AmanSaraf

ASALCBR is a good Medium Term Bet

Long
NSE:ASALCBR   ASSO ALCOHOLS & BREW LTD
ASALCBR
Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd


Chart Structure:
- After listing in Feb'20, the stock is in an upward trend since Mar'20
- Stock right now is consolidating after making an All-Time High.
- During the consolidation, the stock has taken support multiple times near previous resistance and Avg . Buy price of last Huge Accumulation.

Volatility Contraction:
- In Day TF, price is forming a triangle pattern .
- Stock's Volatility is contracting. As before it was pushed down 20% after making ATH .
- Stock rose up again from the support area , and this time it was pushed only 11% down, hence creating a Triangle Pattern .

Relative Strength:
- Stock is outperforming its sector & Nifty50 in 3m , 6m & 1y TF. It is underperforming in lower tf due to stock being in consolidation.
- Stock has turned RS+ again on 8th Oct and is keeping above Laxman Rekha.
- Spread chart of the stock has formed a triangle pattern and is near a breakout.

Volume Activity:
- Stock saw huge Volume Activity from 4th to 12th October 2021.
- In that period 14.76 lac shares were delivered with an average of 1.84 lac shares/day with an average buying price of 548/-
- Previous average deliveries were 37k shares/day.

Financial Performance:
- Stock beat its QoQ & YoY Quarterly numbers in Q2.
- Sales Growth +50% QoQ & +21% YoY
- PBT Growth +36% QoQ & +6% YoY
- EPS Growth +41% QoQ & 8% YoY

Fundamental Notes:
- The company plans to expand its capacity from 45 MLPA to 90 MLPA. The project is expected to be completed by June-2022. That means the Co. will see the double output in 7-8 months.
- Company Distil, Blend, Bottle & Market are some of the key brands of United Spirits such as Bagpiper, Blue Riband, Flavored Mischief, Director's special gold & McDowell's Rum.
- The contract of this franchise has been extended up to April 2025.
- Some other brands which are produced under contract manufacturing are Black Dog, Vat 69, Black&White, McDowells, Royal Challenge, Signature, etc.