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Fundamental Analysis

A comparison of US Economy under Trump Vs Joe Biden PresidencyIt is debatable whether any sitting US President can exert much control over an economy that is as large and as complex as that of the U.S. But Stock Markets are a fair indicator of the overall state of the US economy based on investor sentiment in the markets. So let's have a look at the various factors that affected how the Dow Jones (as an illustrative example) and the US economy in general fared under Trump Vs Biden-Harris. 1. The DJI gained an impressive approx +12337 points (+67.22%) during the Presidency of Donald Trump, whereas it gained an equally impressive +11,868 points (+38.70%) under Biden-Harris. 2. Yet, the markets stumbled in the Second year of each Presidency - due to COVID lock downs, rising interest rates, Government shutdowns, Trade friction with China (under Trump), and rise in Inflation and interest rates (under Biden). 3. Year-3 was best under each Presidency, with impressive returns and dividends partly driven by reduction in interest rates (under Trump), Billions of Dollars in Stimulus packages, and reopening of economy post COVID and burgeoning AI driven boom (under Biden) and also lowering of interest rates (late into Biden Presidency). 4. Americans enjoyed relatively low Inflation under Trump, whereas resurgence of Inflation has been the biggest problem of Biden-Harris administration. The COVID induced supply chain snarls, geopolitical pressures, unleashing of pent-up demand, all pushed prices sharply higher under Biden-Harris. 5. Inflation has since cooled, most supply chains have normalised, Aggressive Fed rates have helped bring down price growth, still Inflation has increased by +20% during Biden-Harris Presidency and Americans are grappling under it's debilitating effects. 6. The US economy added 6.8 million jobs in the first three years under Trump, it then lost 9.8 million jobs in 2020 producing a Net Loss in employment under Trump. The US added 16.4 million jobs under Biden-Harris. 7. Americans ability to spend is usually their view of the economy. It is no surprise that most Americans feel they did better under Trump, when although wages were lower, but so was Inflation, with average hourly earnings rising +6.4% under Trump. While a tight labour market brought significant wage growth for most Americans under Biden-Harris, high Inflation has restricted purchasing power. The REAL Inflation adjusted wage growth under Biden-Harris is only +1.4%. 8. Notwithstanding a strong job market and economy under Biden-Harris, consumers aren't pleased with economic the conditions. But the Biden-Harris administration inherited a country suffering from the COVID pandemic fallout and soon Inflation added to the woes. Considering these factors Biden-Harris has done a fair job of keeping it together despite the added presuure of global geopolitical challenges. Even as the US markets are at All Time High levels, confidence in the trajectory of the economy is very low. The Gallup's Global Life Evaluation Index for US is registering low levels of confidence typically seen during recession. So, which Presidential candidate Trump or Harris, do you think will be better for the US economy in General and US and global markets in particular? Please let us know in the comments below. And we will have to wait and see who wins the elections this time and how the markets react.
TVC:DJI
by Jay_Maan
3
HEAD & SHOULDERS PATTERN IN NIFTY. TIME TO SELL AGAIN ?Symbol - NIFTY50 CMP 24800 Nifty50 has turned its trend from bullish to bearish & sideways making lows - lows on daily time frame. We can see a Head & Shoulders pattern getting formed on daily TF in Nifty. Such patterns on larger time frame don't usually fail. Nifty is currently trading near neckline of this pattern. Breakdown & sustaining below this neckline zone 24730 - 24690 will get this pattern activated & we can see big target towards downside. Target on downside can be 23370 P.S. : My short position is already active from 25000 Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by akshit_official
10
Gold flirts with sellers in a bullish channel ahead of US NFPGold is stabilizing after its largest daily decline in 15 weeks, as traders await Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. In doing so, the precious metal bounces back above the 50-SMA but struggles to reclaim its previous upward trend, signaled by a three-week-old rising wedge. Still, it remains within a bullish channel established since early August. Bulls need conviction to retake control Even with gold's recent bounce and its position within a multi-day bullish channel, Thursday’s confirmation of a rising wedge bearish chart formation, combined with bearish MACD signals and a lack of oversold RSI, raises concerns for buyers. Key technical levels to watch Gold buyers focus on the rising wedge's bottom near $2,762 to regain control. If they succeed, the next targets will be the wedge's top at around $2,796 and the bullish channel’s upper line at about $2,810. A firm move above $2,810 could lead to the bullion’s gradual rise toward $2,900 and potentially $3,000. On the other hand, Gold sellers are looking at Thursday’s low of $2,731, with the previous weekly low of around $2,708 in their sights. Key levels for bears include the bullish channel bottom and the 200-SMA near $2,687 and $2,670, respectively. If gold drops below $2,670, it may be set for a decline toward the rising wedge target of $2,570. Bulls in control, but sellers seek opportunities The recent bearish chart pattern offers sellers a chance for short-term gains, especially if the US employment report impacts gold prices. However, buyers are expected to maintain their hold on the market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
IRCTC - BULLISH & BEARISH BIASSymbol - IRCTC CMP - 900 IRCTC is currently trading at an interesting zone. After a good rally in the last year, This stock is following a trendline resistance making lower - lows price action & showing no strength of price growth. I am tracking this stock from quite some time. I will be interested in long positions on breakout of 940-950 resistance zone. I will be even more interested in shorting this stock if this stock breaks 850 on downside & sustain below it as it stock is making a Head & shoulders pattern in larger time frame. Such patterns tends be more accurate on larger time frame & don't fail if gets activated. This pattern will get activated if price break neckline on the downside then I will be shorting futures for more downside targets. What will happen? Only the time will tell. My job is to keep it on radar & enter in longs above 950 & enter in short below 850.
NSE:IRCTC
by akshit_official
2
Breaking Out of Falling Wedge and Symmetrical TriangleNSE:SYRMA is breaking out of Falling Wedge and Symmetrical Triangle Breakout on Weekly TF. With 2nd Best Weekly Volumes. NSE:SYRMA is a Chennai-based engineering and design company engaged in electronics manufacturing services (EMS). The company provides integrated services and solutions to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) from the initial product concept stage to volume production through concept co-creation and product realization. Recently it posted good Q2 FY 24-25 Results, posting a 30% Y/Y rise in Q2 consol profit after tax. The auto and healthcare businesses led growth in Q2 and will drive future growth further ahead. Also, expect a recovery in margins fuelled by higher exports and design and manufacturing businesses. NSE:SYRMA faces margin challenges as the consumer segment, which comprises 35%—38% of topline, operates with lower margins, and they are aiming to lower the segment's share further. One can wait for a retracement or ride the momentum with the current week candle as stop loss. 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️If you have any questions about this stock, feel free to reach out to me. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:SYRMALong
by Karanshah137
multiple timeframe breakout soon in LKP SECURITIESIncorporated in 1948, LKP Securities Ltd provides stock and securities broking and other financial services Business Overview: Company offers research based equity advisory and trading services viz. equities, debt, structured products, Portfolio Management services and Third party distribution, etc. to individuals, corporates and retail clients. It has presence in 150+ cities in India. ENTRY should be above 28.60 on closing basis
BSE:LKPSECLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Saregama India Ltd. - Muhurat TradingWe're observing a potential round bottom pattern forming on the daily chart of Saregama India Ltd. This pattern often signifies a shift in trend momentum, potentially indicating a bullish breakout on the horizon. As we approach the neckline, a breakout above this level could pave the way for further upside. 📈 With Muhurat Trading around the corner, this could be a good opportunity to keep on the watchlist. A strong breakout confirmation above resistance may offer an ideal entry point. Levels to Watch: Breakout Zone: Around 680 Current Price: 533.30
NSE:SAREGAMA
by Kapil-Mittal
Revised chart of Suryoday small finance bankHoping FY 26 would be a better year for the bank, while the entire MFI business is struggling the bank had sensed the downturn and took CGFMU insurance cover benefits of this downturn will be reaped in Q1 around 140cr is expected to be recovered as insurance claim My thesis is current year will end with the figures of PAT of 220-230cr with PCR at 75% , GNPA at 2.5%, NNPA at 0.6% , EPS at 21, book value 192 , ROE of 12% Next year PAT 360+cr with PCR at 80% , GNPA at 2.5%, NNPA at 0.5%, EPS of 34, BVPS of 226, ROE of 16% Hence a cross cycle ROE of 14-15% can be expected which is pretty good considering the valuations
NSE:SURYODAY
by swarubhadra
Asahi india glass Asahi India Glass Ltd. (AIS) is India’s leading value-added and integrated glass solutions company and a dominant player both in the automotive and architectural glass segments. Established in 1984, It was formed as a Joint Venture between The Labroo Family, Asahi Glass Co. of Japan and Maruti Udyog Ltd (now Maruti Suzuki India Ltd). AIS provides end to end solutions in the entire glass value chain - from the manufacturing of float glass, processing, fabrication to installation services. As a sand-to-solutions company, AIS offers varied types of glass products and services to its customers in India and across the globe.
NSE:ASAHIINDIALong
by dpkrthvideos