super trend
Bearish Signal
When RSI closes below 40 and price closes below ichimoku cloud and super trend
Buy below the bearish candle and trail the trade with super trend
3 10 Momentum trading with Heikin Ashi Idea consist of EMA 13 offset by 1
Linda 3 10 oscillator
3 10 Trend Signal
Enter Long once Linda 3 10 oscillator signal line (Red Line) crosses above zero from below
Wait for trend signal to turn green
Wait till 2 consecutive heikin ashi bullish candles closes above 13 EMA offset 1
Enter above high of second bullish heikin ashi candle
Trail your sl with13 EMA offset 1
exit as 2 consecutive bearish heikin ashi candles closes below 13 EMA offset 1
VICE VERSA for bearish trades
The SPX Crash Mapped (You agree?)No analysis... You've been warned.
Unless you see news of more trillions being printed, expect the SPX index to crash strong in the coming weeks/months.
Likely course of action
1. Test of ~3950
2. Small bounce and then test of ~3600
3. Strong drop, long lower wick to test low ~3ks.
4. Slow drawn out recovery...
What's your take?
Namaste.
Crash Ahead !!!Upper part of an Gramophone Pattern
E 3823
sl 3865
T trail
if the prices start to move down it could crash 50%.
Reason to go Shorts:
Upper part of the big picture Gramophone Pattern
Prices are into Weekly Supply zone
May Form the Head and Shoulder Pattern.
For more information and Idea Contact us and follow us .
ES [Future S&P 500] AnalyseLe scénario en flèche bleu suit son cours ... achat sur le niveau actuel des prix.
Bon trade !
