Hoag
Short

EURINR Elliottwave: Looking for break of monthly trendline

FX_IDC:EURINR   EURO / INDIAN RUPEE
Talking Points:

Technical Strategy: Bearish
Elliottwave Count: Either wave (C) continuation or B wave of (B).

HTG Note:

Larger outlook on weekly chart is showing weakness on long and short term. EURO vs Indian Rupee price is testing weekly trend line . Last time this line was tested on September, 2015 and post that we seen nice pullback towards 77.80 levels. We in HTG consider that was correction and marking as a wave (B). From 77.80, we were seen bear continuation and currently price is testing same weekly trenline. Break of this weekly trendline will be very bearish outlook for Euro . On alternate, if price is start trading higher, we are expecting to see price can go and above 82 levels before it's turn bearish again.

Lower time frame, we are seen reaction near trend line support, however current price is trading in just correction and testing horizontal resistance on 70.15. We are expecting this zigzag correction should be over. To confirm, bear trend is back in force, we need to have channel breakout here @ 70 area. Post this breakout, we are able to mark correction over and can trade for lower target below 68

Action
We initiated short position @ 1.77 with limited stoploss
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