ArcherDAVIS

BANKNIFTY DOWN TREND ANALYSIS

Short
NSE:BANKNIFTY   NIFTY BANK
Since Friday, the market has been trending downwards. Today, we seemed to have taken a pause and made an inside candle on the daily chart .
Some key points from today's trade were, Bank Nifty closed below the key support of 35,000.
There was large PUT open interest @ 35,000 which seemed to reduce drastically towards the end of the day.
The market retraced upwards but was unable to re-test the 50% retracement level @ 35,550, keeping the downtrend intact.

Considering that the market breaks the swing low @ 34,450 and moves lower, there is a very high probability that we could move considerably lower towards 32,800. This is presenting an excellent risk reward situation to take trades on the short side.
If the market opens with a gap up, the down move may not come tomorrow as there will strong support @ 35,000 which maybe difficult to break. Hence, the best case situation for short trades will be that the market either opens flat and continues moving lower, or it gaps down below 34,400 and moves lower without a near by support in sight.

These are my personal views and I reserve the right to be wrong. Like and follow, if you found this helpful. :)