Earnings
Undervalued Small Banking Stock - Good For InvestmentCSB Bank previously known as Catholic Syrian Bank Ltd.
Analysis -
Has major income from retail group and well diversified business in terms of Income.
NIM (Net Interest Margin) which is one of the major incomes of Bank is more than 5% not even major banks have this much, very few banks are able to keep it above 5%.
If you see last 5-year profit growth is almost 50% highest among many banks.
Whereas stock PE is less than Industry PE
Technically -
Stock is crossing out of August 2021Levels.
CMP is 354. So, one can add from CMP to level of 330 as Weekly RSI is overbought. It might cooldown. above 358 more strong
Targets -
375 is small hurdle if crossed than above that we may see Targets of 450/555 & we can keep SL of 300.
IDFC First Bank Shines with Excellent Q1 Performance.IDFC First Q1 Result.
Impressive performance across the board! Deposits up 44% YoY, Advances up 25% YoY, Profits up 61% YoY. Net NPA down to 0.7% (Which is very good indication). ROA at 1.24% vs 0.97% YoY. QoQ net income down -731 Cr. vs 816 Cr. in Q4FY23, but excluding a one-off income of 180-200 cr. from the last quarter, results are still better on a QoQ basis.
Why to Invest in IDFC first ?
They are many reasons to invest in IDFC Bank, but trading in this company seems risky and tricky right now. However, if you are someone who believes in the narrative that for India to grow, the banking sector would have to follow the same path, then undervalued and growing banks will benefit the most. Stocks like IDFC First Bank are more likely to double their Market Cap. So, if you are a long-term and serious investor like me, this analysis will help you.
Why to Avoid Trading ?
Now, let's discuss why trading this stock is currently considerably risky. The stock is trading near 200% of its support level, following a special channel pattern known as a big-length rectangle pattern, which makes it riskier from a trading perspective.
How to Invest ?
We plan to take a longer position in this stock. As visible from the chart, the stock has tested its resistance on a weekly timeframe. As, we all know Q1 results are out, Earnings have been impressive, indicating a potential strong breakout with good volume. If that happens, we'll invest half of our money and wait for a retracement before putting in the rest. But, if the stock falls instead of breaking out, it'll be a great opportunity to invest, and in that case, we'll wait for a consolidation.
Note- I am not a SEBI registered, Please consult to your Advisor before investing.
HINDUSTAN UNILEVER BREAKS DOWN AFTER POOR EARNING RESULTSTECHNICAL ANALYSIS :
ASCENDING RECTANGLE BREAKDOWN -
Price has broken down from the ascending rectangle pattern with confirmation
VOLUME SPIKE -
On 21st july, price has shown huge volume spike with the breakdown indicating strong downward momentum
50D SMA BREAKDOWN -
Price has broken out of the 50D sma after consolidating above it for a long time making it a very strong resistance zone
STRONG SUPPORT-RESISTANCE ZONE BREAKDOWN -
A very strong support-resistance zone level has been broken down by the price which had earlier acted as either strong support level or strong resistance level multiple times
OVERSOLD RSI -
Cherry on the cake is that rsi is oversold indicating very strong momentum behind the breakdown
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS :
EARNING MISS -
On the jun'23 quarter HUL has missed its revenue forecast by ~2.5% & profit forecast by ~4% indicating poor performance by the company
STIFF COMPETITION -
The regional players who had left the market during peak inflation have returned as inflation subsides indicating even higher competition for company
MUTED DEMAND -
Company has said that the demand in rural areas has not yet picked up and consumers are still preferring unbranded alternatives compared to its Tea brand
TP - 2700
SL - 2560
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chart explained
1) The counter was trading in an uptrend
2)It witnessed a strong gap up opening on 4 july 2023
3) The Gap up was above the previous strong resistance zone as indicated by arrows
4)The retracement after strong move already done
5)5_ today it witnessed a strong upmove along with long build up with 3% rise in OI
6) current month option chain suggest shortcovering in Call side while short build on Put side which is bullish
7)its trading with an upward sloping trendline
8) its strongly following the regression channel trend with 97% precision
9)the counter is 14% away from all time hugh which is most likley to be tested in sessions to come
Nifty is forming bearish Head and shoulders patternNifty is forming head and shoulders pattern and also looking weak on charts. Currently market is on sell on rise mode.
IT companies results will start from this week. Result are expected to be not so good.
We can see levels of
If it broke Neckline 19330 it will go down to
Target 1: 19230
Target 2: 19140
Best Fundamental Stock with high durability, Buy on levelPositional Trade For Next 2 - 3 Month, Return Upto 20 - 30%
Quess Corp Ltd.
Buy on level = 390 - 420 (Part Entry)
Target = 465-505 (For Next 2 - 3 Month), 550 (For 6 Month)
Fundamental view
Company with Low Debt
Book Value per Share Improving for last 2 years
Promoter Holding = 56.74, with Zero Pledge
Promoters have increased holdings from 51.90% to 56.74% in Mar 2023 qtr.
Potential Buy Zone on P/E basis
Current P/E = 27.7
Sector: Software & Services
The sector includes companies focused on maintaining, developing and providing internet services, software development, and IT services. Products developed include online databases, interactive services, programming, and system services.
BajajAuto lifetime breakout, strong quarter resultsWeekend Pick 1: Bajaj Auto
Fundamentals - Very strong, consistent on Sales, Profits, EPS, High Reserves Vs Debt Free.. Strong Quarter results, FII holding increased.
Technicals - Broken LTH, moving nicely in raising wedge, Above MAs, decent volumes
R1: 4660
R2: 4950
R3: 5270
SL: 3950