15th Dec ’23 - 273pts massive upmove, Nifty50 hits new ATH 21492

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “Nifty has shown it is stronger than thought by bouncing off the channel’s upper boundary. For tomorrow, my stance is revised to bullish. Since we are at ATH, I do not have an upper target, but my support level will be 21037.”

4mts chart link - click here
Results continue to amaze and amuse me. Never have I been rewarded so beautifully for the technical analysis. I strongly do not think it's because my analysis is getting better, but Nifty50 is becoming more predictable.
Even if you bought this morning right at the gap up of 21298, you would have made another 158-point gain. Nifty’s new ATH is 21492.3. Normally Gap-ups are either held or sold into, and when it rallies after the gap - it shows a fundamental shift in sentiment. Frankly, I am curious to know - who is buying at these levels, or is it just FOMO?
I played the Sensex expiry trades today, the PUT option I sold went up another 84% despite the strike moving up. Usually Puts appreciate when the market falls, but in my case, the spike came when the market was surging. I guess it had to do with the liquidity & new credit spreads getting written. Anyway, it was a treat to watch.

63mts chart link - click here
Nifty has formed a new island at a gap-up showing breakout momentum. My stance continues to be bullish with the first support level revised to 21341. All we can do now is trail the stop loss and let the winners run. I stopped trading today at 15.00 when Nifty crossed 20400, would you believe we even went up another 92pts before settling at 21456. The reason I pulled out early was because of the unreal speculation & euphoria. The PUT options were looking pretty seducing to short, but I decided to pass. Good to go into a 2 day holiday due to the weekend and reclaim some sanity. Talk to you guys on Monday.


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