Earnings
MAZAGON DOCK READY TO YIELD SOME RETURNSThe stock is forming a cup and handle pattern on daily timeframe moreover it has been in consolidation for quite long and now it is on verge of breakout , 2432 has been a crucial resistance which can be broken soon moreover the fundamentals of the stock are phenomenal
in short term it can rally till the 3000 levels
[High Risk] Bullish Reversal iN Aarti Industries AArti Industries announced end of year results on Fri, 10th May after market.
QOQ
👉Revenue rose 2.37% to 1773cr
👉Profit rose 6.45% to 132cr
👉EPS rose 6.43% to 3.64
👉EBITDA rose 9.27% to 283
👉EBITDA Margin rose 1.00% BPS to 16%
YOY
👉Revenue rose 7.07% from 1656cr
👉Profit drops -11.41% from 149cr
👉EPS drops -11.44% from 4.11
👉EBITDA rose 11.86% from 253
👉EBITDA Margin rose 1.00% BPS from 15%
Fundamentals
👉Stock PE is 58 (Expensive, almost 2x of Industry PE )
👉Stock EPS is 11.5
👉Dividend Announced of Rs.1
Growth
👉2 Year Revenue CAGR is -0.25%
👉2 Year Profit CAGR is -41.87%
👉2 Year EPS CAGR is -41.88%
👉2 Year Price CAGR is -15.29%
Given, Decent results and above average volumes in recent days, seeing the inverted hammer after the recent downswing, and low one can take a high risk bet at current valuations for 5-10% gains.
Enter on Monday 5/13 if stock opens positively and ride as per your risk appetite.
NTPC, another PSU posted solid results and in good setup. Results:
Solid Q4FY24
Rev at 47622cr vs 44253cr
Other inc at 1194cr vs 491cr
PBT at 8375cr vs 6026cr, Q3 at 5134cr
PAT at 6490cr vs 4871cr, Q3 at 5208cr
Solid QoQ and YoY uptick
OCF at 40784cr vs 47151cr
TA:
Horizontal Line Setup, will be better if it adds a bit of consolidation right here near this level n BO.
JSFB, a strong name ready to danceA Good Setup:
Jana Small Fin Bank (JSFB) after giving 60% move in just 15 days from first base after IPO, didn't fall much, only 13%.
Instead went contracting between trendlines (TL), suggesting supply is low.
-Forming HTF(high tight flag, when move significantly but didnt fall much and contracts)
-Hovering near 10 ema
-Tight closes with volume contracting
-Green vol > Red vol
- VCP 3W-13/4-3T (meaning in 3 weeks contracting from 13% to 9% to ~4%, these 3 contraction are 3T in notation)
Read if you haven't: Volume Contraction Pattern (VCP), a good concept by sir Mark Minervini (his books are highly recommended)
Waiting patiently for breakout(BO) of trendline(TL) with some vol.
HFCL with EPS growth can make move from here?HFCL is in business of telecom infrastructure. With huge expansion of 5G and Reliance subsidiary JIO, Airtel, Indus Tower doing good, HFCL shareholder can also enjoy the piece of pie too.
- With making HHs n DTL (Down Trendline) testing 3rd time, BO (Breakout) can happen.
-Green Vol > Red Vol
-Better n cheat entry was in 97-98 range when "Signal Candle" gave Strong Start (SS: when stock starts gap up n not/barely touching previous day low (PDL))
Lets see how it perform.
GPPL, waiting for results to perform?Another stock from Shipping n Port family yet to perform after good move by Cochin Shipyard, SCI, Mazagon Dock, GRSE, Adani Ports.
-Green Vol > Red Vol, clearing on falls vol is low compare to up days.
-Good recovery from May start correction.
-Tight closes near Down Trendline Breakout (DTL BO), tested multiple times.
-VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern by sir Mark Minervini) also playing out: 13W-23/4-3T
Lets see how it perform after results (before results trade can be risky so always waiting for results)
Sansera: Inverted Head & Shoulders + Q4 Power = Bullish Breakout
Sansera Engineering Ltd. reported impressive Q4 results, exceeding analyst expectations.
Revenue and EBITA surpassed street estimates, prompting brokerage firms to maintain their buy recommendations.
Building on a 36% return in the past year, Sansera's stellar performance positions it for a potential bullish breakout.
Technically, the stock appears on the verge of an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Observing price action during a breakout or pullback could present attractive short-term return opportunities.
This information as should not be considered as financial advice.
Polycab - Wires & Cables demand in multiple sectorsConcall
Polycab...3K Cr Capex over 3Y. A bit towards backward integration(improves efficiency) & FMEG segment
Seen 30-40% volume growth in Q4 & last year. Industry at 22% growth
No material impact in pricing pressure despite rise in commodities(copper & Aluminium) pricing. Mgmt seems to have witnessed this
G8 demand in Infrastructure, Power, Renewable energy, EV, Railways sectors...and so capacity expansion.
Seems to be an article published mentioning power deficit in India in June
12-13% consistent margins achievable over long time
Distributors playing key role in sales.. Cuz only 10% customers directly buying from company. 89-90% sales is thro' distributors...
RDSS govt project open orders close to Rs. 50 Bn
FY 23 closed with 18K Cr revenue. Previously set target was 20K Cr top line by FY 26. But this will be revised(increased) by this FY
Polycab consolidationIf you look at Quarterly chart, We could see a pattern that after an year consolidation, 100% rise has happened. Could we expect Dec '23 - Dec '24 as consolidation period. Historically, 1st quarter of polycab hasn't performed except last year which was a surprise. Let's see what happens this year. Higher low hasn't formed yet in weekly chart.
Cartrade-A risky positional trade for ATH targets!Cartrade has given outstanding Q4 2024 results and bullishness in the stock is indicator of same.
However, these stocks come with good amount of risk with bigger rewards.
Stock has formed beautiful cup & handle pattern and is about to break it.
Once 1000 is crossed, we can see ATH levels soon. I had seen similar breakout in PBFintech (Policybazaar).
If you believe in new age startups, this stock is technically looking bullish.
Fresh Buying in OLECTRA GREENTECH Few months ago I bought olectra greentech at 1350, it crossed 2000 and now is trading near 1650. Olectra's quarterly results were declined and now we have an opportunity to buy and there will be a breakout soon in it, also fundamentals are great I have more confidence in it
Kotak: Short term reversal (6 May onwards)On this Daily Chart, we can see that Kotak has made a recent swing low of 1546 on Friday after losing support from its 1650 level. The results were out yesterday and Kotak has announced 26% increase in profits beating the market estimates. This should potentially cause a reversal in price going forward. In the short term, price is likely to touch the 200D SMA (purple line) which also coincides with a trend line (in blue) creating an upside of about 15% from current levels.
Indicators:
1. The EPS chart shows solid growth while the P/E is almost at a decadal low of 16.9
2. The RSI has bottomed out both in the Daily and Weekly
3. The price hit the lower threshold band of Fibonacci Bollinger Band (solid green line) indicating a possible bottoming out of price
4. The price is currently below both the 50D and 200D SMA, indicating short term bearish territory
Risks: The current downtrend can also continue in the next week and the next visible support is at 1450 implying a downside of 6%
Strategy: Given the growth drivers and a ridiculous valuation of the bank, the price is sure to make a reversal in coming days. Watch for the price action on Monday, and based on lower time frame price action, take entry. If the price comes down, towards 1450 levels, it should be used as an opportunity to build more positions instead of thinking about Stop loss and exiting.
Happy Trading!
KPITTECHHonestly, All Brokerage reports downgrade time by time and buy the stocks from retails.
The stock showing its outperforms continue...
Management is very strong, incase one Quarter result is bad it's buying opportunity because company management is very strong and it make profits again and same beat estimates.