Bitcoin Bullish vs Bearish Long-Term | $5,065 - $5,400 Bottom

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains bullish on the monthly timeframe.

We are not used to seeing a "long-term" bearish Bitcoin.
We are not used to seeing Bitcoin consolidate/go lower for months.

There was only one occasion where Bitcoin went negative for six months straight. That was between August 2018 and January 2019... What followed was the BTC 2019 bull-run which produced over 340% in growth.

Right now we see Bitcoin consolidating. 3 Bearish/red consecutive monthly candlestick closed, yet Bitcoin remains trading above EMA10.

Above EMA10 = Bullish
Below EMA10 = Bearish

So Bitcoin can easily move higher long-term if it can remain above this level.

If EMA10 breaks with good strength and volume, now sitting at $7843. We can expect Bitcoin to test the $5065 level or EMA50.

I am looking at two scenarios mainly and they go as follow:

  • 1) Bitcoin remains above EMA10. Here we follow the green arrow. In this scenario, EMA10 holds as support and Bitcoin does a slow and steady long-term climb towards new All-Time High.

  • 2) Bitcoin breaks below EMA10. Here we follow the red arrow if support is broken. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) breaks and closes below EMA10, it is very likely to test EMA50 at $5065-$5400. If this scenario becomes true this is the lowest we believe Bitcoin can go. In this case, we follow the red+purple arrows.


We believe that EMA50 ($5000 - $5400) will be tested before a new all-time high is produced.

Share your thoughts in the comments section below.

Thanks a lot for reading.


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