Axis Bank Wave Analysis: SIP, Levels, 1800+ in coming years! July 2, 2024: AXIS Bank Market Analysis
Current Market Price: 1261.90
General Trend:
After the COVID crash of 2020, Axis Bank hit a high of 865 on October 21st , 2021, completing Wave 1 and entered Wave 3 after completion of wave 2 on June 16th 2022.
The stock is currently in a bullish mode and it's in extension, having completed subwaves 1 and 2 of Wave 3 and it has broken out of a consolidation zone and is looking to surge ahead with subwave 3 of Wave 3.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Applying the Ichimoku cloud to the chart shows that prices are trading above the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily clouds. Hence, there is a high possibility of the stock entering Wave 3.3.3 after small dip near 1150-1170 that will be our 3.3.2 subwave.
Entry and Exit Points:
Long-Term Perspective: The demand zone was a good area to buy the stock; however, we expect a retest of this zone, which can be a good opportunity for those who missed buying Axis Bank earlier.
> SIP Mode is best for long term.
Expected Target:
Once Axis Bank gives a breakout above the recent high, it is expected to hit the first target of Rs. 1529 .
The next target could be Rs.1859 and even 2000+ possible in couple of years. These targets are derived based on the application of the Fibonacci extension and channels.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Elliott Wave
Bank Nifty Trade Setup - Small SLBased on Ichimoku, demand-supply zone and Wave Analysis, We see good shorting opportunity in Bank nifty.
Entry: 52559
Stop Loss: 52917
Targets:51,918, 51575 and 51030
CE sell with Ce edge is best option.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 1st.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 1st:
The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are also showing moderately bearish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 20 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty had fallen nearly 200 points from the high in the previous session. If you look at the structure, it is showing a slightly range-bound market. At the same time, the GiftNifty is showing a neutral to slightly negative start. So, if the initial market takes a pullback or finds support around the immediate support level (61%), the range-bound market might continue further.
Alternatively, if there is a solid decline initially, the correction could continue. If that happens, structurally, the 78% level might act as minor support, meaning the market may consolidate there before further correction.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 1st.BankNifty experienced a solid correction in the previous session. If you count the sub-waves, it is in the 5th sub-wave. Here, if the initial market takes a pullback or finds support around the immediate support level (50%), we can expect a 38 to 61% pullback wave.
Alternatively, if there is a solid decline initially, the correction could continue, meaning the 3rd wave extension may continue. If that happens, we can expect the correction to continue with some minor pullbacks.
#Nifty directions and levels for June28th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 28th:
The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty experienced huge volatility in the previous session. Structurally, it has formed an ending diagonal pattern. It's in the 5th wave, so today, if the initial market declines, we can expect a minimum of 78% to swing low correction. However, it must break the minimum 38% Fibonacci level for us to consider it a correction. On the other hand, if it doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, it may consolidate a little and break the previous high, extending the diagonal further. This is the basic structure. I used the line chart because the wave patterns are easier to see with it; that's all, nothing apart from that.
The alternative scenario suggests that if the gap-up sustains and has a solid structure, the rally could continue further.
#Banknifty directions and levels for June28th.BankNifty's structure is a little different. The 5 waves are finished, and it's progressing into a correction. Corrections have many variations. I explained two variations:
1- If the initial market declines, we can expect a 38% correction. After that, if it finds support, we can expect a range market to rally continuation.
In this scenario, the correction will continue only if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level effectively. If it breaks, then we can expect 50% to 78% as the next targets.
2- The alternate variation is a flat correctional variation. If the market sustains the gap-up and pulls back, the level of 53247 to 53320 will act as a strong resistance. If the market is rejected there, we can expect a correction. If you want confirmation of the correction, use the EMA20 and the 38% Fibonacci level breakout sentiment.
1:5 RR Trade: Sell Nifty below 23877 with SL 24120, Tgt 22670Based on Wave Analysis and the Ichimoku 1-Hour Time Frame, we have a good short opportunity with a very small stop loss.
Time: 12:52 PM, June 27th, 2024
Current Market Price: 24,024
Why Short Entry at 23,877?
Wave Analysis: Nifty has completed waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. Wave 5 hit 127% today at 23,899 and touched the 24,000 psychological mark. We will have the first sign of confirmation if Nifty drops below 23,898 and sustains this level for 1 hour. It has to go for a correction. We will be wrong if Nifty crosses our stop loss after the entry is triggered.
Trendline Breakout: When Nifty breaks 23,877, we will have a trendline breakout, which will be our second confirmation for short positions.
Selling call options or selling Nifty futures with a monthly OTM CE hedge is a good option.
We will keep updating more in the update section.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Intraday Trade Setup - Nifty Wave Analysis: Today's ExpiryNifty Analysis (15-Minute TF): June Monthly Expiry - 27-06-2024
Nifty is in the final leg of Wave 5. The third wave of Wave 5 was completed yesterday, and we are likely to see the 4th and 5th waves today.
Nifty might take the morning session for Wave 4 and the second half for Wave 5.
We have mentioned entry and exit points in the chart; please refer to it.
Buy Entry: 23,740-23,770
Average Place: 23,700-23,720
Stop Loss: 23,680 (very small stop loss)
Options Strategy:
Option Selling:
1. Strangle and straddle will work in the morning session.
2. Go for directional PE selling near our buy zone and sell more lots near the average place with the stop loss mentioned above.
Options Buying: We don't recommend option buying. However, if you try option buying, take the next week's expiry near our buy zone and keep a strict stop loss at 23,680.
Futures Buying: We can consider buying Nifty July Future with next week PE hedge too.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
The Big Correction in Bank Nifty? Short at 52575 with 53100 SLTime: 10:22 AM, 26th June 2024
Bank Nifty Current Market Price: 52,585
Stop Loss 53100
Targets: 47843, 44,897, 44,444 and 40135
We shared our view on Bank Nifty (BN) in yesterday's post. A few people asked us to share the complete wave count in BN in detail with trendlines.
Bank Nifty has completed its degree (2020-2024 wave). It has to go down for Degree 2, which can be a time-wise correction or a price-wise correction. There is a high chance of a time-wise correction, which might take a lot of time. Therefore, option selling with an edge is the safest option, or shorting futures with a call option hedge.
1. It has hit the Fibonacci levels we predicted a few days ago at 52,500 and made a high of 52,734.
2. The price has hit trendlines and given a fake breakout of a few previous trendlines.
3. Proper Selling Angle with few breakouts in weekly and monthly time frame.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
#Nifty directions and levels for the June 27th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 27th:
There is no significant difference compared to the previous session. The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 55 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Yesterday, Nifty continued the rally. Both structures have the same extension variation, so there are no changes in the market sentiment. Today, GiftNifty is indicating a slightly negative start. If it opens like this, let's look at what might happen in Nifty.
>Structurally, it's a bullish market and both have an extension. According to the extension, if the market opens with a gap-down, it could retrace a maximum of 23 to 38%. After that, if it finds support there, the rally will continue with minor consolidation.
>However, the probability of a rally today is less compared to yesterday, as the sub-waves driving yesterday’s rally are now over. If the market finds support at either 23% or 38%, then it may close within the range.
>As per the wave structure, it could be in the 4th wave.
Alternatively, if the correction becomes aggressive, we should wait for confirmation. If the market declines sharply, it may consolidate around 38% or 50%. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous low, we can expect the correction to continue. Otherwise, it may maintain the bullish sentiment.
(Note: If the market initially takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further.)
#Banknifty directions and levels for the June 27th.Yesterday, Bank Nifty continued the rally. Both structures have the same extension variation, so there are no changes in the market sentiment. Today, GiftNifty is indicating a slightly negative start. If it opens like this, let's look at what might happen in Bank Nifty.
>Structurally, it's a bullish market and both have an extension. According to the extension, if the market opens with a gap-down, it could retrace a maximum of 23 to 38%. After that, if it finds support there, the rally will continue with minor consolidation.
>However, the probability of a rally today is less compared to yesterday, as the sub-waves driving yesterday’s rally are now over. If the market finds support at either 23% or 38%, then it may close within the range.
>As per the wave structure, it could be in the 4th wave.
Alternatively, if the correction becomes aggressive, we should wait for confirmation. If the market declines sharply, it may consolidate around 38% or 50%. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous low, we can expect the correction to continue. Otherwise, it may maintain the bullish sentiment.
(Note: If the market initially takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further.)
"Bank Nifty has broken all hurdles. Real breakout or fake?" Bank Nifty Monthly Chart Wave Analysis:
June Candle: 2 more days left for the candle to close.
Current Market Price: ₹51,575
We drew all possible resistance trendlines and channels, and Bank Nifty has clearly broken out above everything(just 3 days left for June candle to close), with the wave extending.
Elliot Wave Analysis : Initially, we counted the October 2021 high as wave 3 in our past charts. However, the current momentum and breakouts suggest it could be wave 1, and we are possibly in wave 3 not wave 5th.
REAL Breakout : BN will retrace slightly and then move up again with strong candles in the coming months and it shouldn't enter the big purple color channel and close below 50,100(July Candle closing).
Buy on Dip: A good dip near 50,600-800 is a place to go long with a small stop loss below a 49900 day candle close. If entering at the current market price, the SL is the same.
Possible Upside Targets : 53,700, 57,000
FAKE Breakout : The July candle will break the purple color fib channel, retest, and come down with huge red candles. The candle shouldn't close above the purple channel again.
Sell on Rise: Sell only if the price breaks below the channel, around 49,900. In this case, short with a small SL.
Possible Targets : 44,444, 40,000
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
#Nifty directions and levels for June 26th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 26th:
The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty and Bank Nifty had a solid rally in the previous session. However, the structures are a little bit different. Let's look at each one individually.
Nifty had a solid pullback in the previous session, so if the market opens neutral to slightly gap-down, then structurally, we can expect a maximum 23 to 38% correction. If it finds support there, we can expect minor consolidation for the rally continuation. This is the basic structure.
On the other hand, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level on the downside, it may continue the correction further. Structurally, it could be in a flat correction.
(Note: If the initial market takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further. However, the momentum could be less, so we can't expect a big rally. If we want a big rally, it would require a solid candle breakout or a minor consolidation around the immediate resistance level.)
#Banknifty directions and levels for June 26th.Bank Nifty had a long rally, so if the market opens neutral to slightly gap-down, then structurally, it could also take a maximum 23 to 38% correction. After that, if it finds support around 38%, we can expect minor consolidation for the rally continuation.
The alternative scenario differs a bit from Nifty. Bank Nifty has extended more compared to Nifty, so structurally, there is no possibility of a big correction, meaning the flat correction might not occur here. Conversely, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, the zigzag variation may extend here, and that correction may reach a maximum of 61%.
(Note: If the initial market takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further. However, the momentum could be less, so we can't expect a big rally. If we want a big rally, it would require a solid candle breakout or a minor consolidation around the immediate resistance level.)
Banknifty - Leading Diagonal Scenario (Fall 51800 to 51000)As we discussed in the Sunday Video... This is the alternate scenario of waves unfolding & if Index faces resistance in 51800-51900 zone, it can slip & complete the proposed 5th wave of an unfolding leading diagonal downside.
Strictly ------No Sell ---------Above 51800 ---------------------------------------------------
Downside Target - 51000 Approx.
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
#Banknifty directions and levels for June25th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 25th:
There is no significant difference. The global market is showing a moderately bullish sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are also maintaining this moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 35 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty and BankNifty are still maintaining the range-bound structure, so structurally, today might continue in this manner. If we search for a range breakout, we can see a flag pattern (chart pattern) in both Nifty and BankNifty. This means yesterday's pullback has the flag pattern structure. But what is the probability here? I will explain it in detail.
1. The first thing is it's a range-bound market.
2. The second thing is there is a flag pattern formed within the range.
3. If we look at the nature of the flag pattern, it is a trend continuation pattern in a trending market.
4. But what's here? This is a range market, so the pattern's success probability is less.
5. So, if the market takes a bullish bias initially, we can expect 78% of the pole length in the flag pattern. After that, if it consolidates, then the rally will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then the range market will likely continue. Trading in a range market is a bit difficult. However, we could enter only if it breaks the downside 38% Fibonacci level.
#Banknifty directions and levels for June25th.
BankNifty has still maintaining the range-bound structure, so structurally, today might continue in this manner. If we search for a range breakout, we can see a flag pattern (chart pattern) in BankNifty. This means yesterday's pullback has the flag pattern structure. But what is the probability here? I will explain it in detail.
1. The first thing is it's a range-bound market.
2. The second thing is there is a flag pattern formed within the range.
3. If we look at the nature of the flag pattern, it is a trend continuation pattern in a trending market.
4. But what's here? This is a range market, so the pattern's success probability is less.
5. So, if the market takes a bullish bias initially, we can expect 78% of the pole length in the flag pattern. After that, if it consolidates, then the rally will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then the range market will likely continue. Trading in a range market is a bit difficult. However, we could enter only if it breaks the downside 38% Fibonacci level.
CholaFin Wave Analysis - Wave 3 is Running! Use Ichimoku to RideCHOLAMANDALAM (CholaFin) Chart Analysis
As per Elliott Wave analysis, CholaFin is still bullish. The price reversed after a strong bullish divergence in the MACD and has completed the subwaves of Wave 2 of Wave 3. Currently, it is moving up in Wave 3 of Wave 3.
Use Ichimoku for entry & exits (Daily time frame):
Entry Point: Look for a good dip to enter and avg(for long-term) when the price is near the Ichimoku Cloud's support. Enter when the Price breaks TS/KS with momentum candle.
Exit Point: Consider exiting the position when the price starts to show weakness near TS and KS in daily chart. Another exit signal could be when the candle close below the cloud.
By using the Ichimoku indicator in conjunction with Elliott Wave analysis, you can identify more precise entry and exit points to maximize your trading strategy.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions