Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Zones to Watch on the 4-Hour ChartWhat is Happening in the Chart?
1. Resistance and Supply Zone (Order Block): Bitcoin is approaching a significant bearish order block (red zone) near the $100,000 mark. This area represents resistance where sellers may take control, pushing the price downward.
2. Potential Retracement: Before continuing its upward trend, Bitcoin may retrace to fill the fair value gap (FVG) and test the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. These zones are historically strong areas for buyers to re-enter the market.
3. Support and Demand Zone: The bullish order block (green zone) near $92,000 aligns with the retracement zone. This is where Bitcoin might find strong support before resuming its upward trajectory.
Outlook for BTC/USDT
The chart predicts a potential pullback to $92,000-$95,000, followed by a bullish rally aiming to break through resistance at $100,000. If Bitcoin clears the bearish OB, the price could target new highs, potentially surpassing $105,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $100,000 (Bearish OB)
Support: $92,000-$95,000 (Bullish OB and Fibonacci zone)
---
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and trading involves significant risks. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
GOLD strategy January 16 after bigwin CPIThe US CPI unexpectedly slows down, raising expectations for an early rate cut by the Fed
The US CPI index in December increased less than expected. This development not only helps ease the selling pressure in the bond market but also strengthens confidence that the Fed may cut interest rates sooner than previously anticipated.
The market is now forecasting that the Fed will reduce interest rates by a total of 40 basis points by the end of this year, higher than the 31 basis points reduction forecast before the inflation data was released.
The US Dollar Index dropped by 0.1%, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds also decreased.
Investors are concerned that the possibility of new tariffs after Donald Trump returns to the White House next week could drive up inflation and limit the Fed's ability to reduce interest rates further.
There are several noteworthy updates in the current economy, but there is still some disparity in the economic and monetary policies related to the USD. One significant point is that Trump’s success in this agreement stemmed from his simple but firm demand for an immediate deal. This has pushed not only Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu but also far-right members of his cabinet into a position where they must choose: cooperate or lose the support of the most friendly US president in history.
This suggests a focus on military strategy by Trump before addressing monetary and financial policies, with contrasting opinions and conflicts present in the information. Current views indicate that the following scenarios may arise:
From a technical analysis perspective, gold is still in an uptrend, and the economic news supports this, so buying gold in recent days has been a big win for traders.
However, there are a few factors to consider regarding ongoing conflicts in various countries, with Trump taking initial steps to ease escalating tensions. This may indicate that gold could experience sharp drops at any moment. Looking at the large timeframe chart on H4, there is a double top pattern, signaling that gold may decline in the coming days.
Currently, the view is that gold will have another upward move before a sudden drop occurs due to news related to the conflicts and the double top pattern on the H4 chart. Therefore, the strategy for today is to follow the primary trend and look for buying opportunities.
Trading Zone Strategy
BUY ZONE: 2678 - 2680
SL: 2672
TP: 2684 - 2688 - 2692 - 2695 - ????
BUY ZONE 2: 2662 - 2660
SL: 2655
TP: 2666 - 2670 - 2672 - 2676 - ???
SELL ZONE: 2624 - 2626
SL: 2630
TP: 2620 - 2618 - 2614 - 2610
Please note that today we have data on Core Retail Sales m/m & Unemployment Claims. The price range could move from 30 to 35 pips, so be sure to take note of the price levels marked on the chart.
Always adhere to TP/SL to protect your trading account.
Trading strategy for January 15 CPI dataGold has slightly rebounded due to support from a weaker US Dollar and easing Treasury yields, as the US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data came in lower than expected, easing concerns about rising inflation in the near term.
In today’s session, investors will continue to watch for the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 20:30 and a speech by the Federal Reserve’s Governor at 22:00. As such, investors may remain cautious in their trades ahead of these important economic reports and news.
At the start of the Asian session, there are expectations that Gold may see some upward movement. Therefore, considering a Buy position is recommended, with targets at 2,678 - 80 and further up at 2,685 - 87. However, after this, we can look to sell on any pullback in the 85 - 87 region, aiming for 5-10 points profit.
Currently, traders can consider buying within the short-term range in the Asian session. If the price closes below 2662, avoid buying and wait for lower levels to enter. For now, the bias is more towards buying, and further updates will be provided as the price action unfolds towards the European session.
Key Resistance: 2678 - 2682
Key Support: 2664 - 2660
Trading Plan:
SELL ZONE: 2683 - 2685
SL: 2690
TP: 2680 - 2676 - 2674 - 2670
BUY ZONE: 2657 - 2655
SL: 2652
TP: 2660 - 2663 - 2665 - 2670 - ????
Today, we have crucial CPI data coming out, so be cautious with your trades and avoid complacency. Always adhere to your TP/SL levels to protect your account. The ADMIN will provide continuous updates on any changes in price action. GOOD LUCK!
Nifty View 17/01/2025We will again short the markets today plan is for gap filling downside. We achieved 100 points yesterday in our short trade. And today we can target for 150 points. Even if market bounce don't go for long find only short setup.
I also share exact entry point with very small sl. Connect me personally for that. You can check our previous trades also.
GOLD strategy at the end of the week 17/01/25The US market closed in the red, with spot gold prices rising to their highest level, following the trend we've been monitoring since the beginning of the year.
The decline in US Treasury yields caused the US stock market to end the session in the red, as major indices all dropped due to cautious investor sentiment ahead of upcoming economic policies from the new administration.
US government bond yields fell as investors expect the Fed may cut interest rates this year if economic data continues to weaken. The DXY index maintained a slight downward trend, closing at 108.97, pressured by the expectation that the Fed might reduce interest rates if the US economy weakens further. USD/JPY dropped to 155.2, its lowest level in nearly a month.
As we have previously analyzed, our view on gold’s upward trend has been accurate, but we should not become complacent with the successes of the past few days. As mentioned earlier, geopolitical issues in conflict areas are being addressed, and agreements have been made to prevent further escalation. This could be a significant signal that gold may no longer have the same appeal for investors, and the slight decline in the DXY (USD) is merely a part of adjustments for upcoming financial plans under the new President Trump. Therefore, it is important to closely follow the trend and manage positions wisely, avoiding stubbornness in such times.
Trading Strategy
Important Resistance Zones: 2724 - 2732 - 2755
Important Support Zones: 2710 - 2702 - 2660
BUY ZONE: 2702 - 2700
SL: 2695
TP: 2706 - 2710 - 2714 - 2720 - 2724 - ????
BUY ZONE: 2694 - 2692
SL: 2688
TP: ????
SELL ZONE: 2723 - 2725
SL: 2728
TP: 2720 - 2717 - 2715 - 2711
SELL ZONE: 2745 - 2747
SL: 2750
TP: 2742 - 2738 - 2735 - 2732
Today is Friday, and with volatility often increasing towards the end of the week, traders should be cautious with the US session. For Asia and Europe, just follow your view, but always adhere to TP/SL to protect your account balance. Have a great Friday!
BHEL - Don't miss this opportunity!!BHEL is trading just under the value zone due to various Micro and Macro economic news in the last 2 quarters, however in the recent quarter BHEL posted healthy news with good order book.
Between Price range 220 to 270 a massive 800 Million shares were traded which accounts more than 60% of total free float shares available in the Market.
So investing now would be good idea and you will get this share at a good discount compared to many others in the market.
Happy Investing and Trading!!
Infosys presented stellar results. Will stock stop falling now?Infosys presented outstanding results today on not just year on year but also showed consistent growth on quarterly time frame. The street might have expected this already and that's why the stock price soar in recent past. What they wouldn't have expected is their revision in growth estimates from the earlier band of 3.75-4.5 to 4.5-5%.
Still the stock fell today. Will the fall continue? (HCL Tech fell 10% even after awesome results)
Honestly speaking, this has to be seen in the coming trading sessions. But what's sure is that investors will make money if they buy this stock in dips!
Bitcoin 1D Commentary and Bull Run Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 99,779$
- Bitcoin kept behaving choppy and the Price Behaviour was very sluggish in January
- We saw BTC printing a candle 4000$, which helped BTC cross 100,000$ after a long time.
- Coming back to the current Price Action of BTC we are currently trading at a crucial zone and if we flip a weekly candle close above 102,686$ then the Market structure will change to Bullish
- However, if we do not close above 102,000$ then we can see BTC revisiting 85,000-90,000$
- Trump's inaugural is due next week and will bring in a lot of volatility.
- I am leaning more on the Bullish side, however, if we don't see supporting Macros then we might have a rough time chopping out and getting distributed the whole month.
Skygold ready to touch the sky !!Skygold is reversing with great technical and fundamental strength, New highs are coming soon. Technically, it bounced back from key support levels and fundamentals as the company on-boarded Aditya Birla Jewellery as a new client, along with product portfolio diversification with lab-grown diamonds and 18kt Jewellery.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in RKFORGE
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
HDFCAMC's Strong Growth Amid Oversold ConditionsTopic Statement: HDFCAMC reported a stellar 30.8% QoQ growth for the third quarter, with its price correcting during the recent market downturn, now oversold as it approaches crucial support at 3600.
Key Points:
1. Reported 30.8% QoQ growth for Q3.
2. Price corrected in the recent market downturn.
3.Trading under the 180-day moving average, making it oversold.
4. MFI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions.
5. Approaching crucial support at 3600.
Bitcoin following 2013-2017 ATH Fractal UPDATE
Welcome to the latest update
I have been posting this idea for a long time now and it is still playing out and I am so pleased to see some respected Crypto people now saying the same.
To recap
Bitcoin Fractal anchored at the 2021 Nov ATH - some people do not like to use that ATH as a real one as there are many reason why they consider it a False one...But I use it as most BTC ATH are in End of year months and it was very simply THE ATH of that cycle. It was the highest point.
And as you can see, Current PA has followed it (all be it with a certain tolerance of error)
The 2022 period was hard for BTC as we know and so the PA was driven lower but Still survived.
We can also see how it took some time for confidence to return fully but.. Here we are now, since Q3 2023, following it again Spot on.
And if we are going to continue to do this, we need that -30% Pull back as seen on the Fractel. And we do need it.
Weekly MACD is currently turning Bearish and if we want to get to a new ATH in 2025, that MACD needs to be coming off Neutral at best.
Should PA Avoid that pullback, and Range for 6 months again, it will begin to fall under the fractel. I am not sure if that is OK or not but given that we have been Above it since Jan 2023, It is not something that would give me confidence.
So, for me, I am cautious, waiting / hoping for a Drop that would be swiftly bought back up
BUY THE DIP
But then, there will come a day where we no longer follow that Fractel because, as Fantastic as it would be to follow to the top and Get a $1.3 Million BTC, I do not think it is something we should expect just yet
But then, This IS Bitcoin
Anything can happen
Be safe
GOLD TRADING STRATEGY January 14Global Gold Prices Decline as USD Hits 2-Year High
The gold market experienced a decline in prices as the US dollar reached its highest level in over two years. The Dow Jones index initially opened with a decrease but later surged over 100 points, while the NASDAQ and S&P 500 remained in the red. Gold prices also initially dropped following the opening of the US stock market but quickly rebounded as the Dow Jones index began to rise.
Key Market Updates
Gold prices ended the trading day on January 13 with a 1.1% decrease, settling at $2,658.84 per ounce.
The US dollar index reached its highest level since November 2022, driven by a strong US jobs report that highlighted the economy's resilience and diminished the prospects of a Fed rate cut.
The impending inauguration of President Trump and his proposed trade policies, including tariffs and protectionism, may lead to inflation and trade wars, potentially increasing the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset.
Market Outlook and Expectations
Investors are eagerly awaiting the release of key economic reports, including inflation data, unemployment claims, and retail sales figures, to gain a better understanding of the US economy and the Fed's policy plans. Currently, the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 0.25% this year, down from the previous expectation of a 0.4% cut.
Trading Strategies and Recommendations
Despite the current market conditions, which favor a stronger US dollar, gold prices remain within the upward channel and have not shown any signs of breaking down through key support levels.
The current view is to maintain a buying position, with the following entry and exit points:
Buy ZONE: 2662−2660
Stop Loss : $2655
Take Profit : 2668 − 2668 − 2672 - 2676 − 2680
Sell ZONE: 2685−2687
SL: 2692
TP: 2680 − 2680 − 2677 - 2673
SELL ZONE: 2694−2696
SL: 2700
TP: 2690 − 2690 − 2687 - 2685 − 2680
Today's Market Focus
The Producer Price Index (PPI) report will be released today, and investors should be cautious in their trading decisions. The plan for the day will be updated after the Asian and European markets close, and a view for the US market will be provided after the PPI report is released. Remember to follow proper risk management and adhere to take-profit and stop-loss levels to protect your account.
HCLTECH's Resilient Bull RunTopic Statement: HCLTECH is on a strong bull run, resilient to the recent market correction, with a healthy profit growth and price trading at its lifetime high within an up-trending channel.
Key Points:
1. Company reported a 7.5% profit growth QoQ.
2. Price is moving in an up-trending channel, simplifying channel trading.
3. Trading at its lifetime high.
Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. is a leading player in the chemical industry, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of carbon materials and chemicals.
Profitability: The company's profitability has been on an upward trajectory, with significant growth in net profit margins and overall financial stability.
Technical Analysis: On the technical front, Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. is exhibiting a Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily time frame, indicating a potential target of 670++
Darvas Box in Apollo Hospitals Enterprise LtdApollo Hospitals, is a leading integrated healthcare services provider in Asia with a robust presence across the healthcare ecosystem.
The company has shown good profit growth of 34.3% CAGR over the last 5 years and maintains a healthy dividend payout of 22.6%.
Technical Analysis
Consolidation: The stock has been consolidating for the last 15 - 18 days and is ready to give a breakout for a new high.
Darvas Box Formation: The stock formed a Darvas Box at its 52-week high and corrected around 15%.
Volume: Volume is starting to increase, indicating potential for a breakout.
Entry Point: Early entry can be taken around the highlighted range with a stop loss of ₹7,130.
Target: Open /Trail
What do you think about this? 🙂