AMARAJABAT - FAVOURABLE RISK REWARDAMARAJA BATTERIES was in downtrend since 6 Months & Now it has shown a reversal.
Pros for taking position
Technical
1) Support
2) Bullish Engulf
3) Trendline Breakout
Fundamental
1) Electric Battery Industry is Expected to grow at around 15.9% CAGR till 2027
2) It is a second leading player in making Batteries and it has to benefit from the demand which is going to come in next few years
3) As Govt is spending huge on EV and demand increasing for EV we can expect it to go up from here.
Cons
Technical
1) Volume has not been impressive and no big money yet Involved.
Fundamental
1) Company has not been able to give better results due to price war and higher lead prices
2) Environmental Reasons for harmful Emission - AP Govt asking it to shift the plant due to this.
Fundamental Analysis
An Amazing investment opportunity with a CAGR of 40-50% !!!" MIRAE NYSE FANG+ index ETF " is an ETF that will track the NYSE FANG+ index which tracks WORLD'S BIGGEST 10 COMPANIES. The FANG+ Index is composed of 10 equally weighted technology stocks—Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Alphabet, Alibaba, Baidu, Nvidia, Tesla and Twitter. All the 10 stocks have equal weightage i.e 10%.
1)This index has delivered a return of 46.8% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years in rupee terms. In other words, a rupee invested in the index would have multiplied almost seven times in five years.
2) The ETF has an expense ratio of 0.33% which is very low.
3) This is an awesome opportunity for Indian investors to invest in the international market and the world's greatest innovators. Also, it will help in diversifying the portfolio of investors.
4) These 10 companies have a market cap of $7.7 trillion—nearly three times the Indian market; and revenues of $1.09 trillion—3x of the Indian government’s total receipts.
5) Indian investors will also get the benefit of rupee depreciation.
6) If we talk about the risk on paper terms, since it is a concentrated portfolio so definitely there is a risk. But in my view, if we don't invest in the world's top 10 companies and invest it somewhere else then there is more risk!! These all companies are high growth companies and will continue to grow and innovate in the coming years as well. So definitely, it is worth investing.
ETF is available on NSE with code MAFANG.
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INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERMost undervalued is ready to outperform. Buy above 595 only if monthly candle closes above 600.
Cup & Handlekeep following this chart. I think CHALET HOTELS is highly undervalued. one can go long and also having CupHandle pattern
Symmetrical triangle (coils) (continuation pattern)
Prints when the market is indecisive. Price market higher lows & lower highs. It is the situation where supply and demand are near to equal. The trading range becomes smaller and smaller within the triangle. It represents a pause in the exhausting trend after which the original trend is resumed.
1) The minimum requirement for a triangle is four reversal points. Many have 6 point requirements but at least four points.
2) In a symmetrical triangle, we get apex where two converged trend line meets. Apex also works as a very important support & resistance. Sometimes a return move will occur back to the penetrated trend line after the breakout occurs.
3) Duration: A minimum duration of 3 weeks and it rarely exceeds 3 or 4 months long. (less than 3 weeks of duration likely to be a pennant formation, not a symmetrical triangle)
4) Volume: Narrow volume within the triangle. Very low before the breakout.
5) Breakout: Price closing below the lower rising trend line confirms the breakout or Price closing above the upper falling trend line confirms the breakout. The direction of the break in the pattern can only be confirmed after the break has happened. Either Up or Down.
6) Buy: Buy the Stock a day after Price closing above the upper falling Trend line.
Sell: Sell or short the stock day after Prices closing below the lower rising Trend line.
7)Target: – The technical price target is to measure the widest distance of the symmetrical triangle, Add the distance to the upper trend line breakout price for a buy target or Subtract the distance from a lower trend line breakout price for obtaining a covering price.
8) SL: usually, price closing above falling upper trend line is a Sell stop loss or price closing below rising bottom trend line is a buying stop loss. But very often, the gap between breakout price and trend lines is very wide.
Or
Stop: "Symmetric triangle" failures occur when price results in false breakouts. Stop below the first major "swing low" below the trend line for a long setup. Place a "stop" order above the first major swing high from the trend line for a short-setup.
9) Alert: To receive a valid signal, a closing price has to be above the resistance line or below the support line. The more the price moves to the very end of a triangle, the weaker will be the breakout in either direction.
10) Symmetrical triangle has two merging trend lines. For this formation, at least two peaks and two valleys are necessary. To reduce false breakouts, investors should wait until there are either three peaks and two valleys or three valleys and two peaks. With this approach, however, it is possible to completely miss a trend,
How to avoid fake outs?
1. 200 EMA confirmation
2. Use trail SL
Bata Candlestick Interpretation Candlestick Interpretation
After a downtrend ; Bullish Hammer , Bullish Engulfing , Inside bar , accumulation zone are formed as a act of Fibonacci retracement in Daily chart.
Which gave a nice 11.8% profit with 3% stoploss.
HDFCLIFE - descending triangle / pennant HDFCLIFE - descending triangle / pennant
Breakout alert ahead.
Self explanatory chart.
For educational purpose only. I am not a sebi registered expert. Trade at your own risk. Feel free to text & Share your views.
MARKEY CYCLES PSYCHOLOGY | EMOTIONS & COGNITIVE BIASES
All markets go through cycles of expansion and contraction.
📈When a market is in an expansion phase (an uptrend), there is a sentiment of optimism, belief, and greed. Typically, these are the main emotions that lead to a strong buying activity.
Sometimes, a strong sense of greed and belief overtakes the market in such a way that a financial bubble can form. In such a scenario, many investors become irrational, losing sight of the actual value and buying an asset only because they believe the market will continue to rise.
They get greedy and irrational by the impressive bullish movement, expecting to make huge profits. As the market gets heavily overbought, the local top is created. In general, this is considered to be the point of the highest risk.
In some cases, the market will start a sideways movement while smart money steadily sells the asset. This is also called the distribution stage. However, some markets don't present a clear distribution stage, and the downtrend starts sharply after the top is reached.
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
📉 When the market starts reversing, the euphoric mood can quickly turn into complacency, as many traders refuse to admit that the uptrend came to an end. As prices continue to fall, the market sentiment quickly moves to the bearish side. It often includes feelings of anxiety, denial, and panic.
In this context, by the anxiety we mean the moment when bullish biased market participants start to question why the price is falling, which soon leads to the denial stage. The denial period is marked by a sense of unacceptance. Many investors keep holding their losing positions, either because "it's too late to sell" or because they want still believe that "the market will come back soon."
But as the prices drop even lower, the selling wave gets stronger. At this point, fear and panic often lead to what is called a market capitulation (when holders give up and sell their assets close to the local bottom).
Eventually, the downtrend stops as the volatility decreases and the market stabilizes. Typically, the market experiences sideways movements before feelings of hope and optimism start arising again. Such a sideways period is called the accumulation stage.
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TECHM Bull RunTechnical Overview
*XABCD Bullish pattern forming in Daily timeframe.
*Price has sharply reversed from Point D today, a bullish Harami pattern has formed on the Daily candlestick timeframe.
Volume Analysis
*On Balance Volume(OBV) divergence shows bulls have already joined the party.
*Buy on Dips. Follow proper risk management techniques.
Target 1= 985+ (for current week)
Target 2= 1020 (depends upon momentum and buying pressure in the market)
*Price may take a retracement in the current or next week at 0.5% levels.*
*Highly Risky traders can buy 980 CE/990 CE below/ near VWAP levels for tomorrow.*
Fundamentals
*Q4 results were declared in the after market hrs. today, clocking a 34.5% Y-oY growth in Net Profit at Rs. 1081.4 cr in March Quater. Although brokerages were overweight on the PAT expecting a figure of Rs. 1281.6 Cr(59 % growth).
Nifty 50 Companies List 2021 weightage wise!!!!!1. HDFC Bank Ltd. – 10.24%
2. Reliance Industries Ltd. – 10.19%
3. Infosys Ltd. – 7.98%
4. Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. – 7.08%
5. ICICI Bank Ltd. – 6.34%
6. Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. – 5.18%
7. Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. – 4.05%
8. Hindustan Unilever Ltd. – 3.42%
9. ITC Ltd. – 3.01%
10. AXIS Bank Ltd. – 2.76%
11. Larsen & Toubro Ltd. – 2.70%
12. State Bank of India – 2.20%
13. Bajaj Finance Ltd. – 2.15%
14. Bharti Airtel Ltd. – 1.97%
15. Asian Paints Ltd. – 1.80%
16. HCL Technologies Ltd. – 1.68%
17. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. – 1.44%
18. UltraTech Cement Ltd. – 1.22%
19. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. – 1.20%
20. Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. – 1.02%
21. Titan Company Ltd. – 1.02%
22. Tech Mahindra Ltd. – 0.97%
23. Wipro Ltd. – 0.96%
24. Nestle India Ltd. – 0.96%
25. Tata Steel Ltd. – 0.96%
26. Bajaj Finserv Ltd. – 0.92%
27. HDFC Life Insurance Co. Ltd.- 0.91%
28. Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd. – 0.87%
29. Grasim Industries Ltd. – 0.87%
30. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd. – 0.86%
31. IndusInd Bank Ltd. – 0.85%
32. Tata Motors Ltd. – 0.85%
33. Adani Port and Special Economic Zone – 0.81%
34. NTPC Ltd. – 0.80%
35. Bajaj Auto Ltd. – 0.75%
36. Hindalco Industries Ltd. – 0.75%
37. Divi’s Laboratories Ltd. – 0.73%
38. JSW Steel Ltd. – 0.71%
39. Britannia Industries Ltd. – 0.67%
40. Cipla Ltd. – 0.65%
41. Bharat Petroleum Corp. Ltd. – 0.63%
42. Shree Cement Ltd. – 0.62%
43. Hero MotoCorp Ltd. – 0.60%
44. TataConsumer products Ltd. – 0.42%
45. Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. – 0.59%
46. Eicher Motors Ltd. – 0.57%
47. UPL Ltd. – 0.56%
48. SBI Life Insurance Co. – 0.54%
49. Coal India Ltd. – 0.43%
50. Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. – 0.37%
The best indicator for banknifty future.NIKI BANKNIFTY is one of the best indicators for bank nifty future. It will work on 5 min chart with a candle pattern. It has an accuracy of 88% and a profit factor of 5.2. It has a fully automated trading setup with Indian brokers. It can be accessible from invite-only scripts.
Max Healthcare Institute Ltd.Daily Chart Pattern
Share at all time high
Break Short time Resistance
Positive Volume Build Up
Pro
Positive last Quarterly Results
OPM % grow continuously
Profit before tax grow
Net Profit grow and all time high
Cons
Company has low interest coverage ratio.
Promoter Shareholding holding
Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020
Promoters + 82.24 75.25 75.25
I am not a SEBI registered adviser. All the information provided by me are for educational/informational purposes only. Never invest more then 2 % Capital In Single trade. Trade on your own Risk and analysis
MARUTI SUZUKI| Wyckoff Events and Phases explained 🎯Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC , reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC .
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC .
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume .
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume .
INVESTMENT TRAP- Anchoring Bias (Educational) INVESTMENT TRAPS- Anchoring Bias
Describes the tendency to only rely on top piece of information and getting anchored to it while decision-making. It causes a lot of oscillation and hinders the decision-making ability.
For instance- You had a good return on a stock in the past, your perception on the future returns would be similar, even when the prices might take a dive.
Escape the Trap by:
1.Acknowledging the bias.
2.In-depth research and analysis.
3.Delaying the decision.
4.Dropping down the anchor.
HOW TO TRADE IN RANGE BOUND MARKET
Every week we got one or two days
where there is no momentum and market trade in a Range.
this is best scenario for option selling.
sell CE option on top Using nearest resistance as
SL. Then Hedge position with selling PE near Support.
you will make money in all scenario ,if market remains
in a range , breakout or Breakdown.
1 . RANGE BOUND MARKET :- you will get benefit from premium cutting.
2. break out :- if nifty gives Range breakout and sustain , in that scenario , we Exit from CE , and carry out PE position
using Trail SL.
3. Break down :- if nifty confirm Breakdown , same thing exit from PE call an d carry with CE.
Hope I can answer your question .if you have any doubt plz message me.
Thanks
PS :- option selling is Risky .Test your setup and practice on paper and then take trade.
IOC| Wyckoff Events and Phases explained 🎯Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases 👈
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
👉PRICE ACTION BASED ANALYSIS 👈
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TradeTheTip Global Research Pvt.Ltd.
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IDBI BANK BUY CALL FOR SHORT TERM INVESTORAny of my investment or trades I share on my view are provided for educational purposes only and do not constitute specific financial, trading or investment advice. ... You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to trade or invest in markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose.
Twelve Choruses of a Market Cycle 1. The Washout: “Stocks are Going Way Down”
At the bottom of a market crash, business news is usually terrible and many authorities declare that things will probably get worse.
The public dumps stocks without regard to value.
Eventually, though, a point is reached where everybody who can be scared into selling has sold. Usually,
the final battle occurs in a few days of extremely high volume known as a “selling climax.”
2. The Early Surge: “Things look better but it’s too early to buy. Wait for a pull-back.”
The government, shocked by the decline announces public works and other stimuli which, of course, will not take effect until many months later.
So, the pundits declare that, this time, the stimulus isn’t working. “It’s like pushing on a rope,” they say.
Months go by and prices rise.
When “everybody” is waiting for a buying opportunity, there will ordinarily be no buying opportunity.
3. The Surge Continues: “Prices seem high. It’s too late to buy.”
More months pass and the market establishes an upward channel.
Higher prices pull in buying from the institutions waiting on the sidelines.
The public moves from feeling that it is too early to buy to suspecting it might be too late.
4. The Second Stage of the Rocket: “Maybe it’s okay to buy.”
After long time or so after the bottom, the public, watching from the sidelines, becomes interested.
There are a number of downward bounces, or tests, against the bottom of the market’s rising channel.
Each time, the recovery starts from a higher level.
5. Not a Cloud in the Sky: “Buy!”
More time go by, the market is way up and the public is hooked. Business news is excellent.
The “standard forecast” is optimistic.
Some particular market area becomes a market darling and is bid up to irrational levels.
We see, also the use of derivatives—on a vast scale.
6. The Blow-off: “Stocks can only go up.”
Hot Managers become famous.
7. Coasting: “The market does seem high but this time it’s different.”
As the months wear on, stocks hesitate; their upward pace slows, with only a few favourites making new highs.
The market analyst detects this by the falling ratio of advances to declines.
In a bull market,enough stock is “manufactured” to satisfy everyone. “When the ducks quack, feed ‘em.”
8. The Top: “Hold!”
The government, concerned about speculation and economic overheating, starts leaning against the wind.
Another few months pass and we see a series of vicious reactions.
The arrival of belated “second chance” buyers halts each decline and puts the list up to new highs.
9. Over the Hump: “It’s too soon to sell.”
The public remains heavily in the market but the professional investors are edging out.
A downward channel is established.
10. The Slide: “Prices are cheap but it’s too late to sell.”
After a few more months, a number of issues have fallen appreciably from their highs.
The market, sinks on bad news but fails to respond to governmental stimulation measures and bullish company announcements.
11. “It’s okay to sell.”
After a while, we may see a severe decline, with more volatile issues.
There is often a deceptive recovery, which one might call the “trap rally”.
12. The Cascade: “Sell!”
Now the river seeps over the brink, carrying everything with it.
Business news is bad and the standard forecast is for stormy weather.
The hot-fund managers have to meet redemptions but find out that illiquid securities cannot be sold and depart in disgrace.
13 (or back to 1 again). The Selling Climax: “The market’s going way down.”
The torrent crashes down the hills. Some stocks give up in a day/week all their gains for a years.
It is so sudden and so awful that, for a while, many investors cannot quite believe it.
So here we are again, years or so after we started out, half drowned, bones broken, washed out.
But if you have kept some reserves intact and know enough to recognize real value
when it is being dumped by panicky, uninformed sellers, and have the guts to act, then you can make the buys of a lifetime at these moments.
We have had many economic storms.
Each time, investors became convinced that the skies would never clear or the sun shine again. And it always does.
'
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