viswaram

viswaram

Banknifty on the other hand gave a trend reversal signal in just a day. For nifty we had atleast 3 days in succession. I took some short positions yesterday intraday and was all geared up to further attack by shorting more CALLS today. The opening minutes looked encouraging, so did the period from 10.35 to 11.15 but 2 things went against it. The options data...

viswaram

Today’s gap up opening and the race towards 19825 took out my stop loss. From last Friday we were short on Nifty, this stop loss hit proves to me that the bears are short lived in our market. Nifty50 went up 147pts ~ 0.75% from the prev. close enough to take out the 19800 levels where I had placed the protective stop. The main reason for the rally was the boost...

viswaram

Banknifty’s movement today has given a slight hope for the bears to sharpen their claws. Primarily it breached the 45850-45830 levels thrice today in the 5mts candle. I did mention in the report yesterday that I wish to go short if the 45830 levels are taken out. The reversal of 308pts from 13.40 to 14.55 would have tested the bear’s conviction level, but the...

viswaram

Nifty had a decent recovery between 13.35 to 14.55 where it gained back 89pts ~ 0.46% after it fell 96pts ~ 0.49% from the open. The moves were exactly similar to the financial service index - because it was caused by the FinNifty components. This casts the doubt that it could be an expiry related move rather than a natural pullback. For better clarity we would...

viswaram

Finnifty has actually moved up 209pts ~ 1.03% between the last expiry and today. What this means is the recent reversal in Nifty is yet to reach the financial service index. Moreover the finance sector esp. Banks were looking strong throughout the last week. FinNifty had a decent expiry today, closing almost flat +0.13%, well it is quite hard to believe when it...

viswaram

I had a long call on banknifty and a short call on nifty50. All of us know very well that the probability of that happening is quite rare. Well we go as per what the chart says, banknifty showed strength on the last working day even when nifty was falling. Today also banknifty was staying strong until the 286pt fall from 11.30 to 11.55 - just after this price move...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis I was quite happy to see the last 45 to 60mts of trade happening in the direction of the trend. For days unknown we used to have dip buyers who come in at 14.30 to 15.00 and then change the dynamics all together. If you notice we had a good downtrending pattern developing on the 5mts TF. Ever since we broke down from 21st July, bears were able to...

viswaram

Banknifty on the other hand was staying strong today, although it opened gap down, it closed down the distance in the opening 5mts itself. After hitting a new ATH of 46369.5, it started falling gradually. Banks were not at all looking weak today. Infosys fell due to poor guidance & Reliance fell after the demerger activity. Financial sector along with pharma...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis If you had read yesterday’s report, I am sure you would have anticipated the gap down today & the profit taking that followed. Today’s price action may not be a structural change or the start of the next bear rally (at least too early to comment). What I feel is, we have out run the fundamentals & need to give some time for it to catch up so that...

viswaram

Banknifty also outperformed this week, between the last expiry & today it is up 1443pts ~ 3.23%. Unlike Nifty50 my positional call on Banknifty did not go wrong, that was mainly because we negated a bearish trend line this week. Usually when the trendlines are broken the breakout momentum is so strong that it could take the index to an overbought level...

viswaram

Nifty is up an impressive 526pts ~ 2.71% between the last expiry & today. This is by far the most impressive breakout by Nifty. From the last known resistance level of 18880, nifty is up 6.07% ~ 1142pts in a span of 3 weeks. Guess what? My analysis went deeply wrong this monday when I exited the long position, I had a neutral call for this week and was expecting...

viswaram

Banknifty on the other hand had a perfect range bound trade today, the option prices also reflected this & there was absolutely no spike in premiums. Yesterday we had an action packed price action, whereas it was calm and quiet today. So we have an inside day today meaning the big-boys have taken a day of rest. Most likely we could see a continuation of price...

viswaram

Nifty Analysis Today turned out to be a non-eventful day for me. Looking at the premiums yesterday, I came prepared to hunt for similar option prices. Unluckily the premiums did not have that wildly swings like yesterday. In the process I ended up not taking what was available 😢 We opened gap up today and then had an up move till 09.55, from there it fell 110...

viswaram

Banknifty saw some profit booking today & it seems healthy. Thats right after we broke the all time high by 09.25. Interestingly finnifty also hit the day’s high at the same timeline but it could not take out the previous ATH. There was a fall of 557pts ~ 1.22% between 11.15 to 12.20 but even this did not take banknifty much below the prev. close of 45449.75. It...

viswaram

Nifty50 had a surprising comeback today, we opened gap up and then there was a strong rally till 11.05 where we set a new all time high of 19819.45. From 11.05 to 12.05 we had a decent fall of 129pts ~ 0.65%. Surprisingly the falling stopped right there and we bounced back quite strong. NiftyIT took part in the rally post 13.30 which helped Nifty stay green....

viswaram

We had a gap up open and the high was formed the first swing i.e. 20476.25 by 09.25, from there the momentum was lost & we started falling. There was a 1.19% fall between 11.15 to 12.20, then a brief recovery and then the selling continued. The options premium was elevated today, usually we do not have high premiums for Finnifty expiry. Most noticeably even the...

viswaram

The real move on banknifty came after HDFCBK declared its results i.e after 12.45. Till then it was happy to trade in a flattish manner. The opening 4 x 5mts candle was interesting, but the downside was also limited as there was no real selling pressure. Once the HDFCBK results were out, banknifty started surging. Even other banks also joined the party. We went...

viswaram

Remember how we closed on Friday? — up 110pts in 30mts. I seriously thought we would be seeing some profit booking today. So I carefully watched the opening price levels and exited my long position by 11.10. All the trading indicators, technicals were saying more bullishness for nifty50. Even the options flow indicated the same. At 11.10 Nifty was looking bullish...