Fundamental Analysis
Gold-> Buyer Back Yet?After suffering significant losses last week, gold has regained its recovery momentum and is trading positively above $2,600 on Monday. The fundamental backdrop supports this recovery. Key resistance levels at $2,518 and $2,628 now divide the market into two distinct zones.
Meanwhile, market participants are awaiting moves from several Fed officials this week to gain further insights into the U.S. interest rate trajectory.
The most likely scenario at the moment is a slight recovery in gold prices following the recent steep sell-off, with expectations for gold to climb higher after several reversals in the USD.
In the medium term, bulls need to reassess U.S. policy planning in December, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in January. This has not been fully priced into the market, so any adjustments could pose challenges for gold.
Technically, since the market opened, prices have climbed considerably, increasing the likelihood of resistance capping further upward movement. A false breakout at $2,589 and subsequent consolidation below this zone would strengthen selling pressure. However, there is potential for a retest of $2,618 (Order Block).
Similarly, a failed breakout could trigger selling momentum. But if the fundamentals align strongly in favor of gold, the market may have a chance to shift the local trend from the $2,618 zone.
What is the Potential for CARTRADE? CARTRADE is showing a promising Round Bottom Formation on the weekly chart, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Key Levels to Watch:
First Resistance Zone: A crucial level where price action will be tested.
Strong Resistance Zone: A breakout here could open the door to a significant upside.
💡 Trade Strategy: Monitor the resistance zones closely. A breakout with volume could signal a long opportunity but always manage risk with proper stop-loss placement.
ready for targets OALPE Ratio of OrientalAromatics is 46.94
Prices/Sales Ratio of OrientalAromatics is 1.2
Price/Book Ratio of OrientalAromatics is 2.86
After showing 238.87 Cr. of sales and 9.85% of quarterly net profit, there have been multiple ups and downs in the OrientalAromatics stock prices in the past few weeks. For example, OrientalAromatics stock price on 12th of November 2024 was around Rs. 529.45. OrientalAromatics share price now stands at an average of Rs. 553.45. Judging by last week's performance, stock is in up trend.
CADUSD - Buy We can go for buy in CADUSD in this week. Dollar is currently very strong and I don’t see any support for CAD oil prices are also struggling at the same time. Inflation number for Canada is hawkish however upcoming news for Canada could be dovish.
1. Dollar very strong.
2. Oil price Struggling
3. Upcoming growth numbers (Dovish)
Biggest IPO of INDIA Hyundai Motor : Risk factorsThe Hyundai Motor India Limited IPO, which commenced on Tuesday, October 15, 2024, is generating considerable buzz. The public issue closes on Thursday, October 17, 2024, making tomorrow the final day for subscription. As of the second day, the IPO has achieved a 42% subscription rate (based on BSE data). Let's delve deeper.
Key Highlights of the IPO:
Launch Date: October 15, 2024
Closing Date: October 17, 2024
Current Subscription (Day 2): 42% (BSE data)
Significance: Largest IPO in India to date, surpassing the LIC IPO
IPO Type: Entirely an "Offer for Sale" (OFS)
Understanding the Offer for Sale (OFS)
Nature of OFS: Existing shareholders, including founders, promoters, or board members, are selling their shares to the public.
Lack of Fresh Funds: The IPO is not raising new capital for growth or expansion. No new shares are being issued.
Questions to Consider:
Why is the company opting for a complete OFS instead of issuing new shares for growth? What does this suggest about the company's future plans?
What are the implications for future company expansion and innovation?
Concerns Over High Dividend Payouts:
Dividend Payouts: 178% in March 2024 and 229% in March 2023.
Possible Implications: While high dividends suggest strong profitability, they also raise concerns about the company's reinvestment strategy. Are profits being prioritized for shareholder payouts rather than business growth?
What This Might Mean for Investors:
Are current shareholders primarily looking to maximize profits from high dividends before offloading shares?
How does this dividend strategy impact the long-term sustainability and growth potential of the company?
Important Considerations
Before investing, carefully consider:
Thorough Research: Analyze the company's financial statements, strategic plans, and competitive landscape.
Risk Assessment: Evaluate the potential risks associated with the OFS structure and the high dividend payout history.
Investment Goals: Ensure the investment aligns with your financial goals and risk tolerance.
Final Thoughts:
The Hyundai Motor India IPO presents a investment opportunity, but it also carries inherent risks. The high dividend payouts and the OFS structure warrant careful scrutiny. Investors should conduct thorough due diligence and make informed decisions before participating. The impending deadline adds another layer of complexity, underscoring the need for a well-considered approach.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Where will this november expiry take tata motors ????Tata motors looks good after making base around 750-760 levels and it seems that most of the negatives are priced in so a long trade can be initiated around 785-790 levels maintaining recent low around 755-760 levels as sl and potential target of 820++ 830++ level post nov expiry and 1000++ plus target for march quarter.
Gold At Important LevelAs per my understanding Gold at very crucial point. It is on daily chart trend line. We are about to see huge move up or down really soon. After that move I don’t see any further resistance or support soon in the area.
Influence
1. Trump Election
2. Fed Cutting Rate
3. Inflation
Beautiful Price Action With Good Q2 Numbers.NSE:GARFIBRES Posted Good Q2 Numbers for FY 24-25 with Margin Expansion, it is one of India's leading players in the technical textiles sector, providing specialized solutions to the cordage and infrastructure industry worldwide, it also manufactures and provides world-class solutions in high-performance polymer ropes, fishing nets, sports nets, safety nets, aquaculture cages, coated fabrics, agricultural netting and geosynthetics.
Results Snapshot:
QoQ Sales: 25.10 %
QoQ Profits: 40.80 %
YoY Sales: 28.10 %
YoY Profits: 25.80 %
OPM%: 22%
Currently Trading at 41.30 times P/E. with Book Values/Share of 8.29.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends!
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early this week, reaching the critical $2,600 mark and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. This rally has been fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions as the U.S. authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russia.
However, the market remains under significant pressure. The USD and bond yields continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance. Economic struggles in Europe are weakening the euro, driving demand for the USD and further weighing on gold.
This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued with limited major economic data releases. Key areas to watch include U.S. housing data, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
Gold is currently testing the critical resistance zone at $2,600–$2,589. A false breakout here could trigger strong selling, reinforcing bearish momentum. Conversely, a modest pullback followed by a decline to $2,546 would solidify a clearer downtrend. Keep a close watch!