FED dovish, Gold stays bullish; SELL only for scalps

Sep 4

⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Wave 🌍

The probability of a FED rate cut in September surged to 96.6% (vs 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects.

Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, shifted dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance with a scenario of just one cut.

👉 Result: Capital flows returned to Gold as the No.1 safe haven, pushing prices strongly higher overnight.

📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time):

ADP Nonfarm (7:15)

Jobless Claims (7:30)

ISM Services PMI (9:00)

➡️ This trio of data will be crucial catalysts for GOLD volatility.

2. Technical Analysis ⚙️

On M30/H1, Gold continues to form bullish BOS, keeping the main trend upward.

Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): Old Order Block, strong support if price pulls back.

Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): Only for short-term scalps.

Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): Aligned with Fibo 0.618–0.786, strong resistance with potential selling pressure.

Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508

3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙

🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)

Entry: 3,477 – 3,479
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx
🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short Ride)

Entry: 3,561 – 3,563
SL: 3,569
TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x

🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Strong Resistance)

Entry: 3,573 – 3,575
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx

4. Captain’s Note ⚓

"The golden sail is filled with wind as the FED turns dovish. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3477) remains the safe haven to align with the bullish trend. SELLs are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊, not long voyages."

Sep 5

Trade closed: target reached

Vincent’s sell scalp signal at 61-63 has already run over 130 pips 🚀 Congratulations to all traders who followed my trading plan! If possible, please give me a follow on TradingView so I’ll be more motivated to share more plans. Thank you!