DXY 4H Golden Cross gives a Lower Low since March 2019

Aug 6, 2021

Three days ago an important pattern that may have been overlooked was formed on the U.S. Dollar Index, the Death Cross. This is a simple illustration of the Death Cross formations (when the MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses below the MA200 (orange trend-line)) on the 4H time-frame.

As you see, since the failed March 2019 Death Cross (scroll to the left to see the rest of the chart), every 4H Death Cross has delivered a Lower Low after its formation. This is quite a sizeable sample, 9 formations in more than 2 years. In my opinion that makes DXY bearish (despite today's Nonfarm Payrolls report) on a 3-4 day horizon at least.




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