US10Y trade ideas
US10Y & SP500 | CRISIS ANALYSIS - BANKING SYSTEM MELTDOWN*From oct 2018 to dec 2019 there is very strong divergence of -42% between falling US10Y and rising S&P 500.(On every falling US10Y there is average of 60% correlation with S&P500).
*Corona virus Activated the convergence process and covered almost +70% to set the overall correlation at +34%.
*There is remaining 30-40% convergence left to align US10Y and S&P500.(Expecting alignment on lower trend channel).
US Inversion of Yield CurveThe yield curve has been recently uninverted, maybe due to Fed's short-term buying program.
Long The Fed is high likely Going to increase the Interest rate and bond yields i am expecting to rise , it might consolidate for day or tow but this move is coming , No one can stop it
us10y1) RSI weekly at 40
2) triple bottom and resistance at channel trendline
3) Fed meet ahead
Are we looking for trend reversal?
US 10 Y30 year interest rate channel broke out. Are we staring at bigger equity crash like 1987 or 1930?
Tough times ahead for Stock Markets?This chart looks at US 10 Year Bond Yield over last 30 years.
The yield was in a downtrend and in a falling channel for 30 years until now where it broke out above the channel. This may signal a near term top on Equity markets.
Purely educational not to be taken as advice
US 10 year yield - Can spike furtherUS 10 year yield at 2.80%. (Price falling)
Weekly chart
Cup pattern breakout seen at 2.67%.
3% plus possible.
Not a good sign for global equity markets.
