indiamarketoutlook

Nifty : Chart view for the next year or 2

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
Nifty
Closing price 8468

Chart explains our view...

Important Resistance 9300 / 9680 / 10240 odd levels

Support levels for Nifty 7922 / 6850 / 5820

The view is for the next year and a half...

- Don't think so it is time to do bottom fishing...

- This doesn't look like a market which is going to start a bull market soon

- any rise especially towards 9680-10200, may be considered as good opportunity to exit from long positions.

- being a long term investor is fine but being a compulsive long term investor is not...


- There could be a lot more pain left

- Economy could be heading into recession

- in that case the red zone ( 9950 - 10450 ) may act as resistance zone and

- yellow zone (5650-6150) may act as support zone

If things get worse,

- even sub 5000 levels - 4680 cannot be ruled out

(We got the Nifty top spot on, and in our last one we suggested, below 9300 Nifty will re-test 8500 levels again which it just did, but we hope we are wrong on this one especially the last part...)


Take care & safe investing...!!!
Comment: Gone are the days when to move 500-600 points Nifty use to take weeks or months. Now it is just a cup of tea for Nifty these days....😉
Comment: As highlighted in the chart, Nifty has given a good bounce from support levels mentioned above.

Trading is not about buying selling buying selling from 9:15am to 3:30pm. It is about doing ur homework, doing research, ur wstudy and planning ur trade.

Learning Technical Analysis can help u plan ur trade well in advance and be ready and confident in ur action when those levels come.

Those who initiated long positions around support levels of 7900 odd levels, have a good 400 points in the kitty...

Consider booking profits as per ur risk appetite and follow proper risk management.

For any personal stock query u can write in the comment below or msg me. I will try and answer ur queries at the earliest.

Take care and happy trading....!!!
All the best

Comments

Hi could you pls share your views on BPCL. I am holding it at average price of 393. Should I exit or hold?
Reply
@devanshd0,

This is how the chart looks like.



Going forward, as long as 355 / 352 level is held BPCL has a better probability to re-test 200 day EMA. However if 352-355 zone is taken out, it may fall up to green line.

393 is 200 EMA ( Exp. Moving Avg) & that is where we expected to see resistance. U can search & check out my BPCL thread for more details.

On a slightly longer time chart



if BPCL manages to conquer 200 day EMA, then 420/430 can be the target.

(I have set my alerts @ 336 on lower side - Time frame some where 10-15 July if BPCL comes around green line, that might interest me to consider long.

On the upper side 418 - 433 levels where I would be looking actively)

That's my view & levels.
Reply
Wow...This idea was posted in Mar. And it is getting all the likes in June....Thank u all for appreciating the analysis. Dil se... thank you :-)
Reply
so do u think will market crash to 8000 again this year
Reply
indiamarketoutlook CoolTrader7890
@CoolTrader7890, Crash is a very strong word & when we see these words it can make our view biased. I have used this chart as my guide for my strategies in nifty & stocks. Let's take it one step at a time.

This is my current view...



Till the till nifty is above 9500 odd levels i would not be thinking of 8000 levels.
+1 Reply
CoolTrader7890 indiamarketoutlook
@indiamarketoutlook, yas till 9500 is there i think cahnces of reserval for 10000+ are there
Reply
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