๐ฅ๐ฅ
๐ ๐ ๐ Gold has corrected to the 286x area after last night's CPI data. Today we continue to plan for gold. ๐ ๐ ๐
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1๏ธโฃ **Fundamental Analysis:**
๐ดHigher-than-expected US Inflation, Short-term Gold Volatility
โโโโ
1๏ธโฃ January CPI increased by 3%, Core CPI increased by 3.3%, higher than forecast, reducing expectations of Fed rate cuts this year.
2๏ธโฃ USD and bond yields increased (10-year: 4.62%), putting pressure on gold.
3๏ธโฃ Markets cut interest rate cut expectations from 3 to 1, may not cut if PPI remains high.
4๏ธโฃ Gold fluctuates but still has long-term prospects
โซGold prices fell after CPI data, but quickly recovered thanks to safe-haven demand.
โซBond yields and a stronger USD put pressure on gold, but if the economy weakens, gold could find long-term support.
โซFactors such as persistent inflation, economic recession and geopolitical instability could still push gold higher in the future.
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Conclusion
Higher-than-expected CPI data reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts, sending US stocks tumbling and the USD soaring. Powell stressed the need to assess further factors before changing monetary policy. Investors need to keep an eye on the upcoming PPI and PCE data for a clearer view of inflation.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
2๏ธโฃ **Technical analysis:**
๐น **D frame**: As you can see yesterday closed with a long-legged pinbar. The uptrend of gold is still holding
๐น **H4 frame**: The uptrend structure on H4 frame is also holding. You can see the price touching the H4 trendline and reacting strongly
๐น **H1 frame**: You can see H1 is at the old resistance zone. We can wait for the price reaction here to consider setting up a position.
3๏ธโฃ **Trading plan:**
โ Gold is currently still in a multi-frame uptrend and still has the basis to set a new peak. However, the price has gone all day and there has been no significant correction. The SELL option will not be considered unless there is a clearer price reaction at the current resistance area.
โ The current priority is still looking for opportunities to BUY in line with the main trend. You can refer to the plan in the H1 frame plan.
๐ช๐ **Wish you successful trading!**
๐ ๐ ๐ Gold has corrected to the 286x area after last night's CPI data. Today we continue to plan for gold. ๐ ๐ ๐
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
1๏ธโฃ **Fundamental Analysis:**
๐ดHigher-than-expected US Inflation, Short-term Gold Volatility
โโโโ
1๏ธโฃ January CPI increased by 3%, Core CPI increased by 3.3%, higher than forecast, reducing expectations of Fed rate cuts this year.
2๏ธโฃ USD and bond yields increased (10-year: 4.62%), putting pressure on gold.
3๏ธโฃ Markets cut interest rate cut expectations from 3 to 1, may not cut if PPI remains high.
4๏ธโฃ Gold fluctuates but still has long-term prospects
โซGold prices fell after CPI data, but quickly recovered thanks to safe-haven demand.
โซBond yields and a stronger USD put pressure on gold, but if the economy weakens, gold could find long-term support.
โซFactors such as persistent inflation, economic recession and geopolitical instability could still push gold higher in the future.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Conclusion
Higher-than-expected CPI data reduced expectations of Fed rate cuts, sending US stocks tumbling and the USD soaring. Powell stressed the need to assess further factors before changing monetary policy. Investors need to keep an eye on the upcoming PPI and PCE data for a clearer view of inflation.
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
2๏ธโฃ **Technical analysis:**
๐น **D frame**: As you can see yesterday closed with a long-legged pinbar. The uptrend of gold is still holding
๐น **H4 frame**: The uptrend structure on H4 frame is also holding. You can see the price touching the H4 trendline and reacting strongly
๐น **H1 frame**: You can see H1 is at the old resistance zone. We can wait for the price reaction here to consider setting up a position.
3๏ธโฃ **Trading plan:**
โ Gold is currently still in a multi-frame uptrend and still has the basis to set a new peak. However, the price has gone all day and there has been no significant correction. The SELL option will not be considered unless there is a clearer price reaction at the current resistance area.
โ The current priority is still looking for opportunities to BUY in line with the main trend. You can refer to the plan in the H1 frame plan.
๐ช๐ **Wish you successful trading!**
๐ Discuss at:
๐facebook.com/nolovenofear1
๐discord.gg/GBZVuewU
๐t.me/+-xy2rgIQ6NI4ZWE1
๐facebook.com/nolovenofear1
๐discord.gg/GBZVuewU
๐t.me/+-xy2rgIQ6NI4ZWE1
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
๐ Discuss at:
๐facebook.com/nolovenofear1
๐discord.gg/GBZVuewU
๐t.me/+-xy2rgIQ6NI4ZWE1
๐facebook.com/nolovenofear1
๐discord.gg/GBZVuewU
๐t.me/+-xy2rgIQ6NI4ZWE1
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.