viswaram

viswaram

Today happened to be a boring day mostly because NSE:BANKNIFTY stuck to a specific narrow range all day. Usually we have one or two swings which will spike up the options premium, Yesterday i did mention the possibility that we could expect a fall today if the 2nd half of yesterday's session was resultant of a build-up as part of Finnifty expiry. Since the fall...

viswaram

Today was a different day for me personally, i almost lost focus at around 10.30am & i posted the same in banknifty minds. "$BANKNIFTY i have no clue on the direction - options data/flow is confusing today" I normally use options flow/data to guess the direction of NSE:BANKNIFTY rather than the direct candle stick or chart pattern. Options data usually does not...

viswaram

I really cant say that the volatility is that high, if we follow the slope of the moving average - India VIX is still staying low. Not quite a representation of the things happening in global markets. Today i saw VIX trading near 17% higher than last close - but that did not really translate into lot of fear on NSE:NIFTY & NSE:BANKNIFTY . People who look at...

viswaram

The trades till 14.20 was kind of predictable, but the last 1 hour was really special. NSE:BANKNIFTY got wings ! The open was gap up at 39442 and then we started dropping gradually. At around 10.00 i posted "$BANKNIFTY PE premiums are unusually high ! either traders expecting huge downside today or maybe its good time for PE credit spread" in the bank nifty...

viswaram

--- NSE:BANKNIFTY showed some strength today, mostly signs of a pause after a breakdown over the last sessions. We opened at 39061 pretty much inline with yesterday's close and quickly started falling to the support zone of 38690. The price action was perfectly aligned with how we traded yesterday, see the highlighted section in cyan color. The reversal...

viswaram

Nifty bank has not fallen enough, we have not even scratched the surface yet. The pace at which global banks are going insolvent - the real fear has not hit India yet ! Traders, investors & public are just cool here, look at the India VIX - we are still at 16.29% compared with US VIX of 27.2% ~ it means we are trading with 67% lower volatility. Now - the reason...

viswaram

If you just saw the open & close price of NSE:BANKNIFTY , you would have missed the real drama of the day. A perfect day for the straddlers - but i am 100% confident none of the traders would have held onto their position till close to realize the full profits. Must admit there was no trend like yesterday, but there was spike in volatility in between - we will...

viswaram

Bears would have been happy today seeing the supports getting broken, i am quite sure the level of shorts in CE options taken to capitalize on the fall we had today. 46500 CE was traded for 1,45,47,750 volume ~ 1.45 crore. This is the farthest away strike in the weekly series. I would say its a brand new record ! Eventhough we had a -2.27% ~ 920pts drop day, the...

viswaram

Promising price action today if you are bearish. The double top M pattern on the hourly time frame did its job quite nicely today. (Thank god it worked) But seriously what happened today is no reflection to the handout from US markets. SP:SPX was down 1.85% over night & our NSE:NIFTY is only 1% down. Agree NSE:BANKNIFTY was down 1.87%, but remember SP:SPF ...

viswaram

Interesting moves by NSE:BANKNIFTY today, the closing statement from my yesterday's report said. "I personally would like to wait for the range to be broken decisively before changing my bearish bias." Got lucky with the analysis yesterday as NSE:BANKNIFTY was consistently proving me wrong in this calendar month so far. But i am sure you were not expecting a...

viswaram

Simply unexplainable moves by NSE:BANKNIFTY from 13.50 today. From the traders fraternity i saw few group of traders planning for long trades - they got immensely rewarded. For some reason i was keeping by bearish bias & hence ended the day quite unsatisfactorily. Overnight we had a dip in SP:SPX -1.53%, TVC:DJI -1.72%, NDQ -1.22% - seriously i thought...

viswaram

Once again the perfect day for the straddlers, open & close almost at the same level ! But for every other trader, it was a tough day to plan. Gap up opening & hitting the resistance by 09.45. The 30mts of move would have changed everyone bias to the long side. That was 1% ~ 429pts upmove considering the gap up also. The surge in the ATM & near OTMs were so huge...

viswaram

Well the day did not go as planned for me, if you have read my yesterday's report you might be cursing me by now. I was pretty bearish, atleast that was what the 1hr chart told me. So when NSE:BANKNIFTY opened gap up at 40671 i thought the first resistance at 40698 will hold. After a while i thought 40868 resistance might hold - and here is where i got the...

viswaram

Today's expiry was totally different, something i havent seen for many weeks. Mainly the premiums were dead low coupled with directional move that came very late in the day. Traders who got into straddles & exited by the noon would have made handful today, but people like me who depend on volatility as entry criteria would have been disappointed. Today's opening...

viswaram

Yesterday we discussed a possibility of finding a trend on wednesday, read yesterdays report as the related item Although i was not sure about the direction yesterday, it turned out on the bullish side. Deep down i really wanted to see NSE:BANKNIFTY break down & fall to the support levels of 39742 - mainly because the option premiums were very low due to the...

viswaram

Today was relatively flattish trading day except may be the period 13.50 to 14.10 when we had a minor scare ! There are 2 major news, one acting on the bull side & the other bearish for NSE:BANKNIFTY tomorrow ! HDFC & NSE:HDFCBANK merger news 2. India's GDP rises to 4.4% vs 4.6% estimates India's GDP Growth Slows To 4.4% In Q3; Pegged At 7% For Full Year So...

viswaram

Surprising price action by NSE:BANKNIFTY today, especially the last 40mts when the bounce from the support took it to the HOD. The preopen rates today was not indicating any hint of green, still NSE:BANKNIFTY hit the resistance in the 4th candle after the gap down open. The first candle it fell to the support level of 39742 & the bounce was good enough! 39742...

viswaram

Bank nifty price action is getting exciting day by day, @TradingView has opened up this feature called as Minds (with the call out icon) - its like a running commentary we can do while the trades are taking place. Let me explain few pointers posted in the TV minds & why it made sense then. NSE:BANKNIFTY opened gap up at 40259, the first 3 candles looked quite...