12 Mar ’24 — 10:43 candle gives me cold shivers!

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “If Nifty50 has to change its character, the price has to fall below 22295 and then below 22051 wherein the higher low will get violated.”

4mts chart
I was stunned by the Nifty50 and BankNifty price moves today. We started the day in line and then the 09.31 GREEN candle surprised me, a quick surge that took Nifty50 up by 134 points ~ 0.6% by 10.15. What followed was even scarier: a fall of 194 points ~ 0.87% by 10.43. A single candle moved 131 points ~ 0.59%. When was the last time you remember seeing Nifty move that much in a single 4-minute candle? We briefly violated the support of 22295 but got back in a quick time. From there on Nifty50 had no more aggressive swings and managed to close flat today.
On the higher time frame, the stance continues to remain bullish. As long as 22295 support holds, there is no meaning in revising the stance. One thing is sure, the sudden price moves we are seeing right now are quite indicative of a massive shift in fundamentals. Technical Analysis cannot detect the directional impact this early, but it would be prudent to keep an eye out for any possible clues. The small caps -1.98% and mid caps -2.55% are bleeding RED, and even some Nifty sub-sectors are also down by quite a bit - Realty -3.71%, PSU Banks -2.57%, media -1.85%, Metals -1.73%.

63mts chart


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